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FI CHARTS AUTUMN/WINTER 2014/15 **Mod Note Post #1**
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no major changes this morning, who knows what will be happen, it could be a mild anti-cyclonic gloomy high or a cold foggy high where fog could persist all day. You know Valentine's Day is coming when you see a high shaped like this!!
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Rebelbrowser wrote: »In terms of GFS v ECM / High Res Model's handling of tonight's low, I would point out that this morning's minor event has been predicted best by GFS. It predicted snow in Kerry & West Cork (but not Cork city) and that's spot on. As best I recall the others saw no precipitation making landfall (or nothing east of about Dingle anyway).
ECM showed the light precip that's over the southwest at the moment.
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Harry Palmr wrote: »Its a remarkably stable picture, pity its not June or July eh? Who is getting all our rain right now?
You mean who's getting all our snow
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Harry Palmr wrote: »Its a remarkably stable picture, pity its not June or July eh? Who is getting all our rain right now?
Don't worry, it's being saved up for a summer washout
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maquiladora wrote: »High pressure dominating all the way out to FI on the models....if only it was summer!
I wonder if history would be kind enough to repeat itself...?
Outlook chart for Feb 14th
Analysis for Feb 14th 1903:
Broadly similar pattern, but in 1903, the weather became more disturbed after the the high collapsed, peaking on Feb 27th when the 'Ulysess storm' roared in, which was possibly one of the worst storms of the 20th century to rage through Ireland.
Brief report on that particular storm here:
http://www.met.ie/climate-ireland/weather-events/Feb1903_storm.pdfNew Moon
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I wonder if history would be kind enough to repeat itself...?
Not looking likely....
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_table.php?x=&y=&lat=53.481781376518214&lon=-8.113207547169814&run=0&ext=fr&mode=2&sort=00 -
I wonder if history would be kind enough to repeat itself? Part 2.
(No charts worth posting so a little escapism won't do any harm)
I presume there were blizzards in Ireland too by the look of that chart?1891 After a very mild and dry February, March must have come as bit of a shock. The winds turned to the north on the 7th, and then there was much snow in the south. This time saw the great west country blizzard: one of the most severe snowstorms of the century on the 9-13th, perhaps one of the most severe snowstorms ever. The southwest and Kent were particularly badly affected. 220 people died as many ships were lost at sea. Apparently sheep were blown off Devon cliffs in their thousands and also lost at sea. Snow drifts were reported 20' deep, created by the heavy snow combining with a NE gale.0 -
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there was probably a warm sector over Ireland and it just rained!vistafinder wrote: »It probably got downgraded ^^^^^^^
Like the Spanish Inquisition no body was expecting this!
The chart even looks like this
> :eek:
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