Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Graces7 · 28-07-2010 03:07PM

Hearing about the heat there from " family" on Salt Spring Island who are suffering. Fire watch is intense there also.

Joe Public · 28-07-2010 11:57PM

Met eireann are giving a highest of 18 - 22C for tomorrow Thursday so it will be interesting to see what the temps actually reach.

M.T. Cranium · 29-07-2010 06:52AM

Thursday, 29 July, 2010
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TODAY ... turning warm or very warm in most places, although the west coast likely to remain under low cloud or local fog with drizzle and highs near 20 C, otherwise, highs should reach 23-26 C under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be rather light allowing sea breezes to develop, these will tend to clear the skies near the south and east coasts but also could bring slightly cooler marine air some distance inland. The west coast low cloud and fog may lift at times by late afternoon and evening allowing some places there to see highs of about 22 C.

TONIGHT ... very warm and muggy, feeling oppressive for some (perhaps many?) with a few showers developing in Connacht. Lows 16-18 C.

FRIDAY ... The showers or periods of rain in Connacht and west Ulster will gradually develop further south and east into heavier showers and even a few thunderstorms possibly, with locally strong wind gusts. Otherwise, the day will be breezy (WSW 15-25 mph) and highs will reach 22-24 C (closer to 20 in the northwest). Some heavy rainfalls are possible (10-20 mms).

SATURDAY ... After a somewhat cooler but cloudy night with lows near 13 C, the day will become partly cloudy, breezy and mostly dry but with a few isolated showers. Fresher with lower humidity. Highs 21-22 C. Winds WSW 15-30 mph.

SUNDAY ... Partly cloudy, breezy, possibly some morning showers mainly in the southwest. Highs near 21 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY are looking like another somewhat warmer period (22-24 C) with partly to mostly cloudy skies, leading to showers mid-week. The current model runs are backing off any real cooling trend, just a slight dip in temperatures later in the week (18-20 C). There are indications of further warm spells in August.

Meanwhile, the hot dry spell continues unabated here with Wednesday's high about 29 C. Severe thunderstorms crossed parts of Michigan, Ontario, Ohio and New York state earlier today and the current warm spell will end with storms later today on the east coast. No real signs of the next named storm after Bonnie's rather subdued performance (which actually seems to have helped disperse the oil slick in the Gulf).

Mobhi1 · 29-07-2010 01:22PM

Can't see us reaching those temps today, MT. Still below 18C in most of the country. The warmest is only 18C in Valentia, nearest the "warm wedge".

M.T. Cranium · 29-07-2010 04:08PM

UPDATE _ Thursday, 4 p.m.
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True enough, the clearing has been rather slow to develop and the low cloud deck has prevented much warming from taking place, especially in Leinster where I probably factored in the idea of gradual clearing. There could be some sunshine breaking through in the late afternoon, as I see it is sunny in parts of Munster now, and this may boost the temperatures slightly by 5-6 p.m. in some places, but with the sun being at a lower angle by then, difficult to warm up the air mass much. This will also impact on the predicted overnight lows, so would say 14-16 C more likely, still likely to feel rather muggy.

Oh well, in this project I feel like I have been living somewhat of a charmed life so it's probably overdue for a sort of mea culpa moment, will leave any technical discussion until the event has played itself out. Could turn out to be a lovely warm evening at least.

M.T. Cranium · 30-07-2010 06:38AM

Friday, 30 July, 2010
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TODAY ... Showery outbreaks of rain are moving across northern and eastern Ireland already, with a second and potentially heavier band developing off the west coast. This second front may develop some gusty thunderstorms by mid-day in central to eastern Ireland. The south could have a few sunny breaks before this front arrives (and the bulk of the first wave has already moved past the south, missing most of Munster). At the moment, I am issuing a watch for potential severe storms and will upgrade this to an alert if radar or other visual evidence requires (also, of course, consult the official sources). The approximate track for any heavy to severe showers or storms would be through central and also northern counties mostly, including Dublin by mid-day. The south may see more hit and miss showers but could be in on the action eventually.

Some sunshine could develop after the second front passes (a cold front) but there will be some gusty westerly winds at this point (20-35 mph) and a few residual showers mainly over Connacht. More widespread showers could redevelop in the evening with a secondary frontal trough.

Highs today are likely to be 19-21 C and will probably occur after the mid-day stormy period for most, so expect readings about 17-18 C through much of the morning.

An alert will be issued in this thread if needed (I plan to watch the radar closely until 1230 at least, coffee at the ready).

TONIGHT ... breezy, or windy near the west coast, WSW 20-30 with gusts to 45 possible, further showers and a bit of hail or thunder with these in a few spots, lows 11-13 C.

SATURDAY ... bright to sunny intervals developing, still quite breezy but calming down somewhat, a few widely separated showers redeveloping, winds W 15-25 mph and highs near 19 or 20 C.

SUNDAY ... cloudy to start with some rain spreading through Munster heading off to the southeast mid-morning, a little brighter mid-day, winds falling off rather light then turning more WNW and gusty by afternoon. Lows near 11 C and highs near 19 C.

MONDAY-TUESDAY ... Fair and dry at first on Monday, rather cloudy, then periods of drizzle or rain spreading onto the west coast and slowly further inland, possibly remaining dry in eastern counties, then the cloud and rain heading further east overnight to produce a showery and partly cloudy, rather warm day on Tuesday. Highs near 18 C on Monday and 21 C on Tuesday.

OUTLOOK ... Showery, near normal temperatures, indications of a very warm period to follow (I know ... :cool:) ... this time of more anticyclonic and light to easterly wind origins.

Meanwhile, we had another dry day here with the exception of some fog and drizzle that blew in from a marine layer at about 0830 local time here, and lasted about an hour (just a trace of rain really), back to full sunshine by about 1030. It was a bit cooler near the coast today (23 C here). Fairly typical late July weather across most of North America today, the extreme heat has relented but it's still near 32 C in much of the northeast U.S.

Watch for updates as the showers come ashore and possibly develop further through the morning.

Graces7 · 30-07-2010 08:41AM

Thankfully cooler in Salt Spring yesterdayl it has been so hot that the snakes are out in the garden, basking.. Rain is desperately needed; wish we could send some of what is drumming a jig on the windows just now.. poor dogs here are getting cabin fever

M.T. Cranium · 31-07-2010 07:17AM

Saturday, 31 July, 2010
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TODAY ... a rather damp start in the south and southeast, and also in northern Donegal into other parts of Ulster later, but rainfall amounts in most cases only 2-3 mms ... brighter skies will gradually move inland from the west coast and there could be some decent sunny intervals mid-day with winds freshening from the WSW veering somewhat more to WNW later, 15-30 mph. Still the risk of showers later afternoon, highs 17-19 C.

TONIGHT ... variable cloud but rain moving into the southwest, 3-5 mms possible, showers elsewhere after midnight mainly, and lows 11-12 C.

SUNDAY ... rather similar to today, a damp start in the southwest and possibly elsewhere, brighter mid-day, rather cool in a fresh WNW wind and highs 17-19 C.

MONDAY ... increasing cloud after a cool start (lows 8-10 C), any sunshine likely to be around late morning to mid-day and better to the east than elsewhere, as rain slowly moves into the west coast by late in the day, winds backing to SW 10-20 mph and highs near 17 C.

TUESDAY ... intervals of rain and rather muggy with highs 18-19 C.

WEDNESDAY ... showery, breezy, brighter for most regions, highs 17-18 C.

Here, we had a mostly sunny day (again) with highs of about 22 C on Friday. We are also heading into a three-day weekend with little change in sight in our dry weather pattern.

Well, not the greatest scenario for your holiday weekend, but there should be enough dry intervals to get out and enjoy things ... at least forest fires are not in the equation as they are in this part of the world.

Deep Easterly · 31-07-2010 02:51PM

Thanks M.T. Pretty much a continuation of the current mediocrity so with the proposterously inflated Azores high to our SW keeping us in this woefully bland regime of weak, pointless passing fronts followed by foul looking diluted maritime sourced sunshine that just makes the low turd shaped cumulus and Sc transulcidus look all the more obnoxious and displeasing. Continuous gloom laden drizzle is preferable to this watered down, worthless junk.

M.T. Cranium · 01-08-2010 07:53AM

Sunday, 1 August, 2010
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TODAY will see a little improvement as the morning unfolds, with only a few widely separated showers and brighter intervals in a steady WNW breeze of about 15-20 mph. Highs will reach 18-20 C. By this evening there may be some longer clear breaks.

TONIGHT will bring gradually increasing cloud especially in the west, where some light rain could develop after midnight. Lows will be generally 9-10 C.

MONDAY will become showery in the west and north, although still with some brighter intervals, but the east and south should remain mostly dry and could enjoy some longer sunny intervals, with highs in the range of 18-20 C.

TUESDAY will be mostly cloudy with some intervals of light rain or drizzle, and highs 17-19 C.

WEDNESDAY is now looking quite blustery and showery as a rather strong frontal wave develops, possibly bringing some rather heavy rainfall at times, and highs near 17 C.

Later in the week, a drying trend is likely and there could be significant improvement by the end of the week and the following weekend -- highs may begin to recover to 20-22 C with more sunshine.

Our month here ended dry despite some nearby thundershowers drifting around in the hills, and the day was partly cloudy with a high near 22 C on Saturday. Across North America tonight there are mostly near-normal temperatures and widespread clusters of thundershowers, some of them severe in the northern plains and Canadian prairies.

paulhac · 01-08-2010 12:26PM

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Thanks M.T. Pretty much a continuation of the current mediocrity so with the proposterously inflated Azores high to our SW keeping us in this woefully bland regime of weak, pointless passing fronts followed by foul looking diluted maritime sourced sunshine that just makes the low turd shaped cumulus and Sc transulcidus look all the more obnoxious and displeasing. Continuous gloom laden drizzle is preferable to this watered down, worthless junk.

Couldn't have put it better myself!!

M.T. Cranium · 02-08-2010 06:33AM

Monday, 2 August, 2010
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TODAY ... cloud will slowly increase from west to east, but this will leave many places dry for most of the day, as rain spreads gradually onto the west coast. Even here, it may not be a continuous rain, with 5-10 mms likely. The best chance of sunshine is evidently from the east coast around to the south coast. Highs will be 18-20 C.

TONIGHT ... intervals of rain spreading slowly east, eventually reaching the east coast, and 5-10 mms on average, with lows near 12 C.

TUESDAY ... variable cloud, rain tapering off to showers with some brighter intervals, rather warm, humid, highs 19-21 C.

WEDNESDAY ... mostly cloudy, showery, with blustery W to NW winds developing, risk of hail or thunder, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

THURSDAY ... variable cloud, only a few isolated showers, cool, highs near 17 or 18 C.

FRIDAY ... cloudy with a few showers or intervals of light rain, misty, cool with highs around 16-18 C.

OUTLOOK ... gradual improvements continue to be suggested (perhaps over-optimistically) by the models out beyond the more reliable 5-day period, but we can always hope ... if true, the models are suggesting more sunshine around next weekend into the following week and somewhat warmer temperatures.

Meanwhile, Sunday (1st) here was a cloudy day with watery sunshine at times by afternoon, and about 21-22 C for the high ... still very dry locally despite the close approach of some showers that missed us last night.

Looks like Colin, the third named storm of 2010, will be forming up soon northeast of Brazil and heading slowly for the general vicinity of Puerto Rico and the Bahamas. This could become a major storm as it's forming out in the central Atlantic with lots of time to mature.

Mobhi1 · 02-08-2010 03:19PM

Been cloudy here all day so far and it's only 16C. Can't see it getting much above 17C today.

M.T. Cranium · 03-08-2010 06:38AM

Tuesday, 3 August, 2010
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TODAY ... mostly cloudy with some patchy morning drizzle, possible a brief sunny interval around mid-day, then increasing cloud late afternoon, leading to heavier rain and gusty showers by evening. Warm and humid with highs of about 18-20 C. Winds WNW 15-25 mph backing to SW 10-20 mph.

TONIGHT ... cloudy with periods of rain, gusty winds and some heavier showers embedded, 5-10 mms of rain, lows 12-14 C. Winds SW 10-20 mph.

WEDNESDAY ... blustery morning showers, some clearing by afternoon, winds veering SSW to W 15-30 mph, fresher (less humid at least) with highs of 17-19 C.

THURSDAY ... partly cloudy, showery at times in northern counties, breezy with lows near 12 C, highs near 19 C.

FRIDAY ... showery with moderate SW winds, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

OUTLOOK ... gradual improvement through the following weekend, the week to follow looks more settled and perhaps a degree or two warmer by day (but cooler at night due to clearer skies).

Monday here was a partly sunny and warm day with highs near 25 C. It was the hottest day of the summer in Kansas and Oklahoma, with highs generally above 40 C and near 43 C in places. This heat was not incredibly humid, perhaps the corn crop has been harvested. Dew points were typically around 15 C. Meanwhile, Calgary in western Canada had a heavy thunderstorm which dropped the late afternoon temperature to just 12 C. :eek:

TD 4 continues not to be Colin yet, but probably will be soon ... however, the models give it little chance of becoming a hurricane. The track seems to be aiming past Puerto Rico towards the vicinity of Bermuda or possibly more like Bahamas and threatening Florida (in about a week), the uncertainty remains high. For the time being, this storm is heading west-north-west at a high rate of speed but should slow down later today.

secman · 03-08-2010 11:58AM

Heading to wedding on Fri and see MT is forecasting showery weather but on sun & mon last Met E are predicting heavy coast to coast heavy rain for Fri !

Secman

dacogawa · 03-08-2010 12:35PM

Hi M.T.

I'm wondering could you please add a cloud level forcast for the Perseid Meteor Shower (11th to 14th of August) as we trust you a lot more than the met!

I'm looking at heading to Wicklow on the night of Thurday 12th, would love to know the cloud levels so I could change my viewing spot if needed.

I know its over a week away but if you would be able to help out it would be great.

Thanks

M.T. Cranium · 03-08-2010 08:51PM

UPDATE _ Tuesday, 8:45 p.m.
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The aforementioned heavier showers for this evening (west) and tonight (rest of the country) seem to be increasing in strength rather quickly and will be moving ashore about 10 p.m. over western Mayo, probably reaching the central (in terms of north-south) counties by about 0100h and the east coast by about 0400h. Some local rainfalls of 10-20 mms possible along the main track of this disturbance from about Mayo southeast towards Wicklow.

In response to the two posts above, I will try to update the outlook for later next week as the picture becomes somewhat more certain, right now the basic good news is that a less cyclonic pattern is being predicted on the models, so the chances of clear skies have to be at least measurable (this week we could pretty well say 10-20 per cent). As to Friday, their idea of steady rain and my idea of showers may give you a sort of upper and lower end of an index of weather misery which will hopefully be in stark contrast to all other aspects of the occasion. But I currently see Friday as being wet to start with a gradual trend to more showery conditions. So there may not be a lot of difference there actually. Hope this improves for you.

M.T. Cranium · 04-08-2010 06:19AM

Wednesday, 4 August, 2010
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TODAY ... cloudy with a few breaks this morning, still the odd leftover shower although most of the heavier rain has moved on, winds W or WNW 15-30 mph, and there could be some isolated heavier showers mainly in the north and west later today, but generally only 2-4 mms more rain on average. Highs about 17 C.

TONIGHT ... variable cloud, some clear breaks, slight chance of showers, winds relaxing a bit to WNW 10-20 mph, lows 8-10 C.

THURSDAY ... increasing cloud, periods of rain by late afternoon or evening heavy in western counties, highs 16-18 C.

FRIDAY ... heavy morning showers, gusty winds, blustery (SSW 15-30 mph veering to WSW 20-35 mph), bright intervals and passing squally showers, risk of a thunderstorm with hail ... highs 16-18 C.

SATURDAY ... gradual improvements as winds relax to WNW 10-20 mph, just a few showers left over, in variable cloud with some bright or sunny intervals, highs near 17 C.

SUNDAY ... partly cloudy, a bit warmer, highs 18-19 C.

I will post an update for next week later, wanted to get this forecast posted.

Our day here on Tuesday was mostly sunny and quite warm, but there were some dying weak thundershowers around, moving east to west, not dropping any rain locally but a few rumbles of distant thunder. The high was about 26.
The heat wave continues in the central states, and is spreading towards the east coast, but there's a strong charge of very chilly air heading south from north central Canada that will collide with the heat by about Thursday, leading to a major severe weather outbreak in the eastern U.S. and southern Ontario. Meanwhile, Colin came and went, the remnant low continues to move rapidly westward towards Puerto Rico, and there's talk of a renewed flare-up by Friday somewhere near the Bahamas. Some models show this low eventually heading into the jet stream towards the general area of Iceland in about two weeks.

M.T. Cranium · 04-08-2010 06:03PM

UPDATE _ Wednesday 6 p.m.
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This is the promised update for next week's weather pattern. It currently looks as though the unsettled pattern will tend to hold on for the first part of the week and Ireland will remain in a rather cool, showery northwesterly flow until mid-week. However, models are suggesting that Colin will redevelop over the weekend near the Bahamas and move into the jet stream east of New England by about Monday, heading towards Iceland by about late Wednesday or Thursday. This will tend to swell up the Azores high and would suggest some optimism for the Perseids meteor shower viewing prospects, although the details on that will not be very clear for a few days yet. In any case, the signs for the nights of the 11th-12th and 12th-13th being at least partly clear are better than most nights in the next two weeks at this point, so that's relatively good news. Anyone hoping to catch a view of the possible aurora borealis display tonight might also be in luck, if you're patient, as there could be some clear breaks -- usually these displays peak around midnight to 0200h local time as the auroral display moves around the magnetic field opposite to the sun (although in major displays you can get a better view earlier than midnight). I had a look here last night but was unable to find any clear skies due to high overcast and smoke layers from forest fires. Hoping to have better luck tonight. The moon won't be a problem as it rises well after midnight.

Graces7 · 04-08-2010 06:48PM

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

UPDATE _ Wednesday 6 p.m.
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This is the promised update for next week's weather pattern. It currently looks as though the unsettled pattern will tend to hold on for the first part of the week and Ireland will remain in a rather cool, showery northwesterly flow until mid-week. However, models are suggesting that Colin will redevelop over the weekend near the Bahamas and move into the jet stream east of New England by about Monday, heading towards Iceland by about late Wednesday or Thursday. This will tend to swell up the Azores high and would suggest some optimism for the Pleiades meteor shower viewing prospects, although the details on that will not be very clear for a few days yet. In any case, the signs for the nights of the 11th-12th and 12th-13th being at least partly clear are better than most nights in the next two weeks at this point, so that's relatively good news. Anyone hoping to catch a view of the possible aurora borealis display tonight might also be in luck, if you're patient, as there could be some clear breaks -- usually these displays peak around midnight to 0200h local time as the auroral display moves around the magnetic field opposite to the sun (although in major displays you can get a better view earlier than midnight). I had a look here last night but was unable to find any clear skies due to high overcast and smoke layers from forest fires. Hoping to have better luck tonight. The moon won't be a problem as it rises well after midnight.

We are hearing there re the forest fires; Salt Spring is still safe thankfully but all are fire watching there now. Used to see the "Merrie Dancers" frequently and clearly when lived on a North Isle off Scotland.

M.T. Cranium · 05-08-2010 06:27AM

Thursday, 5 August, 2010
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TODAY ... variable cloud with some isolated showers and some sunny intervals too, remaining mostly dry in the east through the day, but clouding up in the west with rain developing before evening, highs generally 17-19 C.

TONIGHT ... periods of rain, heavy at times, 20-30 mms possible (heavier amounts south-central), gusty SSW winds developing, foggy by morning and lows near 12 C.

FRIDAY ... rain clearing east, continuing heavy showers for part of the morning over Ulster and east coast of Leinster, brighter elsewhere and eventually to east coast as well, with more squally showers developing, winds veering to WSW 20-30 mph, risk of a thunderstorm too. Highs 16-18 C. Rainfall amounts of 10-20 mms additional.

SATURDAY ... partly cloudy, a few more showers mostly in Connacht and Ulster, winds W 20-30 mph, rather cool. Lows 7-9 C and highs 15-17 C.

SUNDAY ... models have shown quite a range of solutions, it's more likely to rain on Monday but some solutions show this rain already setting in by Sunday. I'm not too sure on that so will suggest some chance of a dry day at least to start, with increasing cloud and highs near 18 C.

MONDAY ... periods of rain, becoming more showery later, highs near 17 C.

And here's where there may finally be some good news. Most of the guidance agrees on a strong ridge of high pressure building up just to the west and southwest of Ireland but enveloping the country in warm, dry air by mid-week. This should set in fairly steadily after the Monday disturbance clears east on Tuesday, and could be well established by the following weekend. Potential here for highs into the 20s especially as winds may turn more to the east with time. This would suggest a good outlook for the Perseids meteor shower around the 11th-12th.

The disturbance (TD 4) that was Colin and may well become Colin again within 24-36 hours is likely to head rapidly around the Gulf stream waters east of North America towards southeast Newfoundland and eventually up towards Iceland, not being shown so far to interfere with the aforementioned ridge building.

The weather here on Wed 4th was dry, partly cloudy and quite warm, with a bit of smoke haze from distant fires well to our northeast. Some dry thundershowers were on the radar nearby but the haze kept them from being visible in the sky. We are expecting a bit of improvement with some showers by the weekend. Meanwhile, quite hot again across the central and now also the eastern U.S. but much colder air is rushing southeast towards Lake Superior, so today (meaning Thursday) will likely become volatile in the lower Great Lakes and east coast as a strong front develops.

surfjunky · 05-08-2010 09:28AM

Hey M.T. Cranium, thanks again for all your forecasting, we're getting married in south wicklow next Tuesday evening so fingers crossed that clearance happens earlier rather than later (we're hoping to have the ceremony outside if its anyway dry!!).

mitresize5 · 05-08-2010 12:06PM

surfjunky wrote: »

Hey M.T. Cranium, thanks again for all your forecasting, we're getting married in south wicklow next Tuesday evening so fingers crossed that clearance happens earlier rather than later (we're hoping to have the ceremony outside if its anyway dry!!).

very best of luck with it - we got married this time last year in a marquee so I can remember how I felt at this stage checking every weather forecast available for weeks before hand .....

It turned out as one of the only dry days in July last year so hopefully it will work out for you too.

M.T. Cranium · 06-08-2010 06:29AM

Friday, 6 August, 2010
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TODAY ... Cloudy with a few sunny breaks, passing showers, one or two becoming heavy with hail or thunder ... winds increasing to SW 15-30 mph ... highs near 18 C.

TONIGHT ... Cloudy with periods of rain or drizzle, winds SW 10-20 mph, still rather warm and humid with lows near 12 C.

SATURDAY ... Gradually clearing up as showers diminish and move east, longer sunny intervals, winds fresh westerly 15-25 mph. Highs near 17 C.

SUNDAY ... Some clear intervals early morning, cool with lows near 8 C. Increasing cloud during the day, some showers likely in western counties, spreading further east by late afternoon. Highs near 18 C.

MONDAY ... showers or periods of rain, cool, fog developing over higher terrain, lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C.

TUESDAY ... gradually improving to partly cloudy skies and just some widely separated showers in a fresh west to northwest breeze, highs near 17 C.

At this point, it looks as though a warmer and drier period will develop from about Wednesday to Saturday. Whether it lasts much longer than that seems uncertain with one model showing this warm ridge backing off again to the west by about Sunday allowing winds to become northerly. However, the timing is good for those who were asking about possible clear skies for the Perseids on 11-12-13 August.

Meanwhile, Colin has returned to active duty as a strong tropical storm that has Bermuda in its sights for Saturday night or Sunday morning, possibly as a cat-1 hurricane. After that, this storm is expected to head northeast towards Iceland or southeast Greenland. Any chance of it heading towards Ireland would seem to be low, but given the patterns so far this summer, can't be ruled out yet entirely.

We've had another hazy, very warm and smoky sort of day here on Thursday with a high of about 28 C. A cold front is edging down the coast towards us and hopefully will bring some showers about this time tomorrow.

The hot spell hit in full force on the east coast today but heavy storms developed in some areas and it's already cooling off again.

M.T. Cranium · 07-08-2010 06:19AM

Saturday, 7 August, 2010
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TODAY ... a mixture of cloud and sunshine with very few if any showers in the mix today, reasonably warm at 18 C or so.

TONIGHT ... clear breaks and rather cool, lows 7-9 C (could fall to 5 C in a few northern locations).

SUNDAY ... bright to start, slowly increasing cloud for most regions but cloudy from mid-morning in the west with rain to follow there, winds gradually freshening to SSW 15-25 mph. Highs 16-18 C (warmer east, south).

MONDAY ... The overnight period will bring rain, gusty SW winds 20-30 mph, and lows near 11 or 12 C, and 15-25 mms of rain, then the daytime will be quite blustery with frequent showers some of which could become thundery with hail, as winds pick up further to WSW 25-40 mph. It appears that we'll have to watch for severe storm development given the strong winds aloft. Highs about 17 C.

TUESDAY ... Still rather blustery and showery especially over Ulster and north Leinster, an improving trend in general as winds slacken somewhat by late afternoon and more sunny breaks develop, lows near 10 C and highs near 17.

WEDNESDAY ... Partly cloudy, moderate NW winds, reasonably warm at about 19 C.

THURSDAY ... Sunny, warmer away from the coasts, highs to 22 C.

OUTLOOK ... A warm, dry spell still seems very likely (the main uncertainty seems to be whether it will last a long time or peter out after the weekend).
Highs could be into the mid-20s as high pressure builds up over Ireland. This continues to look good for the Perseids meteor shower viewing.

Meanwhile, we are enjoying the first phase of a freshening west to northwest push of cooler Pacific air into this region, no rain yet although it has appeared just off to the northwest on radar, and Friday's high was about 22 under sunny and still rather hazy skies. Heat is building up over the western interior states and the east coast, while a few degrees cooler for the weekend (very nice actually at 28 C) will be back up into the mid-30s by Monday and Tuesday and it could last all week. TS Colin is heading for a direct impact on Bermuda, around 0300-0600 GMT Sunday, and just a note on the Russian heat waves (which seem unprecedented in modern times), as hot as it has been, the next 3-4 days could even be slightly hotter in Moscow and other parts of Russia affected, but the big change that's coming in Europe is that a trough oriented from the North Sea southeast to Italy is going to fill up and disappear, allowing the strong Azores high to ridge across into the heat ridge over eastern Europe. This could allow some of the intense heat to filter back westward next week and the following week into Germany and France and this may eventually affect the UK and perhaps even Ireland with very warm east to southeast winds. All of this could take 7-10 days to develop by which time it may become a fragile connection and break down again, but there is that chance of very warm weather developing in mid-August (certainly this would be a factor for anyone travelling on holiday).

weisses · 07-08-2010 10:16AM

Raining all morning here in Dingle .... Think I'll take that warm spell prediction with a big bucket of salt

You simply can't make a forecast for Ireland using just one line of text covering the whole of Ireland

doccy · 07-08-2010 11:48AM

weisses wrote: »

Raining all morning here in Dingle .... Think I'll take that warm spell prediction with a big bucket of salt

You simply can't make a forecast for Ireland using just one line of text covering the whole of Ireland

It's good enough for met.ie.

weisses · 07-08-2010 11:59AM

doccy wrote: »

It's good enough for met.ie.

and your point is ??

TheMilkyPirate · 07-08-2010 01:38PM

weisses wrote: »

Raining all morning here in Dingle .... Think I'll take that warm spell prediction with a big bucket of salt

You simply can't make a forecast for Ireland using just one line of text covering the whole of Ireland

M.T's forecasts are always spot on for me as they are today very sunny with just one or two showers. He can't give an exact forecast for every corner of ireland maybe your just having a very long shower. :rolleyes:

You try make a forecast.

weisses · 07-08-2010 02:08PM

baraca wrote: »

You try make a forecast.

No i just want him to make better (more accurate) ones

even ME is putting more effort in their forecasting for today ...

Today will be mainly dry with bright or sunny spells developing. However, some scattered showers will occur until early afternoon mainly in the eastern half of the country. The top temperatures will be between 16 and 20 degrees, in a moderate northwesterly breeze.
Tonight

Tonight will be mainly dry with clear spells. It will be cool with minimum temperatures of 8 to 11 degrees and winds will be light northwesterly with a few patches of mist or fog.

I appreciate what he is doing but if i believe he is wrong or not up to scratch with his short term forecast in particular I will reply ....Last time i checked this wasn't the MT Cranium fan-page

Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

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