Golf Betting MegaThread * See Mod warning in post #2 & 214*

eagle eye · 14-11-2020 4:26am

Danny Willett hasn't shown any form since his Master's win in 2016. He's the highest placed Masters winner in the tournament right now at -7. He's currently priced at 50/1.

Loafing Oaf · 14-11-2020 11:06am

eagle eye wrote: »

Danny Willett hasn't shown any form since his Master's win in 2016. He's the highest placed Masters winner in the tournament right now at -7. He's currently priced at 50/1.

Cheers for the tip. Have stuck a few shekels on him, McIlroy and Fleetwood.

Deeper Blue · 14-11-2020 2:07pm

eagle eye wrote: »

Danny Willett hasn't shown any form since his Master's win in 2016. He's the highest placed Masters winner in the tournament right now at -7. He's currently priced at 50/1.

Surprised he's that high, definitely value there, good shout

Loafing Oaf · 14-11-2020 2:57pm

simongurnick wrote: »

Probably due to having 6 holes left in rd 2. All the big dogs in the mix, bar bryson. Next two days should be good

Must be it, he's tied with DJ now

The Tetrarch · 14-11-2020 4:15pm

The Tetrarch wrote: »

Brooks Koepka 100 at 19s
Corey Connors 50 at 250

They are both at -5, four shots off the lead.

Bets update
Brooks Koepka 150 at 49.90 (extra bets at 110 and 120)
Corey Connors 229.70 at 466.31 (extra bets at 280, 370, 380, 420, 430, 1000)

DD1518 · 15-11-2020 11:18am

Only ever do long shots in the golf kicking myself now I didn't back them all each way. Here's hoping DJ throws a wobbler today and drops a few shots.

carq · 15-11-2020 1:19pm

DD1518 wrote: »

Only ever do long shots in the golf kicking myself now I didn't back them all each way. Here's hoping DJ throws a wobbler today and drops a few shots.

same - on Cameron Smith at 140/1 win only but would need a collapse from DJ i think.

DD1518 · 15-11-2020 9:21pm

carq wrote: »

same - on Cameron Smith at 140/1 win only but would need a collapse from DJ i think.

Waited for a while and cash out increased for Smith to 53,17 and 11 respectively so cashed out was better than each way in the end I suppose. DJ finally picks up a deserved masters he's playing serious stuff.

DJIMI TRARORE · 15-11-2020 11:08pm

DJIMI TRARORE wrote: »

Just added
Rory to M/C @6-1
CASEY 1RL @55,enhanced
Hideki @22-1ew

Rory, looked good on thursday:)
Casey,nice return a nice profit:)
Hideki,did his usual sunday major disappearing act:(

Scoundrel · 16-11-2020 2:09pm

Scoundrel wrote: »

I backed DJ Wolff and a long shot on Corey Connors.

Not too shabby at all the winner and Corey Connors snuck in for a place as well Wolff was a disaster but 2 outta 3 ain't too bad.

eagle eye · 16-11-2020 2:57pm

I completely forgot I did this.

carq · 17-11-2020 9:51am

Bad result for me Dustin winning like that.

Had a good few of the top ten backed to win at fancy prices but wasnt really close in the end.
DJ overturned a few trends (World No 1 winning, already has a major winning) - take note for march.

Hopefully he will be nice and short in March and can take him on again with some more value outsiders.

callaway92 · 17-11-2020 11:00am

carq wrote: »

Bad result for me Dustin winning like that.

Had a good few of the top ten backed to win at fancy prices but wasnt really close in the end.
DJ overturned a few trends (World No 1 winning, already has a major winning) - take note for march.

Hopefully he will be nice and short in March and can take him on again with some more value outsiders.

Honestly, the course will be playing completely different in April. Different ball game - More emphasis on short-game/putting etc.

DJIMI TRARORE · 17-11-2020 10:13pm

Sepp Straka 66-1 this week

eagle eye · 17-11-2020 10:23pm

DJIMI TRARORE wrote:

Sepp Straka 66-1 this week

So is Andy Sullivan.

eagle eye · 07-04-2021 6:42pm

https://ibb.co/301Myt2

I put that up as even though it's before the Masters it's after timing in a way.

So on to the rest of my picks and I've a fair few done.
Obviously above I have Spieth and sorry I didn't put more on him.

Anyways every way I look.at this the two that stand out to me are Justin Thomas and Jordan Spieth.
I did up a stats excel sheet and Justin Thomas was a long way ahead of DeChambeau and Spieth.
I don't like DeChambeau's chances because of his wild drives, you pay big for them in Augusta.
Cam Smith has the look of a guy who could go well and I've added him. He was fifth on my stats projection just behind Max Homa who I've also backed and Brooks Koepka who I'm also backing. Brian Harman is on form and statistically has a great chance so I've a small bet on him too although his Master's history isn't great.
My last two picks are Molinari and Bezuidenhout.
Molinari went well at the Genesis which is the most similar course on the PGA tour As you'll remember he went well for three rounds here in 2019. I was off and watched the whole of a wonderful Alfred Dunhill Championship in South Africa. The greens were very Masters like and Bezuidenhout won it, he also won the Andalusia Masters back in 2019 so he's shown he likes a tough test.
I've also added Ryan Palmer who just seems to be rounding into form.
Finally I've added CT Pan who went well here last year and then did nothing up until his last tournament the Honda.
My bets
5 pts ew Justin Thomas 12/1
3 pts ew Brooks Koepka 25/1
2 pts ew Jordan Spieth 28/1
2 pts ew Cameron Smith 33/1
1 pt ew Max Homa 90/1
1 pt ew Brian Harman 100/1
1/2 pt ew Francesco Molinari 140/1
1/2 pt ew Christian Bezuidenhout 140/1
1/2 pt ew Ryan Palmer 150/1
1/2 pt ew CT Pan 250/1

Based off of stats I've done 4 folds and a 5 fold on the following to miss the cut.
Lanto Griffin
Shane Lowry
Charl Schwartzel
Matthew Wolff
Brendon Todd

paulie21 · 07-04-2021 9:28pm

Justin Thomas 12/1
Sergio Garcia 45/1
Victor Perez 100/1

Frisbee · 08-04-2021 9:27am

Oosthuizen T10
Hovland T10

Reed T20
Im T20
Rose T20
Leishman T20
Conners T20

Koepka to Miss Cut
Zalatoris to Miss Cut

Ancer Win Group F

Cantlay e/w

CMcsporty · 08-04-2021 10:59am

3 pts win Spieth 11/1
1 pt frl Spieth 18/1
1 pt w2w win Spieth 60/1
1 pt frl Palmer 66/1
1 pt frl Homa 70/1
2 pts e/w Berger 30/1
1 pt ew Kokrak 90/1
1 pt ew Homa 90/1
1/2 pt ew Palmer 125/1
1/2 pt ew Willett 150/1

10 pts lay McIlroy 20/1

Deeper Blue · 08-04-2021 12:20pm

Win only:
Spieth 11/1

EW:
Garcia 40/1
Bubba 60/1
Kuchar 70/1
Leishman 100/1
Munoz 150/1

LuckyGent88 · 08-04-2021 12:20pm

Main bet is JT to win @ 12/1 15 euro

Then scattered the board on a few e/w
Patrick Reed @ 33/1
Paul Casey @ 40/1
Sergio Garcia @ 50/1
Corey connors @ 80/1
Marc Leishman @ 100/1

Can’t believe the odds on Leishman. Plays well around Augusta, loves firm and fast conditions and is a big tournament player.

CMcsporty · 08-04-2021 12:25pm

Just added Leishman thanks!
im a donkey for a triple digit price

ForeRight · 08-04-2021 12:45pm

Paddy powers offering evens on Westwood to make the cut

callaway92 · 08-04-2021 12:57pm

Lack of love for Rahm is startling here.

I'm very happy with him going into it. Justin Thomas with him them.

tigerwood1 · 08-04-2021 1:33pm

ForeRight wrote: »

Paddy powers offering evens on Westwood to make the cut

I seen that myself out from 2/7
They did the same on mc elroy for the players.
Makes you wonder did see practice rounds

castletownman · 08-04-2021 1:35pm

Have Corey Connors at 66/1 and Louis Oosthuizen at 55/1. Both each-way.

Like a child at Christmas now

eagle eye · 08-04-2021 4:21pm

Among others I did Fitzpatrick for frl. His last four first rounds have seen him first, second, third and seventh. Not in that order but it's pretty consistent.

Deeper Blue · 08-04-2021 4:23pm

eagle eye wrote: »

Among others I did Fitzpatrick for frl. His last four first rounds have seen him first, second, third and seventh. Not in that order but it's pretty consistent.

Good shout, I strongly considered him as an EW option. Didn't look much at the frl market as I never seen to have any luck with it

ForeRight · 08-04-2021 6:53pm

tigerwood1 wrote: »

I seen that myself out from 2/7
They did the same on mc elroy for the players.
Makes you wonder did see practice rounds

Thank god max bet was €20

Mantis Toboggan · 10-04-2021 9:06am

ForeRight wrote: »

Paddy powers offering evens on Westwood to make the cut

Bookies rarely wrong

rossyd2005 · 10-04-2021 10:47am

Someone in here mentioned Zalatoris a couple of weeks ago. Something along the lines of he is in the top 10 or 20 most weeks and since then i noticed he had been. He was 80/1 for the masters and pp were paying 10 places. Fingers crossed he keeps it up for the weekend. Oh and nice spot by the person who posted about him!:)

Degag · 11-04-2021 9:10pm

Anyone know what price Hideki was start of week?

Kilboor · 11-04-2021 9:12pm

Degag wrote: »

Anyone know what price Hideki was start of week?

80/1

Schauffele was my bet e/w.

What a disaster. Still make a nice bit if he finishes 2-8

Keano · 11-04-2021 9:19pm

Kilboor wrote: »

80/1

Schauffele was my bet e/w.

What a disaster. Still make a nice bit if he finishes 2-8

Nobody likes After-timing around these parts. Be warned!

PARlance · 11-04-2021 10:53pm

Degag wrote: »

Anyone know what price Hideki was start of week?

40/1 with PP

ForeRight · 11-04-2021 11:55pm

Mantis Toboggan wrote: »

Bookies rarely wrong

Correct. That’s why Paddy isn’t cycling to work every Monday morning.

Deeper Blue · 12-04-2021 12:08am

Frisbee wrote: »

Oosthuizen T10
Hovland T10

Reed T20
Im T20
Rose T20
Leishman T20
Conners T20

Koepka to Miss Cut
Zalatoris to Miss Cut

Ancer Win Group F

Cantlay e/w

You did well with the T20 bets, fair dues

eagle eye · 12-04-2021 12:21am

Keano wrote:

Nobody likes After-timing around these parts. Be warned!

And lying about his price as well.

Frisbee · 12-04-2021 10:09am

rossyd2005 wrote: »

Someone in here mentioned Zalatoris a couple of weeks ago. Something along the lines of he is in the top 10 or 20 most weeks and since then i noticed he had been. He was 80/1 for the masters and pp were paying 10 places. Fingers crossed he keeps it up for the weekend. Oh and nice spot by the person who posted about him!:)

That was me, have bet him T20 every event since the US Open last year and he's only finished outside the Top 20 4 times I think. And his odds have nearly always been good, think 10/11 was the worst price I got him at.

Of course this week I then decide to stab him in the back and bet on him to miss the cut :pac:

Deeper Blue wrote: »

You did well with the T20 bets, fair dues

Yeah good run, Koepka to miss the cut was my big one so everything after that was just gravy.

The_Kew_Tour · 12-04-2021 4:11pm

Already looking at PGA in Kiawah Island in end of May. Anyone any thoughts?

I say I will find it hard to ignore Rahm at around 14s at minute.

Rose was T3 here in 2012 when Rory won it. If a good price I think this may be his best chance to double his major count.

I be keeping eye out for Mcdowell(finished t11 here last time) and Brandon Grace too at bigger odds.

eagle eye · 12-04-2021 5:41pm

Anyone good at links golf should do well at Kiawah Island.

Tilikum17 · 13-04-2021 10:27am

eagle eye wrote: »

Anyone good at links golf should do well at Kiawah Island.

Tyrell Hatton.

Deeper Blue · 13-04-2021 10:48am

eagle eye wrote: »

Anyone good at links golf should do well at Kiawah Island.

Hopefully it plays firm and fast, it was way too soft in 2012.

I think Rahm could be a good shout.

14-04-2021 11:56pm

Gone for Fitzpatrick , Hatton , Berger all at 22s , and Wallace @ 50/1.. EW the lot 1-8 places.

Links courses someone said - I reckon the Brits be good at those type of courses...

Deeper Blue · 15-04-2021 4:29am

Deleted User wrote: »

Gone for Fitzpatrick , Hatton , Berger all at 22s , and Wallace @ 50/1.. EW the lot 1-8 places.

Links courses someone said - I reckon the Brits be good at those type of courses...

Is that for this week? Eagle Eye above was referring to the venue for the PGA in a month's time.

In saying that I actually think those are good picks for Harbour Town this week, Fitz in particular. Best of luck.

Miley Byrne · 15-04-2021 9:27am

Think Matt Fitz will go well here. Funnily enough I've a sneaking suspicion that Lowry could go well too despite all the upheaval in his camp.

In Austria Sam Horsfield and Wil Besseling are my picks.

Small each way double on Horsfield & Lowry

22-04-2021 1:02am

Not a clue about Golf; but fek it, it'll be on telly (I would imagine), so a few days entertainment (hopefully

)

Miss the shops being open - could look at the RP, and get some inspiration from there. A lot of people slag that paper off, but I don't care, as long as it has the form in it.

The price of it is the biggest sickener. Hard to justify paying €4.20 or thereabouts for what only contains 60/70 pages sometimes.

Anyway, the pin landed on:

Gran Canaria Open
Horsfield 16/1 , Kitayama 20/1, Schwab 22/1 , Sullivan 20/1 . All EW 1-7 plcs.

Zurich Classic
Strange one this. 2 players playing together apparently. I guess how well they get on together, or how relaxed they'd be playing as partners matters a lot. Hard to know about any of that. Went for:

Willett/Hatton 22/1 , Bradley/Steele 25/1 , Frittelli/Streelman 28/1 , Kokrak/Perez 33/1. All EW 1-8 plcs.

16 ew dbles too.

eagle eye · 22-04-2021 1:27am

I've done Catlin, Higgo, Campillo, Nicolai Hojgard and Lombard in Gran Canaria.
Catlin obviously won last week and seems totally focused on playing his way into the PGA Championship, Higgo is massively talented and played well last week, Nicolai was better than Rasmus as an amateur and I've been waiting for him to show some form which he did last week and Lombard had a great round last Sunday which suggests he's getting over his injury.

mighty magpie · 22-04-2021 10:26am

On campillo FRL, lombard and dunne EW, RCB straight.
Hill FRL too.

costacorta · 24-04-2021 1:16pm

Niall Kearney with a 64 round today ! I had never heard of him and see he has been a professional since 2011 . Seems to have only played a few tournaments over the years and has earned really nothing on tour ..
So hoping he can get a nice paycheque this week for himself.. Anybody any info on him ?

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Golf Betting MegaThread * See Mod warning in post #2 & 214*