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Masters 2014 Betting

  • 28-03-2014 5:17pm
    #1
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭


    New thread up for the Masters in the golf forum so it will be worth keeping the betting talk in a separate thread.

    Golf Forum Thread -> http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057178354


    Smart Golf Bets -> https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Ajc8GgQGM23DdFdTRmktTUc2UmRCajdqYTl2ZW1falE&output=html


    Field so far

    Bae, Sang-Moon
    Bjorn, Thomas
    Blixt, Jonas
    Bradley, Keegan
    Cabrera, Angel
    Castro, Roberto
    Choi, K.J.
    Cink, Stewart
    Clark, Tim
    Clarke, Darren
    Couples, Fred
    Crenshaw, Ben
    Day, Jason
    DeJonge, Brendon
    Delaet, Graham
    Donald, Luke
    Donaldson, Jamie
    Dubuisson, Victor
    Dufner, Jason
    Duke, Ken
    Els, Ernie
    English, Harris
    Ernst, Derek
    Every, Matt
    Fernandez-Castano, Gonzalo
    Fitzpatrick, Matthew
    Fowler, Rickie
    Furyk, Jim
    Garcia, Sergio
    Glover, Lucas
    Goss, Oliver
    Grace, Branden
    Haas, Bill
    Hanson, Peter
    Henley, Russell
    Horschel, Billy
    Huh, John
    Immelman, Trevor
    Jaidee, Thongchai
    Jimenez, Miguel-Angel
    Johnson, Dustin
    Johnson, Zach
    Kaymer, Martin
    Kirk, Chris
    Kuchar, Matt
    Langer, Bernhard
    Lee, Chang-Woo
    Leishman, Marc
    Luiten, Joost
    Lyle, Sandy
    Lynn, David
    Mahan, Hunter
    Manassero, Matteo
    Matsuyama, Hideki
    McCoy, Michael
    McDowell, Graeme
    McIlroy, Rory
    Mickelson, Phil
    Mize, Larry
    Molinari, Francesco
    Moore, Ryan
    Niebrugge, Jordan
    O'Meara, Mark
    Olazabal, Jose-Maria
    Olesen, Thorbjorn
    Oosthuizen, Louis
    Points, D.A.
    Porteous, Garrick
    Poulter, Ian
    Reed, Patrick
    Rose, Justin
    Schwartzel, Charl
    Scott, Adam
    Senden, John
    Simpson, Webb
    Singh, Vijay
    Snedeker, Brandt
    Spieth, Jordan
    Stadler, Craig
    Stadler, Kevin
    Stallings, Scott
    Stenson, Henrik
    Streelman, Kevin
    Stricker, Steve
    Walker, Jimmy
    Watney, Nick
    Watson, Bubba
    Watson, Tom
    Weekley, Boo
    Weir, Mike
    Westwood, Lee
    Woodland, Gary
    Woods, Tiger
    Woosnam, Ian
    Yang, Yong-Eun


«1345

Comments

  • #2
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Day (20's) and Dustin Johnson (22's) are the two front runners I fancy. Day has had a couple weeks off with his thumb injury but as far as I know it wasn't anything serious. Johnson for such a big hitter is one of the top ranked putters on tour which is obviously very important around Augusta.

    I've only placed two small bets on Betfair so far, waiting for the bookies to start offering more places first. Lynn has had a horrible year but 600.00 looked way to big, will lay him off if he starts ok.

    David Lynn @ 600.00
    Graham DeLaet at 99.00


    Would be great if people can keep us up to date when the bookies start to offer more places.


  • #3
    Collie D
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,400 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    In your spreadsheet is the third column from the right titled "Mark" your book?


  • #4
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Collie D wrote: »
    In your spreadsheet is the third column from the right titled "Mark" your book?


    Not my spreadsheet, does it not say Mike?

    https://twitter.com/SmartGolfBets


  • #5
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Right I have got on my Top end of the market done with

    Jason Day 23 win only
    Dustin Johnson 24 win only
    Zach Johnson 38 win and hope to do place

    Only ever won this once with Zach Johnson in 2007 but few ok places since too.

    Love this tournament aside from the betting. It really is the best tournament around


  • #6
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    This is how I'm spending my 22 quid this year :)


    Mcilroy, Rory 8/1 - 5 win
    Garcia, Sergio 33/1 - 2 e/w
    Dufner, Jason 50/1 - 1 e/w
    Poulter, Ian 50/1 - 1 e/w
    Reed, Patrick 66/1 - 1 e/w
    Cabrera, Angel 66/1 - 1 e/w
    Dubuisson, Victor 80/1 - 1 e/w
    Couples, Fred 125/1 - 1 e/w
    Lyle, Sandy 1000/1 - 0.50 e/w

    not trying to make money, trying to have fun :D


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  • #7
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Rikand wrote: »
    This is how I'm spending my 22 quid this year :)


    Mcilroy, Rory 8/1 - 5 win
    Garcia, Sergio 33/1 - 2 e/w
    Dufner, Jason 50/1 - 1 e/w
    Poulter, Ian 50/1 - 1 e/w
    Reed, Patrick 66/1 - 1 e/w
    Cabrera, Angel 66/1 - 1 e/w
    Dubuisson, Victor 80/1 - 1 e/w
    Couples, Fred 125/1 - 1 e/w
    Lyle, Sandy 1000/1 - 0.50 e/w

    not trying to make money, trying to have fun :D

    I was so close to backing Garcia.

    If im to win no money and 1 player is to win it besides I hope it Sergio.


  • #8
    Collie D
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,400 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    YayaBanana wrote: »
    Not my spreadsheet, does it not say Mike?

    https://twitter.com/SmartGolfBets

    It does but same question


  • #9
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Collie D wrote: »
    It does but same question

    No. The spreadsheet has nothing to do with me. The creator is Mike so I presume it is his book.


  • #10
    Collie D
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,400 ✭✭✭✭Collie D


    YayaBanana wrote: »
    No. The spreadsheet has nothing to do with me. The creator is Mike so I presume it is his book.

    Sorry, that's what I meant. Question was unclear but I got my answer :)


  • #11
    Degag
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,982 ✭✭✭Degag


    Few of the longer odds golfers I'm looking at are McDowell, Dufner and Mahan all at 50s and Fowler at 80s.


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  • #12
    lmao
    Registered Users Posts: 386 ✭✭lmao


    Will any bookies pay out on 6 places for the masters?


  • #13
    SnowDrifts
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,733 ✭✭✭SnowDrifts


    lmao wrote: »
    Will any bookies pay out on 6 places for the masters?

    Yes... and some go to 7 places. Odds will obviously shorten however.


  • #14
    Cjs21
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 546 ✭✭✭Cjs21


    Usually all of the bookies in Ireland will go to 6 places.

    I remember when Celtic were open they used go to 7 places and some years they went to 8 as far as I remember.

    This year it's hard to look by Jason Day.

    He has been awesome every year he has played here, except for when he WD over his injury and you have to say he has been the best player on tour all year.


  • #15
    Cjs21
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 546 ✭✭✭Cjs21


    Just announced, Tiger is out


  • #16
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Cjs21 wrote: »
    This year it's hard to look by Jason Day.

    He has been awesome every year he has played here, except for when he WD over his injury and you have to say he has been the best player on tour all year.

    Hard to say he's the best player this season, he's only played 3 events.

    He is definitely in with a very good chance, but so are 10 other players.


  • #17
    Cjs21
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 546 ✭✭✭Cjs21


    YayaBanana wrote: »
    Hard to say he's the best player this season, he's only played 3 events.

    He is definitely in with a very good chance, but so are 10 other players.

    It's just his overall golf through the 3 events that have been impressive

    His Driving accuracy has improved, the distance has always been long.

    His short game has come along but most of all his putting from 15 ft or less is after turning into one of the best, if not the best on tour. If you can drive straight and putt well then Augusta can be tamed.


  • #18
    Kirk Van Houten
    Registered Users Posts: 780 ✭✭✭Kirk Van Houten


    Have backed the following at various stages over the last 2 months

    Zach Johnson
    Leishman
    Mahan
    Choi
    Oosthuizen
    McDowell


  • #19
    Pepp1989
    Registered Users Posts: 1,520 ✭✭✭Pepp1989


    I have money on Day, Stenson, Snedeker, Schwartzel, and McDowell. Had Cabrera last year. Great to have a few bob on someone who is involved on final day. Great buzz! Hoping Day is fit.


  • #20
    diomed
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,744 ✭✭✭diomed


    Graham Delaet 105.8
    Boo Weekley 761.6
    Jonas Blixt 430.3

    Last year it was Jason Day at 85s

    I expect Graham DeLaet to contend. He drives long, and his GIR is good.
    The OP picks well. :)


  • #21
    The Mig
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 2,034 Mod ✭✭✭✭The Mig


    5 e/w on each:

    Jason Day
    Henrik Stenson
    Bubba Watson
    Hunter Mahan


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  • #22
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Bit worried about backing Jason Day all of sudden.

    Apparently he is only been working on his short game.

    Fingers crossed he be ready 100% for Masters.


  • #23
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Anyone know anything about Nick Watney? He hasn't played in a few weeks but he usually goes ok at Augusta.


  • #24
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    YayaBanana wrote: »
    Anyone know anything about Nick Watney? He hasn't played in a few weeks but he usually goes ok at Augusta.

    Good question.

    I have read last week he will make it. How true that is im not certain.

    He was a player I was certain would win major 4-5 years ago.

    Has the quality.

    If I hear or see anything I link it here and let you know.


  • #25
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Added Sergio yesterday at 30/1. Just have a gut feeling more then anything. I think he could give this a right good go especially with Tiger out and Phil injury concerns.

    Edit:Just see he is leading in Huston. Not sure if I want him playing that well this week.


  • #26
    rambojon
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 213 ✭✭rambojon


    Nearly as easy as picking the winner of the national tomorrow! Complete lottery job IMO ! Much prefer to play the selected markets on top country player etc. paddy having another howler👎!


  • #27
    petitegall
    Registered Users Posts: 6 ✭petitegall


    Lump on Justin ROse!


  • #28
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    lmao wrote: »
    Will any bookies pay out on 6 places for the masters?

    Paddy Power now going 6 places

    afaik they are the only bookie so far.


  • #29
    bradlente
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,911 ✭✭✭bradlente


    Any idea if Dustin Johnson will withdraw?


  • #30
    SnowDrifts
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,733 ✭✭✭SnowDrifts


    bradlente wrote: »
    Any idea if Dustin Johnson will withdraw?

    He only withdrew the other day because he was having a mare. I think his caddie was quoted as saying Dustin's back was "stiff" or something.

    He will be at Augusta and has probably been practicing there today and will tomorrow as bad weather is forecast for Monday.


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  • #31
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Tiger(gone), Dustin, Day, Watney, Mickelson, Oosthuizen the injury list will be doubled by Thursday way things are going


  • #32
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    The_Kew_Tour wrote: »
    Tiger(gone), Dustin, Day, Watney, Mickelson, Oosthuizen the injury list will be doubled by Thursday way things are going

    I was just thinking the same thing yesterday, a lot of big names not at 100%, probably be Kuchars best chance to get himself a major. He has obviously been very impressive the last 2 weeks but he is in serious form this season and has a very good record at Augusta, he is from Georgia too so he knows this place, still 20/1 with Boyles so I think I'll have a large enough stake on him to win.

    Disappointing to see so many players injured, I think Kuchar will be my only bet of anyone below 50's so it will be a large stake on him and a few smaller bets on a few outsiders., Scott is the only other one below 50/1 that I think has a very good chance but I think you would need to be mad to go near Scott below 10's.


  • #33
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    YayaBanana wrote: »
    I was just thinking the same thing yesterday, a lot of big names not at 100%, probably be Kuchars best chance to get himself a major. He has obviously been very impressive the last 2 weeks but he is in serious form this season and has a very good record at Augusta, he is from Georgia too so he knows this place, still 20/1 with Boyles so I think I'll have a large enough stake on him to win.

    Disappointing to see so many players injured, I think Kuchar will be my only bet of anyone below 50's so it will be a large stake on him and a few smaller bets on a few outsiders., Scott is the only other one below 50/1 that I think has a very good chance but I think you would need to be mad to go near Scott below 10's.

    Ya agree here. I kinda looking at my bets and wondering have I made right calls on the 4 I backed now.

    I do see myself getting on couple of triple figure odds players.

    Im looking at Bowditch. I have been reading about him since his win and some of the comments I have heard are very impressive, not just you're normal "he has talent" comments, but some stand outs.

    I threw a article up in Golf fourm about his battles and now he has his first win it may lead to something bigger. He is a guy that might very easy miss cut, but at the price I see him at, im tempted. Nothing to lose week for guys like him. You can throw 10-20 names into that hat though tbf.

    will leave the last few bets till next week now. Its very open this year as much as any I can remember.


  • #34
    Tsipras
    Closed Accounts Posts: 493 ✭✭Tsipras


    I fancy Z.Johnson and Dufner.. D.Johnson too but he's a shocking price


  • #35
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Tsipras wrote: »
    I fancy Z.Johnson and Dufner.. D.Johnson too but he's a shocking price

    Good picks. Went with Zach myself. Always been god to me when I have backed him. Just shyed away from Dufner, but more then capable and solid chance.

    Then again I like about 15-20 players chances:pac:


  • #36
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Boyles still only offering 5 places but offering moneyback if your player finishes 2nd or 3rd.


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  • #37
    diomed
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,744 ✭✭✭diomed


    I've added Kevin Stadler at odds of 318.2 to my bets.
    He won the Phoenix Open this year, is ranked 4th in driving, and 7th all-around ranking.
    And just added to it at odds of 400 and 410.


  • #38
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Trying to narrow this down to 6 or 7 bets is very hard


  • #39
    Jimdagym
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭Jimdagym


    I think Gmac is a great price at 50's. 4 top tens from 6 events (albeit going back to oct).
    I was mad for Kuch but after this weekend I just dont know. McIlroy finishing today with a 65 and top 10 really sets him up too.


  • #40
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Just back anybody from Australia next week it seems. Another winner today


  • #41
    bradlente
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,911 ✭✭✭bradlente


    I suppose if you back someone before the extended places offers you miss out on the extra places?


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  • #42
    Rikand
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    The_Kew_Tour wrote: »
    Just back anybody from Australia next week it seems. Another winner today

    Could definitely be worth a sniff the way he played today.


  • #43
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    bradlente wrote: »
    I suppose if you back someone before the extended places offers you miss out on the extra places?

    Yes you do, sadly.


  • #44
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    Bowditch 2e @520 on betfair. Will nibble at top 10 too.


  • #45
    Dolph Starbeam
    Registered Users Posts: 4,536 ✭✭✭Dolph Starbeam


    Ladbrokes offering money back if a European wins.


  • #46
    Pilsbury Doughboy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,142 ✭✭✭Pilsbury Doughboy


    I have DJ, Bubba, ZJ, G-Mac, Haas, Bradley all backed on BF win only

    I have Ricke, Furyk, English, Couples on PP each way.


  • #47
    bradlente
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,911 ✭✭✭bradlente


    Have Leishman,English,De Laet,Kaymer,Haas,Bubba,Bjorn,Oosthuizen,Poulter and Horschel.

    Backed a few as far back as January.Got Bubba @67,but at the same time backed Bjorn @126 and he's out to 251 now.Missed out on all of the extra places from backing early.


  • #48
    SnowDrifts
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,733 ✭✭✭SnowDrifts


    McIlroy - 9/1 win
    Jason Day - 20/1 win
    Dustin Johnson - 22/1 win
    Brandt Snedeker - 40/1 ew
    Matt Kucher - 40/1 ew
    Ian Poulter - 60/1 ew
    Angel Cabrera 66/1 ew
    Lee Westwood 66/1 ew


  • #49
    Pilsbury Doughboy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,142 ✭✭✭Pilsbury Doughboy


    Hey snow, where or when did you get that tasty Kuchar price?

    Brad - I took Bubba @30 so very nice getting 67!


  • #50
    SnowDrifts
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,733 ✭✭✭SnowDrifts


    Pilsbury Doughboy wrote: »
    Hey snow, where or when did you get that tasty Kuchar price?

    Brad - I took Bubba @30 so very nice getting 67!

    I got all of those, with the exception of Cabrera, 2 weeks ago. Sort of happy to see Kuchar not take the win last night... so no jinx for him this week! :D


  • #51
    The_Kew_Tour
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,424 ✭✭✭✭The_Kew_Tour


    << Prays any player he pick does not win Par 3 contest.


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