Gold

Cute Hoor wrote: »

I will hope that these few shares might have an SP increase of 10% at some stage during 2015, if you could get 10% on your investments wouldn't you be doing grand
TSCO (£1.84) - not for W&O's given the misinformation the company has been giving out but could be worthwhile.

conditioned games wrote: »

Tesco will continue to lose market share to cheaper rivals, the quality of their food is very average and the prices charged are always above the market average. The manipulation of their profits will not be the end of bad news for that company.
Basically best advice I could give people is do the opposite of what Cute Hoor says and you will not see your investments wiped out

Well there's one up anyway and we're only 8 days into 2015, over 14% profit since I posted, and that is after taking all buying and selling costs into account, lovely jubbly.

Others not doing so well but sure we're only 8 days in and most are up a wee bit.

Value Hunter wrote: »

Save your breath cute hoor, they're incapable of understanding reason...

We'll see how good the debt fueled stock bubbles are doing later in the year. Some time between July and October this year I predict you will get a dose of reality.

Exciting times ahead I think. The world is underestimating the damage that low oil prices could do to economies worldwide. High risks of deflation here in the EU, ECB ready to kick-start the printing presses (however I don't think this will help the eurozone which is going into stagflation). SNB unpegging from Euro. US CPI for December came out today down 0.4%.

Soon the marketplace will wake up and find out that the first three QE programs executed by the FED were not in fact enough. And, instead of raising rates the FED will more likely start QE4.

In euro terms, silver up 17% and gold up over 13% in 2015.

For ever odd wrote: »

Or will it wake up and realise QE doesn't work? U.S UK and Japan are struggling to prove it does.

I don't think they'll ever admit it doesn't work. QE is what keeps the ponzi scheme going.

For ever odd wrote: »

If the ecb turn on the printing presses in large amount, this would be a negative for gold as it would add to more dollar strength, as gold is pegged to the dollar it would mean gold weakness.
CPI down 0.4 % will probably delay a interest hike in USA therefore giving equities room to rally some more, another negative for gold.
SNB has added to gold as a safe haven in times of turmoil, so low oil prices, fear and shocks to the markets are positive for gold.

Thoughts?

Firstly, gold is not pegged to the dollar. Precious metals have been showing great strength lately, gold and silver rising in tandem with the dollar which is highly unusual. If the ECB decides to devalue the euro even more then this is a positive for people in Europe holding gold. Gold has risen more in euro terms than dollar terms this year due to the fall in the euro currency.

I believe the US economy cannot withstand higher rates. Recent economic data is turning negative the last few months coming out of the US and no one is taking notice at all. I think there is more of a chance of the FED starting QE4 than raising rates, which would totally shock the markets and especially the dollar.

Value Hunter wrote: »

That was a year and a half ago, when you were shilling hyperinflation on the way:rolleyes:

Now your saying deflation and stagflation is on the way. :pac:

What happened to QE never ending? And Gold and Silver skyrocketing? (still down 30%- 40%)

Also stop using the change in US/Eur as a metric for Gold and Silver rising in price. They are quoted in dollars. No one adds the change in US/Eur onto the S&P 500's annual performance


A better place for this thread is the conspiracy theory forum

His prediction was always deflation followed by hyperinflation. When we have a sick world economy with demand falling then prices fall. Countries try fooding the markets with printed currency to try and boost consumer demand which results in stock bubbles, bond bubbles and low interest rates.

Countries once again push the failed policy of QE that dont increase consumer demand but results in paper bubbles. Once the ponzi debt bubbles pop then the stored up printed currency and debt goes to commodities and thats when the hyperinflation begins. What part of this do you not understand?

I feel sorry for all the people who were lured into investing in gold as it was supposedly a "safe" investment.

Not only did you lose 30% of your investment, you had to watch investors in shares gain 50% over the past 4 years.

conditioned games wrote: »

I gained almost 3 times my original investment when i invested in shares back in early 2009 to when i sold them in late 2013.

Fair play that is some return over 4 years, you bought very very wisely, the Dept of Finance could do with you. Out of interest why did you sell your stocks in 2013 when you knew the stock bubble would last till October 2015. Assuming that you bought into Gold at around $1195 and Silver at around $16 then by my reckoning, for every $10,000 you invested in stocks in 2009 and reinvested equally in Gold and Silver in 2014 you will have $1,275,000 (give or take a few dollars and cents) by 2020, and that is in today’s dollar value before the currency becomes worthless, you will be a very rich man.

conditioned games wrote: »

I sold out as I didn't feel comfortable with the risk. It was through further research last year that I came to the conclusion that the second half of 2015 will see a dramatic fall in the stock markets. I think oil prices crashing is an indicator of what's to come. Too much has been lent out to the energy sector and similar to mortgage backed securities, these loans that have being given out to the energy sector have been diced up and sold on, so who knows where these bad debts will end up. Yep the idea is to grow the investment so time will tell. I do think the worst is yet to come and that 2008 was only a sample of what to expect when the real one hits.

You've been posting on this website for a total of 8 months, with most of that spent talking GAA, yet you want us to believe you've been expert on risk taking for the last 6 years and only now you start posting on the investment threads? Please spare us the after-timing posts as they are very hard to believe.

Many of us have been on this thread for years and have listened to DarkDusk talk complete and utter nonsense (plagiarized from the zerohedge.com delusionalists) predicting massive inflation and a dollar crash. Then all of a sudden you come along years later and tell us "His prediction was always deflation followed by hyperinflation"? Errr WRONG. As the other poster said "people who were lured into investing in gold, as it was supposedly a safe investment, not only did they lose 30% of there investment they had to watch investors in shares gain 50% over the past 4
years".

By the way it's not about you, it's about DarkDusk. Then again there is an uncanny likeness in your posting style.

Value Hunter wrote: »

Also stop using the change in US/Eur as a metric for Gold and Silver rising in price. They are quoted in dollars. No one adds the change in US/Eur onto the S&P 500's annual performance

If you were living in Russia you would be looking at gold priced in Rubles, which has sky-rocketed due to the massive fall in the value of their currency. The ECB is going to announce QE this week and hence our currency has fallen in value.

I don't know about you, but I measure my investment gains/losses in the currency I used to buy that asset. Common sense.

He said in his statement that it would run until the end of September 2016 (from March 2015), has he changed his mind in the last 30 minutes?