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Baby boom generation starting to retire in or around 2030

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 740 ✭✭✭Kurooi


    Some work 50 years straight so others don't work a day.

    And you want to tap them on the shoulder, tell them they're privileged, and they should put up with more.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 7,268 Mod ✭✭✭✭cdeb


    Again not really sure what your point is, and how it relates to my post?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,183 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The peak was 1965 and dropped rapidly after that. Contraception in Ireland was beyond difficult to secure in the 60's and 70's. The Family Planning act which essentially limited contraception to married people with a doctor's nod and prescription didn't come along until 1980. It was the mid 80's before condoms could be had without prescription and a few years after that in any numbers. It was 1992 before we got contraception law that brought us up to most European standards. There were certainly factors in play concerning our dropping birthrates, but contraception, at least in the 60's and 70's would have been way down the list.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,014 ✭✭✭BailMeOut


    There was a boom in births in 1965 which is the point of this thread . There was another boom in the 80s and again in 2007. There is a chart in the OPs post showing this boom. What you might want to call this boom is up to you but 1965 was a peak year for births in Ireland and these folks will be retiring very soon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,472 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,014 ✭✭✭BailMeOut


    You have and nobody would argue against what you are saying however you have no guarantees that future generations will not move the goal posts if society cannot afford to pay your state benefits. Something might have to give which could be moving the age when people can retire, cut pension payments, tax younger people more to pay for older people's pensions or cut services. (I used a lot of mights and coulds here!)



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭purplepanda


    This is just American crap imported to Western European nations who actually have different cycles of births over the periods above. None of the above groupings make sense in an Irish, British or any neighbouring nations demographic context.

    There was no Baby boom until the '60's in Ireland or nor Britain, & I would suggest most of Western Europe, due to massive reconstruction after WW2, continued recession & rationing, rebuilding of infrastructure, industrial bases, housing & modernisation.

    Comparing Western Europe demographics to the late WW2 period & booming post war economy of the richest country in history is nothing but a fallacy, promoted by those that are continually brainwashed by America media.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,099 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    There was a baby boom. It's objective fact. I'm baffled that some people have to dismiss everyone who disagrees as "brainwashed by American media".

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,779 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    As pointed out every time, Ireland did not experience a baby boom in the late 40s, 50s.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,779 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Ireland's population fell in the 1950s. There is no US comparison. Generation X is an American cultural term for American people and their experiences. Irish people have completely different upbringing and experiences and so it seems bizarre to link Irish people with these American labels.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,723 ✭✭✭seenitall


    I can only speak for myself personally, but, being conscious that they are American with a different demographic history to Europe or wherever, I’ve always seen these terms in purely generation-denoting terms, so nothing to do with any inter-generational economics.

    For example, my father is a baby boomer, I’m gen X, my daughter is a zoomer (gen Z). It’s just a light-hearted and trivial thing to know, nothing more to it for me. The whole scale is an American invention, very American-sounding and I’m sure it carries heaps more meaning over there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,779 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Americans love their labels.

    I think most Irish people stick with young, middle aged and old. Or a person "in their 50s" etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,028 ✭✭✭✭SEPT 23 1989


    poorer 45 year olds today won’t be retiring at 65 or anything like that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,723 ✭✭✭seenitall


    Off topic:

    Sure, but designating people by age like that can be a whole different minefield. Cultural differences come into play as well. I remember talking to a few Spanish women in their thirties/forties. Dunno how the subject of age came up but I casually mentioned 60s being elderly (it wasn’t about anyone specific); well, they nearly ate me alive. It seems to me that in Spanish culture being called old or elderly is akin to an insult. In my own culture, it’s just a designation of age, and perhaps “old” does start earlier in my culture than in theirs. And nobody gets offended being called it (if they really are old).

    I’m just reminded now of a friend who recently turned 60 and got into a funk about it. To me, that’s “Does not compute”. I would celebrate it! (as I did my 50th very recently) I mean, a little imagination in life always helps; you could have been dead from drugs, cancer or in a car crash by now - instead you’ve made it to 60! So celebrate you’re still here, living in cushy circumstances compared to the majority of the world’s population, and with a nice chance of some more good years ahead. Woohoooo 💃🏻🕺

    Yeah……… being technical about it is perhaps the best way to go (“he’s in his 60’s”).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,779 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    I would say "older" rather than old. Nobody minds being called young.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,723 ✭✭✭seenitall


    True - I wouldn’t call anyone old to their face, I do understand it can be a sensitive thing with some people. But the reason I was flummoxed with the Spanish women there is because I didn’t actually designate anyone in particular as old, it was just a general remark AFAIR. I got the feeling almost like they took umbrage on behalf of their parents or something. 🤷‍♀️



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,964 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    Whatever about Ireland, and I would assume that any baby boom in Ireland related to circumstances in Ireland, I was born immediately after WW2 in England and was aware as a child that I was part of 'the baby boom' - thoughout my education I was in huge classes of children. It was something that was dicussed and was common knowledge, including the effect of this boom on future planning and pensions etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,071 ✭✭✭purplepanda


    England had a birth boom post war & another early '60's, however in-between there was a substantial decline compared to America. As shown in the graph attached.

    The idea that post war children in England / Western Europe are the same demographic as early '60's children as used in the American "Baby Boom" meme is totally flawed. Mid '40's children would have started work / left school at 14 in England, unless they were from affluent families, compared to early '60's children leaving school at 16.

    Putting people in the same demographic as those 20 years older, might work in the USA but doesn't apply in Europe. Especially as those early '60's children would not have had the similar work opportunities & actually suffered higher unemployment rates, inflation & recession when they started working.

    I had 2 teachers visit my parents asking why I was leaving school at 16, & not staying on for 6th form & going university. Being the oldest my family needed me to go work. Only 5 boys went to the 6th form that year.

    Within 4/5 years the majority of children were staying on as unemployment substantially increased along with more recession.

    Related to the discussion, I noticed recently that a Tory minister tried to justify the increase in women's pension age from 60 to 67, by saying most affected by the policy would have left school at 18. The facts are that most left school at 14 or 15. WTF?

    Post edited by purplepanda on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,621 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    yes in this country kids born between the early 1920’s and early 1950’s had similar experiences of poverty, emigration and early school leaving . The real generational difference in this country happened with free secondary education in 1968. Therefore Kids born between 1955 and 1975 had very similar experiences in terms of standard of living , education and emigration. Kids born between 1975 and 1990 didn’t have to emigrate as much. And kids born after 1990 didn’t really have to emigrate at all and were far more influenced by technology and were far more indulged with toys etc. A child born before 1990 had a box of toys. A child born after 1990 had an entire room full of toys.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,415 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    The term "boomer" is incredibly valuable because whenever you see someone using it to talk about Irish people, you instantly know they haven't the first club about history, politics or economics and you can safely disregard everything that follows.

    Anyone born in Ireland during the "baby boom" years in the USA had to put up with poverty, repression and lack of opportunities that no-one born here after 1990 could even vaguely comprehend now.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    My generation (30s) seem to want everything handed to them. All my friends seem to be counting the money they will get when their parents die, even when their parents are only 50 or 60.

    My parents generation worked their asses off to get what they have, if anything. My grandparents generation worked themselves to death just to live. Cant wait to see what the next generation expect to be just given.



  • Registered Users Posts: 277 ✭✭Guildenstern


    Some will,cor have the option to, through property inheritance although sadly this will increase inequality even further.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    You are correct. whenever I see anyone say boomer I just think to myself. This is the result of a tiktok education and i zone out.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,099 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    That's exactly what I think when I read stuff like this:

    The term "boomer" is perfectly legitimate. I've no idea why people here are getting triggered by it. Personally, I've never death with such an indolent and entitled demographic as boomers who love to lecture other people while doing nothing themselves.

    I'm not sure why you'd want to have friends like those you describe above, frankly.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Well would you listen to that. Spend less time on tiktok or even back slapping message boards where you "think" your opinion is a valid one because, well you are among a minority like minded people instead of in the real world. You can thank me later.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,099 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It is valid but if you can't engage without hysterics, let's leave it at that.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,330 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    The term "boomer" is used as a pejorative. Let us not pretend otherwise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,846 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The point about "baby boomers" is that there was, well, a baby boom in the western world — a large rise in the birthrate, sustained for about 20 years. This generation has always been larger both that the generation that came before it (their parents) and the generation that came after it (their children). The result is that, by sheer weight of numbers, they have been relatively influential — first economically, when they were teenagers and young adults; then politically, as voters; and eventually both politically and economically, as they reached the top of their professions and formed the demographic from which political, economic and cultural leadership is drawn. This would be when they were in their fifties.

    If we accept the conventional understanding — baby boomers are those born between 1945 and 1965, more or less — then the baby boom generation is now aged between 59 and 79. Well over half of them have already retired and most of the rest will, in the next few years. Their cultural and economic signficance is now declining, which is a new experience for most of them, and their political significance is also starting to decline, though that will be a slower process.

    Expect stresses and strains to result. For example, the housing affordability crisis that plagues much of the western world is the flip side of the house price inflation which has so massively benefited baby boomer homeowners. Its very hard to see how the problem can be addressed without some detriment to baby boomers but, as their economic and political influence declines, they will be less and less able to resist that. They now have the problem that there is not just one but two generations below them who are adult and politically active; on issues where the interests of both Gen X and Millenials align — and there are many — the baby boomer are massively outnumbered, and they can no longer rely on their dominination of the political and economic establishments to protect their interests.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,014 ✭✭✭BailMeOut


    Would like to point out that the OP never said 'boomer'. The point of this thread was to discuss the looming and possible crisis funding the batch of people who were born during the peak baby boom years around 1965.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,621 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    This is influenced by smaller family sizes as well. Where there is only one or two kids born to reasonably wealthy middle class parents the sense of inheritance entitlement skyrockets.
    If those same parents had 5 or 6 kids that dynamic would be completely different and the incentive to make one’s own way in the world increases dramatically. It really is a wealth decreasing negative feedback loop.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,289 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    The obvious, though likely incredibly unpopular, solution to paying for the care of a growing elderly demographic is an increase in wealth (i.e. property) and inheritance tax.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,154 ✭✭✭BobMc


    By all means push pension and retirement to 70, but I suggest that starts with all Civil servants and TDs and once they are onboard with 70 or above they can roll it out to normal joe soap contributory pensions :)



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,099 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Not going to happen. For example, the Conservative government of Theresa May tried in 2016-2017 to replace pensioners' lucrative triple-locked pensions with double-locked pensions and to reform the care system. The tabloids branded the care reform as the "dementia tax" and it's now dead for a generation. I don't object to boomers being as wealthy as they are so much as the sanctimony a lot of them come out with. With the stresses the welfare state faces, they should have to pay more for their own care.

    Very good analysis of the boomer (and other) demographics here:

    https://podcastaddict.com/origin-story/episode/166026459

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,894 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    thats birth rate, not number of births

    its any easy mistake to make, people google the wrong thing

    irelands demographic nothing like the states



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,894 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    there are, there was a baby boom recently enough as they all had kids



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,507 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Not if the policy of putting aside billions of surplus continues.

    Not only will it pay pensions directly in the future, it can be invested in projects in Ireland and across the World to gain a return on it and snowball the coffers.

    Also, eventually a government will have to bite the bullet and increase the State pension age to 68, and by the end of the Century to 70.

    You cannot improve healthcare, nutrition and overall life expectancy to such a huge extent and still maintain pension entitlement at an age that is based on actuarial factors decades out of date.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    What should happen is that form the age of 18 everyone should pay something like the USC but towards their old age care.

    Then you tax inheritance heavily and you ring fence that money for end of life care too. This should be enough to take care of those who will not have any assets on death to collect tax from too. You tax the inheritors not the people who worked for those things that they build up over a lifetime of work.

    Also increasing the retirement age will work if they ever do it. But it needs to be done in a manner which honors the contract that people approaching retirement have had since they started paying tax.

    10 years from current retirement age 66 - increase the retirement age by one year.

    20 years from retirement - increase it by 2 years.

    And so on every 10 years back add one year to the retirement age, even for people born in the future. eg someone born in 2034 will have a retirement age of 73 or so. Go in 2 year increments if that ever looks like it is lagging behind.

    That way retirement age increases as each new generation is born, so there can be no hard feelings that you worked all your life planning to retire at a certain age and then the moved the goal posts on you.

    But you need to build proper retirement facilities so that people who have houses can trade down to pay without impacting their quality of life and feel part of a community and not like people thrown on the scrap heap, which sadly it seems like younger generations want for old people. They seem to want to get all the old people assets given to them for very little in return and then just dump them on the scrap heap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 282 ✭✭sekond


    But you need to build proper retirement facilities so that people who have houses can trade down to pay without impacting their quality of life and feel part of a community 

    This is a massive issue already. I have two relatives both looking to downsize from big family homes that are way too big for them, but can't find anything suitable. They are both still quite active and very sociable and would thrive in one of those stereotypical American retirement communities - suitable housing, recreational activities and support nearby if needed. As it is, I expect at least one of them will never move from the big family home while it crumbles around them and family try to support them from a distance.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,894 ✭✭✭monkeybutter


    the problem with this is people only talk about it, never do anything about it

    why not start a business where you go off build a load of retirement villages for old people



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,964 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    the problem with this is people only talk about it, never do anything about it

    why not start a business where you go off build a load of retirement villages for old people

    Goodness, what a brilliant idea. (eyeroll)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,779 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    But Ireland did not experience a baby boom in this period. The population fell.

    So when you talk about an accepted convention, have you ever tried to look into Irish history and question accepted conventions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    There is this determination to copy and paste every batsh!t crazy idea from the USA and apply it to Ireland. We are a different country despite what some of our commentariat think and we should act accordingly.

    There is no such thing as an Irish boomer. That equivalent generation in Ireland had it extremely tough.

    A huge part of the countries housing stock in the 80s was not fit for habitation by today's standards. I am a generation X (so called) and the house we lived in for a year after I was born had the jacks out in the back. Even in the Uk this was the situation in about 10% of rental housing stock up until 1970. I had friends whose families were renting dilapidated house not just from landlords but from the corporations as the urban local authorities were called then. We were then housed in a new housing development in the mid seventies which was grand but you then had to navigate the fact that your address might put employers off because of prejudice.

    I managed to buy my own place in 2006 in the commuter belt which lost 60% of its value two years later. I am mortgaged until my early seventies.

    I find it grotesque that these type of discussions seem to want to justify some scenario where the middle aged and older people are taxed heavily in order provide some sort of safety blanket for I dunno (so called zoomers?)

    Call me a conspiracy theorist if you want but I can't help but think that the euthanasia discussions that are frequently popping up now are another extension to this.

    https://www.rte.ie/archives/exhibitions/894-house-and-home/139167-housing-in-dublin/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,779 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Complaining about boomer title but then saying you're Generation X.

    What happened to saying I'm in my 40s or I'm in my 50s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    I didn't just say I was generation x. At least have the courtesy of reading the 'so called' which qualified it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,823 ✭✭✭yagan


    Looking back on demographic pyramid charts for the US and Ireland it does seem like there are correlations, like in 1970 around 45% of the population of the USA was under the age 25 but twenty years later in 1990 that had decreased to around 35%.

    Ireland was around 45% under the age 25 in 1990 and like the US was down around 35% too twenty years later in 2010.

    I don't think using the US boomer dynamic as a starting point for discussing Irish demographics is helpful, I think we have a very different economy to the boomer economy of the US in the 1970s.

    Having said that the post WWII population boom did produce family sizes that were the exception rather the norm when matched against longer trends. The industrial nations saw a massive upswing in the 19th century to the point where by 1900 a quarter of humanity lived in Europe, whereas now I believe that figure is around 8 or 9% and falling.

    Basically the demographic dynamics of one economy does not necessarily match every other situation as there can be many moving parts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Ive a better idea. How about instead of asking a randomer on the internet to start a complex business, we tax inheritance say 50 to 75% and use that money collected to get in an expert company to create these villages for pensioners.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Yes, tax the inheritors who do nothing to get the money, not the people who put their blood, sweat and tears into building their worldly possessions. Leave the people be who earned it, let them enjoy it and take it off those who had it left to them where the expectation of it just makes them demanding and lazy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,203 ✭✭✭fuzzy dunlop


    The problem is you can't simply tax the inheritors. In a lot of cases 'inheritors' have an arrangement where they inherit in exchange for providing care. This is very common. So there has to be a sliding scale of some description.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,506 ✭✭✭✭Marcusm


    not sure where you are getting your terminology from but the baby boomers in conventional lingo ended in 1964z. It is Gen-X which will begin to retired in substantial numbers by 2030 when the youngest will be 66.



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