FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2024/2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

I think it’s appreciated more in urban areas where we don’t lose power and roads get gritted while we still get the beauty of the snow. Would have been different if Cork city, Waterford city or (although it got more snow) Limerick city got 6 inch falls instead of the little bit we saw

Lack of enthusiasm from the south? When the weight of snow destroys the gutters on houses and farm roofs collapse over the weight of snow,the enthusiasm doesn't long run out!! That on top of roads being impassable and some people unable to get vital medication,on top of the elderly unable to get out and do shopping. No one to clear a road only local farmers. Around here anyway everyone was sick of the snow with the hardship it brought and absolutely no help from any authorities. Sorry for going off topic.

It looks like one of these years. Cold or very cold out to the end of February. Maybe some decent dry spells March and April and then a cool Summer.

The 18th february is the date that keeps showing on my phone for very cold weather. Feels like MINUS 9 and then 1c actual daytime. As Galway Beo would say "killer cold spell to last for weeks"

I'm not sure the models are including all relevant variables in their output…

…I'm putting on those Michelin Cross Climate 2 All Weather tyres on my car on Tuesday.

Appologies to all the snow lovers here!

I've not had any snow since Dec 2022 so I will take any snow I can get if I get any this month. Not as if spring is all that far away at this stage anyway.

Beyond Thursday our weather is a lot more uncertain with latest data showing equal chances of a more Atlantic dominated weather setup and a colder northeasterly or easterly setup. It is so evenly matched that Ireland looks like being on the dividing line between milder and much colder air by Thursday. This could lead to return of more widespread rain, at least for the western half of Ireland.

This afternoon’s ICON model significantly weakens the Atlantic’s push toward Ireland which allows for a greater surge of cold air from the continent toward Ireland. The dividing line between colder and less cold airmasses gets rooted over northern Britain from Wednesday. Any further weaking of the Atlantic will allow for a greater push west of cold air due to the anticipated amplifying of heights linking Scandinavia and Greenland.

The GFS op run has some support but it is much milder than the mean, which is colder than the 06z.

I think the ECM may follow the UKMO's lead in reinforcing the block and bringing in much colder conditions next weekend.

Bingo. C'est arrive

The ECM amplifies the block from Scandinavia through Greenland and drags in very cold northeasterly winds next weekend into the start of the following week. This is well beyond the reliable forecasting period (3-5 days) but the potential for a very cold spell of weather from mid-month is increasing. Based on all output, the risk of same is now around 50%. A long road to travel for such an outcome to verify.

way too far out last week

It was showing it from the 12th

Nao and solar output will most likely cancel it

I wish these juicy charts were valid from Tues/Wed next week and not from next weekend. It just feels so far away in weather terms. The painful countdown…

Tonight’s ECM is more 2010 sources than 2018

It’s a shorter track for the super cold NE of here but a lovely fetch over the Irish sea would pummel the East with airport shutting snow showers if it happened,you’d hope they have those John Deere tractors and ploughs they invested in ready?

2018 came via Moscow