Covid 19 Part XXXIV-249,437 ROI(4,906 deaths) 120,195 NI (2,145 deaths)(01/05)Read OP

TheDoctor · 26-03-2021 01:47PM

Vicxas wrote: »

Where are we with Non ICU numbers now?

233 last night

CIARAN_BOYLE · 26-03-2021 01:48PM

TheDoctor wrote: »

237 last night

317 this morning.

I guess you have an error there.

TheDoctor · 26-03-2021 01:49PM

CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »

317 this morning.

I guess you have an error there.

Non ICU, total there includes ICU

26-03-2021 01:51PM

Timmy O Toole wrote: »

This south African strain is so deadly that South Africa opened up 2 weeks ago. Bars and all open.

Yup. You can say the same about the UK variant in the UK (or Kent variant) as they call it. And the outbreak of the SA variant in my old neighbourhood of Putney (resulting in a postcode targeted mass testing regime) fizzled out with no impact in Wandsworth infection rates (despite being heavily populated and everyone out and about)

LameBeaver · 26-03-2021 01:54PM

Multipass wrote: »

Can they shoot if someone jumps off the quarantine bus? :pac:

No unfortunately.

agoodpunt · 26-03-2021 01:57PM

its finally true even octupus's dream from the bbc

muddypuppy · 26-03-2021 02:19PM

Elessar wrote: »

Apparently Glynn mentioned that vaccinations won't have such an effect until 40-50% of the adult population are vaccinated. And they've told government that even with all the vulnerable vaccinated, every 1000 cases would still lead to 35 additional hospitalisations, which is not sustainable.

Wait, did he says this exact numbers? That means an hospitalization rate of ~3.5% of the cases, while right now it seems to be (from the hspe reports) anywhere between ~4% and ~7%. So full vaccination would barely halve the hospitalization rate?
Haven't the studies so far shown that all vaccines basically protect 100% (or close enough) against hospitalization? How can he claim that?

FintanMcluskey · 26-03-2021 02:19PM

LameBeaver wrote: »

No unfortunately.

Fairly certain this isn’t sarcasm

Unfortunately

landofthetree · 26-03-2021 02:25PM

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1375437888851210247

Vicxas · 26-03-2021 02:27PM

Looks like we're stuck on 500-700 cases for the foreseeable

Banana Republic 1 · 26-03-2021 02:29PM

Multipass wrote: »

This part of the new quarantine looks fun

‘On arrival into Dublin Airport, those entering who have to undergo mandatory quarantine will first be greeted by the board of management unit in the airport, in a separate area to other passengers.

They are then brought down to custom officials where they collect their bags and are then handed over to the Defence Forces.

Passengers are then brought by a hotel bus to the hotel. The Defence Forces will escort the bus in another vehicle.’

Poor soldiers, all that training to end up doing this pantomime.

At what point are they tested before leaving for the building.

Wolf359f · 26-03-2021 02:29PM

muddypuppy wrote: »

Wait, did he says this exact numbers? That means an hospitalization rate of ~3.5% of the cases, while right now it seems to be (from the hspe reports) anywhere between ~4% and ~7%. So full vaccination would barely halve the hospitalization rate?
Haven't the studies so far shown that all vaccines basically protect 100% (or close enough) against hospitalization? How can he claim that?

He's stating 40-50% of the adult population and then all vulnerable people. Is he talking about 40-50% of adults vaccinated, we'll still see 3.5% hospitalisation or once the vulnerable are vaccinated, we'll see 3.5% hospitalised?
Or are the two the same? He should really be more clear.

marno21 · 26-03-2021 02:30PM

landofthetree wrote: »

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1375437888851210247

46 more swabs from 5,500 more tests vs last Friday.

Turtwig · 26-03-2021 02:33PM

Wolf359f wrote: »

He's stating 40-50% of the adult population and then all vulnerable people. Is he talking about 40-50% of adults vaccinated, we'll still see 3.5% hospitalisation or once the vulnerable are vaccinated, we'll see 3.5% hospitalised?
Or are the two the same? He should really be more clear.

3.5% of unvaccinated adults outside the vulnerable groups.

It's not clear what cohorts he was including in that vulnerable listing. The 3.5% also seems rather high. I suspect that's the upper range of the estimate.

Klonker · 26-03-2021 02:33PM

Vicxas wrote: »

Looks like we're stuck on 500-700 cases for the foreseeable

You're probably right but the schools closing the next 2 weeks should help. Easter weekend might negate this though!

Wolf359f · 26-03-2021 02:35PM

landofthetree wrote: »

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1375437888851210247

7 Day averages for Swabs:
26/03: 612 +15.6%
19/03: 529
12/03: 520
05/03: 590
That's a pretty big jump week on week.

Klonker · 26-03-2021 02:36PM

Turtwig wrote: »

3.5% of unvaccinated adults outside the vulnerable groups.

It's not clear what cohorts he was including in that vulnerable listing. The 3.5% also seems rather high. I suspect that's the upper range of the estimate.

NPHET taking the most negative view or projection. I'm shocked!

Klonker · 26-03-2021 02:37PM

Wolf359f wrote: »

7 Day averages for Swabs:
26/03: 612 +15.6%
19/03: 529
12/03: 520
05/03: 590
That's a pretty big jump week on week.

Certainly is. How much did testing increase in that period do you know?

Stheno · 26-03-2021 02:42PM

Klonker wrote: »

Certainly is. How much did testing increase in that period do you know?

30% more tests today compared to last week

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1372934391480061960?s=20

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1375437888851210247?s=20

Wolf359f · 26-03-2021 02:44PM

Klonker wrote: »

Certainly is. How much did testing increase in that period do you know?

Number tests increased by 23% and positive swabs increased by 15.6% (week on week)

Benimar · 26-03-2021 02:44PM

Klonker wrote: »

Certainly is. How much did testing increase in that period do you know?

Up 23% on the previous week (115,814 v 93,976)

Banana Republic 1 · 26-03-2021 02:44PM

Klonker wrote: »

NPHET taking the most negative view or projection. I'm shocked!

Be much better if they just went with shur it’ll be grand...

Ms2011 · 26-03-2021 02:45PM

Collected my kids from school at 12, they came out with all their books and copies in their bags like before Christmas, hope that's not a sign that they won't be going back after Easter

Qrt · 26-03-2021 02:46PM

Went to the Walk-In centre yesterday, have to say it was very well run. It was my first covid test too so it was a decent excuse to get out of the house. They said it would be ~24 hours for a result, hopefully get a result soon.

Rebelbrowser · 26-03-2021 02:47PM

Renault 5 wrote: »

But what else could they do? Give it to people without a private education? Heaven forbid....

Amirani · 26-03-2021 02:47PM

Stheno wrote: »

30% more tests today compared to last week

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1372934391480061960?s=20

https://twitter.com/COVID19DataIE/status/1375437888851210247?s=20

Definitely a better day of numbers than last Friday looking at those.

crossman47 · 26-03-2021 02:49PM

Klonker wrote: »

You're probably right but the schools closing the next 2 weeks should help. Easter weekend might negate this though!

I don't think schools closing helps at all. Children will now meet up in unsupervised groups. In school, teachers do their best to abide by protocols (which go out the window once children go outside the gates).

Turtwig · 26-03-2021 02:50PM

Klonker wrote: »

NPHET taking the most negative view or projection. I'm shocked!

The letter will be published next week. We'll know then what the ranges were (if there were any) . I'm actually struggling to think of a time they went with the most pessimistic projections. Or even the second most.

Klonker · 26-03-2021 02:53PM

Banana Republic 1 wrote: »

Be much better if they just went with shur it’ll be grand...

Actually I think it would be better if they explained what they mean when they say elderly and vulnerable, wouldn't you? Would be very easy to do using the vaccine groupings as the measurement of people they are talking about.

The strange thing is currently less than 3% of under 65s are being hospitalised. But by NPHETs calculations when we vaccinate the vulnerable under 65s somehow out hospitalisation rate will increase to 3.5%

Surely you think that needs a bit more further scrutiny or are you just happy to take everything they say as gospel?

Klonker · 26-03-2021 02:55PM

Turtwig wrote: »

The letter will be published next week. We'll know then what the ranges were (if there were any) . I'm actually struggling to think of a time they went with the most pessimistic projections. Or even the second most.

Would longest lockdown in EU with one of youngest populations not be seen as a pessimistic projection?

Covid 19 Part XXXIV-249,437 ROI(4,906 deaths) 120,195 NI (2,145 deaths)(01/05)Read OP

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