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Brexit Impact on Northern Ireland

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,278 ✭✭✭political analyst


    So the DUP opposed the GFA. That doesn't necessarily mean that the DUP wanted to destroy the GFA.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,098 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Rubbish. The UK, like ourselves in Ireland, joined the EEC in January 1973. I remember it well. The early Éire Nua (Sinn Féin, 1971: 4) document promised: ‘An independent stand will be taken in foreign policy. Power blocs such as NATO and the EEC on the one hand and COMECON and the Warsaw Pact on the other will be avoided’. This position was reaffirmed in the updated version of this policy document (Sinn Féin, 1979).

    https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/07907180903274834?journalCode=fips20

    In 2008 : " Everyone in Ireland knows Sinn Fein has opposed every one of the six European treaties since 1973. "

    Opposing the Single European Act in 1987, Sinn Fein opposed this treaty by saying "that this treaty will surrender power completely to the NATO dominated EEC

    https://www.independent.ie/opinion/letters/sf-pro-europe-claims-are-a-farce-26422680.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    2004 Manifesto, when the UK were proud and active members. SF fully behind the EU project but wanted reform.

    2016, no change in party position when the UK left.

    2023 - no change in party position with the UK gone.

    You stated that:

    Now the UK are out of it, SF are very in favour of the EU.

    as if SF adopted a position JUST to be the opposite of the UK. As shown, that is just factually not true.

    You slant the facts all the time to suit whatever agenda you have = another fact.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,098 ✭✭✭Francis McM



    Rubbish. The UK joined in Jan '73, when Sinn Fein were very against Ireland joining. In 2008 : " Everyone in Ireland knows Sinn Fein has opposed every one of the six European treaties since 1973. " I gave you the link.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    So what?

    They are comiitted to the EU project for a long time now. Long before the UK left. It's there in black and white and in their record of engagement in the EU as MEP's. They have even, shock horror, worked with and voted with UK MEP's when the UK was a committed member (albeit with opt outs etc)

    You slanted the facts to suit the agenda again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,098 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Not the point. You claimed about SF " They were committed to the EU WHILE the UK were in it.". The UK were in it from 1st Jan 1973. Do you not rem,ember the seventies and eighties. I gave you links.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 44,079 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Mod: this is a thread to discuss Brexit & NI and not one to discuss the history of SF so move on from that or I will immediately issue thread bans



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,042 ✭✭✭standardg60


    It would seem like a contradiction that SF would seek to work for the benefit of a state that they don't actually recognise but maybe there are some who are smart enough to see that a nationalist led government raising the economic fortunes for all in NI would lead Unionism to believe that things mightn't be all that bad in a UI whilst allowing them to maintain their British nationality. Lord knows it hasn't worked the other way round, where being part of the union was the be all and end all even it it meant subvention forever was the only way to keep the whole place going.

    One other point to note is that SF in fairness to them have done pretty well in keeping staunch nationalism (the percentage opposed to the WF) in line as well as those who would probably be happy enough to live in a NI state to keep their vote intact, whereas unionism has clearly split into two distinct factions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,045 ✭✭✭✭downcow




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,045 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    Not just ff and fg didn’t like gay people. Sf were the political wing of a paramilitary group who tarred and feathered people because they were gay



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The reason there will continue to be a push for a border poll is not because of the economics, it's because Brexit has made it clear that Unionism will never allow true equality.

    They have frustrated all who want it, and have **** in the Union nest now too, several times.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The party you will vote for still think it's an abomination...in 2023. And try to force people to follow their religious beliefs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,042 ✭✭✭standardg60


    The push for the border poll is a nod to the extremists, there's not a chance of it happening/being successful without support from moderate nationalism/unionism, i doubt they're that stupid not to realise that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You can't build that support/convince unless their is a plan from the proposers of Unity - an Irish government.

    If a poll is called that will have to be done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,042 ✭✭✭standardg60


    You'd agree then that calling for a poll without prior planning, justification and evidence that it would be beneficial to all is premature in the extreme?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No.

    There will be at least two years between the call and the poll itself if the Scottish Ref model is followed.

    The Irish government have not planned because they are petrified of enabling SF. They will have to plan if a poll is called and one can be at any time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭Kiteview


    No it won’t have to be done. There’s no obligation on either government to come up with plans for or against either union.

    Politicians are only going to put time and energy into planning for something once there is a clear expression of intent for it from a majority in Northern Ireland - and there’s no indication that is likely to happen for decades, if ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    If Stormont cannot be restored there will come a point where it may be the only option - i.e. let the people decide.

    It is criminally negligent for the Irish government not to be prepared for the eventuality.

    You will see pressure mount on them to begin the process and it will certainly be a talking point at the next election.

    I would also imagine it will be a redline for SF before entering any coalition arrangement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭Kiteview


    If Stormont can’t be restored, NI will be directly governed from Westminster. That’s what’s always happened there and why politicians on both sides are happy to play the clown rather than govern the place properly.

    The Irish government are not going to waste time and energy preparing for hypothetical possibilities, particularly when the opinion polls show there isn’t a snowballs chance in hell such a referendum would pass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    This government won't. And the reasons are clear why they won't.

    But governments come and go, priorities change.

    You could almost transpose your absolutism to the UK voting to leave the EU. Plenty would have been adamant it would never happen...and look what happened.

    You disagree, that's fine. We'll see what happens.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭Kiteview


    People have been touting the claim that any day now a majority of people in NI will support a United Ireland and it’s no closer today than it was a hundred years ago (or when the argument was it would only take one more murder to achieve it).

    In the meantime, the government has a real country and economy to run and they’d be idiotic to waste their time on a fantasy, particularly when the majority in NI will by default say no irrespective of whatever is put in any plan they devise.

    Stop and think about it, you are going around knocking on doorsteps in let’s say Ballymena, what arguments would you use to persuade people to vote for a United Ireland when they open their doors? Why should they do so?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I doubt there will be any one knocking on doors in Ballymena nor the Union side in Derry.

    Won't be that type of canvass, it will be more general I'd imagine.

    There will be people on both sides that won't be convinced no matter what is said or offered, such is the nature of these things.

    Anyway, you are sure it won't happen, so don't be worrying. I am not trying to persuade you, just giving my view.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭Kiteview


    You are just ducking the question.

    Any referendum would have to be fought on a door to door basis (there is clear evidence that such canvassing works and is very effective).

    Also, you can’t just write off entire sections of the people of Northern Ireland, since any United Ireland has to be there to work for all the people of Northern Ireland, not just the people you identify as “desirable”. A United Ireland thats just Sinners talking to Sinners is never going to get a majority.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You are revealing yourself.

    I'll leave you to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 325 ✭✭Kiteview


    The only person revealing themselves is you since you are ducking the question. You can’t envisage trying to actually persuade anyone who doesn’t already agree with you.

    “Preaching to the converted” isn’t going to work when the majority in NI aren’t part of the “converted”. The arguments have to be there to persuade a sizeable chunk of the “non-converted” to change their views and the evidence to date is that the arguments aren’t there and the “preachers” aren’t interested in “converting” the “non-converted”.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 11,059 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    If the Euro was to be dissolved tomorrow the two strongest currencies would be the DMark and the Punt. Both countries are effectively trading in an under valued currency and any monetary favors us just as much as Germany.

    As for the UK managing their economy has been a basket case for decades they went into the EEC as the sick old man of Europe and having come back out they are back where they started. In today’s world if you are not the FED, the ECB or perhaps the SNB, the idea of being able to have much of an impact with monetary policy is an illusion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,045 ✭✭✭✭downcow


    You continually paint a picture on here of unionism being the sectarian ones and nationalism being the non-sectarian ones operating on a higher political plain. Plainly nonsense and propaganda designed for the ears of those on here who do not live in ni. Just look around you. It’s today we have a police officer lying critically ill after a murder attack by nationalists. We have the Psni issuing a warning that nationalists are planning to create ‘serious street violence’ in Derry on Monday to coincide with the annual unionist celebration in the city. It’s today we have videos circulating of a 12 year-old unionist girl being lured into a group of young nationalists to be punched, kicked and hair pulled while being called an orange barstewart. this type of behaviour no doubt encouraged by the daily flow of young nationalists singing support to the organisation that that purposefully murdered innocent unionists - and this is being normalised by establishments and politicians - This is what will ensure the status quo in unionist voting - they are not going to move to middle ground in large numbers while they feel threatened by nationalists

    posters on here who may not be fully in touch with what is happening in ni, need to be careful reading the slant being presented by many nationalist posters with an agenda of trying to convince southerners that unionists are the issue. Yes there are issues making the news in one small unionist area of ni atm, but that is internal and not sectarian.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Is this true or not?

    The party you will vote for still think it's an abomination...in 2023. And try to force people to follow their religious beliefs.


    I am fully aware there are incidents in both communities and I don't use them here in the way you say. I am not the one who opens threads to have a pop at sporting organisations for example.

    The problem Unionism has is that they are the political entity stoking tensions and insinuating that their will be a violent price to pay if they don't get their way.

    They are giving sanctuary to the likes of Bryson and the LCC who are openly stoking sectarian tensions.

    Unionism has walked away from democratic politics and are holding the people to ransom over something Stormont or the people can do nothing about and have achieved next to nothing. In the eyes of some Unionists the deal they have gotten is 'worse'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 76,881 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They had to go to the IMF for a loan in the 70's. The cause being a Tory budget before they joined the EU.

    They prospered inside the EEC and the EU/.

    And after leaving the EU this almost happened.


    Post edited by FrancieBrady on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,098 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You say "the problem Unionism has is that they are the political entity stoking tensions and insinuating that their will be a violent price to pay if they don't get their way.". You must be joking. You are always demonising one side without looking at your own side. For example, Nationalists were insinuating several years ago there would be violence / a violent price to pay if there was a customs office located along the border. And I seem to remember a number of serious attacks on the psni in recent years, these were carried out by Republicans, not Loyalists. And the chanting of a slogan to glofifty the terrorists (Uh ah up the RA ) was done by the football team of which country?



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