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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,297 ✭✭✭crusd


    Calling out out genocide is not identity politics. Now the argument can be had as to if its technically a genocide or only ethnic cleansing of large tracts of land. But to not be allowed discuss it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,164 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    If the conversation is about voting, then the true rate is important since those people can still vote.

    America defines its unemployment in a weird way that is nothing like European countries. You must be actively seeking for work to be counted as unemployed or you silently slip out of the employed and unemployed statistics.

    That the US has roughly five or six times as many people out of work than what the unemployment figure suggests is pretty important to note. If people look at the ~4% rate and think the economy is good and everyone is fine, they're not accounting for an extra fifth of the adult population who are probably unhappy with the economy and their finances.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,631 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Again, the humour relies far more on "Trump has sold a bunch of merch about how he's both the 45th and 47th President, or just with 47 on it, and it would all be made entirely worthless if Biden stepped down for the last month making Harris the 47th President and Trump 48th" rather than anything to do with Harris being female. But it's not something they actually want to do.

    Like I said, having the first female President be unelected, granted the position mostly through a technicality, for less than two months, and just to say "We've now had the first female President", would be so reductive and condescending to the point of absurdity. It's not at all what anyone wants, and only seen as plausible by those who already think the Dems care that much about identity politics, which largely means they're just mocking the Dems for something they've completely made up themselves.

    The joke about doing it from the Dem side, is purely about how it would ruin Trump's merch.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,164 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,631 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I hadn't seen that, but the fact everyone around the table was smiling and laughing kind of proves my point. Even with what he's saying, he's not being entirely serious. Nor did he say it should be done to make her the first female President.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,493 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    He isn't a Harris advisor.

    He was her Coms director in 2022.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    This is what I don't get. If I thought the president was in any way complicit with genocide, I wouldn't be saying "Oh let's discuss it", and I certainly wouldn't be saying that there are other factors such as the economy that should also count in deciding whether to vote for him or not. It'd be like defending Hitler on the grounds that he made the trains run on time and built lots of motorways.

    So I don't think people genuinely believe it. Because if they did, they should abandon the guilty party en masse and even try to get him imprisoned. Or at the very least, removed from power long before now.

    And I don't see any sign of that. It's more like "Oh this is awkward" - which looks more like one section of a party wanting to exploit something to gain power over another section.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,602 ✭✭✭valoren


    The scales have fallen from my eyes personally. I think the shock some feel is a product of a mix of news, traditional media and social media feeding biases which dehumanises Trump in a way. For example, he'll say something like "child care is child care" and the likes of the Daily Show latch on to it and get to create a 20 minute slot on it. You come away thinking Trump is an idiot, how could any idiot vote for that idiot etc. It feeds into the bias hence the shock when he actually goes and wins the thing.

    The same thing happened with Trump on Joe Rogan. I didn't watch it before the election but I did see people asking for any highlights i.e. did he say anything stupid or crazy which might feed my bias. I then watched it after the election and he comes across as a narcissistic Abe Simpson tying an onion to his belt, a salesman who has been selling the biggest, the brightest, the greatest (insert whatever) for 40 years. Ageing, rambling but, shock horror, normal. Not like the "they're eating the dogs" or "Because you'd be in jail" caricature. Obviously he is a flawed character with a pathological winner mentality (going so far as to watch a Capitol riot go down because there's a sniff of a chance of winning). Think Homer and Bart thinking the pig is still good delusion.

    He was compared to Hitler. Watch any documentary about Hitler and you'll likely hear his voice as the dictator at a rally. It feeds the dehumanisation of him. Then listen to a covert recording of him on a train talking in his normal voice. It is much scarier since this man, speaking like any other 50-ish Austrian, was responsible for the Holocaust. I think the comparisons of Trump to Hitler and fascists is deliberate. Better to keep people believing he is evil and reap the rewards of fueling a them versus us viewership rather than encourage people to seek out what the other side are seeing, what they are listening to.

    You have people mocking the idea of Elon Musk becoming part of the government or RFK Jr becoming the health secretary. You become appalled at the mere idea of it but if you see it through the lens of Trump supporters then the explanation becomes that, yes it's ridiculous, but this is what it might have to take to enable things to change. There is, as such, an answer for everything e.g. people died on January 6th? Yeah, well that just shows how angry people are! How do you win against such mental gymnastics? Now the opposite is also true. Trump has a mandate now and it will be his last stand. The press needs to stop with the dehumanization and cut out the whole Gilead rubbish. It just emboldens the support Trump has.

    They should focus on hitting the republicans with policy failures as they crop up. Again and again and over and over e.g. start an “Is it over yet?” clock on the war in Ukraine which he said he’d end in a day, keep a clock on the time it is taking for a healthcare plan to be signed off, start a clock on the deficit which will increase. Use the same tactics the right/conservative media use. When they then go looking for content they won’t be seeing anything useful (like people crying over how he is Hitler) they'll see that Trumpism is not delivering.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,493 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    America defines its unemployment in a weird way that is nothing like European countries. You must be actively seeking for work to be counted as unemployed

    That's exactly how we define unemployment.

    You are citing the Ludwig Institutes redefinition of unemployment which considers everyone working 35 hours or less as unemployed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 748 ✭✭✭Hungry Burger




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 466 ✭✭Piskin




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,998 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    NC voted for Governor, Stein got somewhere around 500k more votes than Harris. Some of that was due to the abysmal nature of the Republican candidate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,595 ✭✭✭monseiur


    I suspect that the Trump Bible would be more palatable in the classroom that the transgender dogma foisted on school kids in the US since Biden and his far left woke brigade came to power. Some of the stuff being taught is stomach churning. Many parents who can afford it are taking their children out of school and paying for private education.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    In fairness to New York pizza, the reason they are ordered by the slice is that they are bloody huge. Two can suffice as a main meal, so that's only 40% of your daily intake.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,595 ✭✭✭monseiur


    Next time you're in the US I suggest you travel more. Then you may be in a position to compare food in, let's say, Boise Idaho to New Orleans Louisiana, or Houston Texas to Boston Mass. or Juneau Alaska to Honolulu Hawaii or St Paul, Minnesota to Sacramento California

    In the States you'll find some of the best food in the world and without doubt some of the worst…..I guess the same could be said about our own little island.😊



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,306 ✭✭✭Guffy


    Ah come off it, woke America (and in general) was firmly entrenched before Biden.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,743 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Agreed. I lived on it when I used to go over there. But I also noticed that I was piling on the pounds when I got home too, and here was me thinking I'd have dropped a few from walking everywhere.

    There used to be a place down by the Intrepid that sold $1 slices. You'd have Tony and all the homeless waiting in line for a cheap dinner. 😁

    Beats the crap out €6.50 for a slice over here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    What has slamming Biden over Gaza accomplished?

    The far Left ended up helping Trump get in, and he probably help carpet bomb the place faster so he can build Trump resorts from the river to the sea, minus the original occupants of the area

    Congratulations



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,759 ✭✭✭yagan


    Good ingredients that we take for granted here is expensive there, even cooking from scratch.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,205 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Ah yes .Where would you be without your scary scapegoats?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,205 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Do you have any figure suggesting how many "far left" voters abstained from voting ? (or even voted Trump?)

    I heard a few times (before the election) that they would still vote for Harris no matter what.

    Is there evidence that they did the dirty?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,297 ✭✭✭crusd


    You definitely have no ability to identify bullsh*t it seems



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,743 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    I'd love to know who this mythical "far left" is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    The final counts not in yet but Trumps vote totals are not far from 2020 while something like 10-15 million democrat voters either stayed home or fell off the face of the earth



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,631 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I'd say it's more likely that Trump's vote dropped too, but that a chunk of Biden's vote in 2020 shifted to Trump this year and offset those losses.

    2020 was a major year in terms of voter turnout, particularly due to Covid. The turnout wasn't as high this year. We also know from exit polls and demographics that a lot of voters switched from Dems to GOP. It makes sense that the voters for both sides dropped but then voters switching from Dems to Trump gained those votes back on that side.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Well see soon enough hopefully, either way all the criticism of Biden on his approach to Middle East ended up being counterproductive



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,205 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Would it be possible to do a poll (the Dems could/should fund it) that asked of those who both voted for Biden in 2020 and did not vote in 2024 ?

    " What are your current political beliefs and what were the reasons that you would say that caused you (1) to vote in 2020 and (2) to abstain in 2024"?

    Tbe shortfall in the Democratic vote in 2024 compared to 2020 seems dramatic (I know that 2020 was lockdown and 2016 was actually fairly comparable to 2024 in the numbers so that is a big consideration)

    Has there been a considered analysis done yet?

    Is the data not really in?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,205 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Are you implying that such a description is meaningless and cannot meaningfully describe a significant part of the electorate?

    Or just that the term is wrongly applied?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    What’s the evidence that previous Biden voters actually voted for Trump this time? I find that very hard to credit.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,205 ✭✭✭amandstu


    When Biden was picked back in 2020 I was "pleased" because he was a man and I thought that he would ,for that reason alone have that bit of extra support which would allow him to beat Trump.

    (also he looked like the man for the blue wall state voters to identify with)

    It turned out that he did win and if being a man was indeed a part of that success then it follows that a woman in 2024 would have that bit of a steeper slope to climb to get a comparable result.

    Another way of looking at that is that some Biden voters would gravitate back to either not voting or (most wretchedly) voting for Trump and his supporters.



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