August 2021 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium · 30-07-2021 1:37pm #1

Predict the IMT, or Irish mean temperature, the average for five locations (Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park, Shannon). The 1981-2010 average was 15.1 C.
Predict the MAX, highest temperature at any of the regular reporting locations in the "yesterday's weather" section of the met.ie website.
Predict the MIN, lowest temperature at any of the regular reporting locations in the "yesterday's weather" section of the met/ie wensite.
Predict the PRC, the amount of rainfall compared to normal in percentage terms, for eleven locations -- the five used for the IMT, plus Malin Head, Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Cork. Johnstown Castle, and Valentia.
Predict the SUN, the amount of sunshine hours compared to normal in percentage terms, for six locations -- Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork and Valentia.
BONUS -- Predict the maximum rainfall amount for the month at any of the regular locations, amount and location (date not required).

My predictions and NormaL ...

M.T. Cranium ____ 14.9 _ 26.0 _ 1.5 _ 120 _ 090 _ 55.5 (Cork)

NormaL ________ 15.1 _ 27.0 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 100 _ 40.0 (location by climatology)

With the new Boards format and possible delays in reconnection, I will take a wait and see approach to later penalties, but expect some deductions if you aren't in by 0900h Sunday 1st of August.

Gonzo · 30-07-2021 1:46pm

Gonzo ____ 14.6 _ 25.3 _ 1.2_ 135 _ 082 _ 28.0mm (Dunsany)

pauldry · 30-07-2021 2:06pm

Pauldry ____ 14.3_ 26.3 _ 1.1_ 155 _ 081 _ 50 (Newport Furnace)

SleetAndSnow · 30-07-2021 4:41pm

SleetAndSnow ____ 14.5 _ 25.1 _ 1.4 _ 138 _ 085 _ 60.5 (Cork)

Gaoth Laidir · 30-07-2021 5:42pm

Gaoth Laidir____15.0 _ 25.3 _ -1.5 _ 115 _ 97 _ 72.0 (Claremorris).

Joe Public · 31-07-2021 12:12am

Joe Public ____ 15.4 _ 29.5 _ 2.5 _ 90 _ 120 _ 65.2 (Finner)

Bsal · 31-07-2021 12:51am

Bsal ________ 14.8 _ 24.9 _ 2.0 _ 115 _ 91 _ 85 (Shannon Airport)

kindredspirit · 31-07-2021 9:27am

Kindred Spirit ___ 15.0 ___ 26.0 ___ 2.0 ___ 105 ___ 90 ___ 46 Newport Furnace.

DOCARCH · 31-07-2021 9:36am

DOCARCH ____ 14.8 _ 26.8 _ 2.1 _ 115 _ 092 _ 7.5 (Belmullet)

WesternStorm · 31-07-2021 10:08am

WesternStorm ____ 15.6 _ 27.5 _ 2.3 _ 090 _ 110 _ 48 (Knock Airport)

mr.stonewall · 31-07-2021 11:25am

Mr stonewall___15.6__27.1___2.3___84__118__38 21mm Shannon

sryanbruen · 31-07-2021 12:17pm

sryanbruen ____ 14.7 _ 25.1 _ 2.1 _ 115 _ 090 _ 32 (Claremorris)

esposito · 31-07-2021 12:51pm

Esposito ____ 14.8_ 27.3 _ 2.3_ 144 _ 099 _ Bonus 36.8mm (Newport Furnace)

Jpmarn · 31-07-2021 2:16pm

Just want to clarify on this months bonus question. Is it the highest total monthly rainfall and the station that would be reporting it? Thank you? I think Normal should be 114.9mm at Valentia but 2 years ago it was 297 at Athenry.

waterways · 31-07-2021 3:24pm

waterways ________ 15.4 _ 28.4 _ 2.5 _ 117 _ 115 _ 135.3 ~~Athenry~~ ~~Malin Head~~ Mace Head

Artane2002 · 31-07-2021 4:54pm

Artane2002 ________ 14.9 _ 26.4 _ 0.9 _ 110 _ 090 _ 38.4 Newport Furnace

sunflower3 · 31-07-2021 7:54pm

Sunflower3 ____ 15.6 _ 27.5 _ 2.6 _ 95_ 090 _ 65.5 (valentia)

dasa29 · 31-07-2021 8:51pm

Dasa29 ____ 15.2 _ 25.5 _ 5.0 _ 95 _ 115 _ 45.0 (Mullingar)

sryanbruen · 31-07-2021 9:25pm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117686830#Comment_117686830

Just re-reading it Jpmarn here and given he says 'date not required', I think MT meant highest DAILY rainfall total which in fairness he should have had to not result in confusion here. I see many posts here thought it was month too (including myself originally) unless they're anticipating a record breaking August deluge!

waterways · 31-07-2021 10:18pm

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/117687217#Comment_117687217

In case a single day is meant in the bonus question then I have to change to

waterways ________ 15.4 _ 28.4 _ 2.5 _ 117 _ 115 _ ~~135.3~~ ~~Mace Head~~ 52.5 Cork

200motels · 31-07-2021 11:31pm

200motels 14.4_ 25.3 _ 1.4_ 122 _ 080 _ 166.44 Newport Furnace

appledrop · 31-07-2021 11:42pm

Appledrop 14.4_25.2_1.8_130%_78%-50mm Newport Furnace.

M.T I think you mean highest daily total and that's what I've gone for but if it's the overall monthly total I want to increase mine. Thanks.

mrskinner · 31-07-2021 11:49pm

Skinner_____15.3_____25_____2.1_____90_____110_____55 Valentia

Tae laidir · 01-08-2021 12:33am

Tae laidir ______ 15.5 _ 27.3 _ 3.3 _ 98 _ 95 _ 47.5 Malin

dacogawa · 01-08-2021 12:36am

Dacogawa ____ 15.1 _ 29.4 _ 2.2 _ 186 _ 089 _ 190 Belmullet

M.T. Cranium · 01-08-2021 1:31am

Okay, looks like I have screwed up the bonus question, I meant to have it refer to the 24hour maximum but it doesn't say that, so some forecasters have posted monthly totals, others probably thought I meant daily totals.

What we will need to do then is allow anyone who posted a monthly total to offer a daily maximum by end of the 3rd, no penalty. I will contract anyone who does not appear to have done so by end of the 1st.

Sorry about that, it may have nothing to do with the oversight but I have been facing weeks and weeks of awful heat and occasionally noxious smoke haze here and it seems to be affecting my mental functioning slightly as I've wrong-posted three things that I know about in the past month (and if there was one thing I could usually rely on, it was accurate posting by and large).

So if you have time left to edit a monthly amount that you submitted, just edit your post, if that time has run out, add a new forecast for the highest 24h amount and location.

My apologies for not catching this earlier, I tend to let this thread ride until the deadline then see how it's going.

If anyone thinks their daily-rainfall guess might be taken as a monthly instead, just edit in "bonus okay" or something like that. This does give anyone a two-day time window to edit a daily guess, I have not paid much attention to how the first three days look for candidate amounts as my last thought about that was, not likely to be a factor.

Jpmarn · 01-08-2021 2:52am

Jpmarn ________ 15.9 _ 27.5 _ 2.5 _ 125 _ 95 _ 55.0 (Valentia)

Gaoth Laidir · 01-08-2021 4:16am

Can't edit anymore but mine is a daily total.

DOCARCH · 01-08-2021 9:52am

I had in monthly total....edited to daily.

I think there is 24hr limit on editing?

If people want to reply, with revised daily figure, I can edit their posts.

kindredspirit · 01-08-2021 10:07am

It won't let me edit.

So, changing my forecast from monthly total to maximum daily total, it should now read 46mm at Newport Furnace.

adam240610 · 01-08-2021 10:08am

Adam240610 14.9 _ 26.2 _ 1.8 _ 120 _ 085 _ 51.4 Cork

August 2021 Boards weather forecast contest

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