COVID-19: Vaccine and testing procedures Megathread Part 3 - Read OP

Wolf359f · 25-03-2021 04:10PM

badger54 wrote: »

Do we have up to date information on the status of one million per month deliveries expected for April, May and June?

Have any deliveries relating to April been confirmed to be lower? Or is it the case, that today, as things stand, we still expect to receive supply of one million doses this April?

It's not that easy, it's done per quarter and divided into weeks. Based on previous deliveries. I think people may be dissapointed if we don't get 1mil doses in April, it may end up as 700k and 1.1mil in May and then 1.2mil in June.

That's why then EU was considering changes to the export licence, to compel companies not to load all the deliveries towards the end of the quarter.

IRISHSPORTSGUY · 25-03-2021 04:15PM

https://twitter.com/OleRyborg/status/1375073391481401344

badger54 · 25-03-2021 04:16PM

Wolf359f wrote: »

It's not that easy, it's done per quarter and divided into weeks. Based on previous deliveries. I think people may be dissapointed if we don't get 1mil doses in April, it may end up as 700k and 1.1mil in May and then 1.2mil in June.

That's why then EU was considering changes to the export licence, to compel companies not to load all the deliveries towards the end of the quarter.

Thank you. I understand what you are saying about deliveries being done for the quarter. I had assumed that the Irish Government plan would have had more precise delivery figures rather than divide total quarterly deliveries by 3 (for each of April, May and June).

Perhaps I was naive!

Apogee · 25-03-2021 04:19PM

badger54 wrote: »

Thank you. I understand what you are saying about deliveries being done for the quarter. I had assumed that the Irish Government plan would have had more precise delivery figures rather than divide total quarterly deliveries by 3 (for each of April, May and June).

Perhaps I was naive!

Journalists have been asking for this at HSE briefing. Reid/HSE say they have no hard numbers from any of suppliers - any forecasted numbers they've been given in the past have not been accurate. Ballpark numbers only.

eoinbn · 25-03-2021 04:22PM

IRISHSPORTSGUY wrote: »

https://twitter.com/OleRyborg/status/1375073391481401344

Seems like nonsense. Nobody was expecting J&J to deliver those numbers in April. It will be well into June before they deliver that amount to Denmark.

crossman47 · 25-03-2021 04:26PM

Economics101 wrote: »

A few quick phonecalls to private hospitals and organisations representing GPs, nursing homes etc would get an estimate that was a heck of a lot closer to the true number than the HSE seems to have got.

Also on the number of over 70s, I am sure that the CSO could provide quite good data within
a few hours: what are census data and mortality/life-expectancy tables for? And errors due to emigration or immigration would be low for the over 70s.

The more one looks into it the more of a total shambles is the HSE.

Of course CSO could provide a figure for the country but whats needed here is the number to be vaccinated in each place. The more I hear about it, the more I think GPs have not put the effort in. They must tell HSE how many patients they have, organise a timetable, etc. My own has been brilliant, everything operating like clockwork but I fear not all are like that.

25-03-2021 04:30PM

eoinbn wrote: »

Seems like nonsense. Nobody was expecting J&J to deliver those numbers in April. It will be well into June before they deliver that amount to Denmark.

Q1 target is 55m for the entire bloc, with most scheduled for June so yeah looks like the article has got it confused. Think we're only due a small delivery in April, 35,000 or so.

leahyl · 25-03-2021 04:32PM

Is it unusual that my 76 year old father still hasn't been contacted by his GP regarding his vaccination? I've heard of many people in that age group getting their vaccine and one person who is just 70 and was given a date in mid-April for theirs. i just thought my dad would have heard by now at least as to when he's getting it. My mum is 74 and hasn't heard anything either.

25-03-2021 04:33PM

crossman47 wrote: »

Of course CSO could provide a figure for the country but whats needed here is the number to be vaccinated in each place. The more I hear about it, the more I think GPs have not put the effort in. They must tell HSE how many patients they have, organise a timetable, etc. My own has been brilliant, everything operating like clockwork but I fear not all are like that.

I think too much has been asked of GPs, they are basically responsible for most of the rollout at the moment but also have to keep their practices running as normal. Clear reform needed to establish national databases. Sure the size of cohort 4 has basically doubled since they rejigged the priority groups.

Apogee · 25-03-2021 04:42PM

Apogee wrote: »

-Reid confirms 300 housebound now done.
-Started in East. Next starting in South and South East.

650 housebound now done (1,800 was previous estimated total).
10 ambulances in operation - each ambulance can dose 14 per day due to restrictions on vials (presumably mRNA storage requirements?).

Sofa King Great · 25-03-2021 04:43PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

The HSE would not have the employment records of healthcare workers employed in the private sector

They wouldn't have the employment records but surely most are licensed or operate in some sort of regulated role? Also its not like they missed it by a few %.

They were off by 50k which equates to over 20%

statesaver · 25-03-2021 05:05PM

We cannot do anything right, can we ?

What a complete failure of a State.

https://twitter.com/FergalBowers/status/1375054138740989956

After 3 months of a roleout.

landofthetree · 25-03-2021 05:07PM

https://twitter.com/PoliticsForAlI/status/1375114125630705674

Organise. Piss-up. Brewery.

Sanjuro · 25-03-2021 05:07PM

https://twitter.com/newschambers/status/1375114649658609674?s=20

But let's all just jump to outrage at a clearly ludicrously low and incorrect number, shall we?

JMR46 · 25-03-2021 05:09PM

Apogee wrote: »

650 housebound now done (1,800 was previous estimated total).

Thanks for that update. I know a 96 year old housebound woman in the West of Ireland who hasn't been vaccinated yet so hopefully they will get to her soon.
Thankfully all bar 1 of her carers have been vaccinated

odyssey06 · 25-03-2021 05:11PM

Sanjuro wrote: »

But let's all just jump to outrage at a clearly ludicrously low and incorrect number, shall we?

It's a HSE dashboard. IF it's garbage data take it down or only apply the updates periodically and a updated timestamp.

Sanjuro · 25-03-2021 05:12PM

odyssey06 wrote: »

It's a HSE dashboard. IF it's garbage data take it down.

Data constantly gets updated. How have you not learned that for... well... your life?

BigMo1 · 25-03-2021 05:13PM

Sanjuro wrote: »

https://twitter.com/newschambers/status/1375114649658609674?s=20

But let's all just jump to outrage at a clearly ludicrously low and incorrect number, shall we?

If the data is wrong, it shouldn't be made public before being verified.

namloc1980 · 25-03-2021 05:13PM

Sanjuro wrote: »

https://twitter.com/newschambers/status/1375114649658609674?s=20

But let's all just jump to outrage at a clearly ludicrously low and incorrect number, shall we?

Publishing nonsense data is even more concerning ffs.

odyssey06 · 25-03-2021 05:14PM

Sanjuro wrote: »

Data constantly gets updated. How have you not learned that for... well... your life?

Sometimes the more you understand the more obvious the mistakes are.
Don't show a date and figures if it's not valid. If it takes 24 hours for the data to come in, release the data then.

hmmm · 25-03-2021 05:18PM

The HSE shouldn't publish incorrect data as it brings the program into disrepute.

Similarly journalists shouldn't be posting data which looks incorrect unless they have confirmed it.

My tuppence.

Van.Bosch · 25-03-2021 05:19PM

odyssey06 wrote: »

Sometimes the more you understand the more obvious the mistakes are.
Don't show a date and figures if it's not valid. If it takes 24 hours for the data to come in, release the data then.

In this case the data is a few days lagged but still not accurate. Really with a two day lag it should be pretty close.

Saying that once the vaccines are being administered is the important thing.

Turtwig · 25-03-2021 05:20PM

How many times has Fergal Bowers done that now?

IRISHSPORTSGUY · 25-03-2021 05:21PM

landofthetree wrote: »

https://twitter.com/PoliticsForAlI/status/1375114125630705674

Organise. Piss-up. Brewery.

By the time that's up and running we'll be getting Johnson & Johnson and maybe CureVac though.

https://www.yorkshireeveningpost.co.uk/health/coronavirus/when-will-novavax-be-approved-in-the-uk-date-covid-vaccine-could-get-approval-and-how-it-compares-to-astrazeneca-3173945

"If approved, the Novavax vaccine is expected to be available among the second wave of jabs to provide a “significant boost” to the rollout in the second half of 2021."

Yeah, no big deal tbh.

namloc1980 · 25-03-2021 05:21PM

hmmm wrote: »

The HSE shouldn't publish incorrect data as it brings the program into disrepute.

Similarly journalists shouldn't be posting data which looks incorrect unless they have confirmed it.

My tuppence.

They're just posting the data that is published on the HSE dashboard. You would expect the data to be correct so why should journalists or the public have to double check if the published data is correct or not? The published data is either correct or it's not.

Amirani · 25-03-2021 05:21PM

statesaver wrote: »

We cannot do anything right, can we ?

What a complete failure of a State.

https://twitter.com/FergalBowers/status/1375054138740989956

After 3 months of a roleout.

Paul Reid confirmed today that the figure on the dashboard is wrong.

Likely the weekend testing centres uploaded their batches on Monday, so they were timestamped then. Calm down.

Amirani · 25-03-2021 05:24PM

namloc1980 wrote: »

Publishing nonsense data is even more concerning ffs.

It's automatic, it doesn't get published. That's how live dashboards work.

namloc1980 · 25-03-2021 05:25PM

Amirani wrote: »

It's automatic, it doesn't get published. That's how live dashboards work.

Well then they need to review the data quality and QA it in that case. Honestly, this stuff wouldn't be tolerated in most organisations.

Turtwig · 25-03-2021 05:27PM

namloc1980 wrote: »

why should journalists or the public have to double check if the published data is correct or not?

Are they parrots or journalists?

If the figure was 6,600,000 for Sunday should they check it or take the data at face value? I expect journalists to be responsible. Ask hard but fair and accurate questions. Be investigative.
The current crop do sweet fvk all in this regard.

Real Time reporting of any data set is always going to have caveats. Interpretation of data is more than just reading a number.

namloc1980 · 25-03-2021 05:30PM

Turtwig wrote: »

Are they parrots or journalists?

If the figure was 6,600,000 for Sunday should they check it or take the data at face value? I expect journalists to be responsible. Ask hard but fair and accurate questions. Be investigative.
The current crop do sweet fvk all in this regard.

Real Time reporting of any data set is always going to have caveats. Interpretation of data is more than just reading a number.

Grand so we can't believe the vaccinations data being provided and it needs to be checked and verified by people outside the HSE. Fantastic.

COVID-19: Vaccine and testing procedures Megathread Part 3 - Read OP

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