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Is Elon Musk hurting Tesla? (Mod Note Post #1)

17879818384

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Ah fair enough so

    Yeah I don't see it shifting the needle on presidential elections or tesla sales

    Like I said before, there's a percentage of people who will factor in the company and its leadership and a percentage who won't

    It isn't even a sliding scale, often I feel people are willing to trade their perceived morals in the face of good value. Folks might condemn but still buy clothes from Penney's or order from Amazon

    I think what we're seeing now with Tesla sales is they're at the point where they only appeal to people who are disengaged with Elon's politics or those who agree with him

    What that means for the company is they're going to struggle to grow sales without offering even more significant discounts or price cuts

    Ironically this probably helps the overall EV market since it forces price cuts across other brands and boosts sales. We've already seen EV sales recover from the low of last and continue to gain momentum

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Jesus, thank goodness we've actual rules around campaign finance in this country and you can't just buy an election

    Thats going to be put to the test though, no doubt Musk can tune the Twitter algorithm to suit his candidate of choice. So it'll be time to see how big and efrect social media has on the Irish electorate

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,036 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    We were warned by another man who will be sticking to his Mercedes Benz.

    Musk-Trump effect has the capacity to destabilise Irish democracy - Irish Senator - Michael McDowell https://share.google/VY0DIKZTzTjQUc6eW



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 588 ✭✭✭PixelCrafter


    I don't think they care about what the Irish presidency actually does in the sense of the very limited role it has, rather that any kind of disruptor installed as president could cause chaos, although in the Irish context, if the president were to start refusing to sign normal bills or acting ultra vires and trying to become a political activist in the system, they'd just impeach them. It would still cause a major mess and do a lot of damage to Ireland's reputation as a stable country, but I don't think they have anything like the numbers of nutters to do something like that. They'r just projecting their MAGA world view onto Ireland and it is not really hitting the mark at all.

    You can absolutely see these guys searching around for the buttons to press though - they've been rolling the wheels on topics and seeing what clicks. You could clearly see that with the way the focus has gone from aping US ultra conservative politics with the library protests etc, which largely just got people's backs up and got them no traction other than being seen as fringe loons, to finding their way to topics that are finding some traction in some spots, mostly around immigration and IPAS centres.

    Unfortunately, we are very much in the firing line for stirring up chaos. We're extremely naive about it and have a tendency to dive into 'only in Ireland' mode and think these things are uniquely occurring here and only here. They're not. If anything, Ireland's only of minor interest to them, but they are interested nonetheless. From what I can see their main focus at the moment is targeting the UK and Starmer's Labour government, which is proving very easy to push around. A lot of those same tools don't quite work here, but they are trying to use them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,325 ✭✭✭sk8board


    100% this is all just funding disruption in democratic elections worldwide - these guys have absolutely zero interest in the Irish presidency or how little actual power the role has.

    Even mcgregor doesn’t realise the Irish president hasnt the power to influence any of his anti-migrant policies - but again, that’s not the point.

    Post edited by sk8board on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Well I guess we won't be seeing the Roadster 2 anytime soon if Elon is spending all this time overthrowing democracies

    What is the guy doing these days anyway? He seems to be AWOL from every single company he's in charge of and can't use the DOGE excuse since he's been given the boot by Trump

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,753 ✭✭✭thatsdaft




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,299 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    He's likely very busy trying to engineer that trillion dollar bonus from the Tesla shareholder suckers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Absolutely, he's already changed FSD to "Supervised FSD", meaning he could say today that Tesla has delivered FSD

    He's betting big on robotics and AI without realising that he doesn't have leadership in either field and those are long term bets

    In EV world, Tesla basically had no real competiton until the 2020s and could shape the market in whatever way suited them

    Well he's been tweeting a lot, and he's admitted he often tweets while sitting on the jacks, and he's admitted to taking ketamine which include diarrhea as a known side effect

    So one could conclude that verbal diarrhea isn't the only thing coming out of him in droves at the moment

    Why can't rich people go fully off the rails like John McAfee and bury themselves on a beach to hide from the police? Nowadays they just wither and cause everyone pain

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,850 ✭✭✭pah


    Elon Musk

    What

    A

    Cúnt

    One of his first tweets VS this week

    image.png

    image.png


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,299 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Regional East Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 6,521 Mod ✭✭✭✭liamog


    Mod Note: Reminder of the mod note in post #1, there are other threads to discuss Elon Musk's antics outside the realm of EVs and Tesla.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Well I guess one thing we can draw from this is that any idea of Musk's side quest into politics is finished was completely wrong

    Which means more time without a CEO at Tesla

    I realise the CEO isn't essential to the day to day operations, however there's decisions that only he can make. Things like future models, R&D budgets and hiring

    Mind you, the last time Elon turned up for work things didn't go well with the Supercharger team getting fired and then had to be quietly rehired

    Meanwhile the brain drain continues, and former employees aren't holding their thoughts back anymore:

    https://electrek.co/2025/09/11/tesla-engineer-accuses-elon-musk-of-betraying-teslas-mission-in-exit-letter

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,325 ✭✭✭sk8board


    musks proclamation that he was leaving Washington and returning to run his companies was always just a pander to the shareholders- it’s really really easy to dispel the myth that he is actually active each day or even each week in any of them.

    He has 24 hours in his day just like the rest of us, and almost every move is visible. You can’t run 4 large cap companies in a few hours each day from your phone



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,325 ✭✭✭sk8board


    the stock is up almost 25% in the past month alone, in no small part to musk buying $1bn of the stock in a personal capacity using a trust.

    Why is he buying 0.07% the stock? (when they say they’ll grant him up to $1tn)

    it’s quite possibly just another stunt to move the stock, which jumped 6% ($70bn) on the news, meaning his own 12% ownership rose by more than the $1bn he bought.
    If they didn’t make cars you’d call it a ponzi :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,399 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Times like these I am reminded that I know **** all about the stock market

    An electric car company that is going to have sales hit because of the election of Donald Trump. Stock up on Trumps election. Stock up on Musk backing Trump

    Basically the stock rises on economic factors that are hampering Tesla's profit margin. What the **** is going on?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,249 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    I think the market view was that alignment with Trump would help sales. At the very least wouldn't have any negative regulatory impact. And Trump did in fact blatantly push Teslas a few times before they fell out.

    But the falling out did hurt the share price for a short time. Now they're almost back where they were when Trump was elected. As @sk8board says, it's more like a Ponzi than a share.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    It's because Tesla is valued as a tech company (or meme stock) rather than a car company

    For a car company, or any other normal company, there's a fairly clear relationship between how much stuff they're selling and what the company is worth

    With tech companies, its hard to pin down the relationship because a lot of it is based on future growth and products that are loss making eventually turning a profit. This is how Uber has been working for years, they were loss making for years but their stock price was based on the idea they'd effectively end up controlling the taxi market (which they did)

    So for Tesla, the share price is based on the idea that FSD and Optimus are going to be worth trillions in the future

    That's the generous version, the other view is that Elon is such an effective con artist that he can make any outlandish claim (half the US will be covered by Robotaxi services by 2026) and people sort of believe him

    They probably don't believe the actual target but there's this herd mentality that because Elon said a thing the share price will increase, so better buy now and turn a profit or miss out

    There's enough people invested in this attitude that it almost becomes a self fulfilling prophecy and the share price goes up as a result

    This is also behind the idea of the influencer stockbroker who is telling you which companies to invest in, probably because they have already bought a stake in that company and are trying to pump the share price

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,399 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    That's true of Tesla now being a tech company. They sell solar panels, batteries (powerwall and megapack) and fuel for electric cars (supercharger)

    But none of the above is supported by MAGA. In fact the sales of most of them are falling in the US which is their primary market

    Elon has been wrong and delayed many many times so the idea that shareholders think this will change because he has less time on his hands is just bizarre in my books



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,325 ✭✭✭sk8board


    At current valuations, Tesla’s financial future can’t possibly be based on making physical products.

    90% of the current revenue comes from the heavy industry manufacturing of two cars. The things you list are 10%, and while they might grow, they’re unlikely to eeverpbe a material amount of revenue.

    FSD is unlikely to ever deliver on the MASSIVE revenue promise of 6-8years ago. Takeup rates will be low and the Chinese are likely to give it away for free.

    likewise, the price of a domestic Optimus robot to hoover your living room can’t possibly cost less than $20-30k.
    Again, incredibly low take up, just like the Cybertruck.

    It’s genuinely hard to see to where real revenue comes from in 5-10yrs that justifies the $1.3tn valuation.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,249 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Back when things like FSD were first mooted, there was no other competitor in the field. That's changed hugely now and it's hard to see what value (if any) it will provide.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 121 ✭✭EV01


    if I had the garage space and the money - which I don’t - I would have bought a Tesla (and still would) for these reasons:

    • experience and technology - the company has the best in the world of both
    • Charging infrastructure - again the company has the best in the world (and that’s a deal maker!)
    • Elon’s politics - your money is going to end up in the pockets of the mega rich anyway (and they all - mostly - probably have ‘unpleasant’ behaviours and opinions)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,249 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    1. Debatable at this stage and likely to get more so. FSD for example is going in completely the wrong direction by eschewing Lidar.
    2. Irrelevant in this country since they are in the minority in terms of locations.
    3. False equivalence. Most large car manufacturers don't have individuals in control to the extent that Tesla is owned and controlled by Musk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 121 ✭✭EV01


    1. futurology is all speculation and neither of us is an engineering physicist? (and LiDAR isn’t the magic bullet: “performance degradation in adverse weather eg fog, rain, snow, bright sunlight, and limited ability to detect dark, non-reflective, or transparent surfaces and its effectiveness can also be reduced by complex environments, significant temperature changes, and excessive data processing demands. Additionally, eye safety concerns, potential for data gaps, and the vulnerability to signal interference, such as laser jammers, are significant limitations” - FSD may become feasible in the near future on specific designated road infrastructure, but for all roads everywhere not for a long time)
    2. sorry, I was posting as a UK resident - Tesla superchargers are everywhere!
    3. actually Musk doesn’t ‘own’ or ‘control’ Tesla (he “only” owns c15%) - he remains CEO only for as long as the board+s/holders want him to


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,249 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    !. Thanks for the AI word salad. FSD with cameras only is not going to get the nod. Innovation is happening elsewhere now, Tesla no longer have the edge in that regard.

    2. Well I've been on the continent and they're not everywhere there either. And 'best in the world' is a massive exaggeration if the UK is all you're basing it on.

    3. He has full control of Tesla given his patsies on the board. There is no other car company controlled like that. He has been able to take 80% of Tesla's total all-time profits in pay. That's control.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Absolutely, by all accounts Waymo is ahead on the self driving tech

    I think the appeal of self driving cars has decreased in the meantime as well

    The basic premise seemed to be that as a Tesla owner you could make the value of the car every year by effectively renting the car out as a taxi while you aren't using it

    This kind of skipped over several inconvenient realities. One was that there just isn't that much demand for taxis, and the severe mileage would probably undo any income you gained

    On top of that it's becoming apparent that for the foreseeable future all Tesla FSD will require some degree of supervision. So climbing in your car trashed and falling asleep while driving home just isn't going to happen

    Also you can already basically do the same thing using something like a car sharing service. Yeah you need a squishy human behind the steering wheel but it has the advantage that it works on any car. Despite that the majority of car owners still prefer to keep their private

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 121 ✭✭EV01


    1. Disappointed you’re resorting to the pejorative (‘word salad’) - the domain of trolls - while simultaneously asserting insider knowledge about Tesla’s R+D which, unless you’re working in or have a direct feed from their R+D, you cannot possibly have
    2. My comment was corrected EXPRESSLY in respect of the UK. But this is from Tesla’s website: “Tesla owns and operates the largest global, fast charging network in the world”. And PLEASE stop this now. This has become grotesquely off topic.
    3. More pejorative terminology. You don’t like him. I get it. The End.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,109 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Regarding point 1, that may have been true 3 years ago but competitors are catching up and seem to be surpassing Tesla in key areas. They're behind in FSD with Waymo being ahead, and the Chinese and Korean cars are ahead on battery technology and charging speeds

    For point 2, I agree the Supercharger network is probably the best in terms of size of network, charging speed and reliability. Also prices are very good compared to competing networks. However, the majority of the network is open to other cars and isn't much of a bonus for owners anymore

    Finally for point 3, if you agree with Elon and want to buy a Tesla as a show of support then go ahead. You might find not everyone agrees with this attitude however

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 41,253 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gumbo


    You can also not agree with Elon and buy a Tesla because the car is good. In the same way someone might not agree with VW emission scandal, data breach scandal, but buy an ID4, BYD slavery and Chinese government corruption, but buy a Seal.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 121 ✭✭EV01


    1. R+D is moving faster than the ‘ordinary guy’ can keep up with. Yes, trailblazers rarely keep the lead - as was demonstrated this week in the World Athletics by the English runner clearly in the lead until the other guy came from nowhere +snatched victory by 2/100ths of a sec! But most people buy cars in the ‘now’, they’re not buying future promises, else no cars would be sold🤣
    2. Just a point of correction - Tesla seem to have reversed their ‘open up’ policy and 90%+ UK chargers are now for Teslas only ☹️
    3. This is the ‘straw man’ thing - I never said or implied any of this, did I?


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