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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part VI - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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Comments

  • Posts: 2,827 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It is depressing to be hearing the objections of those who continue to deny that Masks help considerably.

    the real questions are why aren't there enough ICU spaces and staff to man them along with the putting in place of testing facilities so that international travel may resume.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 633 ✭✭✭mikekerry


    Penfailed wrote: »
    There was good scientific reasoning behind that decision. Would you rather they'd said no TV at all?

    Ha ha. That's the funniest thing I've heard in a long time.


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    That's true for tested numbers

    We had 10,000 - 20,000 untested daily cases at the peak in March/April

    That can't be denied now@

    That's 70/140k cases a week for how many weeks?
    Potentially 0.5m+ untested cases?
    Or do you mean untested contacts or something?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,395 ✭✭✭GazzaL


    It’s not childish it’s science.

    I went for a few drinks with friends over the Summer, we shared a main portion of chicken wings for €12.50 and none of us caught the virus.

    They had a starter portion for €6.50 on the menu and I dread to think what would have happened if we went for that option

    I hope the pubs open again so I can get another immunity curry and a pint before winter kicks in.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 979 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    Augeo wrote: »
    That's 70/140k cases a week for how many weeks?
    Potentially 0.5m+ untested cases?
    Or do you mean untested contacts or something?

    Yes

    For a few weeks I'd imagine

    Slovakia tested the whole nation last week and doing this weekend

    Nearly 100,000 antigen postive cases caught have been caught over 2 weekends

    PCR would have caught nearly double that as antigen much less accurate

    They have similar population to us and had 351 death's

    We have nearly 6 times more death


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,310 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    The surface of the virus desiccated quite quickly in warmer weather. That isn't to do with avoiding the wearing of masks.
    In lower temperatures when humidity is higher such as would be experienced now the virus lives longer and spreads more easily.
    The weather conditions outdoors now are more akin to what you'd find in an Abattoir where the virus was spreading like wildfire during the time that you are referring to when people weren't wearing masks outdoors.

    You take issue with my reasoning on masks and then come out with this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,332 ✭✭✭bloopy


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    That's true for tested numbers

    We had 10,000 - 20,000 untested daily cases at the peak in March/April

    That can't be denied now@

    Has this been accepted yet?
    Because people were being called conspiracy theorists for saying the same thing just three weeks ago.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,310 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    Penfailed wrote: »
    There was good scientific reasoning behind that decision. Would you rather they'd said no TV at all?

    I get the reasoning behind it.

    My point is the pub is either safe enough for where we’re at or it is not. The moment you have to issue a 50 page pamphlet with it you’ve already lost the people. Yes it would be better to not open them at all in this case.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 979 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    bloopy wrote: »
    Has this been accepted yet?
    Because people were being called conspiracy theorists for saying the same thing just three weeks ago.

    Yeah

    You'd want to be pretty thick not that to accept it

    Slovakias mass testing numbers should awaken a few


  • Posts: 2,827 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You take issue with my reasoning on masks and then come out with this.
    Yeah.
    I didn't particularly like the local Abbattoir being the reason the County was locked down in the middle of summer.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,687 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    mikekerry wrote: »
    Ha ha. That's the funniest thing I've heard in a long time.

    Y'see. Some people just don't understand science.

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,084 ✭✭✭✭Johnboy1951


    nofools wrote: »
    I think it is arrogant to think you can control so easily.

    What do you think is being done now?
    Are we not 'controlling' it presently?

    As has been posted since, a more proportionate response is required, both to control the spread of the virus so our health system can function, while allowing the maximum economic activity at the same time.

    It seems you also do not believe in herd immunity (a different post of yours) but yet believe in vaccines ---- whose purpose is to provide herd immunity.
    It [zero Covid] is still much more plausible than herd immunity

    Your posts are just too contradictory to be anything but deliberate incitement.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,084 ✭✭✭✭Johnboy1951



    ...

    allowing the virus to spread in a controlled manner is what we are doing, virus suppression not eradication.
    the restrictions do make sense to plenty, the reality is they are about removing non-essential trip and other generators so as to minimise spread.

    What we are doing is practically stopping the spread with severe restrictions, and then letting it spread and then stopping the spread again.

    The restrictions are too severe.
    The restrictions should CONTROL the spread so that the virus goes through the population in a CONTROLLED manner.

    The alternative appears to be to maintain severe restrictions and wait for an efficacious vacine to take us out of the restrictions.

    Yeah, like that will happen before the money well runs dry!

    Where is all the health advice to the population about boosting the immune system to help ward off the virus?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,625 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey



    Where is all the health advice to the population about boosting the immune system to help ward off the virus?

    Where is the advice from NPHET that obesity is one of the primary health issues that Covid will effect much more severely?

    What did they do?

    Shut the ****ing gyms

    The policies regarding “living with Covid” are straight out of a mr Bean show


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,395 ✭✭✭GazzaL


    Where is the advice from NPHET that obesity is one of the primary health issues that Covid will effect much more severely?

    What did they do?

    Shut the ****ing gyms

    The policies regarding “living with Covid” are straight out of a mr Bean show

    And NPHET have declared that takeaways and booze are essential. Comedy gold :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,107 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    The policies regarding “living with Covid” are straight out of a mr Bean show

    Yeah, not funny!!!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,595 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    What we are doing is practically stopping the spread with severe restrictions, and then letting it spread and then stopping the spread again.

    The restrictions are too severe.
    The restrictions should CONTROL the spread so that the virus goes through the population in a CONTROLLED manner.

    The alternative appears to be to maintain severe restrictions and wait for an efficacious vacine to take us out of the restrictions.

    Yeah, like that will happen before the money well runs dry!

    Where is all the health advice to the population about boosting the immune system to help ward off the virus?


    This CONTROLLED spread has been attempted to acquire acquired herd immunity.

    Both this attempt CONTROL and acquired herd immunity have been shown to be failures.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,310 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    charlie14 wrote: »
    This CONTROLLED spread has been attempted to acquire acquired herd immunity.

    Both this attempt CONTROL and acquired herd immunity have been shown to be failures.

    Where was that Charlie? Where was it tried and where did it prove to be a failure? And also what exactly is the difference to the vaccine approach? People dont seem to like that term but what people are hoping for through a vaccine is herd immunity isn't it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,595 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Where was that Charlie? Where was it tried and where did it prove to be a failure? And also what exactly is the difference to the vaccine approach? People dont seem to like that term but what people are hoping for through a vaccine is herd immunity isn't it?


    Attempted in Sweden where they have now admitted it has failed. With over 4,000 new cases Friday it would be difficult to claim otherwise in fairness.
    Amazonas another example where they even claimed to have herd immunity, but again shown to be wrong.


    Of course there are hopes for herd immunity from a vaccine.
    But that is a completely different animal from attempting acquired herd immunity as I suspect being long enough around these threads you very aware off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,084 ✭✭✭✭Johnboy1951


    So the conclusion drawn is that although we find it possible to control the virus spread to near nil, it is impossible to control it less than that, without it balooning out of control?

    Makes no sense to me.

    Sweden could be accused of 'letting it rip' which is not comparable to tightly controlling the spread at a sustainable level.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,595 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    So the conclusion drawn is that although we find it possible to control the virus spread to near nil, it is impossible to control it less than that, without it balooning out of control?

    Makes no sense to me.

    Sweden could be accused of 'letting it rip' which is not comparable to tightly controlling the spread at a sustainable level.


    Sweden could be accused of "letting it rip" but in reality they did not do that.
    They had restrictions and recommendations in place but they still could not prevent the spread.
    They brought in further restrictions and recommendation over two weeks ago but the numbers are still rising.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 979 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    Where is the advice from NPHET that obesity is one of the primary health issues that Covid will effect much more severely?

    What did they do?

    Shut the ****ing gyms

    The policies regarding “living with Covid” are straight out of a mr Bean show

    Yeah they better open the gyms on Dec 1st

    Nothing more essential than them in Winter


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,595 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Where is the advice from NPHET that obesity is one of the primary health issues that Covid will effect much more severely?

    What did they do?

    Shut the ****ing gyms

    The policies regarding “living with Covid” are straight out of a mr Bean show


    Open the gym so people with the underlying condition of obesity can use them.
    What possibly could go wrong :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,310 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    So whats the solution guys? Up and down between level 3/4 and 5 until some magic cure arrives?
    What if it doesn't arrive? Or what if it isn't all that magic? We just keep going like this for years?

    Over something with an IFR in the low zero point somethings?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,533 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    What do you think is being done now?
    Are we not 'controlling' it presently?

    As has been posted since, a more proportionate response is required, both to control the spread of the virus so our health system can function, while allowing the maximum economic activity at the same time.

    It seems you also do not believe in herd immunity (a different post of yours) but yet believe in vaccines ---- whose purpose is to provide herd immunity.


    Your posts are just too contradictory to be anything but deliberate incitement.


    he's referring to natural herd immunity, which very much is unachievable by the looks of it in relation to this virus.
    our approach is about controlling the virus while allowing the maximum economic activity, it is not possible to have full scale or near full scale economic activity and control the virus.
    we do need to do better in terms of allowing the health system to function though.



    What we are doing is practically stopping the spread with severe restrictions, and then letting it spread and then stopping the spread again.

    The restrictions are too severe.
    The restrictions should CONTROL the spread so that the virus goes through the population in a CONTROLLED manner.

    The alternative appears to be to maintain severe restrictions and wait for an efficacious vacine to take us out of the restrictions.

    Yeah, like that will happen before the money well runs dry!

    Where is all the health advice to the population about boosting the immune system to help ward off the virus?


    no no, we are definitely not stopping the spread, it is important to point that out.
    what we are doing is trying to minimise that spread, tailoring restrictions according to the severity of the situation including cases, however the virus is still spreading and it would be impossible to stop it from spreading altogether.
    the restrictions are over all not too severe as they are the only way to minimise the spread and they do have to be upped and lowered when required for the approach to work, so yes the odd time restrictions will be a bit severe but other times they will be lower.
    it is not possible for the restrictions to control the spread so the virus can go through the whole population, they can only control the spread, the virus is not going to go through the whole population anyway and even if it did it does not remove the need for restrictions in the end.
    the health advice about boosting the immune system has been there from the start, only does so much however and does not remove the need for tailored restrictions.

    I'm very highly educated. I know words, i have the best words, nobody has better words then me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,533 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    The Government has been accused of stacking the odds against taxpayers who exercise their right to appeal a tax bill.

    Under the unheralded measure in the Finance Bill, Revenue will no longer pay interest to taxpayers who win an appeal on money they have paid in advance to the tax authorities.

    The move comes as thousands of businesses across the State struggle to survive.

    Where a taxpayer appeals a tax bill and loses they are liable to interest charges of up to 10 per cent. To avoid this, many taxpayers make an up-front payment on the understanding that it will be returned should they win their appeal. Under current law Revenue pays interest in those circumstances.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/personal-finance/government-accused-of-stacking-odds-against-taxpayers-1.4402704

    Things are that bad. Scraping the barrel here, we ll be reaching our hand out to IMF very soon. But thats alright, Ireland is "getting it right"

    nope, you will need to do better.
    that has been on the cards for a while as far as i'm aware, the government never wanted revenue to be paying out more then it had to.
    it's a simple case of shoving a change through while people are distracted with something else, a simple co-incidence that it is during the covid pandemic that they are putting this through.
    i disagree with it but i'm surprised they didn't bring it in long ago.
    acequion wrote: »
    That is it in a nutshell. Proportion. Our response has been out of proportion with others and out of proportion to the threat.

    The majority here who complain about excessive restrictions are not saying "just let's all get on with life as before and let the virus rip" They want proportion. They want balance and they want the Govt to provide that proportion by balancing all needs and all interests. But the Govt, the new Govt that we voted in ironically just before all this, have really let us down by allowing NPHET to call all the shots.

    I have to live with the virus and expose myself, and by extension my family, to risk every day as a frontline worker, a teacher in a large secondary school where there have been cases. And of course it makes me nervous. But so far so good. The tiny outbreak was quickly contained and not one staff member caught it. So I'm happy to go to work, would absolutely hate to be stuck at home on PUP as so many are. So imo a proportionate response to this second wave would be level 3 and down to a level 2+ as soon as possible. Let people operate as the front line have to. Let them get on with their work but with the strict restrictions of masks, distancing, constant sanitising and limited numbers in place. If teachers all over the country are doing it and doing it safely, why not other workers?

    That for me would be reacting with balance and proportion.

    our response has not been out of proportion, local conditions will mean that countries will deviate on some specific parts of their response compared to others.
    france, spain, italy, the UK for example will all have deviations, it would not be possible for all countries to have the exact same approach unless a particular approach had been established to be absolutely effective in all possible conditions.
    the government are balancing all that they can do so, but a balancing act means just that, it means we will be unable to protect every business, every job, etc.
    minimising virus spread, minimising economic damage, protecting public services, protecting the high contributers to the economy, they are the main points that the government have to consider the most, with others beyond that.
    this nonsense that nphet call the shots is just that, nonsense. it clearly gives people comfort to believe that they do as they can't accept that the government aren't going to do exactly what they want but they are just hurting themselves more by believeing something that is completely incorrect.
    level 2 or 3 with the ability to move up and down where required is likely going to be our approach going forward anyway.

    I'm very highly educated. I know words, i have the best words, nobody has better words then me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,310 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    But thats the whole point of the idea of controlled spread.

    In one scenario you're trying to suppress to lowest possible numbers. Treading water essentially and hoping for a game changer.
    In the other scenario you're trying to keep the health system afloat but go for biggest achievable spread within that constraint.

    Since we already agreed that it will spread anyway it seems to me that at least scenario 2 has some sort of goal or a possible positive side effect. Whereas scenario 1 is all hope and little plan.

    We already heard senior scientists claiming we will still have distancing and masks and restrictions even with a vaccine. That just cannot be allowed to happen. I'd actually become a zero covid supporter over this nonsense.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,107 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    charlie14 wrote: »
    Open the gym so people with the underlying condition of obesity can use them.
    What possibly could go wrong :rolleyes:

    Yeah, the gyms would be packed with people with obesity issues rolling up to die.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,533 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    Masks is another one of those populistic pseudo science measures. Zero actual evidence. Plenty of empirical evidence from before masks and after masks that they make no difference whatsoever. But masks are the new symbol of being 'with the program'.

    Extra pats on the head for wearing them outdoors.


    the point of masks is to minimise the amount of droplets that get into the air when one coughs and sneezes, when worn correctly they do exactly that.
    they do not stop you from getting covid, they do not stop others from getting covid, they lessen the chance however.
    so yes, in terms of their aims they very much do work.
    So whats the solution guys? Up and down between level 3/4 and 5 until some magic cure arrives?
    What if it doesn't arrive? Or what if it isn't all that magic? We just keep going like this for years?

    Over something with an IFR in the low zero point somethings?

    that very well may be the approach yes .
    i couldn't say that for definite but it is certainly quite likely that this is how things will go.
    it has a low IFR if controlled, if uncontrolled no doubt that IFR becomes high.

    I'm very highly educated. I know words, i have the best words, nobody has better words then me.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,595 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    But thats the whole point of the idea of controlled spread.

    In one scenario you're trying to suppress to lowest possible numbers. Treading water essentially and hoping for a game changer.
    In the other scenario you're trying to keep the health system afloat but go for biggest achievable spread within that constraint.

    Since we already agreed that it will spread anyway it seems to me that at least scenario 2 has some sort of goal or a possible positive side effect. Whereas scenario 1 is all hope and little plan.

    We already heard senior scientists claiming we will still have distancing and masks and restrictions even with a vaccine. That just cannot be allowed to happen. I'd actually become a zero covid supporter over this nonsense.


    I don`t see the highlighted as the aim here or now anywhere. To keep a health system afloat but go for the highest achievable spread has been attempted and failed.
    The aim is to get the level low, so that along with protecting the health system you can relax restrictions.
    Speculation by scientists on a vaccine is just that, speculation. These vaccine trials are operating on a double blind. Until the final results go for authorisation by independent bodies on safety and efficacy not even the scientists involved know for sure.


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