FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Summer 2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

squarecircles

Atlantic couldn’t help but stick its beak in, with the green ball of slime slowly rotating and ouzzing its way in, no matter what the synoptic set up it finds a way to manifest itself, like the ghost of a depressed dead crow continuously returning to release its droppings on you,gfs clearing away the heat from the west by Saturday, of course it won’t be in a dramatic fashion, with thunderstorms,as in the uk,it will be more like an innocuous moist fart that will slowly diffuse and moderate the atmosphere,

Pig gloom and patchy light rain and drizzle Tuesday 16 degrees,

Pig gloom on Wednesday 15 degrees,

Pig gloom on Thursday 17 degrees

Warm and sunny Friday.

So effectively one warm sunny day.

Muck returning Saturday with a south west pig flow.

Long range models suggest a deterioration in weather towards the end of July , start of August across the uk and Ireland, or a continuation of the premium filtered trash for those in west northwest. Might get a few days in September.

esposito

Never lasts long does it 😂

It’s like the Atlantic wakes up and hears that Ireland will be basking in sunshine and temperatures above 25°C and says “Enough is enough. I will put a stop to this immediately. Who do they think they are enjoying these sort of weather conditions. Here is another blast of wind, rain and cooler temperatures. That will teach them”!

Gonzo

just like an eyewatering cold spell in January a few days out, it gets filtered and watered down quickly and we're left with about 2 days tops. The Atlantic just has far too much energy this summer to allow us anything more than 1 to 3 days of fine weather at a time. With a few more days to go we will be lucky to get Saturday out of this if it keeps getting downgraded.

pauldry

Summer here is worse than chasing snow in Winter. If all the heatwaves that were predicted on the GFS or GEM came off we'd be like Spain in constant heat. Like a 3 day snow event that lasts 3 hours in the morning the 5 day heatwaves get pared back to a day or too.

Unfortunately the advanced computer models don't seem to be able to factor in thousands of km of ocean in their outputs and go on high and low pressure as being the main factors.

Another reason they keep getting it wrong is that cold blob to the West of Ireland that is on of the slowest warming parts of earth in climate change predictions seems to encourage more cloud and moisture to form.

It also seems to promote any wind direction with W on it so the Atlantic side of Ireland will never get the weather of further inland for too long.

ClimateObserver

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123611625#Comment_123611625

Saturday:

Sunday:

Cloudy and humid. Temperatures Saturday look set to reach 26c in eastern parts, 23c for Sunday.

Elmer Blooker

Met E outlook:
This weekend: Some uncertainty but with the potential for widespread hot sunny weather to remain.

Not in the slightest worried about a ‘breakdown’ that may not even happen.

squarecircles

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612215#Comment_123612215

expect that to change in the coming hours /days, something along the lines of some uncertainty with the possiblity of more unsettled conditions breaking through to western areas,cloudier with outbreaks of rain though much sunnier warmer conditions further east for a time.

Happens every time they’re bullish in advance.expect temperature profiles to be revised downwards also. They’ll prick around with vague details for a while before revealing the true realistic micro misery detail later.

squarecircles

i i

.Donegal.

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123611739#Comment_123611739

Peppa muck!

Elmer Blooker

nothing unusual about an Atlantic unsettled spell even in the best of summers*

Mid July 1995 was wet for a time and so was July 1976 which started and ended hot but the middle of the month was quite wet (60mm at the Phoenix Park that month) There was a disastrous flood in southern England with loss of life during the long hot summer of 1955 etc

*obviously I’m not describing this year as the ‘best of summers’ as we aren’t even at the halfway point yet but optimistic for the rest of it.

esposito

Big difference at T168 between GFS and GEM.

GFS has the Atlantic making inroads but the GEM has a low that looks like it might ‘slide’ under to the south of us keeping us in a continental flow.

Over to the ECM.

GFS:

GEM:

Ros4Sam24

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612690#Comment_123612690

Icon is similar to Gem

squarecircles

Oh for the love of Christ will it ever change, Jesus h Christ mother of god, sweet divine mother of Christ

igCorcaigh

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612787#Comment_123612787

44C in France?!

Cluedo Monopoly

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612787#Comment_123612787

Imagine London in 38 degrees. All that concrete and fumes. Hellish oven. The Tube would be unbearable.

Dazler97

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612787#Comment_123612787

Surely that's an outlier , England 40c their record is 40.3ºc so could be challenged, can we all just get together and pull Ireland into the bay of biscay that way we'd have high 20s low 30s in summer and mild winters

sryanbruen

Looks like a more interesting ECM with Atlantic low undercutting. Don't want to jinx it again though.

Edit: Eh never mind, it just stays there followed by another build of pressure from the Azores.

Ros4Sam24

Nice dry Ecm with no rain for most out to day 10

This is day 7 rolling out now on meteociel

sryanbruen

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612947#Comment_123612947

Can see it out to day 12 right now on WXCharts. Builds a 1027mb anticyclone right over us. Another run to give me faux hope 🤐

Elmer Blooker

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612935#Comment_123612935

‘another build of pressure from the Azores’ …..

this repeating pattern is a typical characteristic of a fine summer, my prediction of a 1989 summer I made weeks ago might be a correct one? I hope so!

Akrasia

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612787#Comment_123612787

I'd definitely prefer to be in Limerick than Paris based on this chart. 44c is far too hot and if there is a power cut that stops air conditioning from working for prolonged periods of time, thats life threatening to anyone with underlying conditions

Akrasia

Ireland should be marketing ourselves in Europe as a holiday destination for europeans to shelter from the oppressive heat they're facing in the continent every summer now

(And we should also be introducing restrictions on non Irish residents purchasing holiday homes in Ireland)

Ros4Sam24

Absolutely

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612994#Comment_123612994

beggars_bush

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/123612994#Comment_123612994

That's why lots of Spanish and Italians turn up in Ireland in July and August

dsmythy

Me struggling with 34 Celsius on holiday. Could only imagine tying to actually live in 40+ heat where lobbing about isn't an option.

Gonzo

nice ecm 12z, keeps the warm and sunny weather over the weekend and that's what we all want. Dry and warm days have been few and far between this summer and mainly confined to working days rather than weekends, it would be nice to have at least one decent solidly warm and fairly sunny weekend this summer.

Sammy2012

Is next week looking dry in the southeast? Has been fairly dry here the last 10 days so wondering how long it'll continue for

pauldry

I just want anything over 18c. Seems little to ask for but so far in July has not happened here.

It will in the next 7 days hopefully.. well maybe not tomorrow but a tad up on today as NW winds gradually turn W

Ros4Sam24

Gfs 18z makes Monday another hot day with 26c, it is similar to Ecm with regards to not making much of any breakdown and high pressure returning quickly from the southwest

Edit: the low sticks around annoyingly to the Nw, but a good run in the reliable

Dazler97

I wonder if we could beat the overnight low temperature again like recently 🤔