FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer 2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

Iceland's temperature is no Spring Chicken either, June 22nd 1939. Interesting that Ireland and Iceland both recorded their maximum temperatures within days of the Summer Solstice.

Met Eireann have issued their Outlook:

MONTHLY FORECAST, ISSUED TUESDAY 01 JULY 2025

Week 1 (Monday 07 July to Sunday 13 July)

Week 1 is showing a slight signal for high pressure building which indicates more settled weather. Temperatures are indicating to be above average for this time of year. Precipitation is likely to be below average especially in parts of the southwest and west of Ireland.

Week 2 (Monday 14 July to Sunday 20 July)

Confidence is lower in week 2 but there is still a signal for high pressure over most of Ireland with the exception of the far southwest which is showing no specific marker for either low or high pressure. Temperatures are expected to remain above average with precipitation amounts below average.

Week 3 (Monday 21 July to Sunday 27 July)

Confidence continues to decrease for week 3 but the signal for high pressure remains. There is a slight indication for higher than average temperatures coinciding with lower than average precipitation amounts as we continue to be influenced by high pressure.

Week 4 (Monday 28 July to Sunday 03 August)

Confidence in the forecast for week 4 is low. A signal for high pressure dominating persists. Temperatures continue to signal slightly above average with lower than average precipitation for this time of year

Week 2 is especially interesting - low pressure not far away from the SW coast, suggests a balmy and humid SE airflow in off the continent. A few sparks?

Overall - a decent July cannot be ruled out.

I'm really not seeing where the optimism is coming from looking at the models over the past few days, all I see is a continuation of the westerly dominated Atlantic flow for the foreseeable with the jet stream plonked on top of us.

The south and east can get some decent weather out of this setup (as we've seen in June) but overall westerly just means cloud, damp and unsettled weather

ECM ai still looking decent imo, warm and humid (probably cloudy) south westerlies from the Azores high look likely from mid week

This particular run has a tasty FI with hot southerlies and thunderstorm potential.

Just for fun*

Noooo I want some warmer settled weather. Maybe I will have to go Spain in September for a week 🤔

"While not strong enough to give us a wet and cloudy summer"

But it has been a wet and cloudy summer so far 🤔

The nation averaged 117% of the average rainfall, that seems a pretty wet month to me.. more places were wet than average or dry. The south was the exception.

I won’t post any chart as it will only show high pressure in control as head further into July.

Practically all the (very welcome) rain that fell in June in eastern areas was over a three day period (12-14th) so overall not a complete washout month. My verdict for June 7.5/10

Cloud looks to break up somewhat Mon-Wed next week, then a front straddles for end of the week but once that clears, plenty of warm sunshine according to this morning's 6Z output.

Temperatures into the 20s for most of the time, and getting to 30c in the south later on in FI:

Beware though, this 6Z output seems to be a bit of an outlier:

Not much to say… 🤢🤢

Oh I am well aware, I just hope we can get out of this reoccurring Nw/Se split that has plagued Connacht and Ulster for most of the last 6 weeks. Parts of eastern England are crying out for rain!

It’s the best run I’ve seen all year 😂