The Football Tips Thread IV

Shane St. wrote: »

I have mentioned this bet previously and it came in. Bayern have an amazing defensive record this season especially away from home (9 clean sheets and only one goal conceded in their 10 away games) Wolfsburg are not exactly prolific at home (only 9 goals scored in their 10 home games).
Bayern to win with a clean sheet at 13/10

:D:D:D:D

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

12/5 Wincast (Odds on elsewhere)
17/10 Anytime scorer (Odds on elsewhere)
11/2 First scorer (16/5 elsewhere)
4/1 Insurebet 1st scorer

this should be post of the day i think
mind you todays post of the day is rather funny

i'm sure some here had all four backed
just a brilliant spot to be fair and sweeter with the improved odds
sorry, getting carried away now as im more used to losing

Leeds is Sunday

That's my bet for tomorrow. They are the most likely to go over games in my mind. Yes I could play it safe and just go for the over 2.5 goals but I rather win big than just small tbh. Infact if its just going to be small, void would do instead.

Twente - Willem II

Twente without:
Willem Janssen (geschorst), Sander Boschker (kuit), Denny Landzaat (kuit), Nacer Chadli (hamstring), Andrej Rendla (knie), Andreas Bjelland (voet) en Daniel Fernandes (rug). Doubtful: Edwin Gyasi (knie).

Willem II without:
Mitchell Piqué (knie), Ruud van der Rijt (knie), Mattijs Branderhorst (knie) en Ryan Sanusi (lies)

Twente hasnt won a match in 2013 so Willem II is the ideal opponent for them today
Question here will be, can Willem II score a goal?

I am rather confident they can despite Twente keeping 6 clean sheets in 10 home matches so far. 4 of those were in the 1st 5 home matches so 3x BTTS in their last 5
Willem II scores 50% in BTTS in their away games.2 in their last 5 but also 2 in their last 2

Bets i am looking at:
BTTS: Yes @2.25
Twente to win and over 3,5 @2.3
Where pick no2 will also depend heavily on a Willem II goal imo.

Any time scorer: Leroy Fer @2.4, rather low for a midfielder but he is dangerous in the air with set pieces.

NAC - Heracles

NAC without:
Jens Janse (geschorst) en Alex Schalk (enkel en voet).

Heracles:
Jeroen Veldmate (voet)

More or less full strenght both teams. Schalk is usually coming off the bench.

As always with Hercales, looking at goals

Really cant see this one staying under 2,5 but odds on overs are not worth it

Over 3/3.5 @2.05 but i think i ll leave this one for live betting, hope for no goals in the 1st 15/20 minutes and get around even for over 3

Either team to win could be profitable with over 2,5 combined NAC will give @3.1 and Hercales @4.25

RODA - AZ

RODA missing: Michell Donald (geschorst), Krisztian Németh (enkel) en Laurent Delorge (kuit). Doubtful: Frank Demouge (lies).

AZ: Adam Maher (bovenbeen), Nick Viergever (geschorst, foto), Mattias Johansson (lies), Ali Messaoud en Maarten Martens (beiden knie).

No one really important there missing for RODA. That is completely different for AZ who will really miss Viergever and certainly Maher.


Was actually looking at unders as much as i hate that bet till i found out that AZ has only 1 away match going unders so that is out of the window.
Odds on a RODA win look good with AZ's missings @1.75 for the DC, @2.5 for the DNB and @3.3 for the win.
Home record for Roda is crap, 3 wins in 10,AZ lost 5 out of 11 away matches.

Malki to score @2,4 looks more delicious after looking at those home stats for Roda.

PSV - Utrecht

PSV missing: Luciano Narsingh (knie), Erik Pieters (pols) en Ola Toivonen (hamstring).
All 3 long time absentees so will not be missed, they are used to play without them.
Utrecht: Mark van der Maarel (geschorst) en Adam Sarota (knie).
VAn der Maarel (22/0) is suspended and you really dont want a regular CD missing against PSV away.

Have no doubts about the win, question will be how many goals PSV will score

Might be worth it to leave this one, like NAC - Her, for live betting as PSV scorers 65% of their goals in the 2nd half
PSV - Den Haag was a nice example, 1-0 till 57th minute, 7-0 final result.

So for me the bets i ll take before kick off:

Twente - Willem II Twente and over 3,5 @2.3
RODA DNB @2.5
PSV - Utrecht: half with most goals: 2nd @2.04 (1.95 bet365)

Malki/Fer any time double @5.76

TheCoolWay wrote: »

Never said it wasn't buddy!

What did you mean by covering your Saturday night?

seanhynes wrote: »

Only 1 bet interesting me today,don't know why bookies give decent odds on teams playing Greuther Furth still.. Fortuna Dusseldorf win 13/10 ,tonne on

They're @ 2.5 on william hills.

Torres is apparently starting for Chelsea. I backed him as the earliest scorer of all the FA cup matches at 18/1..€5 is worth a punt I think

TheCoolWay wrote: »

Never said it wasn't buddy!

one half of that double aint gonna cover our saturday nite then

the big 4 of arse, chels, manc and manu at 5/4 looks like
a good thing
which one will let me down if i go in though? (my guess is arse)

rhodes anytime looks as good as any so ill follow you guys (2s)

small stake on bburn +3 1/3 leeds +3 4/6 brentford +3 8/11 reading +3 4/9

works out at 9/2 (365)
i'd rather be on these than manc -2 v leeds or arse -2 v bburn but i'm sure one
of this lot might get hammerred
utd will only do what they have to i think, same with city
as for the other two, arse could win or lose and chels played on thurs

eh i dunno wrote: »

Going with the following
Cardiff/Barry Town @evns
Yeovil/Grimsby @ just over evens
Small stake on Dundee Utd dnb at Celtic 5/1

Boom Boom and fuuck. Happy enough

after todays results i'm thinking theres worse bets out there
than leeds and draw at 7/2 v city tomorrow
brentford and draw 9/2, reading and draw 3/1
you would think chelsea would take care of brentford and
utd to do the same v reading

have to stick a fiver on the leeds and draw at that price