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Off Topic Chat. (MOD NOTE post# 3949 and post#5279)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    We are militarily non-alinged, not neutral. Big difference. Were we genuinely neutral like Switzerland or Sweden,we would have a viable airforce,and not be relying on the RAF to cover our air defence.And likewise have a viable navy to patrol our 200-mile economic exclusion zone, not relying on trawlermen to fend off a Russian battle group as well as an army,tht actually has morale and men who don't need to double job to pay their bills. Being neutral means a country can see off a foreign threat and hold its own..On the world military power index, Ireland rates 96th of 200.So we should be worried if GHANA ever showed up here to invade us.[They are 95th!]😮.

    Plus we pretty much signed all pretence of neutrality in either Maastricht or Lisbon. The one Bertie told us not to bother reading, as he hadn't bothered reading it himself? It was buried in the 2000 odd pages, that we would sign up to a common EU defence via PESCO.

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 549 ✭✭✭Munsterlad102


    Russian helicopters targeted in Kyiv region - liveuamap.com

    Rooskie helicopter shot down over the Dnieper river.



  • Registered Users Posts: 549 ✭✭✭Munsterlad102


    Not exactly, we don't have to be able to protect our own lands to be independent. Also we can't be militarily non aligned if we're reliant on other nations for our air and naval defences. But yeah, it is unacceptable what we have as defence forces. Our air force is at it's weakest point ever, hell we had more fighter in the civil war than we do now, our navy is horribly overstretched, and our army said they can't properly defend us.



  • Registered Users Posts: 415 ✭✭tomtucker81


    'we don't have to be able to protect our own lands to be independent.'

    Not sniping back at you but just that phrase, think about it.

    We can't defend our lands or air. Are we independent? Well we are more so dependent on the Raf and would be dependent on others if our land was attacked. Are we really fully independent so?🤔



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    Not exactly, we don't have to be able to protect our own lands to be independent.

    That's a core tenet of the def of an independent nation. Being able to protect and guard your own soil against all comers. Think you meant being neutral than independent? Would make more sense?

    Also we can't be militarily non aligned if we're reliant on other nations for our air and naval defences.

    There is a difference between leaving strategically important air and sea space uncontrolled in "NATOs backdoor" because we are unwilling or unable to do so,or being able to have a say in it.Then saying we won't be part of NATO because we want to be neutral and not be a nuke target by supposedly supplying bases willingly or under duress in times of conflict. Wouldnt and won't matter anyway, we are targeted anyway for five[at least locations] by both sides for a nuke strike.Not so much as that Ireland would turn belligerent, but because of their location in a country strategically important on the globe in a future conflict.

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



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  • Registered Users Posts: 39,092 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    On the world military power index, Ireland rates 96th of 200.So we should be worried if GHANA ever showed up here to invade us.[They are 95th!]😮.

    We’re one of the smallest countries, in population and size. Outside the top 100 in both. Im not at all surprised we’re 95th. Would be pretty incredible if we were in top 40 or whatever.



  • Registered Users Posts: 558 ✭✭✭JP22


    Neutral and military non-aligned are two totally different things.

    As others have said we are not neutral, we never have been in the truest sense of the word. As Cathal Berry TD said, we have been “pretend neutral for years”, an Irish solution to an Irish problem because we didn’t want to spend the hard cash that’s required.

    If you’re neutral like Nordic Countries you have the necessary manpower and equipment to stand up and fight your own corner, we have neither the manpower not the equipment to do so.

    I served for 30+ years, we (DF) have told our government’(s) time and time again over many years that we lacked the necessary manpower, equipment and support, and likewise we also informed them of our lack of investment in IT security. Look at what that cost, €100Mil plus to date and nowhere near sorted yet.

    Lots of our politicians have said this week that we are “military non-aligned” but we will stand up for other countries.

    God-damit, if we have no effective defensive capability’s (which we don’t) how the hell do we stand-up for others let alone our own country incl its coastal waters and air space.

    How bad are we, put military equipment aside for a moment, we don’t even have primary radar in this country, we couldn’t see a jet fighter or drone if it was parked where the sun don't shine.

    And don’t talk about diplomacy (doesn’t work with Putin) it only works when the other guy doesn’t have a jack boot on your neck and a loaded gun pointed at your head.

    And before anyone says it, I’m not saying we should join NATO, that’s a major debate down the line. Right now we need to get our Army, Navy, Air Corps and our countrys defences sorted out first.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    It's this bad.Be the only response we could muster if Putin told his Bear bombers to buzz the control tower in Shannon.


    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,608 ✭✭✭Feisar


    Surely the lads up the road have a few SAMs kicking about?

    First they came for the socialists...



  • Registered Users Posts: 516 ✭✭✭BattleCorp1


    It's long past time to put old Sleepy Joe into a nursing home. Does he actually know what's going on/where he is most of the time?





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  • Registered Users Posts: 415 ✭✭tomtucker81


    I caught the first 20 mins or so of the address. He slurred a few words I thought. I know its all on screen in front of him. Possibly a sign of age or possibly he was going to fast for himself to process the words...either way it didn't deliver the best.

    Good speech just not delivered 100%



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    They were reportedly the old Russian STRELA SAM.Which kind of stopped being effective against anything post the Yom Kippur war in the early 1970s. Say they'd be rusty junk by now if there any left. Like any electronic military hardware,it goes off and "stale" if it is not pulled and serviced at certain intervals. Being stuck in the Libyan desert for X years and then for 30 years in a leaky bunker in Ireland someplace won't have done them much good.

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    The RUSSIANS sabotaged his Teleprompter again!!!🤣

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 549 ✭✭✭Munsterlad102


    No not really, what about countries such as Iceland or Panama that don't have any standing army, are they independent? Countries like Iraq may have hundreds of thousands of men in their army but they're little more than a US puppet state, ergo an army isn't necessary for independence nor does it grant independence.

    Hold on Grizz, you said that we have the RAF protect our airspace, which is distinctly different from leaving it uncontrolled. You haven't really addressed my point, so I'll have to ask you again, how can we be militarily non aligned if we're reliant on other nations for our air and naval defences?

    Regarding the nuke targets, that's something I've though about with the Russian dead man switch on their nukes, but please tell me where you came up with the five nuke targets in the Republic. I seriously doubt the Rooskies want to blow Waterford City off the face of the earth.



  • Registered Users Posts: 549 ✭✭✭Munsterlad102


    Ah don't worry about sniping in, it's something I do a fair bit here. I would contend yes, many nations have no standing army or defences to speak of but that still doesn't mean they're non independent. The odds of a country being invaded out of the blue is fairly rare, with some exceptions ergo Ukraine, but until that happens the nation isn't beholden to anyone or any nation. You're really making a mountain out of this molehill of dependence. Why stop at military dependence, why not economic? Sure does every nation not rely on foreign trade deals and concession with other nations, do oil producing nations not wield power over other nations if they can raise the price of oil if something happens, such as an Israeli invasion. After all, the definition of independent is, "free from outside control; not subject to another's authority" so you ignoring the economic aspect isn't consistent with your position.



  • Registered Users Posts: 39,092 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Regarding the nuke targets, that's something I've though about with the Russian dead man switch on their nukes, but please tell me where you came up with the five nuke targets in the Republic. I seriously doubt the Rooskies want to blow Waterford City off the face of the earth.

    Maybe Griz is referring to something else. But at least one of the "5 targets" thing comes from UK government suspicions. But comes with a lot of caveats;

    These are all targets in the north of Ireland, in and around Belfast. Reason being, they are targets in a USSR attack against the UK. They are not confirmed, but what the UK goverment suspect, on the bases of there being maybe 50-100 targets across the whole UK. I said USSR which was intentional, as the info comes from a report in the 1980s, since declassified. Hardly current. Maybe they stand, maybe they have another 5 in the Republic. But when you have 5000s nukes, you'll really get into low priority targets.



  • Registered Users Posts: 39,092 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Agree with this. Neutrality just means we are free to make our our choices, and we've chosen to not get involved in global conflicts. Doesn't mean we think we can depend ourselves agaisnt a superpower, or even a medium-sixed country. Being independent also means we are free to ask for help. The financial independence was a good example.



  • Registered Users Posts: 761 ✭✭✭tonysopprano


    You mean like the 3000 STRELA SAM's that Germany has just donated?

    If you can do the job, do it. If you can't do the job, just teach it. If you really suck at it, just become a union executive or politician.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    Ones that still work,and have been serviced and were from former East German army depots.Not from a half-flooded bunker under Johnnie's cowshed in West Co Limerick.🤣 Seriously, unless you got a helicopter in hover and the pilot is half asleep, those things have a horrible chance of hitting anything.They are tail chasers capable only, easily thrown by flares and can be outrun within 10 klicks. So unless you get a shot in a certain circumstance and conditions,a Red eye even would be a better job.

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    Iceland has a paramilitary police force that doubles as both defence and police and navy FIK. They accept that since WW2 that probably either NATO,[or if they had had the drop on them Warsaw Pact] would be in the country if things were going South in the opening moves of WW3. Seeing that population Vs landmass is so out of kilter, with two major cities, they probably accept the fact that NATO could happily operate away from their population centres.It is an independent country but makes no pretence of being neutral.

    Panama,don't know enough about it to give you an answer on that one.

    Iraq a US puppet state???...Want to fact check that one again. Be telling us next that Germany is still a US puppet state because the US has a presence there.😄

    As to the RAF and our airspace... Simply no one is going to leave an airspace or body of water undefended.If we can't do it, someone else WILL do it esp if it is right next door to them. I doubt that you will find an official treaty between Ireland and the UK setting out the exact terms and conditions of when the RAF can enter Irish airspace,or that the RN can engage hostiles in our exclusion zone. Not that we could do anything about it anyway.As we don't have anything capable of dealing with either RAF if they were in our airspace,or any hostiles either. It's the usual Dail fudge on an issue we are neutral and militarily non-alinged,but we'll let someone else do the protection and fighting if it does ever happen...Be grand!

    The five +/- targets.It's kind of logical to assume in the cold war era that Shannon and Knock would be on the menu.Cork as a deep water port with at the time, Verolme dockyard,and Haulbowline naval base, Dublin as an administrative centre, Belfast logical enough and Lisburn with the UK military command bunker NI. Targeted by either side back then as targets of denial to the other.That doesn't mean that they would all have been hit or not at all, depending on how things went on mainland Europe at the time.

    It's claimed that it is a rumour,but it was mentioned even back in the 1980s book by journalist Patrick Comerford "Do you want to die for NATO?" that such a map had been seen up in the Lisburn bunker,and that there were leaked/stolen maps from Russia that showed targets in Ireland. It seems that even as far back as 1957 the RAF in "operation Dutch threat" were taking Dublin,Shannon and Belfast as Sov targets.

    From the IT an Irishmans diary April4th 1997

    Attack Ireland?

    The UN's adoption of the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty in 1968 was realised partly as a result of Ireland's yearly submission to the General Assembly. And so, during the Cold War, we liked to soothe ourselves with the notion that progressive neutrality accorded us some kind of special exalted position. Attack nice, neutral, inoffensive Ireland? Who would believe the Yanks or Ruskies would do such a thing? When the four minute warning went up, our nasty warlike confederates in Britain and in the Continent might get vaporised; but when the wind blew, Ireland would live on in a brave new post holocaust world.

    We know now that this was patent nonsense - and not just because the Chernobyl accident of 1986 demonstrated that the effects of nuclear radiation are far more devastating then previously believed. (Chernobyl produced barely a fraction of the radiation from the kind of nuclear detonation of which we could have expected several hundred in a conflict of any scale.) Ireland was regarded as a prime target as far back as 1957, when an RAF map used in the NATO operation "Dutch Threat" showed that the Western Allies expected at least three one megaton strikes (each worth about 80 Hiroshimas) against Dublin, Belfast and Shannon. Nuclear strategists feared that Ireland could prove to be the Achilles Heal of Europe, that Soviet Tupolev "Backfire" bombers, flying 4,500 miles from their bases on the Kola peninsula, could creep through the UK Iceland gap to a point off the west coast of this country, and hit British targets while avoiding detection by the RAE radar station at Bishopscourt, Co Down.

    Soviet targets

    Moreover, in March 1981, when the Sunday Tribune reported details of a joint US, NATO plan for Western Europe, it clearly showed that Cork, Bantry, Dublin, Shannon and Belfast would be Soviet targets - Shannon and Dublin airports being vital if NATO air bases on the Continent had been destroyed. The plan assumed that the Soviets believed that, in a war, NATO would take over the country with or without the government's consent.

    In December 1983, two members of Northern Ireland CND, Peter Emerson and Paddy McBride, entered the nuclear bunker at Mount Eden in south Belfast. They photographed a map of Ireland showing a number of sites regarded then by the British Ministry of Defence as possible targets in a European nuclear exchange. In Northern Ireland these were Bishopscourt; the radar base at Torr Head, Co Antrim; and the base at Ballykelly, Co Derry. In the Republic there were six sites: Wicklow, Waterford, Cork, Cobb, and two points in Donegal including a seastrike at Inistrahull.

    It is grim to consider how in the 1980s under Reagan, the US contemplated the use of "counterforce" - i.e. the fighting of war limited to Europe with "battlefield" weapons to avoid an all-out strike against America. And, as a team of scientists led by America's premier astronomer, the late Dr Carl Sagan, demonstrated, it would require but a few dozen megatons of hydrogen bomb to touch off a "nuclear winter", even if the Soviets (or Americans) had left us unscathed. So Ireland would have been uninhabitable within days of World War III. Looking back on this, one can only give thanks for Mikhail Gorbachev.

    30 years later the scenario and borders have moved 400 miles further East, but the potential for those still to be targets still exist, IF this goes from a slow boil to superheated in Ukraine.

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    On somthing firearms related. looks like the NRA will still be around a while longer and not dissolved.

    https://trendingpolitics.com/hip-hip-hooray-for-the-nra-ethom/

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 558 ✭✭✭JP22


    Well we are neutral, so what did you expect?

    With the greatest respect, that's a bucket load of horse shite.

    We are Military-Non Aligned; there is a huge difference between both.


    ............. Don't go bringing WW2 into this, ...............

    Why?, did WW2 not happen, did we NOT imprison German Air Crews and returned British Air Crews?

    This is favouring one side over another, basically a concession.


    ............. Don't go bringing WW2 into this, just because we gave slight concessions to the allies that doesn't mean anything...........

    SLIGHT Concessions you say.

    Consession slight or otherwise which favours one side over another means you are taking sides, it means your are NOT neutral.



  • Registered Users Posts: 549 ✭✭✭Munsterlad102


    Perhaps he is, but there’s no way of knowing for sure, short of committing military espionage. I’d certainly expect Northern Ireland to be a target in a hypothetical war, but I doubt anyone would nuke a neutral country and gain nothing more than one enemy. I haven’t ready any declassified soviet documents so I’ll take your word for it. However I’d say there’s a decent chance the Russians have similar plans and targets.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,946 ✭✭✭✭Grizzly 45


    IF,or IF it ever comes to the point that this slow-boiling preamble to WW4 goes hot.I very much doubt that either the Russians or NATO will be too overly bothered about our protestations of being neutral and us becoming enemies if they need or want our facilities here or want to deny the other side their use.

    Being neutral doesn't grauntee you won't be invaded either. Ask Belgium ,Denmark, Holland and Luxembourg about that in both world wars,and Switzerland who had a viable army, national defence plan, and an airforce that took on both German and Allied aircraft in its neutral airspace, and even got bombed once "by mistake" by the USAF , who ended up paying the Swiss govt recompense as did the 3rd Reich for a similar incident in Ireland, and interred both Axis and Allied aircrews until wars end, and was considered by Adolf as too much of a tough nut to crack in time and materials"

    Even Francos "Neutral" Spain remember sent three "Blue" divisions to fight with the Nazis on the Eastern front against Communism. As even we had a bunch of Blueshirts under Eoin O Duffy to fight in the Spanish civil war. So neutrality can be a very flexible concept depending on who is saying such and it doesn't ensure anything in safety or security either.

    "If you want to keep someone away from your house, Just fire the shotgun through the door."

    Vice President [and former lawyer] Joe Biden Field& Stream Magazine interview Feb 2013 "



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,391 ✭✭✭Rosahane




  • Registered Users Posts: 558 ✭✭✭JP22


    Whatever the outcome of the current situation, from here on things will change big time.

    Since the invasion happened – Germany has upped their defence budget to 2% that’s from €47bil in 2021 to €100bil for 2022. Watch this space, other countries will follow, they will basically have no choice.

    Putin was complaining about Nato at its door, the Nordic countries of Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden are totally neutral and not Nato members. What’s the betting one or more of them will shortly seek Nato membership.



  • Registered Users Posts: 761 ✭✭✭tonysopprano


    Think you will find that Denmark, Iceland and Norway are all members of NATO

    If you can do the job, do it. If you can't do the job, just teach it. If you really suck at it, just become a union executive or politician.



  • Registered Users Posts: 558 ✭✭✭JP22


    I err, damn new-fangled keyboard’s, ……….😣

    You’s know what I mean, things can only get worse for Putin from here forward.



  • Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭Mississippi.


    There'll be no more Baikal's for us going forward anyway.


    Strong reliable workhorses they are.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 39,092 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Some Ukrainian sniper north of Kiev is making a name for himself. Not world records but there is a chance the sniper was using an SVD, which would making it the longest confirmed kill with both the Russian made Dragunov and the 7.62x54mmR.

    or maybe is was a US/NATO .50 Cal Barrett



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