Spring Weather 2016

JCX BXC · 10-03-2016 7:26pm

I explicitly remember snow on the hills of Mayo late April last year.

sryanbruen · 10-03-2016 9:47pm

http://www.bbc.com/weather/features/35780681

They're still very confident in this dry spell. High pressure still dominates this time next week! Only chance of rainfall tomorrow and Saturday.

sumtings · 10-03-2016 10:21pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

http://www.bbc.com/weather/features/35780681

They're still very confident in this dry spell. High pressure still dominates this time next week! Only chance of rainfall tomorrow and Saturday.

so happy as going to the south coast for the weekend and its looking good there on the GFS and on Met Eireann 5 day

JanuarySnowstor · 10-03-2016 11:26pm

Evelyn told us we would most likely have a dry fine patricks day on this evenings broadcast

What a disgraceful forecast with it being just as likely of being wet and windy
In fact the trend is more and more for the high not too last

Tour good forecaster evelyn but what you said tonight will have been heard by millions planning patricks day and imo you called it way too early and also incorrectly

Oscar Bravo · 11-03-2016 12:58am

bit harsh there January Snowstor, even on the 1155 update on radio 1 "thursday looking dry with light winds" , might not be to sunny but its certainly not going to be a wet paddys day this year. a very pleasant one is in store .thankfully

sumtings · 11-03-2016 9:16am

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

bit harsh there January Snowstor, even on the 1155 update on radio 1 "thursday looking dry with light winds" , might not be to sunny but its certainly not going to be a wet paddys day this year. a very pleasant one is in store .thankfully

THe GFS friday 00z run is looking way better for Thursday this morning with most of the day clear until the evening time and even then most of the population not getting rain during daylight.

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

4068ac1elhodqr · 12-03-2016 5:04am

Never mind the 'weather b's' and 'snow dumps'.
Just heard someone on the tv-weather, on about an 'Omega Block',
a super great Omega Block due this week, whoohoo.
Blue skies & yellow circle.

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQr2uwkLC_Q3c2OJkm8WBPucIazudnfmrh8LcAQMnuvmJ1vNKhe8Q

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQr2uwkLC_Q3c2OJkm8WBPucIazudnfmrh8LcAQMnuvmJ1vNKhe8Q

sryanbruen · 12-03-2016 9:06am

Yep. The BBC have officially announced an Omega block and this time next week (weekend) it is still looking very dry with variable amounts of sunshine and cloud with temperatures around normal. This is what I was hoping for! Benign spring weather and we finally got it.

ytpe2r5bxkn0c1 · 12-03-2016 12:25pm

Why can I say? A typically fine spring morning. Calm, bright, broken cloud and mild. Long may it last.

Trogdor · 12-03-2016 12:26pm

Lovely morning here, warmest day of the year so far. Currently 15.8C.

sryanbruen · 12-03-2016 12:32pm

Trogdor wrote: »

Lovely morning here, warmest day of the year so far. Currently 15.8C.

January 24th is still warmer here

:P

Trogdor · 12-03-2016 12:59pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

January 24th is still warmer here :P

Up to 17.1C now, I must say I wasn't expected it to get quite this warm today. Must be a bit of a foehn effect going on as the humidity has been falling quite quickly as well, down to 59% now.

Harry Palmr · 12-03-2016 1:04pm

Bully for you, in Waterford we are stuck in a coastal gloom.

Meteorite58 · 12-03-2016 1:18pm

Trogdor wrote: »

Up to 17.1C now, I must say I wasn't expected it to get quite this warm today. Must be a bit of a foehn effect going on as the humidity has been falling quite quickly as well, down to 59% now.

Is your location sheltered Trogdor ? I think you are over by the Wicklow Mountains if my memory serves me correctly which would explain the fohn effect. I see Dublin Airport, Phoenix Park and Casement all just reporting 13C on the 12.00 Report.

12.2C here near Tralee, overcast with just the odd brief burst of sun, mist also blowing about coming from the SW where the low cloud is scraping off the mountains.

Not bad though.

sryanbruen · 12-03-2016 1:20pm

Plenty of clouds here but the sun is still blazing out! It feels like late May with that sun, not the middle of March.

Trogdor · 12-03-2016 3:48pm

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Is your location sheltered Trogdor ? I think you are over by the Wicklow Mountains if my memory serves me correctly which would explain the fohn effect.

Being in the lee of the wicklow mountains and by the coast tends to give us a bit of a micro-climate here I think, especially when there's a moist westerly/south-westerly we can be a couple of degrees warmer than other places. The station is a bit sheltered in that it's in a back garden in a housing estate however it's is on a pole about 3 meters up, well above any nearby walls/hedges/houses and usually reads fairly accurately. I see that a shankill whether station also maxed out at about 16C earlier on.

Schadenfreudia · 12-03-2016 9:02pm

Trogdor wrote: »

Lovely morning here, warmest day of the year so far. Currently 15.8C.

And a few miles up the hill we got a miserly 14.3C...a long way short of our January high (15.5C) !

sryanbruen · 12-03-2016 9:05pm

Schadenfreudia wrote: »

And a few miles up the hill we got a miserly 14.3C...a long way short of our January high (15.5C) !

Same story here... :eek:

DOCARCH · 12-03-2016 10:06pm

Schadenfreudia wrote: »

And a few miles up the hill we got a miserly 14.3C...a long way short of our January high (15.5C) !

High of 16.1c here in Dublin 16. A fine Spring day.

Chris_Bradley · 12-03-2016 10:12pm

What a beautiful day that was here in Dublin.

No wind out the back now , temperature at a lovely 11.

mickger844posts · 12-03-2016 11:01pm

About 30 seconds of sunshine here in Waterford City with a Max of 13.0c,

www.waterfordcityweather.com

sumtings · 13-03-2016 12:58pm

Stunning sunshine in West Cork. Out at galley head and blue Sky's as far as the eye can see

sumtings · 13-03-2016 2:17pm

Just lovely

. Can't get photo of galley head to attach,

snowstorm445 · 13-03-2016 2:22pm

Very pleasant day here in Cork, first properly sunny day in a while.

Harry Palmr · 13-03-2016 2:24pm

Its like pulling teeth in Waterford, just lurking there showing a hint of stocking but then moving out of sight again. That said brighter than yesterday.

lapua20grain · 13-03-2016 4:24pm

was just in Bray was able to walk around with no jacket on makes a nice change

mickmackey1 · 13-03-2016 8:42pm

'Smoke haze' in the 7pm report from Casement, presume that is what it sounds like...

sumtings · 13-03-2016 8:56pm

sumtings wrote: »

Just lovely

. Can't get photo of galley head to attach,

JCX BXC · 13-03-2016 8:58pm

"13 March 2016 19:02

Today
Dry and rather cold tonight with clear periods, especially in the south and east, elsewhere will stay rather cloudy. Lowest temperatures of 1 to 5 degrees, coldest where skies clear and a slight or sharp grass frost may develop then. Some fog forming also, especially early in the night.

Tomorrow

Dry again tomorrow, generally bright, with sunny spells developing. There will be a light or moderate easterly breeze which will keep it cool in eastern and southern areas with temperatures of about 9 or 10 degrees, milder elsewhere with temperatures of 12 or 13 degrees in the afternoon.

Outlook

Tuesday to Friday: High pressure will continue to remain fixed in the North Sea, extending a ridge across Ireland. The weather will stay settled in easterly winds, which will be mostly moderate in strength. Highest temperatures during the day will be generally in the range 10 to 12 /13 degrees, and will peak on Wednesday around 14 or 15 degrees over Connacht and west Munster. However eastern coastal counties of Leinster and south-Munster will be a few degrees colder due to the onshore wind.

Next Weekend: Little change."

Thats the Met Eireann forecast, looks promising, especially for my location. Never have I seen such a short forecast from RTE.

nacho libre · 13-03-2016 9:09pm

so it looks like an extended dry spell which I think will come as good news to almost everybody. Models continue to toy with the idea of a colder spell once this high either drifts far enough west or just collapses to leave a vacuum to be exploited by what is slowly developing far to the north and northeast, a large pool of very cold air that could take a run at Scandinavia in about a week from now, then in a second wave could show up over Britain and Ireland -- some maps out recently would suggest temperatures not far above freezing by day and well below freezing at night if this were to materialize (and after the bland pattern most of this winter once we got past the record warmth of December, a colder turn makes sense as blocking seems to be on the increase).

If this were a month ago, someone would no doubt have highlighted this piece of his forecast already. I doubt if it anything that cold will come to pass, however, a cold start to April is likely the way things are headed

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 10:49pm

Carnacalla wrote: »

"13 March 2016 19:02

Today
Dry and rather cold tonight with clear periods, especially in the south and east, elsewhere will stay rather cloudy. Lowest temperatures of 1 to 5 degrees, coldest where skies clear and a slight or sharp grass frost may develop then. Some fog forming also, especially early in the night.

Tomorrow

Dry again tomorrow, generally bright, with sunny spells developing. There will be a light or moderate easterly breeze which will keep it cool in eastern and southern areas with temperatures of about 9 or 10 degrees, milder elsewhere with temperatures of 12 or 13 degrees in the afternoon.

Outlook

Tuesday to Friday: High pressure will continue to remain fixed in the North Sea, extending a ridge across Ireland. The weather will stay settled in easterly winds, which will be mostly moderate in strength. Highest temperatures during the day will be generally in the range 10 to 12 /13 degrees, and will peak on Wednesday around 14 or 15 degrees over Connacht and west Munster. However eastern coastal counties of Leinster and south-Munster will be a few degrees colder due to the onshore wind.

Next Weekend: Little change."

Thats the Met Eireann forecast, looks promising, especially for my location. Never have I seen such a short forecast from RTE.

Well the weather is very benign and much the same throughout which I adore here, so don't expect long forecasts!

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 10:49pm

nacho libre wrote: »

so it looks like an extended dry spell which I think will come as good news to almost everybody. Models continue to toy with the idea of a colder spell once this high either drifts far enough west or just collapses to leave a vacuum to be exploited by what is slowly developing far to the north and northeast, a large pool of very cold air that could take a run at Scandinavia in about a week from now, then in a second wave could show up over Britain and Ireland -- some maps out recently would suggest temperatures not far above freezing by day and well below freezing at night if this were to materialize (and after the bland pattern most of this winter once we got past the record warmth of December, a colder turn makes sense as blocking seems to be on the increase).

If this were a month ago, someone would no doubt have highlighted this piece of his forecast already. I doubt if it anything that cold will come to pass, however, a cold start to April is likely the way things are headed

I'm expecting a cold April - month overall and maybe even exceptionally cold.

nacho libre · 13-03-2016 11:04pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

I'm expecting a cold April - month overall and maybe even exceptionally cold.

It would be interesting if it was a record breaking month. What is the lowest mean temperature for April ever recorded?

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 11:05pm

nacho libre wrote: »

It would be interesting if it was a record breaking month. What is the lowest mean temperature for April ever recorded?

I don't know but I'm guessing the most recent coldest April was either 1986 or 1989.

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 11:09pm

I have seen these records broken in recent times (2000 - 2016 in my definition) at Grange

*Wettest May on record (2015)
*Wettest March on record (2008)
*Wettest April on record (2012)
*Sunniest March on record (2003)
*Sunniest May on record (2000)
*Sunniest April on record (2015)
*Warmest May on record (2008)
*Warmest March on record (2012)
*Warmest April on record (2011)
*Coldest March on record (2013)

The two records I haven't seen in recent times are my coldest April and coldest May...... in which 1989 still holds the record to this day for April and 1996 still holds the record to this day for May.

Stealthfins · 13-03-2016 11:17pm

How cold did the temperature go during those cold April's ?

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 11:20pm

Stealthfins wrote: »

How cold did the temperature go during those cold April's ?

Mean deviations (differences) of average

1986: -2.4c below the LTA (no warmer than an average March)
1989: -1.5c below the LTA

And after researching, it looks like April 1986 is Ireland's official coldest April on record. It included the coldest Easter on record (Easter Monday) before being broken on Easter Sunday in 2013.

nacho libre · 13-03-2016 11:24pm

image.jpg.65bfe54f1c707f7ab77bdad6ebfcba7b.jpg

I wonder this that lead to a very cold April in 1901. Speaking of April, one of the most severe snow events in Ireland happened in April 1917.

"An even more severe snow storm struck on the 1st April 1917. Many places were cut off for several days. Snow lay to an estimated depth of 1.3 m with drifts of 3.0 m. In 1917 falls in Ireland, at least in the south and west, were the heaviest since February, 1892, and probably the heaviest in the whole 50 years (back to 1876)."

Stealthfins · 13-03-2016 11:25pm

Thanks,I think I remember snow in April during the early 80's
Lasted a few days....

Ah yes those smoggy crispy frosty Autumnal and Winter evenings in urban areas during the 80's,lasting into early Spring....

A distant memory but memorable all the same.

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 11:31pm

Stealthfins wrote: »

Thanks,I think I remember snow in April during the early 80's
Lasted a few days....

Ah yes those smoggy crispy frosty Autumnal and Winter evenings in urban areas during the 80's,lasting into early Spring....

A distant memory but memorable all the same.

If you say early 80s, then you might be thinking of 1983. Only April 1983, 86 and 89 were particularly cold during the 80s. Mad fact here is that each are separated by 3 years :rolleyes:.

sryanbruen · 13-03-2016 11:39pm

Oh wait....

April 1983, 86 and 89 were all cold.
April 1993, 96 and 99 were all mild.
April 2003, 06 and 09 were all mild.
April 2013 was cold and 2016 is expected to be cold.

^ I sense a pattern.

Schadenfreudia · 14-03-2016 8:43am

sryanbruen wrote: »

I don't know but I'm guessing the most recent coldest April was either 1986 or 1989.

It would be hard to beat April 1975.

sryanbruen · 14-03-2016 8:47am

Schadenfreudia wrote: »

It would be hard to beat April 1975.

What was the mean deviation of average temperature for that April?

sumtings · 14-03-2016 8:48am

Satellite cloud cover looks like it's blue Sky's all round this morning,

patneve2 · 14-03-2016 1:09pm

Temperatures won't go much above 9C here all week, but still feeling very spring like in the sun...

DOCARCH · 14-03-2016 2:19pm

Stunning day here (in Dublin 16). Clear blue skies. 10.0c atm.

sumtings · 14-03-2016 2:55pm

Taking inspiration from Rooy in the winter thread almost a month ago...

Today almost the inverse of yesterday!

Today

yesterday

Meteorite58 · 14-03-2016 9:27pm

Clear blue skies from dawn to dusk, top temp of 13.1C , cooling down rapid now, 6.5C atm.

Large long line of gorse fire to be seen on the mountains tonight near Tralee ( about 14 km from here ). It was the fear that the fires would be lit during the dry spell ( even though it is past the closing date of 1st March for fires ) as it has been too wet up untill now. Hopefully wont effect too many nesting birds or other forms of wildlife.

Schadenfreudia · 14-03-2016 11:47pm

sryanbruen wrote: »

What was the mean deviation of average temperature for that April?

Dunno.

Just going from memory

sryanbruen · 15-03-2016 9:29am

It looks like low pressure might start to push into the east of the UK in the middle of next week but it still looks like Ireland will still remain dry for a while!

Spring Weather 2016

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