Gameweek 14 Transfer Thread.

OneColdHand wrote: »

I'm considering using the AOA chip this week. Have a strong front 8, and if I go for Aguero I'll be switching one of my mids for cheapie, so may not have a strong front 8 for long.

Only thing is my defenders have decent fixtures:
Moreno - Swa (H)
Sagna - Sou (a)
Bellerin - Nor (a)

I could see Sagna benched for Zabaleta after his showing against Liverpool and I may be benching Bellerin now that Coq is out

Benimar wrote: »

I agree he will 'explode' at some stage, but is it worth tying up 11m+ for the odd explosion? Dating back to last season his last 26 scores were:

2,3,3,8,2,2,13,3,3,15,2,5,2,1,5,3,3,3,2,20,16,10,2,3,2,2

Thats 5 scores of 10 or above in 26 weeks.
Thats 18 weeks with NO attacking return.
Average weekly score 5.19 points over 2/3rds of a season.

IMO, unless you are lucky enough to have him for the 'explosion' he's too expensive for the returns he generates.

I had Sanchez week 1 this season, my transfer history since then has been....

GW Out In
7 Sánchez Hazard
9 Hazard Sánchez

Meaning I owned him for: 1,5,3,3,3,2
Sold him for: 20,16,
Had him again for: 10,2,3,2,2

I'm petrified to sell the fecker now

Swiper the fox wrote: »

I am pure delighted to see that many of the people on this forum (whom I consider rivals) are using a transfer to replace Sanchez with Ozil. Ozil is in a great run of form but I don't see it continuing, whereas Sanchez is struggling a little to find the net but it's only a matter of time, a great player like that doesn't stay down long, I only saw highlights of the Arsenal game at the weekend but word is that Sanchez was their best player and most likely to get them something.
I'm not going to go on anymore with this, just putting out my satisfaction that many of you have wasted a transfer in my view and you'll waste another reversing it when the inevitable happens:pac:
Norwich, Sunderland, Villa, Newcastle and Bournemouth in the next seven and ye're happy with Ozil tipping along with 5s and 6s.
Go for the two by all means for the bit of security but I don't think that's a good transfer.

I do agree with you and I'm hanging onto Sanchez for this run. But not to be pedantic, but it's not 5s and 6s Ozil is currently scoring! He's averaged over 10 points a game for the last 6 games.

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Yup, up from 10.4% last season to 24.1% so far this. Pfft, Vardy for the European Golden boot :pac:

He's the opposite or Aguero earlier this season.

I posted a "regression to the mean" graphic on Aguero the week before the Newcastle fame highlighting how nothing much had changed for him stats wise, just that his conversion rate had gone thru the floor. I predicted that he HAD to get a load of goals soon.

Vardy is a good player on an above average run of form which coupled with reasonably kind fixtures has seen his conversion rate increase to 2 and a half times what it was last season. He WILL regress to a more realistic conversion rate.

Swiper the fox wrote: »

Indeed, but I don't see that continuing, he has been getting the assists for an awful lot of their goals but rarely threatens to score himself.
If he continues to pick up a lot of assists then I think Sanchez will be the one scoring many of the goals.
Sure we'll see how it goes, I'm firmly in the Sanchez camp, even for the extra layout, and like I said I think it's a backwards sideways transfer, how can you transfer Sanchez out for those fixtures when the manager can't afford to give him a rest.

It's a gamble. What we do know is that a jaded Sanchez has blanked in the last 4. His next 3 are very tasty, however there's a reasonable chance that Ox and Walcott are back for those.

So is Wenger (and he's a hard person to anticipate) going to ease them in and ease Sanchez out ? Or will he rest Sanchez to have him firing on all cylinders over the xmas flurry ? I'll leave it to better people than me to guess his mind.

Personally I transferred him and I fully intend getting him back later on. I'm gambling on him not making me regret it too much. If it doesn't pay off then so be it. If it does great.

These coin edge decisions are what makes this so interesting.

Lemlin wrote: »

We tend to be fairly similar in playing style. I haven't had a bad few weeks though because, after bringing Pelle in, I quickly admitted my mistake and dumped him. I also went for De Gea as my United defensive coverage.,

I went Payet to Coutinho this GW. Despite being Aguero's biggest fan on here I'd say, I am holding off on him for now. Could be a huge mistake and the game next week will be tough to watch but I can't justify dropping any of my three performing strikers. City play away midweek and Southampton won't be easy, partucularly coming off a loss in a game they would have expected to win.

You have four expensive defenders. I'd be getting rid of at least one if not two. Kolarov would be one for me. There's great value to be had in Woolscheid from Stoke or Danny Simpson for example.

It's easy for me to say it I'd probably go -12.

Kol to Wolly
Smalling to Simpson or cheap defender(you could bring in De Gea later then)
Payet to Ozil or Coutinho if fit
Pelle to Aguero

Yeah sticking with Pellè, getting rid of and back in Kolarov and getting Smalling over DDG cost me my ~80k downfall... Time to move on now and go back to my traditional 3-4-3.

Your 12 pts hits is tasty but I'm £0.3m short for it. My team value has gotten rubbish and I waited way too long on Ozil (£0.5m swing :eek:).

Simpson can be interesting as a 5th def though. I don't think I'll use him much since Leicester have been poison at the back (only 2 CS - Simpson got very lucky to be "awarded" a third one from an early substitution or injury and well his assist this week-end was his first one) but you can't refuse a playing £4.0m def in an in-form team. I'll just have to see if I need the extra £0.1m from Ryan Bennett or not...

To get Ozil this week I need to sell KDB...

What I can do for -8 this week is Pellè+Payet+Smalling -> Agüero+Deulofeu+Wollscheid. £0.3m left ITB.

Later I can do Myhill+KDB -> DDG+Özil.

Only concern is Stoke fixtures. Tough enough. And can they maintain their current CS rate? Sounds even more irrational than Vardy's form... Or did I miss something? Pulis moved to Stoke )?

Suarezistheman wrote: »

Alot of similarities between your team and mine. On Sat I made the following changes for a -4.

Pelle----> Aguero
Smalling ---> Rojo
Kompany ----> Simpson

---

Gomez

---

Bellerin -- Rojo-- Souare

KDB -- Mahrez -- Sanchez -- Cabaye

---

Kane -- Aguero -- Lukaku

Happy enough for now. KDB will be get the road once Silva is fit

Simpson is becoming a popular "enabler" .
I'm not sure about Rojo. Maybe DDG+Nyom is better than Gomes+Rojo? That said I'm not sure about anything lately :pac: and haven't been much right so you may be on for a glorious move .

Hughes as a manager is generally good for clean sheets. He knows how to set a team up. He's certainly no Martin Jol or Tim Sherwood anyway!

Re getting rid of KDB, I'm waiting to see how he does with Aguero back. As others have pointed out, his best scores were with Aguero in the team.

I think your main problem is you've far too much invested in that defence. You need to release money from there for other areas.

Are you short even if you opt for Coutinho? He's apparently going to be fit for the weekend. It looks like Klopp knows how to get the best out of him so I've gone for him.

sheroman01 wrote: »

Already brought Aguero in for Pelle. I'm terrified of not having Kane. With price rises imminent, I'm nearly considering a -8 to bring Kane and Barkley in for Vardy and KDB. Crazy? Wait one more week to do it?

I did the Pelle to Aguero move too. Thinking of a -8 also but mine is Ighalo/Vardy and Sanchez (yes, I know I'll regret it when he has one of his 1 in 5 good FF performances) to Lukaku and Firmino.

I know all 4 players are different from you, but I don't think a -8 is madness this week given that Aguero is back and Kane/Lukaku are performing, whilst the big hitters in midfield are not.

Done KDB/Pelle to Barkley/Kun, ayoze seems to be losing form, can do Smalling/Ayoze to Wol/Lukaku for -8 or will I hold on a week?

-4 for BUIB > Aguero and Sterling > Barkley and really tempted to go -8 to bring in Lukaku for Vardy leaving me with the following:

Hennessey

VVD Cathcart Kolarov

Sanchez Coutinho Mahrez Barkley

Lukaku Kane Aguero

Bench of Schwarzer Richards Lingard and Targett

Happy enough to let Lingard play for Coutinho if the injury is bad and offload the following week.

Sanchez and Pelle OUT
Ozil and Aguero IN

Team looks good on paper but I'm doing seem to be getting anywhere!

Hennessy
Bellerin-Darmian-Kolarov
Mahrez-KDB-Ozil-Ayew
Vardy-Benteke-Aguero

Have to get rid of Benteke and Darmian.

iroced wrote: »

Thanks for that. This is the kind of info about managers my PL football knowledge is lacking for this game.


Yeah I'm on the same wavelength... KDB is somewhere in between Sanchez & Ozil in terms of FPL potential I'd say. 3 goals & 4 assists in 9 games for his first season is not bad. But true he's suffering the comparison with Ozil who is overperforming at the minute.


No I can do Smalling+Kolarov+Payet+Pellè -> Simpson+Wollscheid+Coutinho+Aguero. But it's a -12.

My other option is Smalling+Payet+Pellè -> Wollscheid+Deulofeu+Aguero for -8.

The differences will be Wollscheid (sun) + Souaré (NEW) + Coutinho (SWA) -4 vs Kolarov (SOU) + Woll/Souaré + Deulofeu (bou)

If only the European games could help me decide (yah I know it's bad wishing for injuries :rolleyes: :pac:...).

Smalling+Payet+Pellè -> Wollscheid+Deulofeu+Aguero for -8 still looks ok for me.

I need 3 transfers to get Aguero in so I'm gonna leave him till next week. Southampton unlikely to be a hammering so I'm gonna be patient and hope he doesn't rise more than 0.1 more this week.

I need to get rid of Mane, Sterling, Naughton and need to get Ageuro in so I need 4 transfers ASAP, so for that reason I may do a -4 this week and again next week. Thats without even doing anything with Myhill!!

Ah here, while I'm at it may look for some feedback.....

I have
Myhill,
Souare, VVD, Bellerin, Naughton, Moreno
Sanchez, Ozil, Mane, Sterling, Mahrez
Lukaku, Kane, Vardy.
1.4 in bank.

I think this week maybe
Naughton to Wolly, Sterling/Mane to Deulefeu (which ever I don't sell will be benched so doesnt matter)
Then next week I can do Sterling/Mane to 4.3m mid and Vardy to Aguero and have 1.7 or 1.8 change in the bank depending on price rises.

That leaves
Myhill,
Souare, VVD, Bellerin, Wolly, Moreno
Sanchez, Ozil, Deulofeu, Wanyama, Mahrez
Lukaku, Aguero, Kane.

After that I'd probably either upgrade Myhill (although I'm tempted to hold as he gets back into better fixtures and hope he keeps his place) or downgrade VVD to facilitate upgrading Ozil to Hazard, or do VVD to Zouma.

Why not keep Kane?

Seems you are, Lukaku , Kane ,Aguero isnyour end front line?

Hazard is a good shout, on my radar for KDB replacement just have to wait till he hits form.

dahat wrote: »

Why not keep Kane?

Seems you are, Lukaku , Kane ,Aguero isnyour end front line?

Hazard is a good shout, on my radar for KDB replacement just have to wait till he hits form.

There's gonna be a scramble for Chelsea players sometime soon.

I'm not gonna try to get in ahead of it as their form is so bad, but once they look like they are clicking going forward and with the fixtures they have I'd like to be ready. Costa would be a viable option but not ahead of Aguero, Kane, Lukaku, Giroud, Vardy, Ighalo etc.

If I downgraded VVD to Simpson at some stage I'd be able to afford Sanchez, Hazard, Aguero, Kane and Lukaku in the same team, with Mahrez and a 6 to 7m 4th mid.

FHFC wrote: »

Smalling+Payet+Pellè -> Wollscheid+Deulofeu+Aguero for -8 still looks ok for me.

I'm a bit late with price changes right now but what about
Pellè+Payet -> Lukaku+Coutinho for -4 only?

Agüero will be £13.2m (maybe £13.3m) but I'll have enough to upgrade Lukaku to him if I get Wolly & Simpson/Ryan Bennett for Smalling & Kolarov for -8 next GW.

That's not very different from Lemlin's suggestion. -12 too but if Agüero blanks at the week-end I may be in a better position waiting to get him back and may avoid the huge hit while having a more than decent squad.

What I don't like is anyway I'm heavily reliant on Agüero scoring or blanking at the week-end...

FHFC wrote: »

I need 3 transfers to get Aguero in so I'm gonna leave him till next week. Southampton unlikely to be a hammering so I'm gonna be patient and hope he doesn't rise more than 0.1 more this week.

I need to get rid of Mane, Sterling, Naughton and need to get Ageuro in so I need 4 transfers ASAP, so for that reason I may do a -4 this week and again next week. Thats without even doing anything with Myhill!!

Ah here, while I'm at it may look for some feedback.....

I have
Myhill,
Souare, VVD, Bellerin, Naughton, Moreno
Sanchez, Ozil, Mane, Sterling, Mahrez
Lukaku, Kane, Vardy.
1.4 in bank.

I think this week maybe
Naughton to Wolly, Sterling/Mane to Deulefeu (which ever I don't sell will be benched so doesnt matter)
Then next week I can do Sterling/Mane to 4.3m mid and Vardy to Aguero and have 1.7 or 1.8 change in the bank depending on price rises.

That leaves
Myhill,
Souare, VVD, Bellerin, Wolly, Moreno
Sanchez, Ozil, Deulofeu, Wanyama, Mahrez
Lukaku, Aguero, Kane.

After that I'd probably either upgrade Myhill (although I'm tempted to hold as he gets back into better fixtures and hope he keeps his place) or downgrade VVD to facilitate upgrading Ozil to Hazard, or do VVD to Zouma.

If your plan is LAK strikeforce, what about getting Coutinho instead of Deulofeu (double Everton despite their form may be overkill and Klopp's Pool is on fire)? He's apparently OK. Klopp's main man. Your team will be better balanced.

If I did not make any mistakes looking at your transfer history you'd have £1.1m left ITB after it. No hits this week. You can monitor Agüero's return a bit longer.

Now you'll lose at least £0.1m on Agüero but you'll get an extra £0.1m resale from Vardy. So, you'll need £6.3m to upgrade Vardy to Agüero.
Sterling to Wanyama will free £4.6m. Up to £5.7m with your bank. You need to find £0.6m. Naughton -> Wollscheid will give you that if you do it now. But this gives you no flexibility re Vardy -> Agüero.

Looking at your defense, when will you actually play Wolly? 'Cause Bellerin Moreno VVD Souaré is decent enough and as we discussed in another topic Stoke fixtures aren't the most appealing right now. So if you delay this move, you could always get Simpson or Ryan Bennett as cheap enabler 5th def.

If I follow your current logic, Deulofeu is here to allow Hazard at some point. Will he ever justify his price tag? We don't know. Granted they'll have Bournemouth, Sunderland & Watford at home in their next 5 games but they only beat Norwich 1-0. And there's always the Delle Alli option in midfield to make up cash .