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Covid-19 likely to be man made

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,083 ✭✭✭jackboy


    Is it credible that the Chinese have not only failed to discover the source of the virus but they have not found a trail or even a shred of evidence of its origin. That failure I would think is less plausible than an accidental lab leak which has been covered up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,521 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The why is the conspiracy, that's what you need to expand upon, who is hiding information, why are they doing it, how many people know about it and why haven't they come forward with proof.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,443 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Read an article ( can't remember from where, sorry, but a reliable publication, I think) a couple of months ago. and it was a detailed review of an investigation by a linguistics person into email traffic and messages from the Wuhan lab around the timespan before and after the leak was suspected. Think it must have been an intelligence op to have that level of detail. This guy worked in China in the diplomatic service for years so knew the type of euphemisns common to Chinese political services.

    There was a flurry after the date of the suspected leak along with some heavy and unusual political visits to the head of the lab. There were a few unusual emails saying everything was now under control.

    Also there were outreach to American gain of function labs before this about difficulties staffing the lab and maintaining control to the level required.

    It was stated by a chief scientist working there that they were operating to a lower level of safety than would have been internationally accepted for they type of infectious material they were dealing with.

    Cannot be investigated further as that particular scientist has since died! Feb 2020. This is the scientist who released the genome to international scientists.

    I cannot find it now but remember thinking at the time that it pointed to a cover up of an accidental leak, but also it showed negligence on the part of the authorities who were pushing their scientists to come up with results without giving them appropriate staffing and funding to maintain safety.

    (I didn't save it as I thought 'hey this is all coming out now.' Am surprised if it hasn't.)

    These scientists were in fear of their lives, not just their jobs.

    The authorities if they indeed did know about this are guilty of a gross act of negligence not seen since Chernobyl.

    This is stated to have occurred in October 2019, so 2 months ahead of any official announcements.

    I think is it part of the intelligence operation that Biden authorised into the origin of Covid.

    I will try to find the article and post it here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    I can only speculate on the why. We know a fair bit of the conversations that were going on between Collins, Fauci and the group of virologists they discussed the outbreak with, as a lot has been released via FOIA, but a lot more has been redacted so an incomplete picture. What we do know is that the key virologists (Andersen, Farrar, Holmes) all had an initial impression that the virus was engineered. We also know that Collins and Fauci didn't really know much detail about this area of research and the funding that was going from NIH to EcoHealth to WIV. It looks to me like a bit of panic set in when this was realized, especially when the joint research from UNC and WIV was reviewed. There is a definite change in tone of communication once this is realized.

    There is no question that Collins and Fauci wanted to knock lab leak conspiracy theories on the head, they said as much. Collins talked about the damage to science,especially Chinese scientists and the damage to intermnational relations. I would imagine what happened is after days of deliberations the virologists agreed that the virus could have come from a natural spillover or come from a lab leak, but were convinced that it was best to favor the former and discount the latter. We don't know exactly how they reached their Proxinal Origins conclusions as this is redacted.

    Imagine what they were dealing with, a virus that was spreading out of control and reports out of China were it had a high fatality rate. A suggestion the virus was the result of research carried out in a lab in China, research that was funded by the USNIH. Imagine the furore if that was widely reported, at a time when there was intense fear among the population.

    In short my opinion is i think Collins made a political decision and convinced Fauci and the scientists.



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    It does, but I suspect you have little or perhaps no understanding as to why. Also it isn't my argument, it's a hypothesis proposed by people who know the subject matter far better than you or I. It establishes the fact that the WIV in collaboration with UNC were building chimeric SARS-COV viruses where they inserted novel spikes into COV virus backbones, and then passaged them using humanized mice and found they caused more serious disease than the original virus. So it's an obvious place to look if you are serious about finding the origin of Covid, not an easy task as the Chinese government have zero interest in helping with the task and 100% interest in twarting it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163




  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    OK weird. Cause in your previous post you were using the idea that a paper didn't support an argument because it didn't mention the point a person was making.



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The Robert Kennedy Jr who is a prolific anti-vaxxer and conspiracy theorist?

    The one who claims that vaccines cause autism and claimed:

    In the book, Kennedy calls Fauci "a powerful technocrat who helped orchestrate and execute 2020’s historic coup d’etat against Western democracy". He claims Fauci and Bill Gates plan to prolong the pandemic and exaggerate its effects, promoting expensive vaccinations for the benefit of "a powerful vaccine cartel".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    No idea where you are getting that from, but sorry have no interest in getting into another semantic back and forth as you seem to have zero interest in the actual topic.



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  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    No I'm pretty interested in discussing conspiracy theories about the origin of the virus.

    But there's a lot of people insisting that there aren't any and that they aren't interested in discussing them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Which is why people are on a thread discussing the origins of Covid on a Conspiracy Theory forum.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    I’m not sure if “the lab studied viruses from the wild” accurately describes what was happening at the WIV.

    “Studied” suggests something entirely different than

    “As part of the work, the team — including the renowned Chinese virologist Shi Zhengli, known as China’s “batwoman” — spliced together two different coronaviruses, creating a more dangerous version, which they found had the potential to infect humans, according to a 2015 paper the scientists published in the journal Nature.”

    As quoted in this article from the FT.


    https://www.ft.com/content/7fef48f1-88a4-48f7-8263-c50384643b7f

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The last thing you claimed was "interesting" came from a complete anti-vaxxer crackpot.

    I think "interesting" is code for "some stuff I found on Twitter and didn't bother to look into".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    One has to acknowledge that there may be differences in what individuals find interesting. That doesn’t make them wrong.

    For example I may find the history of the Corby Trouser Press and its inspiration from Concorde design interesting. You may not. However that doesn’t mean that I or others are wrong to find it interesting.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Yes, but usually around here, "interesting" means as I said.

    It certainly is interesting how Robert Kennedy is so utterly wrong on every level about vaccines and other health measures. It's interesting that people who on one hand want to be taken seriously and get upset at being called conspiracy theorists and cry censorship also give a platform and endorse such a rabid, embarrassing anti-science kook.

    Perhaps that's what you and sean mean by interesting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    I’m not familiar with Robert Kennedy. However I see the danger in not questioning consensus, the dismissal of scientific dissent and the effects this has on public health.



    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,118 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Interesting new development


    "Newly released genetic data gathered from a live food market in Wuhan has linked Covid-19 with raccoon dogs, adding weight to the theory that infected animals sold at the site started the coronavirus pandemic, researchers involved in the work say.

    Swabs collected from stalls at the Huanan seafood market in the two months after it was shut down on 1 January 2020 were previously found to contain both Covid and human DNA. When the findings were published last year, Chinese researchers stated that the samples contained no animal DNA.


    That conclusion has now been overturned by an international team of scientists. Their analysis of gene sequences posted by the Chinese team to the scientific database Gisaid found that some of the Covid-positive samples were rich in DNA from raccoon dogs. Traces of DNA belonging to other mammals, including civets, were also present in Covid-positive samples.

    The discovery does not prove that raccoon dogs or other animals infected with Covid triggered the pandemic, but scientists presenting the work to an expert group at the World Health Organization on Tuesday believe it makes that more likely.

    “The data does point even further to a market origin,” Prof Kristian Andersen, an evolutionary biologist at Scripps Research in La Jolla, California, told Science magazine. Andersen attended a meeting of the WHO’s scientific advisory group for the origins of novel pathogens and is working on the data.

    The recently uploaded gene sequences were spotted by Florence Débarre, an evolutionary biologist at the French National Centre for Scientific Research. She alerted Andersen and Prof Michael Worobey, an evolutionary biologist at the University of Arizona, who have both written papers providing evidence of a market origin for the pandemic."



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,715 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Interesting if you're worried about the welfare of raccoon dogs I guess.

    The latest genetic data does not prove raccoon dogs or other mammals were infected with Covid and spread it at the market. If the animals were infected, they may have contracted the virus from infected humans. But the findings do point to the possibility that the cause was an infected animal and, ultimately, the illegal wildlife trade.

    But it doesn't tell us anything new about the origins of Covid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,118 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    It's new research which lends more weight to the wet market theory.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,715 ✭✭✭hometruths




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 200 ✭✭geospatial


    Careful now, apparently "interesting" is code for "some stuff I found on Twitter and didn't bother to look into"

    No data as yet, not even a preprint, so would advise holding off until that's available.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    Does it rule out the possibility that someone working at the WIV, already infected with Covid, infected an animal at the market while our shopping?

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,118 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Came across it in the Guardian, not in any twitter feed.

    Just looked it up on Twitter a moment ago and now all these comments are making sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 16,443 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Not on Twitter. But know what you mean.

    My post above not just to stir but really do believe there is more going on than we have been told both about the origins and the political motivation of the US and Chinese.

    Think this is one that will be simmering for a while and I would be keeping an open mind as this could go either way..

    Its not good that something so important is being used as a political weapon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,118 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    To understand

    Source -> human -> lab leak -> live racoon dog -> humans

    Is that what you are suggesting?



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    So again you're either unaware of the false and ridiculous claims made by conspiracy theorists or you're pretending to be unaware.

    RFK's claims are not "scientific dissent".

    Vaccines do not cause autism. Bill Gates are Anthony Fauci are not part of a secret global coup against democracy. 5G is not dangerous.

    If these claims count as scientific dissent to you...



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,398 ✭✭✭SafeSurfer


    I am trying to understand why a raccoon dog could not have been infected by a human similar to mink farm infections in the early part of the pandemic.

    Multo autem ad rem magis pertinet quallis tibi vide aris quam allis



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