Russia - threadbanned users in OP

I think he might have preferred the Hague.

I reckon he'll have made some preparations. There's a significant number of hardcore extremists who will be very unhappy about this. Let's see how his supporters react.

Well he’s claiming Russia lost 80,000 in Bakhmut and then quotes the US who said the ratio is 1:1 so he’s clearly hinting Ukraine lost the same.

If Ukraine we’re losing 500-1000 soldiers a day dead the counter and war would be over now.

Dare I ask you for any evidence to back up those numbers?

No.

The World Bank projection is based on its own modelling and assessments of the global economy and is independent of any growth projections that Russia might provide.

There's no discussing with you. You'll argue that black is white and refute any evidence to the contrary.

Have a look at this academic paper from the World Bank. It will give you some insights into the detailed analysis that underpins their economic forecasts. They do not simply regurgitate forecast figures provided by tinpot dictatorships.

https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099426303102336406/pdf/IDU0f9f2613e0a18e0486c0a2710e80b2c21a128.pdf

The OECD forecast modelling is even more comprehensive. I'm at work so I'll let you research that one yourself.

A quotation from the article you provided a link to makes me question why you make the statement: "The only credible claims of casualties that I have seen came from the original leaked US intel docs in April."

From the article you provide a link to and take figures from:

"Reuters has not been able to independently verify the documents and some countries, including Russia and Ukraine, have questioned their veracity, while U.S. officials say some of the files appear to have been altered."

When documents are stolen and reported as being altered before being published online would that not make the figures you are quoting at least some way distant from being the only credible casualty figures available and having a distinct possibility of having been manipulated to suit the agenda of whoever stole them and altered them before publishing?

Which figures are we talking about, as I'm struggling to see any 1:1 ratio in any figures, leaks, reports etc... You're the only one mentioning a 1:1 ratio.

As I mentioned earlier in the thread, assuming the September public figure announced by Ukraine on Ukrainian KIA is correct and you work out the monthly average and add on the September to Feb months (up to the leak date) that gives a broadly similar figure to the leak.

The same leaks list Russian military losses, there's no indication that it includes Wagner or DPR figures etc.... In Bakhmut, the US specifically mention Wagner losses specifically. They seem to differentiate Russian army/DPR/Wagner figures.

Now again I'll ask, can you show where you got the 1:1 ratio figure? It's not Ukrainian figures, it's not the US leak, it's not the Russian official figures, nor the UK estimates or even the NATO estimates. You didn't just make it up did you?

That means you read that post wrong.

Your taking figures likely from one source estimating losses on other month's to get another estimated figure from the same source, then trying to guess DPR , Wagner, Russian forces,

There is 2 figures for KIA , Russian and Ukrainian but the everyone on here keeps saying well Ukraine say Russian losses are in the hundreds of thousands for war and rising,the same source Ukraine won't release any figures about their losses since the start of the war ,

So how can you estimate any figures when don't have any real numbers in the first place,only what is being claimed by Ukraine.

Vadym Prystaiko Ukrainian ambassador to the UK was sacked after lasts weeks Ben Wallace comments about the UK not being Ukraine's Amazon for weapons,

How else can we show our gratitude?" Mr Zelensky said in response to the defence minister's comments. "We can wake up in the morning and thank the minister. Let him write to me and tell me how to thank him

He had called Mr Zelensky's promise to thank the UK defence minister every morning "unhealthy sarcasm

Seem harsh ,

But they do have the ability to end this war pretty quickly,and they could have ended it before it even started ,but no they sat back and waited before sending weapons and munitions and NATO stores are running low and the stores of exsoviet equipment are likely completely gone through in Europe,they might now find it difficult to keep supplying Ukraine everything it needs to win this war,

People laughed when Trump called out NATO spending a few years ago,and somehow he was actually right,

Genuinely surprised it took this long. He's been quite negative about the situation on the war and critical of military officials.

The original leaks were spot on about many things not in the public domain (the formation of the new NATO trained brigades, the state of Ukrainian air defence, the delays in equipment for the counter offensive). Also the estimate of the Russian dead is a very close match to the separate BBC investigation.

Not aware of the details of a BBC investigation on the issue or where they claim to source data for their estimates. Don't think I would trust numbers from sources outside Ukraine with a long distance from the offices of the BBC and the intelligence services of the USA to the places where moskovyte deaths are taking place even if the documents being quoted weren't described as altered by the authorities that produced them. Russia lies about everything so that leaves the Ukrainians who are at the front lines where the forces of putin are being eliminated as the only potentially accurate source in my opinion. Their count on putins forces eliminated to date in the recent invasion of their country puts moskovyte looses a considerable amount higher than those that you posted.