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Beef price tracker 2

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,768 ✭✭✭Dunedin




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,140 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    No I did not read it correctly but it's actually worse. @50HX posted that forward stores were making more than finished cattle. His sold for 4.75-4.85 per kg liveweight. To put that in perceptive was it 2 or 3 years ago they cattle made little more than that deadweight

    Gordon Gecko said greed is good but that thinking is ridiculous. As 50HX said he would have to house them, he would probably be paying 350+/ ton for ration. Personally you sell cattle when and where ever you think you will get the most for them. If 50HX kept them cattle it's unlikely they would make anymore in 6-8 weeks time after consuming 150-200 euro or maybe more worth of feed.

    Anyone that has sold whether in a Mart or factory before now if they got the higher level off prices is not going to see that money or especially profit again.

    I posted a link to the DAFM cattle slaughter numbers. Have a look at it and do the calculations. Maybe I am wrong. Maybe someone got John Coughlan to fly 100k+ of them secretly out of the country.

    IMO it's going to be a euro or more price difference between summer and autumn thus year.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,806 ✭✭✭older by the day


    And what happened to me was the over all price given by the valuer, they then deducted the gross price made in the factory. So I lost the transport and deductions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,778 ✭✭✭DBK1


    I don’t think you understood my post.

    What I meant was, and it’s just my opinion, selling the factory fit and forward stores in the mart is short term gain for long term pain. The reason they can drop the prices now is because they have control over the numbers now because they filled their feedlots and fridges.

    Lads selling in the mart were happy because they thought they were getting a few euro more than selling in the factory. If all them cattle were kept away from the marts the factory price would have stayed rising to entice them out. The annual price drop that occurs at this time every year would have been happening from a higher base point then.

    I know it would be very hard to get all farmers to come together on something like that and every lad will be thinking “sure my few cattle going to the mart isn’t going to make a difference” but if farmers could just stick together and keep the factory fit and forward stock out of the marts we’d have the control again.

    There’s no point any farmer that sold forward stores complaining about feedlots and factories because if they weren’t selling them forward stores the feedlots would be empty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,450 ✭✭✭bogman_bass


    Counter Argument: Factories could have held the line together but it was the high prices in the marts that gave clear evidence to those selling to the factories that there was more to be had and allowed them to dig in deeper than normal



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,892 ✭✭✭Robson99


    And then they would screw over the lad that kept his stores and tried to get into the factory...push him out two weeks and offer him 20 cent less than their regular customers. They went on 3 day weeks…they can afford to cut back for 6 to 8 weeks to keep manners on the farmers. Who needs who more ???



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,778 ✭✭✭DBK1




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,778 ✭✭✭DBK1


    Like I said farmers would have to stick together but I also understand that’s almost impossible to achieve.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,399 ✭✭✭amacca


    I think its valuable to have a choice of outlets to sell

    If you stay out of marts and they decline In number that suits the machine imo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,073 ✭✭✭green daries


    Absolutely 💯 around here a lot of cattle go north from the two biggest marts round here and a lot of heavy cattle went this year



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,255 ✭✭✭50HX


    Parlour cows on the move to marts this week down here

    It'll be interesting to see what they will make, I doubt the 3/kg that was freely available a few weeks ago will be there.

    Feedlots & factories will fill their boots at sub 2.5/kg

    Will see if that correlates to the cow kill figures for the next few weeks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,707 ✭✭✭MfMan


    Some sale currently going on in Elphin. Extraordinary quality of continentals, beating factory prices hand down.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭Coolcormack1979


    watched thurles today for a few minutes and saw 220/230 kg Hereford bulls making €6 a kg



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,338 ✭✭✭Dozer1


    well there is a big sale in Castleisland today and you're getting a serious continental store bullock for 4 euro a kilo or less



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,255 ✭✭✭50HX


    I saw some of them, Lmx out of LMx dams, surprised the went for that money



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,950 ✭✭✭morphy87




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,140 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,255 ✭✭✭50HX




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,255 ✭✭✭50HX


    Not yet, what ive left are on the last of the dry ground & I'll house them then, they'll be overage so will finish them

    Prob should have pinched one lot of them at 4/kg, didn't see them right as I was on the road & only pulled over for a quick gander



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,140 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I do not think you understand the structure of Irish Farming. Where @50HX operates in Kerry they have got 3-4 inches of rain in the last 7 days. There has probably being limited 2nd cut @ftm2023 has dairy cows in since late July. Finished cattle flood( and they have little choice) out of the West Cork, Kerry, Clare etc from now on. While there is a silage surplus in certain parts of the country, it's probably 50/ bale in Kerry at present for decent stuff. A decent finishing ration is probably costing 400/ ton unless you can deal in straights.

    Ireland has not got one climate or one land type. Neither are costs similar accross the country. A Feedlot could be mixing a top quality mix at present for 250/ ton and on a promise of 8.5/ kg for cattle in mid/late November for the Christmas market

    Slava Ukrainii



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,778 ✭✭✭DBK1


    You still haven’t understood my original post, probably better to leave it at that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 21,140 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    But you're original post is illogical, it's based on the flawed assumption that farmers can control the market. We are dealing with an government allowed cartel

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,778 ✭✭✭DBK1


    It’s not illogical, it’s common sense.

    There’s no point giving out about feedlots keeping the factory price down now when it’s your stock that are in the feedlots. Either keep the stock on your own farm and bring them to slaughter yourself, or sell them to a finisher or feedlot if you think you’re getting a few quid more there but then don’t be complaining when they make a margin on them too. They’re not going to give you the factory value of your cattle in the mart and then make no money for themselves, now that would be illogical.

    What’s also illogical is your complete stubbornness to see that there are a lot more ways of making money out of stock than your way of doing it. You seem to make a good return out of your system if your posts here are accurate but that doesn’t mean there aren’t other ways of making the same or a better return.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 292 ✭✭ftm2023


    I wouldn’t be much good at predicting the price of beef but the weather we are getting here in Kerry is like the end of the world. Since this exact moment last week we must have gotten not far off 7 inches of rain. Everyone has cows in now. No more silage going to be cut if the weather forecast is anything to go by. Nobody got a chance with their 3rd cut around here. Going to be a flood of cattle going to the mart in the coming weeks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭Sheep breeder


    In all fairness there is no point beating your head off the same wall, only one system that makes money and every other is wrong, have seen a world of plain cattle killed in factories over the years and boned out, buying cattle 2 yr old weighting 250 kgs has what a neighbour says hunger in the belly and a long way to come back up the hill. Over my life time haven’t seen to many people go broke feeding good cattle and in bad times price dictates everything. feeding and management and time is very important. But breeding is the key.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 536 ✭✭✭dryan


    I'm hearing 7.20 base for bullocks this coming week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,950 ✭✭✭morphy87


    Well I was told €7.30 Wednesday morning but if I was willing to sell I was been offered €7.40 Thursday evening by a different agent. And both said as far as they were hearing no pull for next week



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 931 ✭✭✭grange mac


    In South West Cork.... we're getting same weather showers this morning are biblical....and that's before whatever comes tomorrow morning.... it's making soup of every field cattle are in..... Skibbereen mart yesterday was big... most heavy cattle around here are in

    Post edited by grange mac on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28 Back4more


    I would be biting the hand off at them prices ,imo you wont get them again for a good while.

    Tell us how many have you ready ,they must be in good nick at this stage as you are talking about killing them with months!!!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 353 ✭✭grass10


    In all fairness your idea is totally ridiculous if you think all farmers should keep their cattle at what point would they sell them where would they all keep these millions of animals and what would happen price when everyone would go direct to factories it's the mart trade that keeps the factory price up, how would northern buyers get cattle if their was nothing in marts ?

    This summer we all got well over 8 euros from mid summer on and now when you have extra cattle going direct into factories lads are selling on the grid at 7.30 so r grade under 30 are making 7.50 instead of 8.20 when the kill was lower, all the farmers that held their cattle like you are advising are now getting approx 300 less for their cattle



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