Potential Extreme Wind Storm - Thursday 8th December

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 8:39pm

nacho libre wrote: »

I like storms, but i must say this one for Thursday looks fairly daunting if you live on the islands off the west coast of Scotland. There could be gusts in excess of 90 mph on the inner hebrides.

And the red high alert zone on the UKMO maps is right over the most populated area of Scotland.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html

Harps · 07-12-2011 8:46pm

Red alert for Donegal tomorrow as well..

Conor30 · 07-12-2011 8:47pm

snow ghost wrote: »

Not going to be fun for brontophobia sufferers out there... I don't think there are many here though.

Sorry to be pedantic, but that's a fear of thunder, not windstorms!:pac:

snow ghost · 07-12-2011 8:49pm

Conor30 wrote: »

Sorry to be pedantic, but that's a fear of thunder, not windstorms!:pac:

Conor, yes just before you posted I googled it and it said fear of thunder... the book I was just reading said it was 'fear of storms', and there was me thinking I'd just learnt a new snazzy word!

Conor30 · 07-12-2011 8:51pm

snow ghost wrote: »

Conor, yes just before you posted I googled it and it said fear of thunder... the book I was just reading said it was 'fear of storms', and there was me thinking I'd just learnt a new snazzy word!

No worries, mate. Wasn't trying to cut you down.

What's the name of the book, by the way?

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 8:51pm

Scotland not taking any chances.

The Forth Road Bridge is expected to close for four hours between 3pm and 7pm on Thursday due to the stormy weather.

Renfrewshire Council announced all schools will close at 1pm on Thurday after the alert. All special schools, including Hollybush Pre-five Centre, will be closed all day.

The warnings have been described as "highly unusual" by Transport Scotland, which is urging people to pay attention to police travel warnings. Police advise that conditions for travel between 3pm and 6pm on Thursday are likely to be extremely poor and significant delays should be expected.

The Scottish Government said the wind could lead to all main road bridges being closed and will have a severe impact on Thursday’s rush hour, while disruption to power supplies and property is also a strong possibility.

http://news.stv.tv/scotland/285750-snow-and-ice-cause-problems-on-roads-as-storms-expected-to-hit-scotland/

snow ghost · 07-12-2011 9:02pm

Conor30 wrote: »

What's the name of the book, by the way?

'Paul McKenna's Hypnotic Secrets', was lying around and I picked it up, was reading about phobias... it was mesmerizing. :pac:

whitemocha · 07-12-2011 9:03pm

http://images.meteociel.fr/im/9587/gfs-0-132_pct5.png

is the above yet another storm for next week???

Su Campu · 07-12-2011 9:04pm

Max winds forecast as per the latest TAFs (valid until 6 pm Thursday)

Belfast Aldergrove
W 35 gusty 55 kts (thought it would be more?)

Dublin Airport
W 32 gust 50 kts

Knock
W 30 gust 48 kts

Shannon
SW 30 gust 48 kts

Cork Airport
SW 27 gust 47 kts

Meanwhile, up in Scotland!!

Glasgow International
Chance of W 35 gust 55 kts

Prestwick
W 35 gust 50, chance of W 45 gust 65 kts

Edinburgh
Chance of W 35 gust 55 kts

These are the 24-hour TAFs, for the main airports. The smaller airports, such as Derry Eglington and the Hebrides airports, will have 9-hour TAFs issued early tomorrow morning.

Redsunset · 07-12-2011 9:10pm

Those TAF seem to be underplaying this storm for Scotland i feel.
75+ kts in gusts would be more like it.

ragg · 07-12-2011 9:16pm

Is this likely to cause problems for flights out of Dublin Airport tomorrow?

Su Campu · 07-12-2011 9:17pm

redsunset wrote: »

Those TAF seem to be underplaying this storm for Scotland i feel.
75+ kts in gusts would be more like it.

They only show conditions in the vicinity of each airport, so don't show the whole picture over a wider area. Also, the Hebrides will see the strongest winds, so it'll be interesting to see those TAFs!

Su Campu · 07-12-2011 9:18pm

ragg wrote: »

Is this likely to cause problems for flights out of Dublin Airport tomorrow?

Shouldn't do, wind's right down the runway, although there will be severe windshear, so bumpy landings for all!

ragg · 07-12-2011 9:19pm

So quick take off and bumpy approach on the way back tomorrow night - might have a straightner or two before the return flight.

Thanks dude :cool:

Victor Meldrew · 07-12-2011 9:25pm

whitemocha wrote: »

http://images.meteociel.fr/im/9587/gfs-0-132_pct5.png

is the above yet another storm for next week???

Good God...

you don't need to be an expert to know that won't be good

Su Campu · 07-12-2011 9:29pm

This is the gramet for Malin Head for the next 36 hours (until dawn Friday), showing mean winds touching 100 kph tomorrow afternoon!

wobbles · 07-12-2011 9:36pm

What time is this expected to hit? Cycling to work in the morning for 6. Living in waterford btw

Ahorseofaman · 07-12-2011 9:42pm

about midnight according to Evelyn(I think)

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 9:44pm

Starting to take shape.

http://www.sat24.com/

Pangea · 07-12-2011 9:44pm

wobbles wrote: »

Cycling to work in the morning .

Expect scenes like this

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 10:29pm

18Z about to start.

Will be interesting to see if there are any surprises.

Edit : No surprises, track and intensity about the same, arrives a little faster on this run.

irish1967 · 07-12-2011 10:35pm

No wile fuss with that forecast.

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 10:37pm

Uh oh.

In the wake of the cold front, a strong sting jet is indicated by latest models...

http://www.estofex.org/

howlinwolf · 07-12-2011 10:53pm

maquiladora wrote: »

Uh oh.

http://www.estofex.org/

what the hell is a sting jet?

Pangea · 07-12-2011 10:59pm

irish1967 wrote: »

No wile fuss with that forecast.

Agreed, she was rather subdued.

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 11:00pm

howlinwolf wrote: »

what the hell is a sting jet?

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/3349225/Sting-jet-blamed-for-winds.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sting_jet

blackdog2 · 07-12-2011 11:01pm

maquiladora wrote: »

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/3349225/Sting-jet-blamed-for-winds.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sting_jet

Epic name for epic weather

Cosmo Kramer · 07-12-2011 11:20pm

maquiladora wrote: »

And the red high alert zone on the UKMO maps is right over the most populated area of Scotland.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html

Which is also where I happen to live. And to make things even more interesting I work in a high rise office block in a town in the west of Scotland built on the side of a hill about 200 metres above sea level. The place blows a gale on a hot day in June. We've already had four inches of snow on the ground this week.

Tomorrow should be good...:eek:

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 11:28pm

Cosmo Kramer wrote: »

Which is also where I happen to live. And to make things even more interesting I work in a high rise office block in a town in the west of Scotland built on the side of a hill about 200 metres above sea level. The place blows a gale on a hot day in June. We've already had four inches of snow on the ground this week.

Tomorrow should be good...:eek:

You could be in for an experience and a half so. Stay safe!

delw · 07-12-2011 11:31pm

Cosmo Kramer wrote: »

Which is also where I happen to live. And to make things even more interesting I work in a high rise office block in a town in the west of Scotland built on the side of a hill about 200 metres above sea level. The place blows a gale on a hot day in June. We've already had four inches of snow on the ground this week.

Tomorrow should be good...:eek:

keep us updated if you still have power

TheMilkyPirate · 07-12-2011 11:32pm

maquiladora wrote: »

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/3349225/Sting-jet-blamed-for-winds.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sting_jet

Where would the effects of the sting jet be felt?

Iancar29 · 07-12-2011 11:33pm

Cosmo Kramer wrote: »

Which is also where I happen to live. And to make things even more interesting I work in a high rise office block in a town in the west of Scotland built on the side of a hill about 200 metres above sea level. The place blows a gale on a hot day in June. We've already had four inches of snow on the ground this week.

Tomorrow should be good...:eek:

WE want HOURLY picture updates! hehe !

Stay safe !

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 11:37pm

baraca wrote: »

Where would the effects of the sting jet be felt?

Scotland.

naughto · 07-12-2011 11:38pm

is this storm sapose to hit to night or in the morning??

maquiladora · 07-12-2011 11:42pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

WE want HOURLY picture updates! hehe !

Stay safe !

Someone is doing live streaming/chasing tomorrrow.

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=weatherevents;sess=

Harps · 07-12-2011 11:44pm

naughto wrote: »

is this storm sapose to hit to night or in the morning??

It'll get windy overnight and stay windy all day tomorrow, peak around 2-3pm

TheMilkyPirate · 07-12-2011 11:45pm

maquiladora wrote: »

Scotland.

As if they didn't have it bad enough already eh.

redsteveireland · 07-12-2011 11:48pm

maquiladora wrote: »

Someone is doing live streaming/chasing tomorrrow.

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=weatherevents;sess=

It'd nice to be a passenger on that trip

That jeep is way too clean!

Bicycle · 07-12-2011 11:56pm

snow ghost wrote: »

Conor, yes just before you posted I googled it and it said fear of thunder... the book I was just reading said it was 'fear of storms', and there was me thinking I'd just learnt a new snazzy word!

Anemophobia is a fear of wind - and yes I have it!! I lurk here with foreboding.

Tomorrow should be interesting. Should be interesting to see if I can become desensitised!!

But at least I'm off work. I can stay home and not go out.

Monday's storm I AM dreading. Will have to drive to and from work. No options to avoid it, sadly.

Su Campu · 08-12-2011 12:01am

baraca wrote: »

Where would the effects of the sting jet be felt?

Stingjets usuall occur at the inside of the occlusion spiral, and can be spotted as a dark spot on water vapour satellite imagery.

Sponge Bob · 08-12-2011 12:03am

howlinwolf wrote: »

what the hell is a sting jet?

"the most damaging winds were shown to be emanating from the evaporating tip of the hooked cloud head on the southern flank of the cyclone. This cloud, hooked like a scorpion's tail, gives the wind region its name the "Sting Jet"

That'd likely be Malin and Donegal and NI unless it is out to sea.

Pics here http://www.sercc.com/Knox_etal_Compass.pdf

We might get one on tuesday as well, a sting jet eats snow to perpetuate its stingitude you know. Booo! :cool:

Elmer Blooker · 08-12-2011 12:05am

Why all the fuss? If I had a euro for every Atlantic storm I've seen I'd be a millionaire! I remember this one caused great loss of life when a tree crushed a minibus of Swiss anglers near Portumna.

smallwonder · 08-12-2011 12:10am

Harps wrote: »

It'll get windy overnight and stay windy all day tomorrow, peak around 2-3pm

Any idea how quick the snow will follow on it's heels?

Sponge Bob · 08-12-2011 12:14am

The sting jets will be the heel, Donegal snow eaters.

By the way I found the original Sting Jet paper here

maquiladora · 08-12-2011 12:15am

Just noticed (not sure when it changed, the time on it hasn't changed) but Met Eireann have upgraded the top gusts in their warning from 135 km/h to 140 km/h.

Oscar Bravo · 08-12-2011 12:21am

They updated the website at 2300 also,more or less the same as what they have been saying "Tomorrow, Thursday will be an extremely windy day with stormy conditions along the north coast. A band of heavy rain will spread eastwards and will clear in the early afternoon, with brighter showery weather developing. There will be strong to gale force westerly winds, which will gust from 90 to 135 km/h, with the strongest gusts along the northwest and north coast".

jprboy · 08-12-2011 12:25am

maquiladora wrote: »

Just noticed (not sure when it changed, the time on it hasn't changed) but Met Eireann have upgraded the top gusts in their warning from 135 km/h to 140 km/h.

Evelyn Cusack referred to gusts of up to 140 km/h during the 9.30 forecast on RTE 1.

Deep Easterly · 08-12-2011 12:32am

Conor30 wrote: »

Sorry to be pedantic, but that's a fear of thunder, not windstorms!:pac:

Anyone suffering from Brontophbia should seriously consider moving to east Galway. You'll never need to fear again! :mad:

Pressure within developing storm center on 18z fax down to 992 hPa, a drop of 9mb from that observed on the 12z analysis chart:

Depression is now, meteorological speaking, in its mature stage and will begin to occlude shortly - that is, if it hasn't done so already. Bombing will now hence forth.

Iancar29 · 08-12-2011 12:34am

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Depression is now, meteorological speaking, in its mature stage and will begin to occlude shortly - that is, if it hasn't done so already. Bombing will now hence forth.

THE FUSE IS LIT!

Oscar Bravo · 08-12-2011 12:52am

Its coming up to 2355 so lets head over to Met Eireann for the very latest on Rte Radio 1.

Potential Extreme Wind Storm - Thursday 8th December

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