Monday Night: Heavy Snow and Rain threat

nacho libre · 08-02-2009 1:26pm

Jake1 wrote: »

Really?? have you seen any good indicators? Share the fun
How cool, if we do.

well, the models suggest it but of course it's not certain because it's so far out. it's whats known in weather watching as fi-fantasty island/ optimum scenario. it will be great but i was quite happy too see a white scene this morning so if the ultimate nightmare was realised, at least i had today's snow.:)

08-02-2009 1:28pm

nacho libre wrote: »

well, the models suggest it but of course it's not certain because it's so far out. it's whats known in weather watching as fi-fantasty island/ optimum scenario. it will be great but i was quite happy too see a white scene this morning so if the ultimate nightmare was realised, at least i had today's snow.:)

yes, true Mustnt be greedy

But I can remain hopefull.

Thanks so much.

08-02-2009 1:32pm

darkman2 wrote: »

The ECM 12z has come out and things are looking well dodgy now on Monday Night into Tuesday

Monday 18:00avoid it with charts like that. East Coasts may get away with some of that but inland that could cause serious commuter problems. Just bare it in mind.

The posistioning of the low is changing like a yo yo. Is that the Eagle's idea of 'wintry showers'?:D

Would you still go with your forecast? is it still dodgy looking?
for monday /tues

cmyk · 08-02-2009 1:45pm

I'm really one of those people wishing the snow away, is it really due to be that bad, I'm meant to be flying out to heathrow at 6.40 on tues morning and then a connecting flight from there, will things be that bad?

Min · 08-02-2009 2:02pm

Met Eireann say south Leinster and south Munster.

nacho libre · 08-02-2009 2:06pm

Min wrote: »

Met Eireann say south Leinster and south Munster.

i think he was just being cautious with that. it seems as if he felt it would miss ireland completely but wanted to cover met eireann in case it goes slightly further north

Pangea · 08-02-2009 2:13pm

Eagleton said he doestn think heavy snow will come here tomoro nite

Mr Benevolent · 08-02-2009 2:14pm

Looking very marginal again

wicklaman83 · 08-02-2009 4:08pm

darkman2 wrote: »

We will have to agree to disagree. This look like a potentially very disruptive event. The most serious in many years on the evidence as we have it. Im not saying I think your wrong, you may be right. In fact for your sake I hope your right:eek:

all scaremongerers if ya ask me:rolleyes:

Mr Benevolent · 08-02-2009 5:25pm

Where is all this stuff coming from? Met.ie haven't mentioned anything and UK Met have only mentioned 2-5cm of snow. Have we overdosed on FI? :rolleyes:

The UK Met calling 2-5cm of snow a 'severe event' is really taking the p!ss, imo. Running the risk of getting snow on your Clarks is not 'severe' by any stretch of the imagination.

Min · 08-02-2009 5:52pm

Confab wrote: »

Where is all this stuff coming from? Met.ie haven't mentioned anything and UK Met have only mentioned 2-5cm of snow. Have we overdosed on FI? :rolleyes:

The UK Met calling 2-5cm of snow a 'severe event' is really taking the p!ss, imo. Running the risk of getting snow on your Clarks is not 'severe' by any stretch of the imagination.

I suppose if you have snow and you want it to disappear and you end up with more it could be severe enough.

daviddwyer · 08-02-2009 6:11pm

Ah lads and lassies.... its game over - ball burst for this event!!

Maybe we should change topic heading.... as it only causes too much excitement!!

Gonzo · 08-02-2009 6:12pm

this was forecasted very marginal on sky news, only the south coast of Ireland is likely to get it and it will fall as rain, and in the UK its expected to only be mid wales to north of London and southwards, mostly rain as well but snow on teh northern edge and on mountains. I think this morning was the final snow chapter in this quite exciting week of cold weather we've had.

willy wonka · 08-02-2009 6:17pm

Gonzo wrote: »

I think this morning was the final snow chapter in this quite exciting week of cold weather we've had.

NOOOO!!! This was the only morning we had snow that stuck and actually could make snowmen/snowball fights! And it was gone by lunchtime.
We were deprived in this part of the country. The east had loads of snow and we had none.
I want more snow

Gonzo · 08-02-2009 6:20pm

unfortunately its lookin very mild from wednesday onwards, bbc have us in double figures by Thursday.

darkman2 · 08-02-2009 6:37pm

Gonzo wrote: »

unfortunately its lookin very mild from wednesday onwards, bbc have us in double figures by Thursday.

It wont be "very mild" for the forseeable future I don't think according to the models and we won't have double figures on Wednesday. It looks set to remain on the cold to very cold side.

On tomorrow - If the ECM put's it further South then just change the thread.

FWIW UKMO 12z has it slightly further North again.

darkman2 · 08-02-2009 8:32pm

ECM again pretty different with everything a little further North. So heavy rain sleet or snow risk over alot of Leinster and Munster.

18:00

00:00

I think taking all the forcasts together it favours the Precipitation missing most of us to the South but the above just shows the uncertainty even at this stage.

Min · 08-02-2009 8:46pm

At the way things are going I'm sure some of us will get snow...

darkman2 · 08-02-2009 8:49pm

Min wrote: »

At the way things are going I'm sure some of us will get snow...

We should know tomorrow morning either way. For my area - even if it came of as above - I don't expect much except wet mucky stuff but inland...that would be a different story.

08-02-2009 8:53pm

The front that went out today though unfortunately carried most of our polar air with it and left us in more or less normal winter air.

The proof of that pudding is in the eating in that my aws is telling me it's 3.3c under clear skies in the black dark.
No frost.

Thats an awfull lot of work for the front to do to make any snow well inland even if it does head up this way.

Supercell up in annamoe with all the snow is even warm at 3.4c and he's at a place you'd expect air to be cold.
mothman is having a normal february night too at 0.1c

Polar air rip for the moment untill we get the northerly and the mighty ECM is showing hp over or near us for the foreseeable ergo no snow or anything exciting.

Min · 08-02-2009 9:03pm

Yet we are told tonight it will get down to -4C to -5C in some places, we have to wait and see, at 7pm the lowest temperature at Met Eireann weather stations was +2C.

arctictree · 08-02-2009 9:06pm

Yep, its +1.2c here and a clear sky. Quite unusual for Feb with lying snow.

Last night went down to -6c and it was about -3 at this time. Can't see tonight being as cold even though the met forecast says otherwise!

danni2 · 08-02-2009 9:11pm

So do I stand a good chance for snow here in the midlands?

JanuarySnowstor · 08-02-2009 9:29pm

Well I was in Dublin on Thursday and yesterday so saw plenty snow.
Was amazing to see the canals so white on Thursday afternoon. Magical stuff.
I would agree with BB, the cold air seems to be somewhat displaced.
Hard to see the conditions being condusive to snow even if there was ppn.
Worth watching all the same. After tomorrow things calm down quite a lot and it will feel quite balmy compared to this wkd though obviously still cold really with average temps.
Nearly froze last night trying to get a taxi at 5am:mad:

Mobhi1 · 08-02-2009 10:16pm

Deleted User wrote: »

The front that went out today though unfortunately carried most of our polar air with it and left us in more or less normal winter air.

The proof of that pudding is in the eating in that my aws is telling me it's 3.3c under clear skies in the black dark.
No frost.

Thats an awfull lot of work for the front to do to make any snow well inland even if it does head up this way.

Supercell up in annamoe with all the snow is even warm at 3.4c and he's at a place you'd expect air to be cold.
mothman is having a normal february night too at 0.1c

Polar air rip for the moment untill we get the northerly and the mighty ECM is showing hp over or near us for the foreseeable ergo no snow or anything exciting.

Has Britain got any colder weather than us at the moment? How are they going to get the massive amount of snow they're expecting tomorrow?

nacho libre · 08-02-2009 10:34pm

Mobhi1 wrote: »

Has Britain got any colder weather than us at the moment? How are they going to get the massive amount of snow they're expecting tomorrow?

yes the cold air is well established in Britain ahead of the low system. also, it's going to remain cold in most of Britain for the week. the easterly makes it's presence felt there. however, it's stopped in its tracks from reaching here by the high building up out to the west of ireland

hawkwing · 08-02-2009 10:44pm

DUBLIN AIRPORT W 10 Gust 23 RECENT SNOW 3

at 9pm

ninebeanrows · 09-02-2009 12:10am

Gonzo wrote: »

unfortunately its lookin very mild from wednesday onwards, bbc have us in double figures by Thursday.

I can't see a max in Dublin Airport above 5c or 6c for the next 7 days to be honest Gonzo!?

Where you getting this very mild stuff from??

Gonzo · 09-02-2009 12:16am

its on the bbc website, choose Dublin 5 day forecast http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/5day.shtml

ninebeanrows · 09-02-2009 12:27am

BBC 5 day online forecast stamps........ you're far to experienced to even look at them!

Anyway there is a definate trend emerging to push this storm further north tomorrow night, i would project that the ECM output will be the most likely with the precip infact reaching as far north as Meath.

At this stage i would say it will be snow over the Wicklow mountains with not much snow elsewhere but this could easily change if the precip is more intense then i expect.

A very interesting day tomorrow as we track the development of this 'Winter Storm'

http://www.sat24.com/Region.aspx?country=eu&sat=ir&type=loop

Monday Night: Heavy Snow and Rain threat

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