Election to be called Fri - predict outcome

Looks to me like the green voters shifted to the Social democrats

in the last GE the greens exit poll was 7.9%, in this election it's 4%

in the last election the Soc Dems exit polled at 2.9% and in this election it's 5.8%

Its possible we'll see a coalition of FF+SD+G or FG+SD+G or SF+SD+G

these are all compatible politically

BS they have core belief but have always been a minority party. Problemnis there is always a Roisin Shorthall or Nessa Hourigan who cannot swallow the pill that being g in government takes

FF and FG do not like power sharing. They would rather be in a coalition with 2 weaker parties than splitting power amongst themselves.

I didn’t say it was a “bold” prediction?
I just stated what Ivan had predicted.

I very much doubt that lack of love from FF & FG voters is just in relation to taxes.

More than likley it’ll be FF FG and Lab and if needed a couple of ind.

FF and FG may not like sharing power but they’ve happily done it for the last term and they probably will again.

SD have been fairly explicit in their red lines in forming a government. They're a party on the rise if the exit polls are to be believed so could easily collapse a government should their demands not be met later.

I don't see them as a favourable coalition for FFG. Labour remains to be seen but I would suspect there is hesitation based on their last coalition. Leaves the Greens to possibly prop up a government but it really comes down to how the percentages turn into seats. Transfers will be interesting.

Transfers will be interesting.

They will. A fascinating count and the rugby tomorrow, top notch entertainment.

Nite all

Basically the government is as you were. Question is if a 'filler' piece is required who it is. Labour has shown the stomach for government in the past. Greens have done their turn and will be roundly punished (albeit having achieved a lot which will become increasingly apparent in the next few years) and will I expect wish to it it out. I couldnt see the Soc Dems having the stomach for it - Anyways as LBJ used to say the first rule of politics is knowing how to count - we will see the arithmetic in the next few days …

My understanding is the SDs are a more radicalised version of Lab.

So lab would be closer to FF in their ideology than the SDs. (I’m not saying that lab is close to FFs ideology by the way!)

Labour isn’t left. It’s the party of the public sector who are amongst the most privileged group of workers in the country. They fight tooth and nail to keep it that way despite the consequences for the rest of us.

So lab would be closer to FF in their ideology than the SDs. (I’m not saying that lab is close to FFs ideology by the way!)

When I were a kid in the 80s Lab were always seen as more compatible bedfellows with FG than FF, and they did form governments a number of times.

It was in the early 1990s that FF went into coalition with Lab and that was a big deal at the time.

Interesting how now people consider FF and Lab closer.

I voted in wicklow and I must say it felt like the twilight zone looking at creche botherer Philip dickhead dwyer on my ballot right there pride of place, a real wtf moment.

Labour are a party of the left.

Find that quite funny. It’s the party of the public sector. Most members would be horrified to be considered working class. That doesn’t stop them patronising them though. Alan Kelly was a bit too gauche for them. I know he’s not popular but he has more authenticity than Ivana. I wonder has IVana ever left her ivory tower and actually spent time in West Dublin or any deprived area.