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Werewolf: HBO's Deadwood
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Analysing frank postsYou didn't do anything to me, nobody has thus far that I am aware of. I believed Vernon when he said it was a mistake. I did have some doubts but that he was probably good. I've said I thought Des was good for a while because of the plan he suggested. You weren't happy with Orla being shot despite it resulting in a lynch that we might be able to learn something from, which is also something you wanted to happen. There couldn't have been a credible second lynch candidate because we were always going to lynch Orla is she was still alive. Yet, you were unhappy with the one way that we wouldn't all be voting for Orla. That may be because you were then worried that someone on your team might be lynched. Obviously not the case with Vernon, who definitely didn't need to be lynched as you suggest.
This post is in response to Brendan. If wolves suspected him as seer then there could be soft peeks of Vernon villager, Brendan wolf in this
quote="Frank WW;109943740"]That's what irks you? I haven't seen you mention it until now. It seems like now you're trying to switch to a different reason for being unhappy with it now that your first reason seems contrary to your lynch race idea. There was never going to be another candidate beside Orla for the lynch, so there would have been no reactions to get. You saw how much of a mess the goldrush became with people not showing up and the likes, yet you think we can coordinate a second lynch candidate on day one to go against a mod-confirmed serial killer.[/quote]
More responding to Brendan. If Brendan is a wolf they may have believed that even if he didn't peek Brendan, he was going to go hard on him regardless
quote="Frank WW;109943783"]Time for a long shot theory. Ewan and Brendan on the same team. Ewan has mentioned Brendan, Desmond and Vernon a lot as his suspects and then voted for him when there was little chance of Brendan being lynched. I believe Desmond is good, and we know Vernon was good so I'm guessing this thing is a way of distancing teammates.[/quote]
This was a post analysis of ewans contributions. Again it puts Brendan on the wold list
quote="Frank WW;109943930"]#1 - mary
#2 - vernon (confirmed good), but didn't send pm
#3 - desmond
#4 - eva (confirmed good)
#5 - conor
Vernon not selecting number 2 means that either a wolf did, or mary is a wolf. I don't know much about Mary either way so not sure which is more likely there. The only way Mary wouldn't have won the prize then is if a wolf selected number 1 also. If a wolf did there you can almost guarantee that a different wolf chose number 2 and thus the wolves won.
If on the off chance a wolf tied with Mary and then no wolf selected number 2 then 3/4/5 must be wolves because why would the wolves skip number 2 and hand the prize to Vernon. Given that Eva was good it can be assumed that this isn't the case. So we can safely say a wolf chose number 2. Even if Mary, Desmond and Conor were all wolves then it would have been a fourth wolf who selected number 2 so neither Desmond or Conor would have had to move up. The point of this is that neither Desmond nor Conor, if wolves needed to move up for a wolf to select numbers 1 and 2. This means that in my mind, Desmond and Conor can only be 1/2 of 2 wolves. Now that doesn't mean a huge amount but it rules them out of two potential wolf roles (doesn't rule them out of specific ones) but for them instead of it being possible they could be any four of the wolves they could only be two of them.[/quote]
Quoting this for game solvery. But there might be a hint of Mary wolf in here
quote="Frank WW;109944273"]Fair enough. One of the top four in goldrush 2 has to be a wolf, unless the first prize was to block the second gold rush. This seems unlikely though.[/quote]
Which list is gold rush 2 ?
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Now with fixed quotesAnalysing frank postsThat's what irks you? I haven't seen you mention it until now. It seems like now you're trying to switch to a different reason for being unhappy with it now that your first reason seems contrary to your lynch race idea. There was never going to be another candidate beside Orla for the lynch, so there would have been no reactions to get. You saw how much of a mess the goldrush became with people not showing up and the likes, yet you think we can coordinate a second lynch candidate on day one to go against a mod-confirmed serial killer.
This post is in response to Brendan. If wolves suspected him as seer then there could be soft peeks of Vernon villager, Brendan wolf in thisThat's what irks you? I haven't seen you mention it until now. It seems like now you're trying to switch to a different reason for being unhappy with it now that your first reason seems contrary to your lynch race idea. There was never going to be another candidate beside Orla for the lynch, so there would have been no reactions to get. You saw how much of a mess the goldrush became with people not showing up and the likes, yet you think we can coordinate a second lynch candidate on day one to go against a mod-confirmed serial killer.
More responding to Brendan. If Brendan is a wolf they may have believed that even if he didn't peek Brendan, he was going to go hard on him regardlessTime for a long shot theory. Ewan and Brendan on the same team. Ewan has mentioned Brendan, Desmond and Vernon a lot as his suspects and then voted for him when there was little chance of Brendan being lynched. I believe Desmond is good, and we know Vernon was good so I'm guessing this thing is a way of distancing teammates.
This was a post analysis of ewans contributions. Again it puts Brendan on the wold list#1 - mary
#2 - vernon (confirmed good), but didn't send pm
#3 - desmond
#4 - eva (confirmed good)
#5 - conor
Vernon not selecting number 2 means that either a wolf did, or mary is a wolf. I don't know much about Mary either way so not sure which is more likely there. The only way Mary wouldn't have won the prize then is if a wolf selected number 1 also. If a wolf did there you can almost guarantee that a different wolf chose number 2 and thus the wolves won.
If on the off chance a wolf tied with Mary and then no wolf selected number 2 then 3/4/5 must be wolves because why would the wolves skip number 2 and hand the prize to Vernon. Given that Eva was good it can be assumed that this isn't the case. So we can safely say a wolf chose number 2. Even if Mary, Desmond and Conor were all wolves then it would have been a fourth wolf who selected number 2 so neither Desmond or Conor would have had to move up. The point of this is that neither Desmond nor Conor, if wolves needed to move up for a wolf to select numbers 1 and 2. This means that in my mind, Desmond and Conor can only be 1/2 of 2 wolves. Now that doesn't mean a huge amount but it rules them out of two potential wolf roles (doesn't rule them out of specific ones) but for them instead of it being possible they could be any four of the wolves they could only be two of them.
Quoting this for game solvery. But there might be a hint of Mary wolf in hereFair enough. One of the top four in goldrush 2 has to be a wolf, unless the first prize was to block the second gold rush. This seems unlikely though.
Which list is gold rush 2 ?0 -
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Care to elaborate?
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