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Milk Price- Please read Mod note in post #1

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68 ✭✭farmer lad


    Milked out wrote: »
    Dairygold held at 25.5c/l

    Are we bottom of the milk league so as usual?:(:rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,288 ✭✭✭alps


    farmer lad wrote: »
    Are we bottom of the milk league so as usual?:(:rolleyes:

    Not "as usual" I would suggest. Dairygold seemed to hit a "sweet spot" through 2014 in terms of milk price and we're up there in the midst of the west cork coops. ...in one case passing out one of them if I can recall. Of course you had to take into account the 1c/l revolving fund and share up deducted from after tax money, but outside of that which was being used for expansion facilities, I would argue they did alright on milk price.
    Step into 2015 and the beginning of this expansion and the putting in place of the "pharmaceutical standard" processing facilities, and one would have to ask the question, is it starting to unravel for the coop. They have embarked on a plan which in my calculation at the time was going to add €1500 debt to every existing cow in Dairygold. They will be producing a commodity product through a pharmaceutical plant, and will they make any extra margin on it. The farmers contribution, postponed at the present moment (but will be doubled to make back the lost time) coupled with the enormous spend on facilities will really test Dairygolds ability to pay a competitive milk price over the next few years. Well done to them if I'm completely wrong on this, but sometimes ego can take business to places it should never go. The board came under enormous pressure to hold milk.price this month, from a number of different angles, and it will be very interesting how this project plays out over the next few years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    I note that we are putting more product into intervention now as well - 750 odd tonnes to add to the 250 odd earlier in the month.

    If the press stories are correct the Ornua PP index suggests a milk price of 26.8 - how accurate has the index proven to be? Do we know what the construction of it is, and do we know anything about the sensitivities post 2015? (for example, if we are suddenly producing 10% more milk, sales of the higher value products might have to keep pace for the index to remain on track...)

    As an industry we should probably try to focus a bit harder on that index and encourage those who produce it, as price planning tools go it might be the best thing we have at the moment.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,327 ✭✭✭orm0nd


    august

    28.89c /ltr

    bf 4.15 p 3.58 thought solids were higher but yields were good


    on a side note got letter saying we are getting the one of the 2014 Cellcheck Awards for 2014 , hope fully the plaque is big enough to cover the hole in the dairy wall :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 472 ✭✭Cow Porter


    orm0nd wrote: »
    august

    28.89c /ltr

    bf 4.15 p 3.58 thought solids were higher but yields were good


    on a side note got letter saying we are getting the one of the 2014 Cellcheck Awards for 2014 , hope fully the plaque is big enough to cover the hole in the dairy wall :D

    Well done! Can we ask what your avg scc is for the year


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,327 ✭✭✭orm0nd


    Cow Porter wrote: »
    Well done! Can we ask what your avg scc is for the year

    not 100% sure but approx. scc 21 tbc 8

    scc not as good this year, tbc the same


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,732 ✭✭✭✭mahoney_j


    orm0nd wrote: »
    not 100% sure but approx. scc 21 tbc 8

    scc not as good this year, tbc the same

    Jaysus that a savage cell count and tbc for year ,fair play
    Milk price here 29.478
    Fat 4.06
    P 3.71

    If only I could of got same price as August 14 40.050.7500 ltrs more and over 2 k less in account for August 15 with better solids.....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,493 ✭✭✭Greengrass1


    31.55 cpl
    3.88p
    4.46 bf
    Scc 109


    August 14
    41.5 cpl
    3.87 p
    4.40 bf
    110scc


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 824 ✭✭✭degetme


    3.70 protein
    4.15 fat
    Cell count 140

    Gross milk price including fixed price scheme 32.093

    Current milk price 30.432

    Base price 26.432


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,309 ✭✭✭atlantic mist


    kowtow wrote: »
    I note that we are putting more product into intervention now as well - 750 odd tonnes to add to the 250 odd earlier in the month.

    value products might have to keep pace for the index to remain on track...)
    As an industry we should probably try to focus a bit harder on that index and encourage those who produce it, as price planning tools go it might be the best thing we have at the moment.

    the product going into intervention i thought was more of a political move the first time, who put the product from ireland into intervention was it ornua? not a good sign for next few months if we are!!

    Ornua price index - (i preferred irish dairy board to be honest thought the marketing name change was a waste of good money similar to that in eircom at the moment, time will tell if it actual help them boost sales as the said foreign companies thought they were dealing with a gov agency
    out of interest what does the marketing name change cost per litre?

    Ornua pi is based on the products they sell so to use it as our complete index would be incorrect its a solid starting ground the principal is good but to use it is similar to using the gdt(the dumping ground) as our guide, unless they broaden the range of products to include all products derived from our milk not just the ones they sell to give its hard to place reliance on it as a full index maybe split them out into classes/products, tell us what % each coop supplied each month this is added to our coop/processor product mix

    different coops supply different quantities to ornua so some are more reliant than others, would supplier be happy to get ornua pi and there coop selling a higher value product or have a better product mix

    the usa used something similar pi in there system, we could have different classes for different product we could use this if broadened and get a weekly/monthly (preferable weekly as keeps everyone up to date and no a months wait in information) weighted average or have specialsed producers who supply a certain class


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,421 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    The price this year is no worse then what i heard forecast last autumn and at that the price held up reasonable well for the peak months and the weather was reasonable as well .If the price can hold for another month we might be over the worst of it me thinks but it might be past peak next year before any improvement this is the big crux


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,739 ✭✭✭20silkcut




    There was also a massive boom in Irish farming in the late 70's. Fuelled by Eu subsidies and bank credit and Give away Fianna Fáil budgets. But then the 80's came along and they were nightmare years in Irish farming.My father struggled like hell in them years there was no such thing as foreign holidays or any holidays maybe a day in tramore once a year. We had one car generally a rusty Japanese Yoke.
    No fancy stuff nothing handy . Toys only at Christmas.
    Definitely a frugal lifestyle.
    As I matured through the 90's Farming was definitely not an attractive lifestyle amongst my schoolmates and was seen as backward.

    It's only really since the SFP and reps etc came along that it is seen as a more viable option again.

    But most of the time farming is a struggle is it not?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,392 ✭✭✭✭Timmaay


    Fair point Silkcut, farming will always been a boom and bust business in my view, dairying went through its very positive phase leading up to the end of quotas, lads who borrowed several hundred grand, 4k+ per cow etc, off wing and pray business plans and 35c/l milk prices will definitely find it very hard over the next few years. I think the only thing that is given is we'll all go through a very lean stage at some time, and we should always be prepared for this and have a backup plan/rainy day fund etc.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 20,633 ✭✭✭✭Buford T. Justice XIX


    20silkcut wrote: »
    There was also a massive boom in Irish farming in the late 70's. Fuelled by Eu subsidies and bank credit and Give away Fianna Fáil budgets. But then the 80's came along and they were nightmare years in Irish farming.My father struggled like hell in them years there was no such thing as foreign holidays or any holidays maybe a day in tramore once a year. We had one car generally a rusty Japanese Yoke.
    No fancy stuff nothing handy . Toys only at Christmas.
    Definitely a frugal lifestyle.
    As I matured through the 90's Farming was definitely not an attractive lifestyle amongst my schoolmates and was seen as backward.

    It's only really since the SFP and reps etc came along that it is seen as a more viable option again.

    But most of the time farming is a struggle is it not?
    Holidays are a relatively recent 'entitlement' and foreign ones even more recent. And the battered family car was widespread across both rural and urban families and I remember a neighbour buying a new car being greeted with astonishment and a good bit of jealousy.

    I don't think farmers attitudes have changed much in the meantime, either. Educate the kids to achieve a job outside farming while living as inexpensively as possible in case the bad days return.

    As Timmaay has said, farming nowadays is as much about crisis management before and during poor spells as it is about doing the actual work to produce something to sell. Farmers still have to be jack-of-as-many-trades-as-possible and make as much of what they have as is possible, that doesn't look like changing much in the future either.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    Things gone quiet here since I've been away...

    Ornua come out with a clanger for the processors and no reaction here!
    French farming unions score €13mil for Ireland's dairy and pig producers...

    Was home with my family and there are many (mostly dairy) that are really struggling to pay feed and fert bills...worrying...:(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,133 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Dawggone wrote: »
    Things gone quiet here since I've been away...

    Ornua come out with a clanger for the processors and no reaction here!
    French farming unions score €13mil for Ireland's dairy and pig producers...

    Was home with my family and there are many (mostly dairy) that are really struggling to pay feed and fert bills...worrying...:(

    The real pull will come on the majority of lads next spring, alot of merchant debt is going to be carried into next year, and if co-ops get heavy handed deducting from milk cheques cash - flows are going to be very shaky for dairy operations with no other cash streams


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    jaymla627 wrote: »
    The real pull will come on the majority of lads next spring, alot of merchant debt is going to be carried into next year, and if co-ops get heavy handed deducting from milk cheques cash - flows are going to be very shaky for dairy operations with no other cash streams

    True. Sadly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,739 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Holidays are a relatively recent 'entitlement' and foreign ones even more recent. And the battered family car was widespread across both rural and urban families and I remember a neighbour buying a new car being greeted with astonishment and a good bit of jealousy.

    I don't think farmers attitudes have changed much in the meantime, either. Educate the kids to achieve a job outside farming while living as inexpensively as possible in case the bad days return.

    As Timmaay has said, farming nowadays is as much about crisis management before and during poor spells as it is about doing the actual work to produce something to sell. Farmers still have to be jack-of-as-many-trades-as-possible and make as much of what they have as is possible, that doesn't look like changing much in the future either.


    Produce something to sell.

    .
    If only farming were that simple.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,732 ✭✭✭✭mahoney_j


    jaymla627 wrote: »
    The real pull will come on the majority of lads next spring, alot of merchant debt is going to be carried into next year, and if co-ops get heavy handed deducting from milk cheques cash - flows are going to be very shaky for dairy operations with no other cash streams

    Very true and it's happening already,only for extra volume of milk most lads seem to be pumping out we'd be there now ,just looking at last few months milk statements here anyway a lot more milk and solids been produced but end figure been lodged to account is smaller each month and getting smaller .ive been plugging away at bills every month and thankfully all are well under control .a lot of fr,white head And Bb cattle here which have come through summer in great knick ,will sell some before winter but keep as many as I have space for and sell through February and March ..cattle trade will be very strong I reckon for first few months of next year .these will (hopefully)allow me to get some good cash deals for fertiliser,vaccines and milk powder without dipping into milk cheque too early in spring .ive noticed reps a bit more anxious over last mo th or so to collect money too......


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    mahoney_j wrote: »
    ive noticed reps a bit more anxious over last mo th or so to collect money too......

    That's bound to pass Mahoney.

    It's a bit disconcerting considering such a high price last season.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,732 ✭✭✭✭mahoney_j


    Dawggone wrote: »
    That's bound to pass Mahoney.

    It's a bit disconcerting considering such a high price last season.

    Think they know the first 6 months of next year on dairy farms anyway will be slow as regards taking in money so there trying to get lads to pay as much as possible before year end


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    mahoney_j wrote: »
    Think they know the first 6 months of next year on dairy farms anyway will be slow as regards taking in money so there trying to get lads to pay as much as possible before year end

    Merchant credit can be insanely expensive...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,133 ✭✭✭jaymla627


    Dawggone wrote: »
    That's bound to pass Mahoney.

    It's a bit disconcerting considering such a high price last season.

    know of a few cases where sfp are paid directly to banks towards loans taken out for dairy expansion, considerable amounts too, wouldnt like to be trying to collect money of these guys on the assumption said lads above will clear up their accounts when the sfp cheque comes in


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    jaymla627 wrote: »
    know of a few cases where sfp are paid directly to banks towards loans taken out for dairy expansion, considerable amounts too, wouldnt like to be trying to collect money of these guys on the assumption said lads above will clear up their accounts when the sfp cheque comes in

    I think the line is "there will be culls for sale in December"...


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,872 Mod ✭✭✭✭blue5000


    I wonder is there scope for fertiliser prices to be lower next spring? I still have slurry to spread, would I be better off to leave some of it there till next spring to get more benefit from the N in it? I would have the space ok, weather next spring would be the only risk.

    If the seat's wet, sit on yer hat, a cool head is better than a wet ar5e.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    blue5000 wrote: »
    I wonder is there scope for fertiliser prices to be lower next spring? .

    That's a €6mil question.
    Maybe it's time farmer unions put on some political pressure on to try and break the fert monopolies...


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,872 Mod ✭✭✭✭blue5000


    Dawggone wrote: »
    That's a €6mil question.
    Maybe it's time farmer unions put on some political pressure on to try and break the fert monopolies...

    Ya, a cost reduction for a major input is as good as a price increase for a product. God only knows what strokes are being pulled behind closed doors. Can't stay using high energy costs as an excuse.

    If the seat's wet, sit on yer hat, a cool head is better than a wet ar5e.



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Dawggone


    blue5000 wrote: »
    Ya, a cost reduction for a major input is as good as a price increase for a product. God only knows what strokes are being pulled behind closed doors. Can't stay using high energy costs as an excuse.

    It's ridiculous Blue.
    A few of us got together earlier on and brought in a bit of An+S at a huge price reduction. Didn't go down well within the industry.
    From what I can see they are seriously cutting back on production at crucial times to create an artificial shortage. Sharp practice?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,282 ✭✭✭Deepsouthwest


    Dawggone wrote: »
    That's a €6mil question.
    Maybe it's time farmer unions put on some political pressure on to try and break the fert monopolies...

    Fanciful thinking I'm afraid Dawg, we can't even sort out supermarket/meat factory shenanigans here, never mind taking on a global cartel of fertiliser price fixers!


This discussion has been closed.
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