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Atlantic Storm Watch 2014: February/March

M.T. Cranium · 2014-02-03 23:32:50

The weather crew have been tracking a rapidly intensifying low that is expected to track northeast across Ireland Tuesday night. By late afternoon this will be near or just southwest of Valentia at 947 mb, and winds from the southeast to south could gust over 120 km/hr near the south coast and in exposed locations inland.…

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#1262 14-02-2014 8:02pm
Caruth

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The tide forecast for tomorrow morning is a little higher than this evening and unless the flow from the river upstream eases by a good bit then the water around Morrisons Island will probably come up a few inches higher than it did this evening. High tide tomorrow morning will be at about 05:55.

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#1263 14-02-2014 8:39pm
maquiladora

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I think whatever Level 2 part of this that was is now over...

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#1264 14-02-2014 9:18pm
Zoney

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Still snow lying in Castlebar, very little seen by the edge of the road until 1st roundabout on the Breaffy side, then still a coating around the place after that! Glad for driving that it wasn't for the cross-country bit!

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#1265 14-02-2014 10:06pm
Padraig Mor

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Getting some menacing sounding gusts from nw now in Cork harbour.

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#1266 14-02-2014 10:28pm
Oscar Bravo

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Winds now gone around to the NW in Castlebar and increasing with some nice gusts.

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#1267 14-02-2014 10:48pm
Iamkipper

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Just now on Cnn, sky Chanel 506 just showing weather and talking about floods and 2 more storms coming in, also just showd a graph from the met of the rain fall over the last 100yrs and it shows it getting wetter and wetter

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#1268 14-02-2014 10:54pm
uck51js9zml2yt

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Iamkipper wrote: »

Just now on Cnn, sky Chanel 506 just showing weather and talking about floods and 2 more storms coming in, also just showd a graph from the met of the rain fall over the last 100yrs and it shows it getting wetter and wetter

It's ok, I saw the Me forecast tonight on Rte. There will be no storms this week

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#1269 14-02-2014 10:54pm
Birroc

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Very benign day here in Galway. It was actually quite nice. Very little wind if any and not much rain. It is cold though. I was down at the local farmers market earlier and it was half empty because many of the stall holders expected bad weather. Did we miss this latest event or is it happening later?

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#1270 14-02-2014 11:12pm
Oneiric 3

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Just looking at tonight's ECMWF ensemble mean charts post 192 hrs. The pattern they show bear an almost scary resemblance to those which they showed about a week before the start of the very unsettled spell back in mid-December. The charts are so far out as to be not taken seriously at this stage but there seems to be a little consistency over the last few runs for another large-scale trough to develop over the north Atlantic which could help to trigger off another period of unsettled weather as we run into the last 3rd of the month. This particular trough does not look as potent as the current one as this model is placing it more north which would help to shift primary storm tracks more north (or on a more 'normal' track) than recently.

All theoretical at this stage but given the consistently high performance of this model's mean runs this winter, something to maybe keep an eye on. Of course, could all change again tomorrow :pac:

Tonight's 216 hr EC en chart:

New Moon

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#1271 14-02-2014 11:22pm
Steopo

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Should start to get some reports of stronger winds soon as the centre moves away from Ireland in next few hours after the country spent most of the afternoon/evening experiencing calm in middle of storm

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#1272 14-02-2014 11:24pm
Oscar Bravo

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Spot on Steopo, stronger winds have arrived here in Castlebar in the past couple of hours. some nice gusts. NW'LY.

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#1273 14-02-2014 11:33pm
Padraig Mor

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Yeah, just went out to move our bin after it was blown over and it is BITTER outside (Cork harbour). Winds pretty breezy now, whistling through the tired remains of my fence.

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#1274 15-02-2014 12:17am
Harps

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Very windy here in London tonight, easily the worst day we've had all winter. Not west coast of Ireland standards but an impressive enough storm with a real roar from the wind and a surprisingly strong sustained wind

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#1275 15-02-2014 12:28am
pauldry

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Today there was everything in Sligo

Rain sleet snow some wind

This 600mm 10 storm winter has

1 more storm and 94mm of rain left in it!

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#1276 15-02-2014 12:37am
Claregirl

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Wind has picked up in Clare in the last 20 minutes or so - can hear it howling down the chimney:(

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#1277 15-02-2014 12:52am
Aimsir

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strong gusts in cork city south

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#1278 15-02-2014 1:24am
deisedevil

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Extremely strong gusts here in Dungarvan. Strange constant high pitched howling and thundering gusts. It's after blowing some things belong to the neighbours up the road. Are we looking at more of the same or just a mild dose of it?

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#1279 15-02-2014 10:09am
maquiladora

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UKMO seems to be showing another deepening depression crossing Ireland from the southwest between 120 and 144.

Probably won't come to anything, but if it pops up on the other models then maybe something to keep an eye on.

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#1280 15-02-2014 11:11am
Lumi

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Can we bring this thread back on topic please - it's for discussion of Atlantic storms going forward

If you wish to comment on the 12th Feb storm there's a thread open here

You can discuss/comment on Met Eireann's forecasts here

Some posts have been moved to more appropriate threads
Thanks

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#1281 15-02-2014 1:01pm
Mr Cumulonimbus

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maquiladora wrote: »

UKMO seems to be showing another deepening depression crossing Ireland from the southwest between 120 and 144.

Probably won't come to anything, but if it pops up on the other models then maybe something to keep an eye on.

6Z GFS at +120. Small feature to the NE of Scotland. Another small system E of Newfoundland (1010 mb) predicted to reach Ireland as a trough at +150.

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#1282 15-02-2014 6:00pm
maquiladora

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12Z UKMO has that low again at 120. Doesn't look much here but still worth keeping an eye on.

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#1283 15-02-2014 6:39pm
ninebeanrows

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First sign that GFS is beginning to pick up on a possible feature next Thursday, this time developing overland UK.

One to watch in next few days.

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#1284 16-02-2014 12:19am
vistafinder

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So is this cold plunge into the north east of America going to have more storms heading our way?

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#1285 16-02-2014 11:51pm
Steopo

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Way in the future so unlikely to pan out like this that but impressive storm set-up, bigger than most of Europe!

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#1286 17-02-2014 12:32am
SpaceTime

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It's actually quite stormy tonight in Cork.
Wind's quite significant and it's extremely wet.

This system seems to really just keep on coming!

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#1287 17-02-2014 12:53am
Aimsir

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SpaceTime wrote: »

It's actually quite stormy tonight in Cork.
Wind's quite significant and it's extremely wet.

This system seems to really just keep on coming!

Yes, wasn't expecting this.

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#1288 17-02-2014 11:05am
ninebeanrows

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Well, this system looks familar! The 6z GFS has just picked up that developed for late Thursday that there was some suggestion of by UKM a few days ago.

Very much an outlier, but certainly one to watch.

@ 84hrs

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#1289 17-02-2014 11:46am
ninebeanrows

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There was also some support from the 00z GEM

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#1290 17-02-2014 1:22pm
cherryghost

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Just shows how difficult the system is to pick these up. Big change from +78 to +72hrs.

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#1291 17-02-2014 1:25pm
SpaceTime

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Is that on a more northerly track than previous storms?

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