CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) Read OP

blackcard · 16-03-2020 8:31pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/coronavirus-exponential-increase-in-cases-within-days-varadkar-1.4203961

Current 170

Roll out of increase 30%

16 Monday 221
17 Tuesday 287
18 Wednesday 373
19 Thursday 486
20 Friday 631
21 Saturday 821
22 Sunday 1,067
23 Monday 1,387
24 Tuesday 1,803
25 Wednesday 2,344
26 Thursday 3,047
27 Friday 3,961
28 Saturday 5,149
29 Sunday 6,694
30 Monday 8,702
31 Tuesday 11,312

Have we the capacity to take that amount of tests? Over 2600 in 1 day if all were positive.

JDD · 16-03-2020 8:31pm

Still though, thats 2,200 that will need hospital treatment and 750 critical with 300 dead. By the end of the month.

pjohnson · 16-03-2020 8:31pm

Sierra Oscar wrote: »

Taoiseach states he believes 15,000 people will have tested positive by the end of the month.

Holy fùck.

I knew they were slow to react but fúck. Thats the ICU beds and Health Service ****ed.

Pacing Mule · 16-03-2020 8:31pm

Begrudgingly - very begrudgingly - but equally as surprisingly the current / outgoing government are doing ok overall. Assured and calm speaking from the public speakers, and a sense of action and calmness. I don't want to admit it but I shall. Credit where it is due.

Dr. Bre · 16-03-2020 8:31pm

If those figures true then lockdown needed?

beggars_bush · 16-03-2020 8:31pm

Sierra Oscar wrote: »

Taoiseach states he believes 15,000 people will have tested positive by the end of the month.

Majority will recover though

AlmightyCushion · 16-03-2020 8:32pm

Sierra Oscar wrote: »

Taoiseach states he believes 15,000 people will have tested positive by the end of the month.

Fúck, that's Italy levels in a country with a fraction of the population. That is serious.

Silverfish · 16-03-2020 8:32pm

VinLieger wrote: »

10% of 15000 is 1500 we have 250 ICU beds....

That's why the social distancing is important.

Doctors can't treat 1500 patients all at the same time
But they can treat 1500 patients one after another.

Flattening the curve, etc etc

Gretas Gonna Get Ya! · 16-03-2020 8:32pm

pH wrote: »

This man in NOT a doctor, he's a retired nurse. Doesn't necessarily make what he's saying right or wrong, but identifying him and a 'doctor' is incorrect.

"Hello Everyone,
My name is John Campbell and I am a retired Nurse Teacher and A and E nurse based in England. I also do some teaching in Asia and Africa when time permits. These videos are to help students to learn the background to all forms of health care. My PhD focured on the development of open learning resources for nurses nationally and internationally. "
https://www.youtube.com/user/Campbellteaching/about

Don't shoot the messenger. I watched the video a little earlier, and then I read that poster's comment about waiting for a test and giving Nurofen.

I'm just trying to be helpful. If NSAIDS are dangerous, it could be important info to give them. (I have no medical training other than 1st aid - so I have no idea if what he's saying is correct)

A lot of people are dying in Italy. If he's correct, then it could be very important.

Adiboo · 16-03-2020 8:32pm

Akrasia wrote: »

I think he just got a promotion minus the payrise or boost in Job title

SLT = Senior/Site Leadership Team
EHS is Environmental Health and Safety
API is Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (drug)

"Promotion" or "scapegoat"?

VinLieger · 16-03-2020 8:32pm

Dr. Bre wrote: »

If those figures true then lockdown needed?

Those people are already infected

beggars_bush · 16-03-2020 8:33pm

They are ramping the response up every day

If they did it all overnight there would be pandemonium

expectationlost · 16-03-2020 8:33pm

what if pubs just stopped serving alcohol rather then closing, serving more tea/coffee and food.

Fakediamond · 16-03-2020 8:33pm

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/16/health-experts-criticise-nhs-advice-to-take-ibuprofen-for-covid-19?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

An article re NSAIDS from the Guardian, for anyone interested.

In essence, the article reports that French and British medical professionals don’t recommend anti-inflammatories, such as ibuprofen, for Covid -19 as it may suppress the body’s immune response to infection, thereby prolonging or worsening the illness.

rossie1977 · 16-03-2020 8:33pm

giveitholly wrote: »

And majority won't need hospital treatment

Italy were deciding who lives and who dies at 15,000 confirmed cases....

FutureGuy · 16-03-2020 8:33pm

One second. Can that be right? 15000 in 14 days?

dan786 · 16-03-2020 8:33pm

https://twitter.com/FergalBowers/status/1239634734013169664?s=20

expectationlost · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

is it possible to not get it from your family living together? (if one your of family have it)

VinLieger · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

Silverfish wrote: »

That's why the social distancing is important.

Doctors can't treat 1500 patients all at the same time
But they can treat 1500 patients one after another.

Flattening the curve, etc etc

Ohh i agree 100%, but 15000 by the end of the month means we missed our shot probably a week late id say

pjohnson · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

AlmightyCushion wrote: »

Fúck, that's Italy levels in a country with a fraction of the population. That is serious.

Very bad. And when things start creaking it will spread more

is_that_so · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

blackcard wrote: »

Have we the capacity to take that amount of tests? Over 2600 in 1 day if all were positive.

They are extending to other labs. Gotta say this is really Leo's bailwick , clear, absolutely no nonsense delivery.

Snowbiee21 · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

Anybody know where the announcement is gonna be?

Sierra Oscar · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

beggars_bush wrote: »

Majority will recover though

Of course they will, only a fraction will even need hospitalization. It will still overwhelm the health system though.

CIARAN_BOYLE · 16-03-2020 8:34pm

expectationlost wrote: »

what if pubs just stopped serving alcohol rather then closing, serving more tea/coffee and food.

Then it depends on if they practice social distancing imo.

Fitz* · 16-03-2020 8:35pm

expectationlost wrote: »

what if pubs just stopped serving alcohol rather then closing, serving more tea/coffee and food.

Do you not understand what social distancing means.
The problem is not alcohol, it's being in close confined spaces beside each other.

shesty · 16-03-2020 8:35pm

It doesn't mean 15000 people will all be walking around with it, all needing ICU all together at the same time.Some will have tested positive 2.5 weeks previously and be just fine by the end of the month.
The key is minimising the numbers of people newly tested and in the serious phase of the virus at any one point in time.Keep that in mind.

Fics · 16-03-2020 8:35pm

Have they given any numbers for today yet tuned in late??

Loughc · 16-03-2020 8:35pm

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

Anybody know where the announcement is gonna be?

On WhatsApp

Downlinz · 16-03-2020 8:35pm

Dr. Bre wrote: »

If those figures true then lockdown needed?

Yes, with an incubation period it's too late to save us from that 15,000 figure but we can make sure that's the peak with action now.

Strazdas · 16-03-2020 8:35pm

Dr. Bre wrote: »

If those figures true then lockdown needed?

No, in fact.

The Taoiseach thinks quarantine (full lockdown) might not be necessary and that we as a people should go for extreme and radical social distancing (but still leave our houses)

pjohnson · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

VinLieger wrote: »

Ohh i agree 100%, but 15000 by the end of the month means we missed our shot probably a week late id say

Yep. Too much dithering and airports still not closed........we copied Italy exactly if it spread this much

KathleenGrant · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

VinLieger wrote: »

Those people are already infected

But infecting more and more as each day passes. Lockdown is coming.

nelly17 · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

Pacing Mule wrote: »

Begrudgingly - very begrudgingly - but equally as surprisingly the current / outgoing government are doing ok overall. Assured and calm speaking from the public speakers, and a sense of action and calmness. I don't want to admit it but I shall. Credit where it is due.

I'm inclined to agree - also its doing no harm having a doctor at the helm who unlike other leaders sees the big picture

Conchy · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

Boylesports is closing on Wednesday night until the 30th of March. Not sure why they are waiting until Wednesday though.

hotmail.com · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

No recommendation to stop moving between South and North.

Sierra Oscar · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

FutureGuy wrote: »

One second. Can that be right? 15000 in 14 days?

That's what he said. There could be an element of preparing people for the absolute worse case scenario and hoping what actually occurs is much less severe.

ChikiChiki · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

These are shocking numbers. 15000 by the end of the month. Months not weeks. Sure I knew it was likely months but still to hear it come out of the Taoiseach mouth.... Surreal.

GetWithIt · 16-03-2020 8:36pm

expectationlost wrote: »

what if pubs just stopped serving alcohol rather then closing, serving more tea/coffee and food.

What problem are you trying to solve?

Downlinz · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

What's most frightening is experts believe the true figure may be 10-20 times what is reported due to mild symptoms or asymptomatic people. So it could mean 150 - 300k infected by the end of the month.

murpho999 · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

Shouldn't these updates be live on RTE 1 every day?

dan786 · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

Snowbiee21 wrote: »

Anybody know where the announcement is gonna be?

Here. https://www.rte.ie/news/player/live/7/

Live now. Sub Committee inc Leo, Dr Holohan. Should be finished soon and then update on numbers shortly.

Hurrache · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

Loughc wrote: »

On WhatsApp

A friend of a friend will send it.

hotmail.com · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

Conchy wrote: »

Boylesports is closing on Wednesday night until the 30th of March. Not sure why they are waiting until Wednesday though.

This is going to lead to issues. So many men rely on the bookies to escape their homes.

RandomName2 · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

pjohnson wrote: »

Holy fùck.

I knew they were slow to react but fúck. Thats the ICU beds and Health Service ****ed.

They just sat on it.

They let it come in. They let it fester. They didn't seem to feel that they had a mandate to do anything until somebody died.

Travel restrictions, enforced quarantines, and scaled up testing needed to be in place by February.

stephenjmcd · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Based on the 30% increase the entire country will have been exposed by the 24 April.

I am calling BS, how come China is not completely saturated at this stage?

Yeah likewise I cant see where the 30% figure is coming from.

People are quite clearly keeping distance from each other and most non essential services and offices are basically shut down already with people working from home.

fritzelly · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

Very impressed with that briefing and all involved, a great call to arms and unity

Ulysses Gaze · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Based on the 30% increase the entire country will have been exposed by the 24 April.

I am calling BS, how come China is not completely saturated at this stage?

Did you not see the lengths they went to to curb this?
Do you still believe they are telling the truth?

VinLieger · 16-03-2020 8:37pm

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Based on the 30% increase the entire country will have been exposed by the 24 April.

I am calling BS, how come China is not completely saturated at this stage?

Those daily numbers should start declining if the social distancing has worked by the first week of April.

China did it cus they are authoritaian as fvck

Atlantic Dawn · 16-03-2020 8:38pm

murpho999 wrote: »

Shouldn't these updates be live on RTE 1 every day?

That would interfer with the cash they take in from advertisements and sponsorship.

landofthetree · 16-03-2020 8:38pm

Conchy wrote: »

Boylesports is closing on Wednesday night until the 30th of March. Not sure why they are waiting until Wednesday though.

I wonder how much of their revenue is online these days? Lots of older customers cant use the net.

I suppose their biggest problem is they have nothing to offer odds on.

CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) *Read OP*

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CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) Read OP