Russia - threadbanned users in OP

This video clearly shows two major simultaneous explosions at the airbase, possibly a couple of hundred metres away from each other - strongly suggesting a missile attack.

yes, its a statemale

I have close relations of family who are there on "holidays", from Moscow. Relations who have/had certain positions in the Nazi army. Apparently they are not leaving. Do they have a choice is what I wonder

Here's an update from 30 mins ago..

large assault expected from Ukraine.

Can't be 100% sure of this source though.

Maybe a Ukraine Special Forces job? Could they have placed explosives at strategic spots?

Massive amount of air power lost in a single day. The Russians we're not using them to the best of their abilities but to loose a massive amount in 1 day the ordinary Russian soldier will notice them gone from the Battlefield.

You're an ad man's wet dream 🤤

Here's something interesting. I used Playback on FR24 to see what aircraft were operational at the time of the explosions in Crimea. So, yesterday Monday, at 12.20,

Both a Global Hawk....

....and a US Navy EP3 Orion were both monitoring Crimea. At the same time....

This is most unusual to have both looking at the same area. Then today around the time of the explosions, the EP-3 is back, together with a KC-135 on CAP near the Moldovan border. This is a clear indication that it was refueling other assets with their transponders off. May not be connected, bit some interesting activity in the lead-up to, and during, the attack. Today's snapshot...

KC-135 is the following...

Those were massive explosions in those videos. Clearly something significant was being hit on the ground - either aircraft or munitions.

For sure Russia is not currently winning, and these long range weapons are game changers. so if the Russians are not advancing, or only at a snails pace, then they are losing, and TBH, I think that ultimately Ukraine will win. If the Russian ammo dumps are being destroyed, faster then they can be replaced, there can be only one outcome for them.

As others have said, it's effectively a stalemate at the moment.There's increasing indication that Ukraine is preparing a major push into Russian territory, recent HIMARS/M270 strikes against Russian ammunition and supply dumps, command centres, the bridges across the Dnieper in Kherson as well as today's strike against Nova Fedorivka air base in Crimea seem a lot like "battlefield preparation" strikes to me, but so far, the actual offensive has not kicked off.

It seems like Kherson Oblast might be the focus of any future Ukrainian push. Ukraine has been making small gains there since the spring, and the region is the only Russian bridgehead west of the Dnipro meaning that even before the strikes against the Antonivka bridge and others, Russian troops in Kherson were at the far end of a rather tenuous supply line. Even by "just" pushing the Russians back to the eastern bank of the Dnipro would bring many supply roads from Crimea north towards the Donbas into range of Ukrainian artillery. More crucially though, it would present a massive threat to the North Crimean Canal, a major source of fresh water for Crimea that starts at the Nova Kahovka dam on the Dnipro. Cutting off the canal again would cause significant water shortages on the peninsula. So all in all, a push in Kherson offers a lot of strategic advantages, especially since Russia"s focus appears to remain concentrated on the Donbas, leaving Kherson as a comparatively softer target.

I'd also recommend keeping an eye on the YouTube channel of the Bundesheer, the Austrian Armed Forces. Most of their videos are in German, but every month or so, they publish an English language recap of the developments in Ukraine. These presentations are made by Colonel Markus Reisner, Head of R&D at the Theresian Military Academy in Wiener Neustadt, Austria's counterpart to the likes of Sandhurst or West Point and are generally really good to catch up on developments: