I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

19-05-2022 04:14AM

3.20 Wolves

"peaky blinders" nag on show

John Butler sends his Exceed And Excel ''peaky blinders'' colt Nationwide 10/11 here to take part in a Class 4 sprint over 6fs. 10 to flippin 11! Looks like a 'steal' as should sluice up on all known form - ie his last two runs, esp the last one over course and distance, similarly a Class 4. He has top weight to lump, but still, it's hard to get away from his lto run. On a/c of the trainer I cannot be having him; were he trained by a more 'respectable' trainer I reckon he'd be 4/7. I'm thinking the layers are offering the generous looking odds because 'they know' !! I can't be having a bar of him personally - looks like a trojan gift-horse this fellah 😒

Whether he wins or not, something has to come 2nd, and if all 8 go to post, then there's a 3rd plce on offer too for each way players.

OOH IS IT 12/1 ew will do me here representing the Dave Evans (would have a lot in common with Butler would David methinks) yard. Horse is a big price and has a squeak on ratings I believe. Would need to lie just behind the pace, and not go directly to the front, to have a chance of seeing out the 6f trip imo. Horses numbered 2, 3, & 7 are all likely frontrunners based on previous. Looking at some of Ooh Is It's winning form over the minimum at the track, when hitting the line well, can give him hope at a generous looking price.

HOLBACHE 28/1, one of two Tony Carroll has here, would be of an outside interest based on some of his turf runnings, but the layoff is a concern. That said, Carroll's other one Recon Mission may well be used as a pacemaker for his stablemate. Recon Mission could go well too, but I've convinced meself to have a small ew on Holbache also.

Very interesting race this regardless, and am overall happy enough with t'picks,, no NAP or NB amongst them, but there are grounds for optimism 😊

g'luck ye good folks o boards :)

j@utis · 19-05-2022 10:27AM

The more I look at that 4:55 Chelmsford the less likely I'm to back anything in it. Favorite Monsieur Fantaise and 2nd fav Dark Design have met before where DD beat MF, there was 7lb pull in between them in MF favour in that race, today is only 2lb that separates them in ratings. Doors Toyboy was behind DD on the other occasion when there was only 3lb in Door's Toyboy favor but today it's like 9lb pull.

I know Dark Design is lacking convincing form over 7f but he ran well after a short break and he's coming back here fresh again, unlike Street Poet and Door's Toyboy both had only 5 days to relax, btw Street Poet was ahead DT lto on the same terms, that adds another twist into the story 😅

j@utis · 19-05-2022 10:31AM

Do you want another good riddle to have a go at? Look at 5:00 Wolves - 10runners, 9 out 10 are price 10/1 or below 🤣

Konny Rool · 19-05-2022 11:50AM

@[Deleted User] thanks very much for them 2 likes - I'll keep them with me own !

I like your comedy too - it's "reet good" as you might say 😂

😓 I'm crying here for your Ellie leff. They backed her "intee" 9s leff, and they've only pulled her 😓 33s you had her at for 4.55 - a cruel cruel blow! Maybe she wanted to go to Tipperary to watch my Emily hack up !

I think Street Poet is solid place-lay material in 4.55 C; like leff says I think he needs a mile at Chelly, and it will (the pace) catch him out over 7furlongs here. He has a good pilot up in R Kingscote + good draw, but I've laid him for 3 and 4 places at 5/4 and 8/11 "anyroad" 🤣

j@utis · 19-05-2022 12:15PM

In 3:20 Wolves a case can be made for Yazaman too - he was once rate into 100s when 2yo, now tumbled down the weights and this is his only 2nd start in class 4 even off the lowest career mark, e/w chance.

19-05-2022 12:34PM

5.00 Wolves

Here there be many C&D winners = very very tricky

Have plumped for DAHEER 9/2 as most or all of his (many) CD wins have been in Class4s; as well as that he is very versatile as to how he runs his races. Will do me for this, but 15mins was enough to look at this race,, could spend another several hours looking and still be none t'wiser

don't look an each way race to be - I'm calling the 5o'c Wolves a on the "nose job"

I'm not gonna bother with ratings and the like - ie who's giving or receiving x amount of pounds to whom,, will not lose sleep no matter who wins this one - as in life in general, I know me limitations 😴 😛

whatcha think yourself j@u ? You 'posed the problem' after all 😃

all the best 😊

19-05-2022 01:02PM

3.40 Market Rasen

Was going down the card and thought I had two decent/reasonably priced win picks.. Then I saw the bottom two and they can't be ruled out here. A combination of going up in grade - Wake Up Early, and one pick too many picks - The Very Thing (good 2nd lto, but was an amateur race) makes me reassess my picks.

Instead of backing them win, I'm going small each way on the first two that caught me imagination - LADRONNE 9/2 and PARIS TEXAS 11/1.. If the ground was softer I'd definitely consider The Very Thing, but two picks is plenty enough here, where I could pick four, and perhaps, at best, get a sole placer.

It's a very tricky race and will give me a distraction for 7 and a bit minutes. WD if yis have a strong pick here.

😊 g'luck 😊

19-05-2022 01:31PM

~~3.30 Wolves~~ 3.30 Lingfield

A lowly ~~seller~~ "Claiming Stakes" affair

~~The only three I think have live/decent chancs are:~~

~~SPIRIT OF CIMARRON , SAY GRACE and~~ SURREY TERRITORIES

wish I had looked at it earlier - ST was about 18/1 i think, and he'd have an excellent chance ....

😁 Scratch all that - race is at Lingfield and not Wolves; that changes things - win only on Surrey Territories 9/2

Konny Rool · 19-05-2022 02:14PM

tricky race alright leff - and it's on turf too; just to add more 'complexity' to the equation. Best of luck with ST there. Hard to make a case for anything. Even if the three you 'accidentally mentioned' ! 😁 finish all in the first three, I think one pick is more than enough in a race like that!

Meanwhile, had a look at Sandown - one's a non (okay I suppose) , but Subastar is also a non in Francesco Clemente's race = massive rule 4 :sademoji

Have laid La Prima Donna again for Tipperary race. Think that's about enough punting for today.

All the best to everyone "knocking about" 👁️‍🗨️

Konny Rool · 19-05-2022 02:23PM

And now I'll watch Wolverhampton 3.20 race featuring Nationwide with 'Bated Breath' (not the sire 😂) to see how it goes. I think 'poster no 1' was dead right to not be having a bar of him (the fav) - tho I do think he'll hack up.

Pretty sure Butler had a well fancied 6/5 (backed in from 9/4-2/1) shot on turf last week somewhere in a 6 or so horse race - 4th he come :mad Cannot trust that Butler - pretty sure he's of the same 'Parish' (as they say) as Barney (RIP) Curley , or they used to be in some sort of partnership.

Nice and sunny out 😊 Could help me Emily down in Tíobraid Árann later 😅

Best of luck with your picks in it leff and j@utis 😊

Konny Rool · 19-05-2022 02:44PM

No surprise to see Nationwide hose up in that 6f race at Wolves

I reckon you were right pi$$ed to see Ooh Is It setting "t'fractions" leff - had no chance doing that 😒 was annoyed me own self watching 😄

Would likely have made no difference whatsoever to how that race panned out, but for future reference:

"Words to the Wise" Any time Evans has a horse on the AW (with ostensibly little or no chance on form) and that horse happens to be drawn low; I've often seen them "burn the gallops" early on - which definitely spoils the race eg if you're on a hold-up one at, say Lingfield, likely it'll be too late to 'get a run' or there'll be a 'wall of horses' in front, come the 'taps turned on' stage 😏

liamtech · 19-05-2022 03:02PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119084959#Comment_119084959

Daheer has drifted nicely to 13/2!

19-05-2022 03:52PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119085866#Comment_119085866

I think it's a very fair price that - in about as wide open as a 'wide open' race can be 😊

Best of luck if you're on liamtech !

liamtech · 19-05-2022 04:00PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119086086#Comment_119086086

thx - cheeky each way here - just for fun

19-05-2022 04:08PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119086120#Comment_119086120

WD plumping for e/w- ya didn't lose anyway 🤣 8/1 alright,, be nicer if he won

'Stablemate' wins - I'm going to have a 'stewards' in my head liam 😊

liamtech · 19-05-2022 04:13PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119086157#Comment_119086157

hahaha

Well im up for the day myself so - il quit for today while im ahead (modestly ahead - shame he only placed as his SP went up to 8-1 like you said!)

19-05-2022 04:25PM

fair play liam - nice to see someone ahead/up; far too nice (in the 'grand scheme of things' way) of a day to be losing, so ur best off quittin 😊

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119084813#Comment_119084813

Street Poet is solid place-lay material in 4.55 C

but I've laid him for 3 and 4 places at 5/4 and 8/11 "anyroad" 🤣

Unlucky there KR - only for Kingscote give him a great ride - he might have finished 4th; you'd have got something back.. You were right enough about him 'not being good enough' - ye went with your opinion and ya almost got it right!! Suppose you could always lay for t'win 😃 Scary enough proposition tho - be like backing a 2/11 shot, or close to it..

I think I've had enough myself for today !

Hope everyone's well and not losing much or better still - winning 😊

leff :D

j@utis · 19-05-2022 06:18PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119084959#Comment_119084959

I'm flat out at work, doing evening shift today, no fun, only browsing the results now on my break, some good insights here, well done lads.

19-05-2022 06:31PM

Ta for stoppin by j@u ; your compliments is appreciated by us all 😊 We won't expect posters to be 'on hand' all t'time on here; too stressful that! - must tek note meself 😃

'Work' 😒 bah!! hope it's going ok anyroad :)

19-05-2022 06:40PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119083555#Comment_119083555

6.45 BRAYDEN STAR - non-runner that one

7.15 REACH FOR THE MOON 13/8 - bummer there; was in front and looked like winning, until the last 100yds

Unlucky there KR :(

__________________________________________________

But first onto my 'lay' pick:

LA PRIMA DONNA 1/3 This is a shockingly short price (but good for me 😃)

Wins at 2/13 - I guess that one wasn't unexpected - worth a go tho nonetheless :) Your ER got 2nd, so a good call there,,

all the best folks -- tomorrow another day, but have no study done yet for it,, we'll see; may or mayn't leave it off,,

have some thoughts for one on Sat'dee, but that can wait

☺️

j@utis · 20-05-2022 10:47AM

Hi all, did you see Monsieur Faintaise (spelling?) Is engaged again today, this time in Bath 1:10 race, as a favourite again, interesting...

j@utis · 20-05-2022 12:19PM

I'm not digging too deep today. First that jumps out the screen will do and that is Lady Mander 6/1 in 1:45 Bath, she ran a good 3rd over CD lto, encountering some trouble on the way, finished only a neck behind the current favorite Clashaniska, they both meet on the same terms today, I expect them to finish close to each other too.

j@utis · 20-05-2022 12:34PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119089064#Comment_119089064

Finished 2nd only beaten by a head but still beaten.

j@utis · 20-05-2022 01:16PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119089442#Comment_119089442

4th today, maybe GS going isn't her thing, 1l behind Clashaniska 3rd, winner was 40/1 shot, GL finding that one.

Two more for today:

3:55 Goodwood - Crystal Estrella 3/1 only second go at this longer trip, she obviously had no chance lto against now group winner Emily Upjohn, Buick booked, good run on the cards?

4:45 Haydock - Bruno's Gold 4/1, his form boosted by the two that beat him lto, winning again.

that's it for me today.

Konny Rool · 20-05-2022 01:59PM

Will do a little e/w on the drifting FAHARI 8/1 3.05 Haydock. SDS gave it a sort of a mention y'day.

Konny Rool · 20-05-2022 02:21PM

No good Fahari - perhaps it was a different horse he was on about when interviewed yesterday. One he 'liked' when Cooper asked him was for today, and one was for tomorrow - one trained by Meade and one by Crisford. He didn't name them though. Well he had two (and neither obliged) for Crisford today, and only one going for Meade tomorrow.

He rides LONE EAGLE for Meade tomorrow, but looks about a 4/5 shot// Think I'll forget about that one in Goodwood's 3.25.

Am not feeling it for today at all. Might be a few better opportunities tomorrow, so will wait and forget about the rest of today.

Good luck j@utis with them picks and good luck everyone else 🤣

20-05-2022 03:18PM

4.40 Bath

Captain Kane and Mrembo can go well, but I like DELAHOUSSAYE 11/1 at a good price. Not so sure about CK 11/8, who won over 12f lto at Wolves - mebbe a place lay here.

MREMBO 13/2 is a fair price also - CD winner from lto, when Brian O'Rourke's Delahoussaye was back in third.

Kanahura & Rochebrune look to have chances as well, and will at least hopefully thwart Captain Kane here.

g'luck

20-05-2022 03:22PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119089803#Comment_119089803

WD j@u !

3:55 Goodwood - Crystal Estrella 3/1

Wins by the proverbial half the track at 15/8 🤣 🤣 Great shout that one 😊

j@utis · 20-05-2022 03:24PM

Crystal Estrella covered my addiction costs today, Bruno's still to run if he manages a place, that'd be a cherry on da cake by the ocean, Irish sea, I meant, I can see it out my window.

20-05-2022 03:38PM

Very nice - ya have your "Fantasy Home By The Sea" j@u 😂 looks like ya have it solved 🤣

Best of luck with Bruno upcoming - to get two winners would be even nicer :)

I'm a going to go for an AP O'B 2nd string at Curragh - 4.55 SAMUEL PEPYS e/w 8/1. We'll hope the step up in trip suits. Think the 2nd fav Vellner 11/4 might set fractions - will hope he fades.

If have no joy with two races upcoming, i should think i'll call it a day

g'luck

20-05-2022 03:49PM

Fancied Rich King e/w 5/1 at the off = 2late :(

20-05-2022 04:08PM

Vellner wins - Samuel Pepys not involved (4th grrtrr) ; i give up 😪

j@utis · 20-05-2022 05:12PM

Bruno's Gold was 4th too. I'll watch some replays later, I cannot be bothered trying to figure out which O'Brien's horse's turn is to win today what basically sums up the Irish racing, although my notebook has thrown up 3 notices on Irish runners for today 😂

20-05-2022 08:04PM

Yep, no good today. CE was only 'saving grace' for t'thread - WD that poster ! You know who you is j@u 😂

Sat 21st May

Am not minded to look much at tomorrow's fare neither.. I did clock one what might be vulnerable (might have mentioned/alluded to it y'day), and that's Bbob Alula 10/3 in 5.10 Lingfield.

Sidebar: tis a lot annoying when the racing is on the turf and the AW at that course - confusion arises.

Anyhow, I think this one's on the AW (AWT is in t'race description - which helps); well I hope it is anyroad, as that's what me obbos are based on. Bbob Alula 10/3 goes well at a mile, and has won at the course, as well as on turf, at that particular trip. Has gone close at Chelmsford (similar surface as Lingers) twice over that 10f trip in 2nd half of last year; those two times of which saw him finish 6th of 14 and 3rd of 10. Has also gone close at 10f trip last Sept on turf at Bath,, that were a 'chasing the pace' run

Suppose he's versatile regards race riding, but am hoping he'll be held up here, being as he's drawn widest of all in t'nine box. If he is held up, I'm hoping this 7yr old is vulnerable as regards 'staying the trip' here. Will consider laying him for three places if price is favourable 2moro - there are at least three (no's 2 , 3 And 5) horses that I'm guessing are likely leaders here. If BA is held up off strong pace, then the thinking here is that he'll no get to strike a blow in this.

Foolishly, for reasons various, thinking of backing #three each way here. Am ignoring Uther Pendragon and London, as I feel that a place, at best, between them, is as much as both these combined are capable of (may well be wrong)

Pen landed on: TOO SHY SHY 7/2 , CARMELA SOPRANO NB 14/1,, e/w on these - hopefully one'll oblige to get me going again, but they aint maassive fancies - or 'massive' even 😃 Carmela gets the 'NB' treatment on a/c of her price - 14s looks generous here (provided she's put her two recent runs behind her) for the grey filly, who we'll hope is on a going day,,, Liam Browne (7) takes the ride on the fictional Jersey housewife and the claim will be of help, no doubt.

#make that two - have gone off Tawtheef 10/3, which was one of the original three.. won well lto at Wolves over the extended 9f, which was a big improvement on what he'd done to date - that was a different track tho, (slightly)shorter trip, and he has a fair absence to overcome.

not feeling it at all, so may punt no more for t'morrow - there be other days [loads and loads of them] so will p'raps wait for inspiration to hit..

g'luck all you lovely people 🤣

over and out

leff

21-05-2022 11:22AM

1.40 York

barely half a clue on this one. tried to 'solve' one early for a 'good start' , but not coming up with much at all.

selections - such as they are:

Northern Express 4/1 win price , Oo De Lally 3/1 win price. 4-pl lays on these two evs Northern Express , 4/5 Oo De Lally

ELDRICKJONES 20/1, ADMIRAL D 16/1 gone ew on these two

g'luck

21-05-2022 12:27PM

5.23 Musselburgh

Hard to find one here. Not many seem to have form on the forecast good - good to firm in places (though it might rain) ground over the distance, or at the course.

The Gloaming has form on soft, but has nothing really on ground that's good or better. Nothing much with proper chances I feel, but will do a place lay on her @ 1.95 anyhow.

Have backed BLACKCURRENT 9/4 for win, and laid for place @ 4/5

An outside ew bet in the shape of SUMMER HEIGHTS 33/1 who come 2nd way back over C&D on good to firm as 2yo. Grasping there, but ya never know. Is yet to win from 18 runs, is normally held up,, maybe race more prominently today??

flippin hard today!

j@utis · 21-05-2022 02:06PM

Hi all, I'm only in after work, knackered, so let myself chill watching horseees for a while.

Oo De Lally 1:40 was tipped mad this morning, close 2nd but no jackpot unfortunately.

First of my fancies, jump off the page type, no deep insights or analysis blah, it's Prayer Matt 15/2 in 4:20 Haydock, she placed in 3 out of 4 starts this season, now blinkers applied to help her focus, PP is paying 5 places.

21-05-2022 02:41PM

Good work no 2 😁 A stiff 6f + the 1st time blinkers could be just t'ticket for Prayer Matt,, wants a hold-up ride i feel,, will do me each vay 😃

Will lay Eldeyaar for a place too @ 6/5 (2.2)

gd luck all 😁 !

j@utis · 21-05-2022 02:42PM

One more caught my eye but no bet yet, 8:15 Lingers - Smiling Sunflower. She tends to hang left, blew her chances at the start last time when veering sharply left, of course, where else, Lingers is left-handed course, it should suit this leftie, or is it the other way around? Favorite T Maxie obviously has strong claims but why is it 5/2???

21-05-2022 02:51PM

Will take a punt on top one 8.15 - R Hughes' ROSA MYSTICA 5s,, long layoff, and is 6f too stiff a trip?? - don't know,, don't look great price, but race is pretty open.. could RM be best horse in race?

21-05-2022 03:30PM

A landmark ! - thread's at or about 1,000 hits/views 😊

Good shout j@u 4.20 - we got the ew coin for 4th there with PM :)

j@utis · 21-05-2022 03:32PM

Prayer Matt got placed somewhere around 4th or 5th, full result isn't in yet but I'm eager to turn those "profits" into stream of Income 4/1 that runs in 4:35 Goodwood, PP is playing extra places, let's play! it's just soft ground that's a worry, small e/w.

j@utis · 21-05-2022 03:39PM

Congrats on 1000 views LOL, I just wished it was updating smarter somehow without the need of constant refreshing of the page. "quote" button doesn't work for me today, hell knows what.

In 5:10 Lingers, nothing appeals much, Tawtheef & Uther Pendragon would be my picks but no strong feelings, so I'm not having anything on them.

j@utis · 21-05-2022 03:42PM

Not so lucky in 4:35 race with Income, I think not many got this result right anyways 😅

j@utis · 21-05-2022 03:49PM

I'll leave that 8:15 race until just before off, to see where the market is, that's it for me for today.

21-05-2022 06:49PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119091640#Comment_119091640

#make that two - have gone off Tawtheef 10/3,

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119094015#Comment_119094015

Tawtheef & Uther Pendragon would be my picks but no strong feelings, so I'm not having anything on them.

Flip it anyway 😒 Both o us went off Tawtheef and he sluices in @ a well supported 5/2 fav 😃 😓

Quote button working here j@u 🤗

One more for me - Hughesie's horse Rosa Mystica in 8.15 Lingers ,, haven't been 'feeling it' this wkend - hopefully nxt week have many (well directed)darts 😊

j@utis · 21-05-2022 06:53PM

Money's down for Rosa in the last, it's all on you leff now for changing my mind 🤣😬

21-05-2022 07:04PM

^^^^^^^^^

😁😁😁

21-05-2022 07:24PM

🤣😪

j@utis · 21-05-2022 07:40PM

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119094835#Comment_119094835

Lucky you!!

I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

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