UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING

ASOT · 17-12-2014 7:50pm

Axwell wrote: »

The UFC event in Dublin made a lot of people think they were UFC betting gurus to be fair

I was working at the event and was there early in the afternoon, couldnt get any signal on my phone and was raging because I wanted to stick a few bets on. Later myself and one of the lads from work were watching the fights and I literally called every fight as it happened, had the MOV and result right in every fight and would have won around 3-4k had I managed to put the bets on. I remember watching Gunni and saying to him any minute now hes going to do this and this, go for the sub, choke him out..blah blah..and it literally started as I finished the sentence and hes looking at me as if I am some prophet (the only thing going through my mind was profit - or lack of).

After that event I had 1 win I think on the next card and then a steady decline lately no matter what way i change my formula. Lately I have just started going back to singles and doubles to boost my ego again and get some wins on the card!

Il try find my picks in a bit, I had every MOV and the only person that let me down for around 4 grand was seery who i had by KO, I was devastated.

17-12-2014 8:32pm

Axwell wrote: »

The UFC event in Dublin made a lot of people think they were UFC betting gurus to be fair

I had won 4 of the previous 5 events to get my 4K, so I stand by my 2 month period of betting greatness!! May it return on saturday!

EuskalHerria · 17-12-2014 9:10pm

ASOT wrote: »

Il try find my picks in a bit, I had every MOV and the only person that let me down for around 4 grand was seery who i had by KO, I was devastated.

Had a similar bet to yourself I'm assuming. Seery by KO let me down, and thinking he had it in the 1st was even more frustrating.

Devastator · 21-12-2014 3:48am

getting screwed over on other sports but can't see annything but Machida/Barao/Silva wins

Devastator · 22-12-2014 4:44pm

Devastator wrote: »

getting screwed over on other sports but can't see annything but Machida/Barao/Silva wins

a small enough return to wipe out some of what I lost earlier on Saturday

MMATycoon · 24-12-2014 12:40am

We came out with 75% profit from the weekend on the following picks

10 right 2 wrong.

#1 Leandro Issa
#2 Vitor Miranda
#3 Darren Elkins
#4 Patrick Cummins
#5 Daniel Sarafian
#6 Tom Niinimaki
#7 Erick Silva
#8 Tim Means
#9 Lyoto Machida
#10 Renan Barao
#11 Rashid Magomedov
#12 Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Hoki · 30-12-2014 3:30pm

Will I be able to get a bet on for the UFC in Boston while in America? Will the Paddy Power/ Bet 365 apps block me as I'll be accessing it from the US? Just want to know as if I cant Il have to get my bets on before I head over.

Devastator · 31-12-2014 3:53pm

Hoki wrote: »

Will I be able to get a bet on for the UFC in Boston while in America? Will the Paddy Power/ Bet 365 apps block me as I'll be accessing it from the US? Just want to know as if I cant Il have to get my bets on before I head over.

My advice is e-mail or live chat PP to find out for definite. What I can tell you though is I was in Amsterdam there for a few days and while waiting on delayed flight home was able to access PP through phone internet(I dont have the app) and put a bet on. Bet was chinned so kinda wish it didn't work lol

mailburner · 31-12-2014 10:42pm

what do folks fancy this weekend?

I fancy jones but see it going all the way
jones pts 9/4 if he wins this looks a bit of value

lombard will imo make mincemeat of burkman if he wants to
I think 11/8 by ko looks decent especially when some bookies have it shorter (all others are odds on by ko I see..fair play boyles)
on lomb to win in round one

biggest dilemma on the card for me is myles jury
I don't quite know how good he is yet I do like his price (7/4) and cerrone
a big step up from anyone he's faced but a dec win v johnson reads well too
wonder is he worth a punt?

mailburner · 31-12-2014 11:07pm

mailburner wrote: »

what do folks fancy this weekend?

lombard will imo make mincemeat of burkman if he wants to
I think 11/8 by ko looks decent especially when some bookies have it shorter (all others are odds on by ko I see..fair play boyles)
on lomb to win in round one

got burnt on this lad with same bet against tim boetsch so I'll pass on this and given burkman has never been knocked out probably makes it risky enough esp when the
hoor doesnt show that much urgency at times

skippymac6 · 01-01-2015 3:48pm

Never thought I'd see John Jones at 8/13 for a fight. Cormier has the ability to take him to ground at will but I'd have to think that Jones could turn on the heat in the latter rounds and eke out a decision.

02-01-2015 10:14pm

mailburner wrote: »

what do folks fancy this weekend?

I fancy jones but see it going all the way
jones pts 9/4 if he wins this looks a bit of value

lombard will imo make mincemeat of burkman if he wants to
I think 11/8 by ko looks decent especially when some bookies have it shorter (all others are odds on by ko I see..fair play boyles)
on lomb to win in round one

biggest dilemma on the card for me is myles jury
I don't quite know how good he is yet I do like his price (7/4) and cerrone
a big step up from anyone he's faced but a dec win v johnson reads well too
wonder is he worth a punt?

I like Jones by submission, although its a very hard fight to call. 9-1 is pretty nice odds.
Lombard is a shoe in it just depends on if he can finish it early or he wins on points.
I think Jury beat Johnson before Johnson had his renaissance. The problem with cowboy is he is capable of the big let downs and just getting knocked out. But he has looked so good recently I mean his last 3 fights each guy he's beaten realllllly convincingly and each one was a world class opponent. Its always hard to judge these youngin's when they make the stepup but I still feel Cowboy will win the fight. Its like he's taking his kicks to another level now.

I also think Marquart is on another level to Tavares. Nate looked outstanding in his last fight and I had picked him by sub for that, he didn't let me down. Tavares is tough though and if he can last 3 rounds against Romero he can certainly do it against Marquart. I dont see how Tavares can win it I just dont know the method of victory for Marquart.

Horiguchi against Gaudinot is interesting. The Jap fighters are notorious for not being able to travel well, and Gaudinot seems capable of pulling off a submission upset. Given the long odds on Gaudinot I reckon thats the best chance of an upset. Need to delve a bit deeper into these other prelims.

mailburner · 02-01-2015 11:05pm

I went with jones dec at 5/2 (betsafe)

even opened up a betsafe account so its a freebet (stake not returned)
heart was ruling my head on this one wanting cormier to win so badly and if
he does at least it wont cost me anything

03-01-2015 11:52am

Lads we have a serious problem, the Glimmer man flew in yesterday. Surely that makes cormier massive favourite now!!!!!

03-01-2015 12:06pm

Check this lad out http://www.foxsports.com/ufc/story/ufc-182-cody-garbrandt-is-the-next-alpha-male-010215 he fights Brimage and Brimage is favourite. The guy is 5-0 with 5 knockouts.

mailburner · 03-01-2015 12:18pm

Deleted User wrote: »

Check this lad out http://www.foxsports.com/ufc/story/ufc-182-cody-garbrandt-is-the-next-alpha-male-010215 he fights Brimage and Brimage is favourite. The guy is 5-0 with 5 knockouts.

looks good to me

three lads on the card I would like to oppose are dunham, jordan and brimage
now I have reason to back garbrandt
I'll be backing damm purely for the price (9/2)
not sure bout castillo either yet wouldnt be a backer at 4/9 and the hw battle probably a coin toss with cannonier unbeaten

dunham might win but at 2/9 I couldnt back him

03-01-2015 12:44pm

mailburner wrote: »

looks good to me

three lads on the card I would like to oppose are dunham, jordan and brimage
now I have reason to back garbrandt
I'll be backing damm purely for the price (9/2)
not sure bout castillo either yet wouldnt be a backer at 4/9 and the hw battle probably a coin toss with cannonier unbeaten

dunham might win but at 2/9 I couldnt back him

The Dunham bet is decent the lad is coming off 3 losses surely doesn't merit being such a big favourite. An even fight I think definitely worth a punt on Damm. Im backing Castillo for a points win. Know nothing about this lad Jordan is fighting, gonna pick jordan for an early KO.

dulux99 · 03-01-2015 4:51pm

Lumping on Jones tonight. I think this will be very very easy for him. He has so many different ways to win, whereas DC can only hope to grapple him to death for 3 of the 5 rounds, which I just can't imagine happening. I don't think DC will have anything for Jones on the feet, and he doesn't have particularly great ground and pound, or,BJJ.

I have a sneaky suspicion also that Jury will beat Cerrone. Cerrone has fought 5 times in 13 months, and I just think that has to catch up with him eventually. So I'm going big on the Jones single, and then a few quid on the Jones / jury double.

mailburner · 03-01-2015 4:54pm

took garbrandt at 13/8

damm by decision 17/2 also given its probably the only way he wins this

treble (169/1)
garbrandt ko 9/2
jones dec 9/4
damm dec 17/2

ASOT · 03-01-2015 6:07pm

Went with two bets

Jones
Cowboy
Nate
Castillo
Jordan

Then for interest

Jones by Sub
Cowboy by KO/TKO
Castillo by Decision

€3.50 on that for around €280 back, odds seem to be very generous.

Mellor · 03-01-2015 6:51pm

Went with;

3 Jan 2015 17:35 7/7 Jon Jones v Daniel Cormier - To Win Fight Cormier, Daniel Single 31/20 50.00 0.00 Open Pending
3 Jan 2015 17:35 7/8 Donald Cerrone v Myles Jury - To Win Fight Cerrone, Donald Single 4/7 100.00 0.00 Open Pending
3 Jan 2015 17:20 6/6 Hector Lombard v Josh Burkman - Method Of Victory Lombard, Hector By KO, TKO or Disqualification Single EVS 100.00 0.00 Open Pending

Plus an accumulator for the lols

Cormier, Daniel By Decision
Lombard, Hector By KO
Cerrone, Donald By Decision
Marquardt, Nate By Decision
Horiguchi, Kyoji By KO,

Total Stake $5.53 (5-fold)
Potential Return $1,259.80

Total Stake $10.00 (4-fold)
Potential Return $804.94

Junior D · 03-01-2015 6:59pm

Cormier for the win.

I've lumped on Jones, and lately everything I touch has gone wrong

Junior D · 03-01-2015 7:00pm

Cormier for the win.

I've lumped on Jones, and lately everything I touch has gone wrong

mailburner · 03-01-2015 7:16pm

dulux99 wrote: »

Lumping on Jones tonight. I think this will be very very easy for him. He has so many different ways to win, whereas DC can only hope to grapple him to death for 3 of the 5 rounds, which I just can't imagine happening. I don't think DC will have anything for Jones on the feet, and he doesn't have particularly great ground and pound, or,BJJ.

I have a sneaky suspicion also that Jury will beat Cerrone. Cerrone has fought 5 times in 13 months, and I just think that has to catch up with him eventually. So I'm going big on the Jones single, and then a few quid on the Jones / jury double.

seems that way to me also
cormiers confidence nearly has be believing him mind you
I think this would be the happiest I'll ever be losing a bet if dc does it tho

I don't thing the amount if fights cowboy has had will make any difference given some didn't last long
he should beat jury I think but I just don't know how good jury is so staying away from that one

Wrongway1985 · 03-01-2015 11:21pm

Went with accum of Castillo,Marquardt,Garbrandt,Damm & Cerrone

darced · 04-01-2015 12:41am

This post has been deleted.

Kev M · 04-01-2015 1:15am

Have a Cerrone, Marquardt, Castillo and Lombard accumulator, and then THANKS TO THIS THREAD have just added a sneaky little double on Damm and Garbrandt.

Think I'll leave the DC JJ main event alone, win or lose I'll have something to enjoy watching at the end..

Axwell · 04-01-2015 1:23am

There is no way Jones loses this fight, every bit of my being wants DC to win but theres just no way I see it possible. He can take Jones to the ground all he wants but he wont finish him there and Jones is too good to be kept down. Jones will inflict way more damage over 5 rounds. Can see it going the distance and Jones just tearing DC apart round after round.

Went for an accumulator of

Nate Marquardt @ 4/5
Omari Akhmedvov @ 8/13
Shawn Jordan @ 1/2
Cody Garbrandt @ 5/4
Danny Castillo on Points @ 8/5
Jon Jones @ 4/7
Donald Cerrone @ 4/6

Most wary of Cerrone in that bet, pretty close fight and could go either way.

Then put another just for the fun on the whole card with some MOV mixed in

Evan Dunham @ 1/5
Cody Garbrandt @ 6/5
Nate Marquardt @ 4/5
Kyoji Horiguchi @ 1/7
Hector Lombard @ 1/6
Shawn Jordan @ 1/2
Danny Castillo on Points @ 8/5
Donald Cerrone by KO @ 4/1
Jon Jones by KO @ 11/4

rogieop · 04-01-2015 1:53am

First accum

Jones 4/7
Cerrone 8/13
Tavares 11/10
Castillo 4/9
Garbrandt 5/4

And then a hail mary accum

Horiguchi by ko 5/4
Castillo on points 8/5
Lombard by ko 5/6
Tavares on points 11/4
jones on points 11/5

Heres hoping

bgrove · 04-01-2015 1:58am

Money coming for bones

mailburner · 04-01-2015 2:14am

bgrove wrote: »

Money coming for bones

same for jury and tavares

tavares evens nate 1.99 with one firm
cowboy as big as 1.77

Devastator · 04-01-2015 2:34am

Balance of my account on Lombard/Cowboy/Jones treble

Come on!!

ASOT · 04-01-2015 2:39am

It compleatly slipped my mind Jordan was a heavyweight for some strange reason, I hate backing heavyweights. -_-

rogieop · 04-01-2015 2:45am

just got 7/2 on garbrandt by ko with boyles.

Happy with that!

rogieop · 04-01-2015 2:46am

ASOT wrote: »

It compleatly slipped my mind Jordan was a heavyweight for some strange reason, I hate backing heavyweights. -_-

Not likely to care now!

ASOT · 04-01-2015 2:46am

ASOT wrote: »

It compleatly slipped my mind Jordan was a heavyweight for some strange reason, I hate backing heavyweights. -_-

Nevermind, worlds heaviest backflip got this!

stiffler123 · 04-01-2015 3:02am

Cerrone/Cormier double just over 3/1. Logic points to Jones winning but I just have a feeling DC will get it done with his wrestling.

Kev M · 04-01-2015 3:54am

Well, that's me out haha.

Axwell · 04-01-2015 3:55am

My bet killed by a plastic paddy....god dammit

mailburner · 04-01-2015 7:01am

mailburner wrote: »

I went with jones dec at 5/2 (betsafe)

gutted for dc but a wins a win

mailburner wrote: »

took garbrandt at 13/8

damm by decision 17/2 also given its probably the only way he wins this

treble (169/1)
garbrandt ko 9/2
jones dec 9/4
damm dec 17/2

garbrandt lived up to his rep (tks el rifle)
shame damm just wasnt worth a damn though

Devastator · 04-01-2015 7:16am

Devastator wrote: »

Balance of my account on Lombard/Cowboy/Jones treble

Come on!!

Get in! I needed that after 2 bad nights of darts betting

:D:D:D

probably loose it all in the final tomorrow night :eek:

04-01-2015 5:17pm

mailburner wrote: »

gutted for dc but a wins a win

garbrandt lived up to his rep (tks el rifle)
shame damm just wasnt worth a damn though

Ugh marquart cost me a bundle, would have had 2 nice bets come in. After he ran through Te Huna so surprised he had almost nothing for Tavares!

PrettyBoy · 13-01-2015 1:14am

Any tips for this weekend to combine with a McGregor 1st round win punt?

ASOT · 13-01-2015 1:36am

Should be decent prices on Pendred & Paddy, Beal & Spencer both would be the better fighters imo

mailburner · 13-01-2015 2:54am

PrettyBoy wrote: »

Any tips for this weekend to combine with a McGregor 1st round win punt?

rosa at 8/11

less than a weeks notice and he took siver all the way
the boston strangler will strangle soriano in front of his home crowd

better fighter is all imo

Mellor · 13-01-2015 3:37am

ASOT wrote: »

Should be decent prices on Pendred & Paddy, Beal & Spencer both would be the better fighters imo

Pendred is an underdog, but Paddy us favourite, and rightly so imo

ronanc1000 · 13-01-2015 7:32am

McGregor
Rosa
Holohan
Cerrone

All to win accumulator.

What do ye think?

akelly02 · 13-01-2015 12:10pm

ronanc1000 wrote: »

McGregor
Rosa
Holohan
Cerrone

All to win accumulator.

What do ye think?

Afraid to put cowboy in an accum because of the time between fights, but hes def the coolest man ive ever seen , really hopes he takes Benson and then a title shot!

CurryFlavoured · 13-01-2015 12:13pm

I think it's a big ask for Cerrone.

I'll probably go with a small stake on Henderson, Rosa, Tibau and Spencer.

ASOT · 13-01-2015 12:28pm

Mellor wrote: »

Pendred is an underdog, but Paddy us favourite, and rightly so imo

Beals good its a tough fight for paddy imo

UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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UFC/MMA Gambling. NO AFTER-TIMING