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Election to be called Fri - predict outcome

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,409 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    You seemed to have just leaned into misinformation these days francie.

    At a few points I wondered had RTE been called with a list of questions to ask by the FF FG campaign teams.

    It's been a debate or 3 too far for MLMD, missed obvious lines of questioning and lacked responses to many questions.

    MM was solid without being spectacular and Harris was green to the whole process, seemed more worried about making a mistake than anything.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What misinformation?

    Was MM questioned properly about his actual record as Taoiseach and Taniste?

    Absolutely and empathically he wasn't.

    Was almost every direct question to MLMD framed with a negative 'whatabout' she had to deal with first = yes.

    Were Harris and Martin allowed pretend they were the opposition to themselves and their record = yes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,352 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Interesting but it won't harm her election chances in Galway West. She is nailed on to win a seat again. I have a soft spot for Hildegarde to be honest.

    At the same time, the funniest moment in this election was her pretend fight with Jack Chambers on the Tonight show. It was pure theatrics. FFG went away from that ploy when the public saw through it.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,783 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    At a few points I wondered had RTE been called with a list of questions to ask by the FF FG campaign teams

    It's a known fact that RTE don't like SF but the questions towards the other 2 party leaders were worse on account of their dismal record I think. They were continuously asked why the electorate should trust them to implement the changes when they couldn't do so in the past

    I did feel the other 2 yahoos were afforded more time to make and finish their points but aside from that it was relatively unbiased from the 2 reporters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,409 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    And then the feigned naiivity again.

    You're accusing the state broadcaster of controlling the debate in favour of the government, it's a pathetic look for SF supporters.

    ML has been continually awful this election, this is the usual deflection but now with conspiracies sprinkled on top.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It's an opinion.

    Call it what you want, who cares. But noticeable that you can't refute the point made but want your opinion to be gospel. MLMD has done as well for her party as any of the rest. In last polling 1% behind FF and ahead of FG from several % points behind both. FG's campaign is in close to freefall while she has created some momentum.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Take the Housing debate as an example, MLMD pressured intensely on where she was going to get the builders for a similar target that FF and FG are promising and not a single question to the others on where the builders for their promises were coming from. Simon's absolute bolleeks 'I'm going to bring the children back from Australia' allowed pass without a raised eyebrow or question. Ridiculous tbh.



  • Administrators Posts: 55,024 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    I agree that over her entire tenure she has done well but the last year has not been good for her or her party, and it is going to prove very costly.

    The opposition still lag the government in the polls despite the government being incumbent for quite a while now and with easy-target issues like housing to bash them with. SFs biggest problem is not that people love the current government, it's that people don't see SF as a viable alternative. That is their own fault.

    In the poll on Monday something like 45% of people were opposed to SF in government, by far the largest.

    Barring some huge upset in the polls this week I think it's probably time for MLMD to go and a new face to step in, because it looks like the electorate is not buying what SF are currently selling.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,352 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Pearse and Cullinane would be no better. Pearse too shouty, Cullinane is weird.

    Louise O'Reilly always speaks well and knows her stuff. She usually wipes the floor with FFG excuse merchants. A future leader in my eyes.

    Have FF or FG any female candidates even close to becoming leader??

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    When the government parties are not properly held accountable as a coalition and are allowed spin their records that is inevitable…for a while.

    Nobody could spin the last year as a good one for SF and I am not but they'll be happy at the gains made and MLMD's part in that. If she goes so be it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,794 ✭✭✭rock22


    The banks want a simple way of getting their hands on the assets in case of default. That can surely be sorted.

    SF have been consistently questioned on where the workers are coming from to build their houses. But neither FF or FG are asked this question on where they are going to get workers.

    I also felt that the moderators were fairly aggressive with MLMD. for instance her being told they would continue to speak over her and interrupt if she did not address their question while they accepted MM saying that ' it was a debate' and he would answer whatever. I doubt if a male interviewer would get away with telling the leader of the opposition that they will continue to interrupt her and speak over her.

    However, as has been said by most commentators, there was no real spark or highlight moment. It is doubtful if any voter will be moved one way or the other.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,783 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Important to remember that, unlike the other 2, she had no hand in the current housing and homeless crisis. So she couldn't be asked the same question as them. Both of the civil war parties were questioned why the electorate should trust them.

    SH's comment was based on more building work here tempting the Irish builders back here. Not saying he's right but if SH is correct there will be more children coming back from Australia under SF's plan than FFGs plan. This is a factual point that MLMD should have made on the night



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    SH's comment was based on more building work here tempting the Irish builders back here. Not saying he's right but if SH is correct there will be more children coming back from Australia under SF's plan than FFGs plan. This is a factual point that MLMD should have made on the night

    And I am saying she might have had that opportunity if Harris's ridiculous comment had been challenged, it wasn't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,889 ✭✭✭pureza


    she was asked about homelessness where SF does have a record in the north though and said something something Whitehall don’t give us enough money DESPITE the north getting 21% per person more funding than England

    NI’s record on homing people vs the 26 counties make our housing crisis look like disneyland



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Nothing you say is ever going to diminish the fact that NI does not have autonomy on it's finances. As a mandatory coalition of divided entities it's an entirely different governance environment and is also a failed governance environment.

    To discuss it and hold somebody here accountable for it's complex problems without recognising it's uniqueness is a sign of a bias and a fairly fearful one at that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,889 ✭✭✭pureza


    SF left NI without a government for 2 years over cash for ash for heaven’s sake

    They could have threatened the same up there to establish a red line on housing

    But clearly it wasn’t important enough



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I agree.

    MLMD needed to promote housing but completely failed in that regard. Why? Their housing policy is a mess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    So MLMD didnt have the best of nights and it must be the fault of RTE?

    At a few points I wondered had RTE been called with a list of questions to ask by the FF FG campaign teams.

    Wonder away, but that is the tinfoil hat stuff I mentioned earlier.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    That is just a typical comment from somebody who refuses to recognise the out-workings of a failed state (in that case the continued attempt to use a Unionist veto contrary to agreements and the wishes of an Executive majority not to mention the British government)
    Tell me this, did FF walk out when they were lambasting Eoghan Murphy's/Lep Varadkar's record on housing in their C&S days? No, they didn't they went into coalition with them and the TD doing the lambasting carried on with them making housing and homelessness worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,632 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    All this RTE are against us shte is actually making want to vote FF or FG for the first time.

    Getting so sick of Sinn Fein's bullsht.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,783 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Agreed, she should have been the one to challenge it though! Especially when you know the hosts aren't going to

    In what way is their housing policy a mess exactly? They have made the biggest promise on physical numbers and are the only ones who have any kind of plan to end homelessness, with a plan to do it by 2030



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,940 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Its a mess because they are talking about constructing houses out of thin air, we simply don't have the workers to meet the kind of numbers they are claiming and to do that in the time frame they are suggesting would require massive subsidies to encourage builders et al to return from the likes of Australia and then somehow magically house all these people as well. And before you start jumping on me im not blaming SF for the housing issue but its a major blocker towards their suggested solutions which they are simply not being honest about in their proposals.

    I also don't agree with many of FG or FFs policies for housing like increasing first time grants etc

    We should be concentrating on making construction cheaper to begin with and also kicking the banks who are refusing to lend to construction companies which forces them to sell off plans to institutions leading to nothing but build to rent being constructed currently in much of dublin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    More Trumpism from you.

    Sure, its all a conspiracy isnt it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,313 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    It's an opinion.

    You are entitled to your own opinion, but not your own facts. But you do like to live in a post-truth world, dont you?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You are the very person who will champion a SF whistleblower but run down whistleblowers in organisations you want to protect.

    A former RTE employee has blown the whistle on issues within RTE and government attempts to interfere, ignored by RTE so far.
    Rather than attempt to explain why this story about inappropriate texting, suspension and omerta on why he was suspended until the last minute and also omerta from a FG TD on why she continued to support this person, you play the tired old 'Trump' card.

    Also not covered by the national broadcaster a member of government (Ossian Smith) blowing the whistle on why his government partners blocked the OTB for several years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,889 ✭✭✭pureza


    Their housing policy is basically based on 2 incontravertible mistruths

    1.Workers not there to build

    2.Banks not there to lend

    Both make the SF housing policy a fairy story



  • Administrators Posts: 55,024 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    If the banks are expressing reluctance to lend for houses where the state retains ownership of the land then SFs housing plan is dead in the water, since this is the mechanism around which they've built their entire plan to build cheaper houses.

    The fact that they have left themselves exposed to this is very poor.

    Either the banks are fine with it, and they should just come out and say so unequivocally, or the banks are not fine with it, in which case their entire housing policy is based on smoke and mirrors and people are going to be very disappointed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73,542 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    What is not 'factual' in this?

    MLMD has done as well for her party as any of the rest. In last polling 1% behind FF and ahead of FG from several % points behind both. FG's campaign is in close to freefall while she has created some momentum.

    -6 in an election week? Not 'almost freefall'? 1% behind the leading party is not 'doing as well as the rest'?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,940 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    The banks arent lending to build as it is what magic have SF conjured up to get them to agree to their plans? Until i see banks confirm they've agreed to lend under SFs plan then you are right it is nothing more than fantasy stuff.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    I watched the entire debate. It was underwhelming. I don't think any floating voters would have been convinced by any of them:

    Harris: Saw him described somewhere as being like an undertaker on speed. Seemed overly eager to reel off some pre-cooked answer at the sign of any question. Did that annoying talking under his breath while others were talking. Given his disastrous last few days though he didn't make any major errors so that probably seems like a win for him.

    MLMD: Was often on the back foot defending some of the sillier stuff that in her party's manifesto. Irish Times described her as being like a tribute act to her 2020 self which seemed accurate. She even tried to use her line from that debate which seems a bit hackneyed at this stage. I just don't think her heart is in it and expect her to stand down as leader after the election.

    MM: Probably came off the best without being particularly impressive. Acknowledged a lot of problems wit the country despite the fact that he's been in cabinet running it for most of his career. Himself and Harris were clearly going out of their way not to be too critical of each other

    Moderators: Didn't really let conversation flow. As a result it felt like as soon as someone was about to say something interesting the moderators would jump in and reset things with another question - which just returned the leaders to their own talking points. They seemed to me to be particularly quick to shut down MLMD although they asked gotcha questions of all of them.

    Nobodies going to be talking about what happened last night in years to come - like they do with the 2020 version or the 2007 version.



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