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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,884 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Ireland has historically taken a position and action on things which really have nothing to do with it. Why do we have a battalion of troops in Lebanon, for example? What difference is it to an Irishman if people in Chad have any safety or necessities? You can make an argument for a more isolationist policy being more appropriate, but it flies in the face of actual Irish policy for the three decades prior to the fall of Yugoslavia starting when the first Irish soldiers got off the airplane in Leopoldville. The governments of Ireland have historically felt it is in Ireland's interest to work to peace and security abroad. Were they all wrong?

    That's before one asks the question of if the Americans bailed out Europe and Europe didn't know it at the time. What would the EU, and Ireland's economic position look like today, had the Yugoslav conflict not been interfered with by the Americans in the 1990s? Better or worse?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭sparky42


    well going off SF’s manifesto, isolationism is their preferred option.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,243 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    I would say the main reason for places like chad is so DFA personal while dining in the UN in New york can say oh look we sent troops to such a country arent we good boys.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,884 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    who knows.

    its not about isolationism.

    its just stupid to attribute past events in non eu countries to EU countries today, on the basis of a shared continent name.

    If we attribute what happened in Bosnia to all European countries, then by that logic we should all be at war with Turkey.

    They invaded an EU member country, timeline of cyprus' membership be damned.

    At least in this above nonsense scenario its a member country.

    In the 'US bailed out Europe in the balkans' fairytale the country in question (Bosnia) isnt even a member to this day.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    Holy narrow vision perspective Batman…

    Bosnia and Kosovo interventions were key to stabilising the Western Balkan region after the dissolution of Yugoslavia, and preventing further conflict. Especially with Russian influence, case and point the issue with Kosovo a few months ago, if KFOR were not there, there would be civil war. Along with numerous attempts to steer former Yugoslav regions away from the EU (recently Montenegro, on going influence in Serbia etc…).

    Bosnia has also been a shitbox for a number of years, and as you should know, EU accession requires certain requirements to be hit…. that said, they have been a candidate since 2022 and accession talks began in March this year.

    However, the bigger picture was stabilisation of the former Yugoslav region, of which Slovenia (although argued an autonomous state within Yugoslavia (FYR)) applied straight away when Yugoslavia fell in 1992, and took 11 years to gain member status…. Croatia were next, applying in 2003, and gaining member status in 2013.

    Albania, Bosnia, Montenegro, North Macedonia and Serbia have candidate country status. Accession negotiations have been opened with Montenegro and Serbia, negotiations were opened with Albania and North Macedonia in July 2022 and with Bosnia and Herzegovina in March 2024, and Kosovo submitted its application for EU membership in December 2022.

    Going by the other timelines, membership status takes about 10 years from application.

    These applications all have their roots in the 1990's conflicts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Its the riddler!!

    All that bilge is nothing to do with the point.

    You cant do a favor for Peter, and then years later expect a thank you from Paul.

    Your post is just specilation that if Peter wasnt helped then xyz would maybe be different.

    Great. It didnt happen.

    If xyz was the consequence then there'd be a different timeline, and a different me, and maybe that version of me would be saying 'hey i owe you one'. But thats not the case. So no. US did nothing for the EU of today by helping a (still) non-member 30 years ago.

    If the US wants some thanks I suggest get on the phone to Bosnia.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    eh, of course you can….that's pretty much how geopolitics work… the long game is everything



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    Also, report from the European council in 1996 directly referencing the collapse of Yugoslavia and subsequent conflicts as a threat to EU Security and stabilisation

    Crisis in the former Yugoslavia

    edit:two other good papers on the Europeanisation of the Western Balkans, the positives and negatives, you probably won't bother even looking at them, but to say it wasn't and still isn't an EU issue, is hilarious.

    The Crisis of Expectations – Europeanisation as “acquis démocratique” and its limits. The case of Bosnia-Herzegovina and Serbia | Cairn.info

    Making Bosnia Work: Why EU Accession is Not Enough | United States Institute of Peace

    A peaceful, economically stable country takes about 10 year to gain access to the EU, Bosnia was neither until the early 2010's (some people will argue it still isn't).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Dont be ridiculous.

    An non existant entity owes to a third party for an act done to its future to be neighbor.

    Lets actually apply that to an hypothetical.

    Mexico is absorbed by the US in 2040.

    A European is on a forum, he expects an apology from a guy from North Dakota for that time the U.S. produced and flooded Europe with coke.

    There arent enough fŭck offs.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    I dont really have the time.

    Whats the speculation? That the EU would take a different shape.

    ok? Well … so what exactly?

    Eh thanks America for saving europes ass??

    We almost didnt have Slovenia as a member, possibly … or something.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,243 ✭✭✭roadmaster




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭sparky42


    I wonder should that be "before they fall out of the sky", I mean some of those cuts are just reality, Northumberland for example was already well known, losing the two Amphibs and more of the RFA hulls I guess is just admitting that the RFA is almost dead and they aren't in a hurry to try and save it. Wonder what it means for the MRSS project though?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    read for yourself and stop the scuttering out of you :-D



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,243 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    For a major military like the uk would the gap of the pumas not be a major issue?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭sparky42


    The Puma’s were going to be going out of service within the next few years anyway given their issues, it’s just collapse of the replacement that is the issue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    Ok I've read a small portion, and put one of the reports through a text reader.

    Its all a dry pointless tome of tangential affairs in the 90s. Unless you're actually writing a report or a thesis these links lead nowhere.

    Theres nothing of any relevance to take away. A rambling snoozefest.

    Its evident you googled some keywords like 'balkans' and gave me some random links in an attempt to look legit. Its not working.

    When you get to that point whatever half-point you were trying to make has clearly failed.

    What are you even saying at this stage? I think you yourself dont even know.

    I did notice this though:

    "A structured EU policy towards the countries of the Former Yugoslavia can only be recognized from 1999 onwards." (your own link)

    And I did notice the mentions of the work of the council of Europe, which long predates the EU and includes Turkey, Iceland, all the continent ex-Russia. An entity which you or I have roughly as much affiliation towards as the UN, which also gets mentioned.

    From what I gather these are the organizations which concerned themselves in the 90s with stabilization of diverging ex-Yugoslav countries. At this point in time Finland and Austria would have been beginning membership of the EU. And 99% of those of us in the EU and the rest of Europe would have been either completely unaffected, or marginally affected in a secondary way, and/or largely oblivious to whatever was going on in those still foreign lands. *beyond the usual headlines.

    tl;dr whatever went on between the u.s. and bosnia in the 90s still is of fck all importance to anyone else.

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    eh no, something I studied actually, and your minimisation of the effect of the US led NATO intervention (implementing the Dayton agreement), on European security on a whole, is hilarious actually.

    Thank you for demonstrating you have no clue on the subject and how it's fed into the modern EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,471 ✭✭✭✭expectationlost


    so we have these Nordic/Baltic states who are not neutral and on high alert, and yet they can't stop cables being damaged, how do you stop cables being damaged?

    Swedish [and Danish] police focus on Chinese ship after suspected undersea cable sabotage

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/20/sweden-denmark-undersea-cable-sabotage-navy-investigation

    Post edited by expectationlost on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,428 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    You increase your subsurface warfare capability. You invest in fast nimble submarines and anti-submarine barrages and hydrophones where this infrastructure is most vulnerable and you persecute Russian and Chinese ships and submarines so that they never have a minute's peace, and never get a chance to build up the intelligence and sabotage operations that they wish to.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    Much like what China does in the South China Sea, or the Russian's around Murmansk



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭RavenP


    @expectationlost if it was not for the efforts of the Nordic and Baltic states events like this may have happened many other times. Because a house gets burgled is no reason not to have a police force…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    whats there to minimise?

    All you have is speculation about what would have maybe happened, 30 years ago, in a non-eu country.

    We're supposed to owe the u.s. for what exactly.

    Point to it. Tell me without conditionals about possible future timelines you imagine.

    It brings brexit to mind. Some top economists and experts studied case scenarios and decided on all sorts of domino effects that never happened.

    And now youre going to tell me something pulled from your arse relating to events almost a continent away, 30 years ago, means i owe the yanks. Would you ever go and

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 523 ✭✭✭vswr


    just please stop with your garbage… there is no speculation about a crisis at the time which threatened to destabilise the EU and potentially spread from the Western Balkans.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭highpitcheric


    even in your fictional timeline it still wouldn't have stopped the consolidation of the eu.

    you have 'what ifs'. thats it. nothing more.

    in a world of pure imagination.

    th-393618120.jpg

    Bailey had a borderline personality" based on "narcissism, psycho-rigidity, violence, impulsiveness, egocentricity with an intolerance to frustration and a great need for recognition".

    • Psychiatrist Jean Michel Masson and psychologist Katy Lorenzo-Regreny


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭sparky42


    More international articles finger pointing towards our "limited" capabilities, though I do have to wonder how the writer jumps from "invest in automation/drones" to "hey maybe they might buy a Type 83…" I mean as umps go that's a big one.

    https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/11/26/ireland-defense-military-neutrality-posture-spending/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,428 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    The pieces they publish are generally dross anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,428 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    A hugely embarrassing state of affairs for certain, but you feel this is the sort of thing that can occur more readily when a force is ill-equipped, under-resourced, and inexperienced due to high turnover and low crew cohesion. Sound familiar?

    A salutory tale indeed from our good friends in the RNZN.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Looking at that, is it much different than say the Norwegian Frigate sinking, or the multiple collisions the USN went through a few years ago?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,428 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Maybe not. But it does make me think of other things like Air France 447, and car crashes attributed to autonomous systems failing, like them seeing large white trucks as empty sky.

    A little too much automation is perhaps a dangerous thing.



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