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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    And just to include the authors conclusion on that:

    Estimated BNT162b2 effectiveness against any severe, critical, or fatal disease due to any SARS-CoV-2 infection was negligible for the first 2 weeks after the first dose. It increased rapidly to 66.1% (95% CI, 56.8 to 73.5) in the third week after the first dose and reached 96% or higher in the first 2 months after the second dose (Table 2 and Figure 2B). Unlike effectiveness against infection, effectiveness against hospitalization and death did not decline over time, except possibly in the seventh month after the second dose when there was a hint of a decline, but the case numbers were small. The sensitivity analysis that adjusted for previous infection and health care worker status confirmed the main analysis results (Table 3). Effectiveness according to age group (Table S4) showed similar results.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    I've never got a straight answer beyond just ignoring COVID and hoping for the best (but plenty on what not to do).



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Didn't a few of the doctors during the FDA hearings mention problems starting around the 6 month mark too?..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 189 ✭✭choronzonix


    The decision to accept Covid as a part of our yearly respiratory virus response and drop all of these pantomime restrictions. Vaccinations for the elderly, vulnerable and anyone else who wants one at the tail end of Autumn going forward. A massive upscaling of our hospital bed and ICU capacity to at the very least bring us into Europeran norms. A full sick pay requirement for anyone suspected of having Covid so that they can go home and isolate. We need to accept that mandated lockdowns, masks, restrictions, certs, etc are impositions that have not worked almost 2 years into this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,289 ✭✭✭Blut2


    We reopened 3 months later than England, anywhere from 1-3 months behind the rest of the EU, because we were promised that as a result of having the slowest reopening on the continent we definitely wouldn't have to lockdown again. We were just being extra safe you see.

    3 weeks after reopening we've gone back into restrictions, with even more lockdown measure being hinted at coming soon by our leadership already. While England is still completely open, more open than we've been at any point in 2021.

    The Irish media and politicians were extremely quick last July to call Boris Johnson callous, reckless and careless with his plan to reopen in summer when hospitals aren't under strain, in order to build natural immunity for winter. But it worked. Yet there are no stories in the media now admitting he was proven completely right, while our staying locked down in August and September has just resulted us being in a much, much worse situation in regards to hospital capacity now leading up to Christmas.

    The question is why aren't our media and opposition political parties doing their job and calling out the government on this disastrous policy choice? Why have they been so quiet throughout the entire covid crisis, very rarely questioning any government policy?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 786 ✭✭✭foxsake


    having had measles and rubella simultaneously as a child I can attest to their super charging my immune system.

    why would one risk heart issues from both jab and covid? can't avoid covid but sure can dodge the vaccine if I want.

    seems to be a few healthy athletes having heart issues post jab , might be sensible for a young lad not at risk from covid to let the eager volunteers go over the top first



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    When people stop complying with non sensical government mandates.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 786 ✭✭✭foxsake


    lockdowns aren't worth a toss.

    cos we can slow the virus down and even isolate it to a few pockets but once we open our boarders it's in again.

    Michael Martin needs to apologise to the let it rip crowd he besmirched and then let it rip - if the cure needs to be severe so be it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    Don’t go to England! You’ll have a heart attack!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 189 ✭✭choronzonix




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭floorpie


    effectiveness against hospitalization and death did not decline over time, except possibly in the seventh month after the second dose when there was a hint of a decline, but the case numbers were small.

    Right. The reason they can't say there's statistical evidence of a decline is because the confidence intervals overlap between successive measurements, to my reading. It's possible with a larger sample size there'd continue be no statistical evidence of waning re: C19. It's also possible that there's some non-normal characteristics of those who are affected by waning and confidence intervals will remain large. Hard to say, but either way, there's weak evidence that it isn't just rates of infection that are affected by waning. Similar findings in Israel, with correlations to age.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    A strange game. The only winning move is not to play!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,830 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    Holohan back on the airwaves trying to fear-monger about how we need to avoid 200k people getting Covid in December.


    What a fcking clown that man is! - I really hope all the under 40's ignore him and go out and socialize this Christmas. Natural immunity is the only way we are getting out of this rinse and repeat lockdown nonsense and this guy is actively trying to prevent that from happening.

    Holohan and the coward politicians who listen to him have wrecked this country for a generation the debt we have been loaded with will hold us back for decades.

    .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,579 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    That was a prediction that didn`t take long to be verified.😃



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    So, as guessed, your answer is just to ignore the virus and not make any hard decisions.

    If you want to follow the UK, you need to decide which people not to treat, but you'll run away from that as well because you will be exposed as a charlatan and fraud.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    I'd argue we're seeing that in our hospital rates, vaxxed vs. unvaxxed, seamus did quite a good write up using the available data. The "three dose regime" for people with underlying conditions seems to be mostly true (even if Israel just went and did it for everyone and got a good result, I'm not so sure three doses are needed for everyone, but if I'm wrong will accept that).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    "who is lapping up restrictions?".

    "what I am prepared to do is what I am told".

    You answered your own question there!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    It is the case, when our hospitals are full, what do we do? For any of your suggestions to be taken seriously, you need to be able to answer that question. If you can't answer it, all your suggestions are immediately undermined and I'm betting that you're too afraid to answer the question honestly so will continue to hide from it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,931 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    What did we do all the other years that hospitals were full? Not a dig by the way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Don't Chute!


    I can recall multiple different posters saying what they think should be done since the very start. The fact that you and others choose not to see those posts is your problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 975 ✭✭✭Parachutes


    The HSE is there to protect us not the other way around. What do we do when the country is economically destroyed by restrictions?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,470 ✭✭✭MOH


    You seem to have major problems understanding simple concepts.

    Like "possibility": saying you didn't know something was possible is completely different to saying you didn't know details about it.

    Or "unsourced": I included numerous links to sources, yet you bizarrely call that "unsourced"? That's why I gave up including links in the first place. People like you just blather on, ignore facts, move goalposts, or just make up lies like the cretins you defend.

    You, on the other hand, haven't provided any links whatsoever to back up anything you've said. You've given me the title of a completely irrelevant ECDC report listing different categories of variants as of last week. There's nothing whatsoever there indicating that the ECDC had no idea for most of 2021 that variants were possible. I'd be very surprised if any such source existed, given you yourself were the one who pointed out that everyone should know we get different strains of flu every year. So I'm fairly sure the ECDC have heard of the concept.

    I've no idea what your first paragraph means, it doesn't seem to make sense. If you're asking for a government who had a plan in summer 2020 which was based on as-yet unidentified variants and the impact of vaccines which hadn't been developed, then no - I doubt any exists unless someone has a time machine. And if they did that would be better used to go back pre-Covid and stop it happening.

    I am however aware of a government that released a complete shambles of a "plan" in mid-September 2020. A plan that was obsolete on the day it was launched. A plan the Taoiseach lied about key elements of even as he launched it. And that later the Tanaiste later claimed failed because they were unaware of the impact of vaccines (which could only have helped it succeed) or of the POSSIBILITY of covid variants.

    I'm not making any claim here. I'm just referencing the statement Varadkar made. Either he told the truth and the government and their advisers are astonishingly incompetent and were actually not aware that it was possible that variants of a virus might exist. Or he lied, and used that as an excuse to try to pass off responsibility for their disaster of a plan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,470 ✭✭✭MOH


    You do know our hospitals have been less full this year than they were at the same time in 2019, right?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Still dodging the question, the HSE doesn't have infinite capacity, we could throw all our taxes at it but it has a limit. COVID puts a massive strain on the HSE, when making decisions around restrictions there has to be a plan to either avoid the capacity limit or what to do with patients when it is hit.

    The answer from other years is to put people on trolleys in the corridors, this isn't possible due to the infectious nature of COVID, so you either stay within capacity or turn people away.

    The rhetoric of "it's not my job to protect the HSE" is bullsh*t, the governments job IS to protect the HSE, if you were in government, what do you do to protect it.

    "Oh lots of people died but it's not my job to protect you" isn't a coherent or rational answer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    So put the COVID patients on trolleys in the hallways as we did in 2019 when over capacity?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    People were put on trolleys and treated in hallways, this isn't really an option for an infectious virus like SARS-COV2. Capacity has been expanded but it wouldn't be enough if the case trajectory kept going it's current direction. However, the upside is everybody is getting boosted, already vaccinated or getting infected (which isn't an upside for the individual or hospitals) but does get us to the point where ncov2019 is just cov2019 and normality can resume (as is pretty much the case in the UK).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,198 ✭✭✭ebbsy


    I like the Singapore approach.

    Want to go into a workplace ? Get a jab. Don't have one ? Pay for a test each day at your own expense.

    Don't have a jab but you have caught Covid ? You can pay your own hospital fees.

    Enforcement is the key. People have to be forced. Is it nice ? No it is not. But it is necessary. These are not normal times, and normal freedoms do not exist at this point in time.

    That way things can be kept open.

    Lockdowns do not help people that are following the rules.



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