Presidential Election 2025

dont know how you think its effectively between gavin/hh. Connolly is the outsider of the three but by very very little is the most articulate of them by a country mile.

You must have missed this part…

”Haven't seen a single shred of evidence via the few bits I've seen on the media that says Gavin would be a great diplomat. But then we havent seen much of Jimbo at all really so who knows. 

I won't be voting for him in any case. Don't like the way he was selected, or any appearance I've seen of him since.”

Nortk Korea?

I could list another 60 or more but you get the drift.

I think you are overplaying your imprortance to this world. Deep breathes and all that. From the sound of things you seem to have been wrapped in a lot of social media stuff. Maybe you are young I don't know? But the only "social media" I use is this. And informative videos on films/tv series history etc on you tube, Not into x/twitter, instagram, facebook/meta or whatever they call it now.

You seem very "culture war" orientated which to me is a very American thing in itself, part of which is driven by a man Trump whom you have previously mentioned. But it works both ways

I view "culture wars" as an American creation. I am more interested in Ireland first and foremost. And Ireland has its own unique blend of cultures and beliefs. And besides the housing problem and obesity issue it is not doing too badly. Punching above it's weight (to pardon the pun) through soft power in the EU etc.

As President Higgins said in his 2018 inkguration speech -

"I will, I have emphasised, be a President for all of the Irish people, wherever they may be and in whatever circumstances, those who supported me and those who were not among that number. Táim i ndáiríre nuair a deirim gur mian liom bheith i’m Uachtarán don phobal uile."

I think that is all anyone can hope for in the President of Ireland. As that is fundamentally their role in the office.

—

But as for the Presidential Nomination Process, I believe the quote from Evelyn Beatrice Hall sums it up best - "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it."

As it is up to the Irish elected representatives to uphold democracy and the democratic process as they are a reflection of the Irish electorate. The Irish electorate does not include just the parts myself or yourself like but they include everyone who is eligible to vote in this country.

Didn't mention the gate at all. I said the im from Clare schtick.…and as an actual Clare person… Jim is not from Clare, no matter the spin he put on it, or how many summers he spent here

As for the farm video, which I mentioned it was the most fake forced load of tripe I've watched in years to try convince us he is of a rural background...he's not. He looked ridiculous (never mind the white trousers), he looked like a man that bought a "rural" outfit from the Barbour outlet in kildare village and someone let him off to sell the idea he was somehow a rural man. Give me a break. No, no and more no.

Yes because Netanyahu (along with Yoav Gallant, Yahya Sinwar, and Ismail Haniyeh) are all part of an ICJ arrest warrant so they have to be arrested as soon as they enter the country

It's also highly unlikely that should Maria Steen have become president she would have to sign off on abortion or marriage equality legislation but if it came before her she would have to. I'm not sure if she or her voters would be aware of that mind

The presidents power is so limited that I would expect either of the 3 remaining candidates to be an excellent president. That's why I recommend that people vote on previous record rather than current or future promises

It's also highly unlikely that should Maria Steen have become president she would have to sign off on abortion or marriage equality legislation

Same-sex marriage seems to be done & dusted but abortion legislation is a realistic prospect over the next presidential term. there's a review of current legislation a number of years overdue at this stage and pressure from the usual quarters for further liberalisation, particularly in abolishing the three-day waiting period which I'm pretty sure would require legislation.

You could potentially have a large Dublin vote for their "hero" who then go party lines with SD,Labour or SF but it's hard to see Gavin and Humphries not being transfer friendly.

Very true on all accounts. Might have been worth seeing Steen in the Áras just so we can watch her being forced to do something she really doesn't want to because I'd have full confidence the other 3 candidates wouldn't shy away from such a thing

There isn't a snowballs chance in hell that Connolly will be next or near 43% of FPs

Her ceiling for FPs is 30. On a good day.

I think it'll be about 40, 35, 25. With the better campaign of Gavin and Humphreys being in 1st position.

If Connolly goes first I think her vote splits fairly even and whoever got most first preference wins it.

Gavin will probably be more transferable because he is less tainted by government and will have more "home county" votes but it won't be significant. Non transferable will be the big winner as you say.

The debates could be very important this time round because there are lots of undecided 1sts but a huge undecided 2nd preference cohort.

Are you basing that on their current campaigns?

Wouldnt rate Jim Gavin's campaign at all right now. It has been poor at best. Dumb videos, being chaperoned by MM and the "social media people are at me" from yesterday, Not particularly impressive.

FG seem to have gone for marketing Heather like a bottle of perfume .and its also quite poor so far…Could only laugh at the branding at the ploughing recently. Came across very "fur coat no knickers" style of campaign, but whatever spins yer yoyo.