Boxing betting thread

Morrison J · 17-10-2020 5:36pm

megadodge wrote: »

You're reasoning is good here. Vasquez's movement is bound to give Ritson problems, but I wonder can he keep it up for the 10 rounds? However, 11/1 is definitely worth a shot.

Yeah if it was 5 or 6/1 I wouldn't give it much of a look. Even if Vasquez does ok the rounds will probably be close enough that Ritson will get the decision regardless. 11/1 just jumps out to me as a price that's too big given Ritson's limitations though. Seems worth a small stab anyway.

Morrison J · 17-10-2020 6:21pm

Also pretty much always back Loma in rounds 7-12 and doing the same tonight. Often comes in or comes very close. Pedraza and Campbell both hung on by a thread and are both seasoned 12 round fighters. Lopez only been past 7 rounds once and shouldn't get the slow paced fight he usually likes. 9/2 seems overpriced to me.

weemcd · 17-10-2020 6:44pm

Morrison J wrote: »

Also pretty much always back Loma in rounds 7-12 and doing the same tonight. Often comes in or comes very close. Pedraza and Campbell both hung on by a thread and are both seasoned 12 round fighters. Lopez only been past 7 rounds once and shouldn't get the slow paced fight he usually likes. 9/2 seems overpriced to me.

Good shout this. If Loma does what Loma does Lopez will be missing a lot and tiring once he hits those later rounds.

Morrison J · 18-10-2020 12:13am

Morrison J wrote: »

Anyone giving Vasquez any chance of upsetting Ritson later?

I've backed against Ritson a fair few times so maybe I've just got him all wrong but I always think if you box him and don't get drawn into a fight he's very beatable. Vasquez might be awkward enough to cause him some issues. Vasquez got robbed against Ohara Davies last year and he's generally a far tougher fight than his record suggests.

Think Ritson more than likely wins with a bit to spare but Vasquez points @ 11/1 just seems very big to me.

Moments like this you wonder why you bet on boxing at all. Robbed blind!

megadodge · 18-10-2020 12:34am

Morrison J wrote: »

Moments like this you wonder why you bet on boxing at all. Robbed blind!

Yours was an excellent call. Well reasoned out and you spotted the value.
I took your advice and got it at 12/1 on Betfair, but purely because of the iffy factor I just put a fiver on it, but I still feel robbed.

Unlucky.

selectamatic · 18-10-2020 12:51am

Must have been that big hometown crowd that swayed the judges :pac:

Kaiser84 · 18-10-2020 12:58am

I also had Vazquez on points. 11/1 with Paddy Power. I reckon they might pay out still.

They paid me on Bertran vs Burns years ago.

Loma 10-12 for me later.

Morrison J · 18-10-2020 1:21am

megadodge wrote: »

Yours was an excellent call. Well reasoned out and you spotted the value.
I took your advice and got it at 12/1 on Betfair, but purely because of the iffy factor I just put a fiver on it, but I still feel robbed.

Unlucky.

Yeah only had a small stake on it myself purely because of the fact the fix would probably be in. You just knew when there was a big delay before reading out the cards that there was something dodgy going on. A real sickener.

normanoffside · 20-10-2020 5:25pm

Morrison J wrote: »

Christian Hammer to beat Dave Allen @ 5/6 not a bad price. Surely Allen is a bigger underdog than that he's awful. Hammer got a number of higher level wins.

Fight is off

https://twitter.com/MichaelBensonn/status/1318580115392049153

Morrison J · 20-10-2020 5:39pm

normanoffside wrote: »

Fight is off

https://twitter.com/MichaelBensonn/status/1318580115392049153

FFS was too good to be true.

ASOT · 22-10-2020 8:29am

Dave looks to be fighting some lad lovejoy now according to his Instagram stories.

normanoffside · 26-10-2020 4:04pm

ASOT wrote: »

Dave looks to be fighting some lad lovejoy now according to his Instagram stories.

Anyone know much about him? You can get 4/1 in places

Morrison J · 26-10-2020 4:25pm

normanoffside wrote: »

Anyone know much about him? You can get 4/1 in places

Very padded record by the sounds of it and he's completely out of shape. If there's a half decent price going for Allen via KO I'll take it I think.

https://twitter.com/RonLewis_/status/1320043159792082948?s=19
https://twitter.com/Hock1717/status/1320452606704209921?s=19

ASOT · 26-10-2020 4:29pm

Somehow he's ranked 15th by the WBA :pac:

normanoffside · 26-10-2020 4:34pm

I just know he has sparred with Tyson Fury so he can't be that bad.
Doesn't look 340+lbs from this picture he posted today either

https://twitter.com/lovejoyboxing/status/1320660056204070912

Morrison J · 26-10-2020 9:52pm

normanoffside wrote: »

I just know he has sparred with Tyson Fury so he can't be that bad.
Doesn't look 340+lbs from this picture he posted today either

https://twitter.com/lovejoyboxing/status/1320660056204070912

Maybe. I suppose we'll see at the weigh in. Just seems to be a lot of red flags with him. There's even a few videos I've seen of him hitting pads online that wouldn't give a lot of hope.

Morrison J · 26-10-2020 10:20pm

Lot of interesting fights from a betting perspective this weekend.

Munguia is a guy I have earmarked to take a loss very soon. Reminds me of Jarrett Hurd in that he's an extremely limited weight bully who'll get beat when he comes up against the wrong type of guy. Not sure if Tureano Johnson is the guy for the job tbh but if the odds are good enough I might be tempted to take a stab on him.

Selby v Kambosos. Always tough to gauge where Selby is at. Always been inconsistent and thought the move up in weight would help that but wasn't blown away by his performance against Burns. Want to watch more of Kambosos but he's tough and strong and potentially a bad matchup for Selby who generally likes to fight at his own pace. All the money seems to be going on Kambosos but it might be a fight I leave alone tbh.

Tommy McCarthy in an intriguing fight too against an opponent who seems to be taking a very big step up on paper.

Morrison J · 30-10-2020 5:33pm

Gassiev in rounds 1-6 still available at 5/6 in some places. Basically fighting a cruiserweight. Looks like a price that won't last to me.

Morrison J · 31-10-2020 5:17pm

Morrison J wrote: »

Selby v Kambosos. Always tough to gauge where Selby is at. Always been inconsistent and thought the move up in weight would help that but wasn't blown away by his performance against Burns. Want to watch more of Kambosos but he's tough and strong and potentially a bad matchup for Selby who generally likes to fight at his own pace. All the money seems to be going on Kambosos but it might be a fight I leave alone tbh.

Money flying in on Kambosos all week. Hate to go against where the money is going but Selby looks like value to me at this point. Can get 8/5 on Selby points now which is mental given he's likely to be get the benefit of the close rounds given he's the home fighter. Watching how much Kambosos struggled with Mickey Bey I can't see Selby not at least keeping the fight close either.

Selby points @ 8/5
Gassiev KO 1-6 @ 5/6
Usyk KO 7-12 @ 23/10

Look the pick of the betting to me.

Diddley Squat · 31-10-2020 8:05pm

Gervonta going to wilt in the second half - his body type isn't made for the distance fights.

Leo Santa Cruz round 9-12 - 66/1

You heard it here first

images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcREPGBiTEh6LLpJC6zOwNbpk6meatur85rPLw&usqp=CAU

images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcREPGBiTEh6LLpJC6zOwNbpk6meatur85rPLw&usqp=CAU

walshb · 01-11-2020 9:25pm

Diddley Squat wrote: »

Gervonta going to wilt in the second half - his body type isn't made for the distance fights.

Leo Santa Cruz round 9-12 - 66/1

You heard it here first

Good call!

Morrison J · 08-11-2020 12:45am

Over 6.5 rounds in Haney v Gamboa @ 8/11.

6.5 rounds seems a low number to set it at given Gamboa's toughness and Haney isn't that real big a puncher who fights at a slow enough pace. Hopefully Gamboa hasn't become completely over the hill overnight.

Morrison J · 20-11-2020 11:45pm

Under 3.5 rounds in Little-Babic @ 5/6 looks generous to me

Morrison J · 22-11-2020 5:08pm

If you're a Joe Joyce backer next week there's 18/1 available on him to win in rounds 7-12 next week. Definitely a price that won't last given its clearly his main avenue to win bringing Dubois into deep waters late.

I like Dubois to win personally but that 18/1 is a massive price surely and worth a look.

Rjd2 · 24-11-2020 11:48pm

I'd be very careful when it comes to betting in the Jones v Tyson fight, not announcing the winner if it goes to points. :eek:

And no knockouts allowed.:eek:

Morrison J · 27-11-2020 12:33am

54-0 Wanheng Menayothin fights tomorrow morning.

Probably has the fakest, most protected record in boxing. He's also now 35 and hasn't boxed in a year. 35 is ancient for a minimum weight boxer so a loss is surely not far away. Can't say I know much about the opponent but watched a bit tonight and he's definitely not bad.

It's one that could look terrible after but does feel like Panya Pradabsri is worth a small stab @ 9/2.

walshb · 27-11-2020 11:58am

Morrison J wrote: »

54-0 Wanheng Menayothin fights tomorrow morning.

.

In your face, Mayweather.

His foes can't be as bad as Mayweather's last one, that got him to 50-0.....and struggled!

Morrison J · 27-11-2020 2:57pm

walshb wrote: »

In your face, Mayweather.

His foes can't be as bad as Mayweather's last one, that got him to 50-0.....and struggled!

Floyd will sleep well tonight!

https://twitter.com/SkySportsBoxing/status/1332261383774347264?s=19

selectamatic · 27-11-2020 5:22pm

Sickened I missed this.

You're a dab hand at these tips Morrison.

Kaiser84 · 29-11-2020 12:42am

Morrison J wrote: »

If you're a Joe Joyce backer next week there's 18/1 available on him to win in rounds 7-12 next week. Definitely a price that won't last given its clearly his main avenue to win bringing Dubois into deep waters late.

I like Dubois to win personally but that 18/1 is a massive price surely and worth a look.

Good heads up. I got it at 14/1 when I backed it.

Boxing betting thread

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