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Thursday/Friday Snow Potential

  • 14-12-2011 11:48am
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭


    Right as it would seem the storm system predicted 3 days ago is looking like trailing through the channel perhaps impacting the south English coast with high winds.

    However the result of this is to move a large band of precipitation over the UK and a portion of precip is expected to affect some parts of the southern half of Ireland.

    It is possible there could be a period of prolonged snow for those inland of the east coast during Thursday night.


    Here is a chart for 9pm

    39-574.GIF?14-6

    And dew points

    39-101.GIF?14-6

    Thereafter it will be cold and frosty from Friday through the weekend with harsh frosts and the possibility of some more snow showers particularly in the north.


«1345678

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Latest GEFS indicating a decent covering in inland southeast locations by Friday morn
    185187.png


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    It's almost set in stone for something white to fall but I wouldn't rule out a change yet :P

    185189.gif

    Any more movement south on the system will more than likely result in showery conditions and only the extreme south getting a doucing.


  • Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭NIALL D


    nice one , im in that darker purple patch on enderman's chart !! ;)

    but as ye say , there could be changes yet !!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,333 ✭✭✭Saganist


    Looks like Dublin is going to miss out on the white stuff. Hopefully it changes slightly :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,178 ✭✭✭thirtythirty


    Saganist wrote: »
    Looks like Dublin is going to miss out on the white stuff. Hopefully it changes slightly :D

    ;)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,780 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Saganist wrote: »
    Looks like Dublin is going to miss out on the white stuff. Hopefully it changes slightly :D

    It's a lose lose for Dublin really, the further north the precip goes, the probability of stronger east winds increases and therefore more chance of rain!

    Lets hope we can find a mid-point with offshore winds.


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    tbh I'd be surprised if the Dublin area missed it. Winds would be strong enough to throw in some precip further north :P


  • Registered Users Posts: 54 ✭✭oisingeogho


    I live in Dublin and that seems to just cover my house in pink


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    If I could just add, there is a risk of snow this evening and tonight in the western coastal counties from Donegal down to west cork as a weak system pushes in from the Atlantic.

    The beaviest preciptation is likely after midnight especially in Clare, Galway, Mayo, and Donegal. Ity is a very marginal setup, however, and any snow is most likely above 100m, 10-15 miles inland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    From that model it looks like Cork misses out:( Well the city anyway


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  • Registered Users Posts: 54 ✭✭oisingeogho


    prectypeuktopo.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,333 ✭✭✭Saganist


    prectypeuktopo.png[/QUOTE

    If I could thank that twice, I would.. :D


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Snow Joke that!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Why oh why is it always green around Cork!!!!:mad:

    Probably cos we are GREEN with envy - see what I did there?!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 469 ✭✭blackius


    Hmmmm....It won't happen but I appear to be in the pink...
    The dark pink at that!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    leahyl wrote: »
    Why oh why is it always green around Cork!!!!:mad:

    Probably cos we are GREEN with envy - see what I did there?!

    Cork is not always green! Every now and then it's orange :)

    uksnowrisk.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    Tiz looking good! :)

    Dew points could be slightly better but its definitely better than nothing! :)

    383718_193672770724330_176235642468043_403464_1158880583_n.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Nabber wrote: »
    Cork is not always green! Every now and then it's orange :)

    uksnowrisk.png

    hhhhmmmm.....:D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,456 ✭✭✭✭Mr Benevolent


    Cork's not going to get snow. Snow is for more refined counties with less horrible accents.


  • Registered Users Posts: 861 ✭✭✭Vudgie


    Rain for Dublin i'd guess from this but some snow thursday/Friday before a loosly predicted milder period next week would be nice.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Confab wrote: »
    Cork's not going to get snow. Snow is for more refined counties with less horrible accents.

    :eek::mad:..........:P


  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    Latest GEFS indicating a decent covering in inland southeast locations by Friday morn
    185187.png
    Sweet Jesus! The south east? Finally lol


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,550 ✭✭✭Min


    We have snow on some of the hilltops here, it is waiting for more.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    leahyl wrote: »
    From that model it looks like Cork misses out:( Well the city anyway

    I've altered this map in PhotoShop :)

    185199.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    Min wrote: »
    We have snow on some of the hilltops here, it is waiting for more.
    East cork west Waterford I'm hoping for


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,336 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Looks like wicklow could be in for a pasting...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,456 ✭✭✭✭Mr Benevolent


    leahyl wrote: »
    :eek::mad:..........:P

    ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,090 ✭✭✭wobbles


    Confab wrote: »
    Cork's not going to get snow. Snow is for more refined counties with less horrible accents.

    Ah dublin wont be seeing any of the white stuff either then


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,017 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    It's interesting alright, Hopefully i'll get to see my first snow of the season.

    Directly under the dark pink :) Not too confident with dewpoints and temperature but we'll see what happens.

    fabk8k.png


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭jo06555


    only one wrote: »
    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    Latest GEFS indicating a decent covering in inland southeast locations by Friday morn
    185187.png
    Sweet Jesus! The south east? Finally lol


    Are we talking the Waterford area here??? Happy days if so but surely not? After all the talk of the north getting it ...... feel free to explain ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Next GEFS run at 3.30pm should tell more. I think the system might only skim the southern/sotueastern coastline. I will post updated charts when they appear online


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,467 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    Latest Update from the Met Office. Snow for England and Wales?



  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,151 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    I see from that UKMO video, where he mentions heavy snow for Wales, if you look a few frames before, you can see the same symbols/hatch pattern for the east coast of Ireland (Dublin and Wicklow anyway).

    A dump of snow would be satisfactory compensation for not having a storm! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭jo06555


    Latest Update from the Met Office. Snow for England and Wales?


    So does this mean the south east can forget about it as will miss out again? :(


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    jo06555 wrote: »
    So does this mean the south east can forget about it as will miss out again? :(

    You'll know in the next 15 minutes :p


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Upgrade for snow on Thursday night as the LP system has tracked a tad north. Note that this does not appear to be a disruptive snow setup but has the potential to drop a cm or two in many parts of the southeast at least.
    185226.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,776 ✭✭✭Noopti


    Awesome...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 107 ✭✭xxkarenxx


    I could almost burst with excitement at the prospect of snow :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,461 ✭✭✭Musicman2000


    The Waterford snow shield could be broken:D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    xxkarenxx wrote: »
    I could almost burst with excitement at the prospect of snow :D

    Give it until the next GEFS run at 9.30pm before getting too excited, Karen. The positioning of the low pressure system heading from our south toward the english channel is key. If it shifts any further south then the snow potential will also shift south. If it tracks further north then better again. Ultimately, the intensity and longevity of any precipitation also remains uncertain. Either way, parts of the country deprived of snowfall for 12 long months are in their best position to see snowfall yet this winter.

    Just hang on to your hats for another GEFS run or two I say.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 101 ✭✭Caitriona


    Yay, I'm pink :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 107 ✭✭xxkarenxx


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    Give it until the next GEFS run at 9.30pm before getting too excited, Karen. The positioning of the low pressure system heading from our south toward the english channel is key. If it shifts any further south then the snow potential will also shift south. If it tracks further north then better again. Ultimately, the intensity and longevity of any precipitation also remains uncertain. Either way, parts of the country deprived of snowfall for 12 long months are in their best position to see snowfall yet this winter.

    Just hang on to your hats for another GEFS run or two I say.

    I don't understand any of that stuff you just wrote except about being in a position to see snow and that is enough to me :D This is way more interesting than studying for my finals!


  • Registered Users Posts: 130 ✭✭only one


    come on east cork west waterford! i wanna see the white stuff friday morning! lol. i wont get too excited till after isee what 9:30pm has to offer. :cool:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    So how's the City of Cork looking for snow? Not very good I bet:( I'm worried also that if we do get snow then the rest of the country will get the real arctic blast in January and we'll have nothing and it will be all "well you did get snow in December...."!


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,151 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    leahyl wrote: »
    and we'll have nothing and it will be all "well you did get snow in December...."!

    Yip! :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 280 ✭✭Rodar08


    Not looking good for Donegal then :( Would you be able to tell me how many meters Buncrana is asl? Thanks ;) Donegal gets good coverage but not so much here in Buncrana .. Even Derry seems to do better than us weather wise and thats only 14 miles away. Snow dance continuing :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    leahyl wrote: »
    So how's the City of Cork looking for snow? Not very good I bet:( I'm worried also that if we do get snow then the rest of the country will get the real arctic blast in January and we'll have nothing and it will be all "well you did get snow in December...."!

    there is a lot of preciptiation to our west? i wonder will this be all of rain or if there is a chance of sleet/snow?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,322 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    there is a lot of preciptiation to our west? i wonder will this be all of rain or if there is a chance of sleet/snow?

    Who knows at this stage!


  • Registered Users Posts: 28 eadire


    wohoo snow for carlow yes cant wait for it


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Rodar08 wrote: »
    Would you be able to tell me how many meters Buncrana is asl?

    http://www.daftlogic.com/sandbox-google-maps-find-altitude.htm
    You can find your elevation here


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