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Report claims Defence Forces Admit ”They Cannot Meaningfully Defend Ireland”

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,692 ✭✭✭✭osarusan


    Did anybody really think the Defence Forces actually had the capability to meaningfully defend Ireland?

    The cost needed to develop our military to the point that it could meaningfully defend Ireland would be staggeringly astronomical.

    I can see the need for radar to see what's going on in our territories, and more ships to patrol our waters, but in reality, any force that makes the decision to attack/invade Ireland, in light of our membership of the EU, and relationships with the USA and UK, would likely have the power to wipe us out...in which case surely they have bigger fish to fry.



  • Posts: 0 Chase Grumpy Acid


    This makes me think either

    1. this report is just fluff either fully or partially.
    2. these changes will be over a great, great length.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    "What's the point..."

    As I said in another thread, disband the Defence Forces so.

    Give the ships and airplanes to the coast guard, Civil Defence can help out with things like flood relief and the Rangers can be part of the anti-terrorist response in the Gardai.....



  • Registered Users Posts: 332 ✭✭MarkEadie


    Really? I thought we could take on Russia in a war... said nobody.



  • Posts: 0 Chase Grumpy Acid


    Yeah cos what we’ve got now is the same as nothing?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Well pretty much. It is clear our defence forces are not up to par for even a small nation like Ireland. We are by far the weakest military in the EU, maybe on par with Malta or Luxembourg. So we either modernise it a bit, or stop lying to ourselves and get rid of it, because the status quo is not really sustainable.



  • Posts: 0 Chase Grumpy Acid


    Who are we needing to fight against exactly? What’s wrong with the current military and the job they’re currently doing?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Oh I don't know, how about the fact when the ARW had to go to Afghanistan on a moments notice to get Irish Citizens out of there, they had to thumb a ride of others? We have NO air transport capacity, again, the ONLY country in the EU apparently that doesn't have that capacity...

    Is that acceptable in your books?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,900 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Sure we had to sponge rides for our citizens out of Afghanistan too. Another embarrassment as Coveney had to go begging others. The usual. Couldn't even send one aircraft like every other country because we don't have a single heavy lift.

    Never mind the fact it would have helped Irish citizens in Afghanistan, Libya and elsewhere it's also just degrading to go about our business sponging like that.

    There is no practical, moral or reputational benefit with other countries when you can't be arsed doing the bare minimum.

    And then we turn up looking for help...



  • Posts: 0 Chase Grumpy Acid


    So yeah we definitely need transport and radar. But changing names and potentially weapons upgrades? And is it absolutely vital that we reduce peace keeping to “defend the Irish nation” more? Like again— who are we defending against?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Apparently, it's grand!

    Normally neutral countries have a good military because they don't have an alliance with anyone, so they can be truly neutral.

    We are neutral in the sense that we don't want to spend anything on the military and sponge of the security NATO, the French and the UK provide us.....

    So, if people were genuinely worried about our neutrality and want us to maintain it, then we should be spending more..... but tbh, we are codding ourselves. A part-time nation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,921 ✭✭✭John Doe1


    Diplomacy is our best defence anyway.

    The best we could hope for is if we are invaded is we could have a mass resistance movement using guerilla warfare which could possibly have some effect.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,311 ✭✭✭Did you smash it


    It’s acceptable in my book. We didn’t have anything to transport citizens home from Afghanistan is big fcuking deal territory for me. The English or some other country will do it for us and we’ll pay them. Better than purchasing the structures to do it ourselves and only needing them once in a blue moon.


    Ireland has no army really, not in the normal sense of why countries have armies. That’s fine with me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Mass resistance ,were a natio of wingers and begrudgers more happy to fund African nations defense forces than our own.

    We don't need to spend hundreds of billions on defense 2-3 billion would be ideal to rebuild our defense forces



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,972 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    No expert but they do seem to be ringing some more/louder alarm bells that they can't do their job properly as it is, and will reach a point where that will become (even more) the case in a few years if nothing changes at all. Will be interesting to see if it is listened to/what happens.

    By "job", I don't think they mean defending Ireland from a theorectical invasion by global powers who are armed to the teeth with all sorts and have military manpower on scale of our whole population (as discussed over course of edit: the other thread on the Russian exercises!), or the Aliens out of Independence Day!

    It does seem be more down to earth and prosaic than that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,414 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    We are a neutral country, who would we have to defend against? We have no oil, gave away our gas and fish, no resources worth taking us over for.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,922 ✭✭✭SouthWesterly


    Nephew was in the DF. He left after basic training as he tried and failed to get on any training courses. Placed just weren't available and he got sick of just sitting around the barracks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,646 ✭✭✭washman3



    And who would prevent other countries from enticing our TV/Radio stars to go work for them. Just imagine the kind of salaries Pat Kenny, Claire Byrne, Tubridy, Duffy, Darcy, O'Callaghan etc could command abroad....😉



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    So we should just disband the defence forces so and stop trying to pass ours off as one so. At least we should be honest about it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    You admit that we need radar coverage as we lack it, yet who are we defending ourselves against?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,941 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Neutral countries invaded in WWII: Denmark, Latvia, Lithuania and San Marino.

    This country can be used as a base to attack/control Britain.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    Lads, since the 60s the defence forces have existed so the Irish state can show what good guys we are on the international stage. They're purely for decorative purposes. Although they did prove very useful in ferrying illegal immigrants into Europe.

    If we're going to be a shining beacon of hope and free stuff for every chancer showing up with a sob story then we can't be wasting our money on fripperies like the defence forces, them gaffes arent going to build themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Ah in fairness there were some posters on this forum stating that we should have invaded the North in the 1960's..... Walter Mitty types on crack!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,414 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    In order to get to a level to 'defend' we would need to spend at least 1/3 of what the UK spends a year which might not even be enough given the sea area to defend, that would be circa €20 billion if it's a pure defence from some unknown attacker we want. There will never be the appetite for such nor the budget.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,552 ✭✭✭✭Varik


    Wouldn't have to be about some material gain for an aggressor.

    Attacking even briefly targeting key infrastructure would lead to a huge crisis on the EU and UK's door that they'd have deal with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,941 ✭✭✭growleaves


    "some unknown attacker"

    Russia have now shown us - specifically *us*, the Irish in Ireland - that if a world war breaks out they - the Russians - can hop over and invade if they want to.

    No wish on my part to offend anyone but it is obvious that in a world war the danger comes from Russia and China who will fight the Western countries (all of them, I'm guessing, which means us also).

    Yes there will never be the appetite or the budget to pay to defend the country but that doesn't mean we won't ever be attacked or invaded by anyone.

    Name changes are a form of disorientating corporate restructuring achieving nothing except perhaps demoralisation from the breaking down of traditions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,414 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    UK annual spend is circa €55 billion, we would be coming from a position of having to initially buy all the ships, subs, jets, helicopters, tanks, radar etc etc but would not be actively involved in wars around the world as the UK are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I'm not sure we have to spend that much in fairness. Even a few bits and pieces could go a long way and certainly would not be 20 billion.

    One heavy lift transporter is about 20 million for example.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    We don't need subs ,

    We need radar , extra ships and fast jets ans some helicopters ,were looking at 2-3 billion at most per year.

    We're not the UK and we will have different operational requirements,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    The UK have a nuclear deterrent which is Trident, which is hugely expensive. Ireland wont and does not need that.

    Apples and Oranges.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    We have about a 10'000 headcount in our defence forces or thereabouts.

    If we're honest, there's very little we can do about an invasion via conventional means if it ever came to it, we would be relying on outside assistance to repel (again, let's be honest, we're talking about NATO here) so a lot of that standing army is redundant. It's very early to mid 20th-century that presupposes we need a defence force to fight a conventional threat.

    What are the threats we realistically face short of a conventional force invasion:

    • Cyber threats
    • Terrorism
    • Possible hostile naval incursion / maritime nuisance making from an outside power
    • Airspace incursion and nuisance making from an outside hostile country
    • Political interference, economic and political espionage and coercion

    Suggestions (from military layperson): Reduce the size of the 10'000 headcount, many of which are people polishing their boots and cleaning their weapons for a conventional threat we can't defend against anyway and roll the savings into the following (as well as extra funding as required):

    • Radically increase our cyber defence capacity
    • Treble or quadruple the size of the ARW for terrorist response and crisis response protecting Irish nationals overseas if it arises
    • Resource our naval forces
    • Lease interceptors for our airspace (I dunno what's realistic here, maybe 4 or 6 based out of Shannon Airport)
    • Heavy lift aircraft (1 or maybe 2 will do the job here you'd imagine)
    • A proper modestly resourced civilian intelligence agency




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,454 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Czechoslovakia, Poland, Estonia, Belgium, Holland, Iran, Iceland, Norway, Finland, Monaco, San Marino. Yugoslavia, Albania, Greece.

    Should we include Mongolia being invaded by the Japanese in 1937 ? Asia was at war before, during and after WWII lines very blurred.


    Fishery protection vessels used to be self financing because of the fines.

    We should probably buy a few high altitude drones so we could send them above the weather over the Atlantic in winter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,862 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Maybe some sonar and radar capability as well, as we have none.

    To be honest, your list is not all that much, but looks a lot because we are almost starting at zero.



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  • Well this is a great shock ......

    To absolutely no one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,941 ✭✭✭growleaves


    'Diplomacy is our best defence anyway.'

    Yeah and laughter is the best medicine so we don't need any penicillin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,796 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Considering that most modern invasions started with attacks from the air…

    the Aer corps have not a single aircraft with which to defend us…no attack aircraft in its fleet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,309 ✭✭✭✭wotzgoingon


    This is ridiculous what the hell would Russia want to attack us for?

    Just because they decide to do a military drill in our waters a decent bit away from the island everyone is up in arms. Anyone read about the Donegal fishermen who are every so often sent back to shore by UK doing the same and according to the fishermen it happens pretty often and they are never told about it unlike the how the Russians made it clear they are doing testing. They just get radio messages from the ships when they are near the UK war ships.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The article and comments from the DF is about the Commission on the Future of the Defence Forces report which has been in the making for two years or so. It is not about Russia.

    The UK have never done live-fire exercises in Irish Waters or the Irish EEZ btw. The Russian exercises are live-fire.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It will criticise the internalising of grievances, a masculine culture, a lack of appreciation for diversity, and a resistance to females which is grounded in what it will describe as outdated social concepts. It will call for mandatory gender, diversity and unconscious bias training and recommend that the Defence Forces should aim to achieve 35pc female participation by 2025 — five times the current rate.

    Was it written by a military expert or a blue-haired Women's Studies major?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,980 ✭✭✭Pauliedragon


    The fishermen took on the Russians and won so we have them to look after the waters. As for monitoring our airspace the UK keeps an eye on it anyway so we'll be well warned if any unwelcome aircraft head our way. I wouldn't be too worried about an invasion as to take on an EU country u would be taking on the whole of the EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,978 ✭✭✭kravmaga


    I dont blame him on leaving, heard the pay is terrible, morale is low, only 1 ship on patrol due to staff shortages in the Navy.

    Same in the Air corps, not sure what they do all day, one or two helicopters and some turbo prop pp9;s. Its embarrassing.

    No military radar in Ireland and we have to ask RAF to assist when Russian Bear TU-95 are flying off our west and north coast.



  • Posts: 1,263 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Out of curiosity, genuine q: With satellites getting cheaper to build and launch, would it not make sense to launch a few to support our surveillance capabilities? Or are the amounts of money involved still too high?



  • Registered Users Posts: 516 ✭✭✭BattleCorp1


    Guerilla warfare requires weapons. And given that the Gardai, the Government and the Media are doing their best to take firearms out of the hands of ordinary citizens (farmers/hunters/target shooters etc.), it'd be a fairly poorly equipped mass resistance movement.

    In addition, many gun licences only have a limit of 100 rounds so you wouldn't be long running out of bullets/cartridges either.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,264 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    If a "World War" breaks out, the Russians would have some difficulty getting off our Atlantic coast in the first place, and were they able to we would never be in a position to stop them so its a somewhat pointless target to aim for.

    The Irish DF will never be in a position to actually defend the country from incursion/invasion by a determined attacker. The question is whether they are fit for purpose for what they are aiming to do and the answer to that seems to be no.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Defence capabilities != ability to successfully repel any potential invasion

    It's about having enough of a defence capability to act as deterrent - if the losses they would incur would make it not worth doing even if they won, then you have a good defence capability. Currently any potential aggressor could walk the country with little to no resistance, a joke



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,264 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I agree. But then talking about potential Russian invasions is utterly stupid. Talking about any invasion is stupid - we will get far better value from any investment by focusing on our foreign services and diplomacy than our military.

    This is not to rule out a requirement for e.g. interceptors, heavy lift aircraft or better cyber defence. But we will never be in a position to be anything but a speedbump to anyone with the capability and desire to invade Ireland. Even the Swiss national defence is based on the assumption that they would lose 50% of the country almost immediately and just resort to being a pain in the ass from up in the Alps.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,699 ✭✭✭Gusser09



    why do we need any of that?

    Disband it at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,113 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The point of defence forces is not and never has been "value for money"

    Sure in an ideal world nobody would ever fight with anyone, and we could all do away with standing armies - this is not an ideal world.

    The Swiss national defence is based on the idea that they would destroy so much of the strategic infrastructure in the country so as to make invasion nearly pointless. They have plans to distribute weapons to most of the population in the event of an invasion - so it would turn into a long drawn out affair, which is more than enough to deter anyone from invading them. That's why they are well respected as an actual neutral country, not like Irish pseudo-neutrality



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