Masters 2014 Betting

Dolph Starbeam

New thread up for the Masters in the golf forum so it will be worth keeping the betting talk in a separate thread.

Golf Forum Thread -> http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057178354


Smart Golf Bets -> https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Ajc8GgQGM23DdFdTRmktTUc2UmRCajdqYTl2ZW1falE&output=html


Field so far

Bae, Sang-Moon
Bjorn, Thomas
Blixt, Jonas
Bradley, Keegan
Cabrera, Angel
Castro, Roberto
Choi, K.J.
Cink, Stewart
Clark, Tim
Clarke, Darren
Couples, Fred
Crenshaw, Ben
Day, Jason
DeJonge, Brendon
Delaet, Graham
Donald, Luke
Donaldson, Jamie
Dubuisson, Victor
Dufner, Jason
Duke, Ken
Els, Ernie
English, Harris
Ernst, Derek
Every, Matt
Fernandez-Castano, Gonzalo
Fitzpatrick, Matthew
Fowler, Rickie
Furyk, Jim
Garcia, Sergio
Glover, Lucas
Goss, Oliver
Grace, Branden
Haas, Bill
Hanson, Peter
Henley, Russell
Horschel, Billy
Huh, John
Immelman, Trevor
Jaidee, Thongchai
Jimenez, Miguel-Angel
Johnson, Dustin
Johnson, Zach
Kaymer, Martin
Kirk, Chris
Kuchar, Matt
Langer, Bernhard
Lee, Chang-Woo
Leishman, Marc
Luiten, Joost
Lyle, Sandy
Lynn, David
Mahan, Hunter
Manassero, Matteo
Matsuyama, Hideki
McCoy, Michael
McDowell, Graeme
McIlroy, Rory
Mickelson, Phil
Mize, Larry
Molinari, Francesco
Moore, Ryan
Niebrugge, Jordan
O'Meara, Mark
Olazabal, Jose-Maria
Olesen, Thorbjorn
Oosthuizen, Louis
Points, D.A.
Porteous, Garrick
Poulter, Ian
Reed, Patrick
Rose, Justin
Schwartzel, Charl
Scott, Adam
Senden, John
Simpson, Webb
Singh, Vijay
Snedeker, Brandt
Spieth, Jordan
Stadler, Craig
Stadler, Kevin
Stallings, Scott
Stenson, Henrik
Streelman, Kevin
Stricker, Steve
Walker, Jimmy
Watney, Nick
Watson, Bubba
Watson, Tom
Weekley, Boo
Weir, Mike
Westwood, Lee
Woodland, Gary
Woods, Tiger
Woosnam, Ian
Yang, Yong-Eun

Dolph Starbeam

Day (20's) and Dustin Johnson (22's) are the two front runners I fancy. Day has had a couple weeks off with his thumb injury but as far as I know it wasn't anything serious. Johnson for such a big hitter is one of the top ranked putters on tour which is obviously very important around Augusta.

I've only placed two small bets on Betfair so far, waiting for the bookies to start offering more places first. Lynn has had a horrible year but 600.00 looked way to big, will lay him off if he starts ok.

David Lynn @ 600.00
Graham DeLaet at 99.00


Would be great if people can keep us up to date when the bookies start to offer more places.

Collie D

In your spreadsheet is the third column from the right titled "Mark" your book?

Dolph Starbeam

Collie D wrote: »

In your spreadsheet is the third column from the right titled "Mark" your book?

Not my spreadsheet, does it not say Mike?

https://twitter.com/SmartGolfBets

The_Kew_Tour

Right I have got on my Top end of the market done with

Jason Day 23 win only
Dustin Johnson 24 win only
Zach Johnson 38 win and hope to do place

Only ever won this once with Zach Johnson in 2007 but few ok places since too.

Love this tournament aside from the betting. It really is the best tournament around

Rikand

This is how I'm spending my 22 quid this year


Mcilroy, Rory 8/1 - 5 win
Garcia, Sergio 33/1 - 2 e/w
Dufner, Jason 50/1 - 1 e/w
Poulter, Ian 50/1 - 1 e/w
Reed, Patrick 66/1 - 1 e/w
Cabrera, Angel 66/1 - 1 e/w
Dubuisson, Victor 80/1 - 1 e/w
Couples, Fred 125/1 - 1 e/w
Lyle, Sandy 1000/1 - 0.50 e/w

not trying to make money, trying to have fun

The_Kew_Tour

Rikand wrote: »

This is how I'm spending my 22 quid this year


Mcilroy, Rory 8/1 - 5 win
Garcia, Sergio 33/1 - 2 e/w
Dufner, Jason 50/1 - 1 e/w
Poulter, Ian 50/1 - 1 e/w
Reed, Patrick 66/1 - 1 e/w
Cabrera, Angel 66/1 - 1 e/w
Dubuisson, Victor 80/1 - 1 e/w
Couples, Fred 125/1 - 1 e/w
Lyle, Sandy 1000/1 - 0.50 e/w

not trying to make money, trying to have fun

I was so close to backing Garcia.

If im to win no money and 1 player is to win it besides I hope it Sergio.

Collie D

YayaBanana wrote: »

Not my spreadsheet, does it not say Mike?

https://twitter.com/SmartGolfBets

It does but same question

Dolph Starbeam

Collie D wrote: »

It does but same question

No. The spreadsheet has nothing to do with me. The creator is Mike so I presume it is his book.

Collie D

YayaBanana wrote: »

No. The spreadsheet has nothing to do with me. The creator is Mike so I presume it is his book.

Sorry, that's what I meant. Question was unclear but I got my answer

Degag

Few of the longer odds golfers I'm looking at are McDowell, Dufner and Mahan all at 50s and Fowler at 80s.

lmao

Will any bookies pay out on 6 places for the masters?

SnowDrifts

lmao wrote: »

Will any bookies pay out on 6 places for the masters?

Yes... and some go to 7 places. Odds will obviously shorten however.

Cjs21

Usually all of the bookies in Ireland will go to 6 places.

I remember when Celtic were open they used go to 7 places and some years they went to 8 as far as I remember.

This year it's hard to look by Jason Day.

He has been awesome every year he has played here, except for when he WD over his injury and you have to say he has been the best player on tour all year.

Cjs21

Just announced, Tiger is out

Dolph Starbeam

Cjs21 wrote: »

This year it's hard to look by Jason Day.

He has been awesome every year he has played here, except for when he WD over his injury and you have to say he has been the best player on tour all year.

Hard to say he's the best player this season, he's only played 3 events.

He is definitely in with a very good chance, but so are 10 other players.

Cjs21

YayaBanana wrote: »

Hard to say he's the best player this season, he's only played 3 events.

He is definitely in with a very good chance, but so are 10 other players.

It's just his overall golf through the 3 events that have been impressive

His Driving accuracy has improved, the distance has always been long.

His short game has come along but most of all his putting from 15 ft or less is after turning into one of the best, if not the best on tour. If you can drive straight and putt well then Augusta can be tamed.

Kirk Van Houten

Have backed the following at various stages over the last 2 months

Zach Johnson
Leishman
Mahan
Choi
Oosthuizen
McDowell

Pepp1989

I have money on Day, Stenson, Snedeker, Schwartzel, and McDowell. Had Cabrera last year. Great to have a few bob on someone who is involved on final day. Great buzz! Hoping Day is fit.

diomed

Graham Delaet 105.8
Boo Weekley 761.6
Jonas Blixt 430.3

Last year it was Jason Day at 85s

I expect Graham DeLaet to contend. He drives long, and his GIR is good.
The OP picks well.

The Mig

5 e/w on each:

Jason Day
Henrik Stenson
Bubba Watson
Hunter Mahan

The_Kew_Tour

Bit worried about backing Jason Day all of sudden.

Apparently he is only been working on his short game.

Fingers crossed he be ready 100% for Masters.

Dolph Starbeam

Anyone know anything about Nick Watney? He hasn't played in a few weeks but he usually goes ok at Augusta.

The_Kew_Tour

YayaBanana wrote: »

Anyone know anything about Nick Watney? He hasn't played in a few weeks but he usually goes ok at Augusta.

Good question.

I have read last week he will make it. How true that is im not certain.

He was a player I was certain would win major 4-5 years ago.

Has the quality.

If I hear or see anything I link it here and let you know.

The_Kew_Tour

Added Sergio yesterday at 30/1. Just have a gut feeling more then anything. I think he could give this a right good go especially with Tiger out and Phil injury concerns.

Edit:Just see he is leading in Huston. Not sure if I want him playing that well this week.

rambojon

Nearly as easy as picking the winner of the national tomorrow! Complete lottery job IMO ! Much prefer to play the selected markets on top country player etc. paddy having another howler👎!

petitegall

Lump on Justin ROse!

The_Kew_Tour

lmao wrote: »

Will any bookies pay out on 6 places for the masters?

Paddy Power now going 6 places

afaik they are the only bookie so far.

bradlente

Any idea if Dustin Johnson will withdraw?

SnowDrifts

bradlente wrote: »

Any idea if Dustin Johnson will withdraw?

He only withdrew the other day because he was having a mare. I think his caddie was quoted as saying Dustin's back was "stiff" or something.

He will be at Augusta and has probably been practicing there today and will tomorrow as bad weather is forecast for Monday.

The_Kew_Tour

Tiger(gone), Dustin, Day, Watney, Mickelson, Oosthuizen the injury list will be doubled by Thursday way things are going

Dolph Starbeam

The_Kew_Tour wrote: »

Tiger(gone), Dustin, Day, Watney, Mickelson, Oosthuizen the injury list will be doubled by Thursday way things are going

I was just thinking the same thing yesterday, a lot of big names not at 100%, probably be Kuchars best chance to get himself a major. He has obviously been very impressive the last 2 weeks but he is in serious form this season and has a very good record at Augusta, he is from Georgia too so he knows this place, still 20/1 with Boyles so I think I'll have a large enough stake on him to win.

Disappointing to see so many players injured, I think Kuchar will be my only bet of anyone below 50's so it will be a large stake on him and a few smaller bets on a few outsiders., Scott is the only other one below 50/1 that I think has a very good chance but I think you would need to be mad to go near Scott below 10's.

The_Kew_Tour

YayaBanana wrote: »

I was just thinking the same thing yesterday, a lot of big names not at 100%, probably be Kuchars best chance to get himself a major. He has obviously been very impressive the last 2 weeks but he is in serious form this season and has a very good record at Augusta, he is from Georgia too so he knows this place, still 20/1 with Boyles so I think I'll have a large enough stake on him to win.

Disappointing to see so many players injured, I think Kuchar will be my only bet of anyone below 50's so it will be a large stake on him and a few smaller bets on a few outsiders., Scott is the only other one below 50/1 that I think has a very good chance but I think you would need to be mad to go near Scott below 10's.

Ya agree here. I kinda looking at my bets and wondering have I made right calls on the 4 I backed now.

I do see myself getting on couple of triple figure odds players.

Im looking at Bowditch. I have been reading about him since his win and some of the comments I have heard are very impressive, not just you're normal "he has talent" comments, but some stand outs.

I threw a article up in Golf fourm about his battles and now he has his first win it may lead to something bigger. He is a guy that might very easy miss cut, but at the price I see him at, im tempted. Nothing to lose week for guys like him. You can throw 10-20 names into that hat though tbf.

will leave the last few bets till next week now. Its very open this year as much as any I can remember.

Tsipras

I fancy Z.Johnson and Dufner.. D.Johnson too but he's a shocking price

The_Kew_Tour

Tsipras wrote: »

I fancy Z.Johnson and Dufner.. D.Johnson too but he's a shocking price

Good picks. Went with Zach myself. Always been god to me when I have backed him. Just shyed away from Dufner, but more then capable and solid chance.

Then again I like about 15-20 players chances:pac:

Dolph Starbeam

Boyles still only offering 5 places but offering moneyback if your player finishes 2nd or 3rd.

diomed

I've added Kevin Stadler at odds of 318.2 to my bets.
He won the Phoenix Open this year, is ranked 4th in driving, and 7th all-around ranking.
And just added to it at odds of 400 and 410.

The_Kew_Tour

Trying to narrow this down to 6 or 7 bets is very hard

Jimdagym

I think Gmac is a great price at 50's. 4 top tens from 6 events (albeit going back to oct).
I was mad for Kuch but after this weekend I just dont know. McIlroy finishing today with a 65 and top 10 really sets him up too.

The_Kew_Tour

Just back anybody from Australia next week it seems. Another winner today

bradlente

I suppose if you back someone before the extended places offers you miss out on the extra places?

Rikand

The_Kew_Tour wrote: »

Just back anybody from Australia next week it seems. Another winner today

Could definitely be worth a sniff the way he played today.

The_Kew_Tour

bradlente wrote: »

I suppose if you back someone before the extended places offers you miss out on the extra places?

Yes you do, sadly.

The_Kew_Tour

Bowditch 2e @520 on betfair. Will nibble at top 10 too.

Dolph Starbeam

Ladbrokes offering money back if a European wins.

Pilsbury Doughboy

I have DJ, Bubba, ZJ, G-Mac, Haas, Bradley all backed on BF win only

I have Ricke, Furyk, English, Couples on PP each way.

bradlente

Have Leishman,English,De Laet,Kaymer,Haas,Bubba,Bjorn,Oosthuizen,Poulter and Horschel.

Backed a few as far back as January.Got Bubba @67,but at the same time backed Bjorn @126 and he's out to 251 now.Missed out on all of the extra places from backing early.

SnowDrifts

McIlroy - 9/1 win
Jason Day - 20/1 win
Dustin Johnson - 22/1 win
Brandt Snedeker - 40/1 ew
Matt Kucher - 40/1 ew
Ian Poulter - 60/1 ew
Angel Cabrera 66/1 ew
Lee Westwood 66/1 ew

Pilsbury Doughboy

Hey snow, where or when did you get that tasty Kuchar price?

Brad - I took Bubba @30 so very nice getting 67!

SnowDrifts

Pilsbury Doughboy wrote: »

Hey snow, where or when did you get that tasty Kuchar price?

Brad - I took Bubba @30 so very nice getting 67!

I got all of those, with the exception of Cabrera, 2 weeks ago. Sort of happy to see Kuchar not take the win last night... so no jinx for him this week!

The_Kew_Tour

<< Prays any player he pick does not win Par 3 contest.