Winter 2011/2012

NIALL D · 03-10-2011 11:02pm

paddy power specials............:)

ireland to run out of grit...............................5/4

white christmas-dublin.................................7/2

winter 2011 to be the coldest on record..........7/1

river liffey to completely freeze over...............66/1

Singles only. Applies to period September - December 2011. White Christmas applies to 1mm of snowfall recorded at Dublin Airport weather station on December 25th, 2011. Must be officially confirmed by end 2012 or bets void. PP decision final.

.................................................................................................

LOWEST TEMP RECORDED IN IRELAND

-7......................6/5
-7.1 to -9.0.........5/2
-9.1 to -11..........3/1
-11.1 to -13.........5/1
-13.1 to -15.........6/1
-15.1 to -17.........6/1
-17 or lower..........8/1

sooooooooooo , what do ye think ?

might put a few handy bets on for the crack !!!
white christmas bet surely worth a shot anyway..

thetonynator · 03-10-2011 11:21pm

NIALL D wrote: »

winter 2011 to be the coldest on record..........7/1

river liffey to completely freeze over...............66/1

If it was the coldest on record, then the liffey would prob freeze over, so why the discrepancy in prices??? I'd certainly go for the liffey one there!!!

LOWEST TEMP RECORDED IN IRELAND

-7......................6/5
-7.1 to -9.0.........5/2
-9.1 to -11..........3/1
-11.1 to -13.........5/1
-13.1 to -15.........6/1
-15.1 to -17.........6/1
-17 or lower..........8/1

-7.1 to 9.0 at 5/2 seems a pretty good price to me, only takes a few cold nights in a row really to hit that.

Harps · 03-10-2011 11:28pm

7/1 on the coldest on record is an awful price, white Christmas might be worth a punt but to actually record snow falling on the exact day is probably a very slim chance

dsmythy · 06-10-2011 12:17pm

I know it's often a case of here today gone tomorrow, but the models seem to be trending a persistent large area of high pressure centered around Western Russia with low pressures passing to our north, coming up against it, and stalling dragging deep northerlies over us each time thoughout October. Often ridging comes in from the west then to save us. Be interesting to see if this set up becomes quite common in the winter, minus the ridging from the west of course for you snow lovers!

NIALL D · 06-10-2011 3:26pm

has there been any winter 2011 2012 updates from anyone lately ???
ive seen most of them last month an that , but a few were sayin they would have some updates early october.. so jus wondering has anyone seen anything..?
i know were a bit far out for accurate predictions but jus for a matter of interest really id like to read them and see what there sayin !!!

seamus · 06-10-2011 4:05pm

thetonynator wrote: »

If it was the coldest on record, then the liffey would prob freeze over, so why the discrepancy in prices??? I'd certainly go for the liffey one there!!!

Not really. I presume that rule is that the mean temperature over the 3 "winter" months of November, December & January is the lowest ever recorded. They don't mean that the winter has to record the lowest single temperature ever.

Iancar29 · 06-10-2011 4:23pm

Harps wrote: »

7/1 on the coldest on record is an awful price, white Christmas might be worth a punt but to actually record snow falling on the exact day is probably a very slim chance

AND... For it to be at Dublin Airport instead of A few of the stations... not fair at all with those odds i have to say.

jimmy.d · 06-10-2011 6:25pm

http://www.thisisbristol.co.uk/Bristol-braces-big-freeze-experts-predict-harsh/story-13490672-detail/story.html

Musicman2000 · 06-10-2011 8:10pm

jimmy.d wrote: »

http://www.thisisbristol.co.uk/Bristol-braces-big-freeze-experts-predict-harsh/story-13490672-detail/story.html

The media talking crap again, no sign of snow in the next few weeks according to the models apart from the highest peaks in Scotland

fr wishy washy · 06-10-2011 9:51pm

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2046075/Britains-barmy-weather-Snow-falls-farmers-pick-second-crop-strawberries-October-days-country-bakes-record-temperatures.html

jimmy.d · 06-10-2011 9:57pm

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/55973/more-western-snow-unseasonable.asp

Min · 06-10-2011 9:59pm

fr wishy washy wrote: »

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2046075/Britains-barmy-weather-Snow-falls-farmers-pick-second-crop-strawberries-October-days-country-bakes-record-temperatures.html

The Mail says:
Walkers hit snow covered peaks after Indian Summer highs at the weekend
'Spring' lambs are being born four months early due to weather confusion
Farmers are picking crops of strawberries - and it's OCTOBER
Hailstones the size of frozen peas pelt an area where it's just topped 85F

Point 1, so what? A change in the weather, shock/horror.
Point 2, so the farmer had the ram with the ewes earlier than he/she should have had.
Point 3, I picked raspberries in January, strawberries in October, so what, it happens often.
Point 4, nothing unual, the people at the mail need to learn some weather science.

jimmy.d · 06-10-2011 10:14pm

Min wrote: »

The Mail says:
Walkers hit snow covered peaks after Indian Summer highs at the weekend
'Spring' lambs are being born four months early due to weather confusion
Farmers are picking crops of strawberries - and it's OCTOBER
Hailstones the size of frozen peas pelt an area where it's just topped 85F

Point 1, so what? A change in the weather, shock/horror.
Point 2, so the farmer had the ram with the ewes earlier than he/she should have had.
Point 3, I picked raspberries in January, strawberries in October, so what, it happens often.
Point 4, nothing unual, the people at the mail need to learn some weather science.

stick to politics your best at that

Min · 06-10-2011 10:45pm

jimmy.d wrote: »

stick to politics your best at that

I am just stating facts, weather changes and it can go from one extreme to the other in a short period of time.
I am a farmer, though not a sheep farmer.
One get get late varieties of soft fruit so they produce as long as the weather is not frosty, certain varieties of Strawberries will produce until first frosts, but one needs dryish weather to get a crop from them as they are more prone to mould in damp weather wih cooler temperatures and shorter days, late variety raspberries will be produce small quantities of fruit in mild winters upto December/Janauary. I know from growing them.
Hailstones can fall in warm weather, it is not unusual.

I have a wide range of interests, politics is just one of them.

davidsr20 · 06-10-2011 11:13pm

NIALL D wrote: »

has there been any winter 2011 2012 updates from anyone lately ???
ive seen most of them last month an that , but a few were sayin they would have some updates early october.. so jus wondering has anyone seen anything..?
i know were a bit far out for accurate predictions but jus for a matter of interest really id like to read them and see what there sayin !!!

I'm eagerly awaiting mt,s winter outlook over the next 2-3 weeks

jimmy.d · 07-10-2011 10:53am

davidsr20 wrote: »

I'm eagerly awaiting mt,s winter outlook over the next 2-3 weeks

the winter of 2011/2012 will be the most severe in modern times and will start early than last year

kstand · 07-10-2011 11:05am

jimmy.d wrote: »

the winter of 2011/2012 will be the most severe in modern times and will start early than last year

Why do you think that?

jimmy.d · 07-10-2011 11:12am

kstand wrote: »

Why do you think that?

here ya go have a nice read https://sites.google.com/site/crabtreescompendiumofesoterica/winter-forecast-2011-2012

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 07-10-2011 11:14am

jimmy.d wrote: »

here ya go have a nice read https://sites.google.com/site/crabtreescompendiumofesoterica/winter-forecast-2011-2012

Edit - You edited before I posted !

Min · 07-10-2011 11:22am

I think this says it all

PART OR MY ENTIRE FORECAST COULD TURN OUT TO BE “WELL OFF THE MARK!!!”

Note……….My forecast is primarily constructed by the analysis of the Moons declinations and phases over the following 9 months…………Also, the transit of Mercury over the following 9 months is also taken into consideration along with the monthly squares between the Moon and Uranus / Saturn………the position of certain other cosmic bodies over the following 9 months have also been taken into account

delw · 07-10-2011 11:37am

Min wrote: »

I think this says it all

i stopped reading after the first line

Tom Cruises Left Nut · 07-10-2011 11:51am

delw wrote: »

i stopped reading after the first line

When I saw the links for free movies I didn't even bother :rolleyes:

Iancar29 · 07-10-2011 1:06pm

It got down to 5.4 C @ Knock Airport Yesterday....

Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

delw · 07-10-2011 1:10pm

t|nt|n wrote: »

When I saw the links for free movies I didn't even bother :rolleyes:

There's free movies?

Min · 07-10-2011 1:18pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

It got down to 5.4 C @ Knock Airport Yesterday....

Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

It got to 5.8C here and a dew point of 2.5C.

I think Knock is the only met station on high ground >200m asl.

darkman2 · 07-10-2011 1:48pm

This is the type of thing we want to see at this time of year. The cold air digging down into the continent. Ultimately if we do get prolonged Easterly winds that is where the firepower has to come from

thetonynator · 07-10-2011 5:50pm

Iancar29 wrote: »

It got down to 5.4 C @ Knock Airport Yesterday....

Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

It often drops below 5 in July, any night without frost in october is not exceptionally cold.

davidsr20 · 07-10-2011 9:51pm

jimmy.d wrote: »

here ya go have a nice read https://sites.google.com/site/crabtreescompendiumofesoterica/winter-forecast-2011-2012

That's actually quiet interesting to read,I hope he is right tho

johngalway · 08-10-2011 8:42am

Min wrote: »

The Mail says:
'Spring' lambs are being born four months early due to weather confusion

What a load of horsesh1t.

Min · 08-10-2011 11:24am

johngalway wrote: »

What a load of horsesh1t.

I am shocked :pac:

Kippure · 08-10-2011 3:32pm

I put this together to wet peoples appetite for Winter 2011-2012

http://www.kizoa.com/slideshow/d1987441k2480995o1/winter-2009-2010-2011

vibe666 · 08-10-2011 4:03pm

i know it's the express and everything they print should be taken with a pinch gritter full of salt, but is it anywhere near possible something like this could be on the cards?

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/276202

BRITAIN is braced for an Arctic blast which will bring record low temperatures within weeks, forecasters said last night.

The prediction of a bitterly cold spell with biting winds came as councils declared they have fully prepared for a big freeze by stockpiling thousands of tons of extra grit.

The mountain of salt could be dug into very soon as forecasters say Britain is likely to be hit by temperatures as low as minus 20C – perhaps even lower – and widespread heavy snow as early as the start of next month.

Parts of the country already saw the first snow of the winter this week, with two inches falling in the Cairngorms in Scotland.

andre2010 · 08-10-2011 4:55pm

the daily mail also has this story, so i definately would simply ignore this and continue getting updates from more reliable sources. They are still quoting exacta weathers last update from weeks ago. nothing new has surfaced at all. But fingers crossed we get hammered with snow

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2046766/UK-winter-weather-warning--20C-weeks-councils-stockpile-extra-grit.html

Stacey. · 08-10-2011 6:19pm

It's supposed to snow here at the end of October

Blizzard 2010 · 08-10-2011 9:15pm

I am beginning to think that something special is going happen from mid November onwards

delw · 08-10-2011 9:53pm

Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

I am beginning to think that something special is going happen from mid November onwards

care to share with us mortal folk what that might be

Fiskar · 08-10-2011 10:11pm

Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

I am beginning to think that something special is going happen from mid November onwards

Please do impart your wisedom, do not say that it is a gut feeling :rolleyes:

Mr Benevolent · 08-10-2011 10:25pm

Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

I am beginning to think that something special is going happen from mid November onwards

And if your username was MT Cranium I'd believe you.

riggerman · 08-10-2011 11:15pm

What's the story with this promised Winter . Down in Cork and its like a summer night . Please till me that there is snow a coming ............

dsmythy · 08-10-2011 11:33pm

riggerman wrote: »

What's the story with this promised Winter . Down in Cork and its like a summer night . Please till me that there is snow a coming ............

It's October. Patience. Especially down Cork way unless you're on a hill somewhere!

Blizzard 2010 · 09-10-2011 11:31am

Fiskar wrote: »

Please do impart your wisedom, do not say that it is a gut feeling :rolleyes:

Not its not a gut feeling. :rolleyes:

vibe666 · 09-10-2011 11:41am

Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

Not its not a gut feeling. :rolleyes:

then what is it, or are you just going to tease us?

megatron989 · 09-10-2011 12:48pm

Megatron believes in snow, and snow promising charts. But like the Easter bunny and eskimos not all things turn out to be real. Last few years have been good and could get better (by being worse) Fingers crossed that megatron doesn't get let down this year. Only MT knows for sure I guess.

only one · 09-10-2011 12:58pm

When is M.T bringing out his winter forecast? Net weather are bringing out theirs on wednesday.

joes girls · 09-10-2011 1:14pm

Well all i can say is bring it on!!!
Got new stove in, all new heaters and got the house pumped with cavity wall insulation, So i'm READY........ oh and i have 14 weeks leave coming at the end of this month.
I'm playing the waiting game now, and i will be SO disappointed if the snow and freezing temp's don't come.

bb1234567 · 09-10-2011 7:14pm

http://91.121.84.31/modeles/gfs/run/gfs-0-216.png?12
that looks pretty damn cold

how come on that chart there it doesnt show temps just numbers at bottom? dont insult me i dont know much about these charts and stuff

BEASTERLY · 09-10-2011 7:21pm

bb1234567 wrote: »

http://91.121.84.31/modeles/gfs/run/gfs-0-216.png?12
that looks pretty damn cold

Not really actually. If you check the 850hpa temps over ireland for that time there about 0c. On the ground this would translate to daytime temperatures of +8-+10c in mid October. It is also important to remember that the colors on the above chart do not indicate temperature and does not bear any correlation to the temperature on the ground.

And there is no insulting around here. Everybody, including the likes of MTC himself started off one day without a clue about the weather or the charts. We all have to start somewhere

bb1234567 · 09-10-2011 7:31pm

oh okay thanks for clearing that up, how do i find charts that show temps?

BEASTERLY · 09-10-2011 7:37pm

bb1234567 wrote: »

oh okay thanks for clearing that up, how do i find charts that show temps?

On the same page on meteociel find the option for 850hpa temps, that shows the temps for about 1000 to 1200m. As a rule of thumb add around 8 to get the temperature on the ground.

damino · 09-10-2011 8:00pm

Any sign of the Donegal postman's prediction for this winter? He was right the last two years in that he predicted severe cold.

Winter 2011/2012

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