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Irish Property Market 2020 Part 2

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,016 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    They come for the tax, stay for the laissez faire regulation and the workers being decent is a bonus.

    The pharmaceutical industry termed Ireland "Europe's treasure island" - it certainly wasn't just because the workers dont complain.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,016 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    Cyrus wrote: »
    100% this, we are much more aligned with the americans than the europeans in terms of our work culture, for better or worse.

    Wasn't it Mary Harney who said "Dublin has to decide whether it wants to be like Boston or Berlin"


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    Cyrus wrote: »
    100% this, we are much more aligned with the americans than the europeans in terms of our work culture, for better or worse.

    I'm not sure that's completely true. But, don't worry, I won't get into the debate of what the majority of their employees are involved in in Ireland :)

    Google UK - 4,439 employees
    Google Switzerland - 2,500 employees
    Google France - 1,000 employees
    Google Germany - 1,400 employees

    Number of Google UK Employees: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2020/apr/07/google-uk-staff-earned-average-of-234000-in-2019

    Number of Google Switzerland Employees: https://www.s-ge.com/en/article/news/20183-google-location#:~:text=Google%20requires%20around%20a%20dozen,to%205%2C000%2C%E2%80%9D%20said%20H%C3%B6lzle.

    Number of Google France Employees: https://fortune.com/2017/10/10/google-jobs-france/#:~:text=Google%20France%20plans%20to%20increase,Les%20Echos%20in%20an%20interview.

    Number of Google Germany Employees: https://www.seattletimes.com/business/google-opens-new-office-in-berlin-with-eye-on-expansion/#:~:text=Google%20currently%20has%201%2C400%20employees%20in%20Germany.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 544 ✭✭✭Hawthorn Tree


    JimmyVik wrote: »
    Thats one of the biggest reasons American companies love the Irish.

    Indeed and Irish people are more likely to flog themselves for their US overlords in search of the corporate dream of title, promotion and dollars.
    They often realise too late that the US multinational has burned them up and spit them out.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    I'm not sure that's completely true. But, don't worry, I won't get into the debate of what the majority of their employees are involved in in Ireland :)

    Google UK - 4,439 employees
    Google Switzerland - 2,500 employees
    Google France - 1,000 employees
    Google Germany - 1,400 employees

    Number of Google UK Employees: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2020/apr/07/google-uk-staff-earned-average-of-234000-in-2019

    Number of Google Switzerland Employees: https://www.s-ge.com/en/article/news/20183-google-location#:~:text=Google%20requires%20around%20a%20dozen,to%205%2C000%2C%E2%80%9D%20said%20H%C3%B6lzle.

    Number of Google France Employees: https://fortune.com/2017/10/10/google-jobs-france/#:~:text=Google%20France%20plans%20to%20increase,Les%20Echos%20in%20an%20interview.

    Number of Google Germany Employees: https://www.seattletimes.com/business/google-opens-new-office-in-berlin-with-eye-on-expansion/#:~:text=Google%20currently%20has%201%2C400%20employees%20in%20Germany.

    I don't get the US work culture thing. In my experience working for 2 US MNCs, it was very much an Irish / European working culture. There was no expectation to work long hours. Maybe it is different in some industries but not in my experience of tech and telecoms.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,875 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    Hubertj wrote: »
    I don't get the US work culture thing. In my experience working for 2 US MNCs, it was very much an Irish / European working culture. There was no expectation to work long hours. Maybe it is different in some industries but not in my experience of tech and telecoms.

    in the US MNCs i worked for (very 'woke' :D tech co's) it was expected to work late, especially as our teams were on the west coast in the US, there was flexibility about what time you came in at to be fair.

    that was in finance, different depts are different.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    Interesting article on developers and their backers.

    In Foxrock, Work Continues on Apartments after the Developer and Property Finance Company Close down

    "One Springfield Park is set to be a luxury development of 20 apartments but in April the developer Wardville Ltd, owned by Ben Devey, went into receivership.

    In recent weeks the funder for the project, Cullaun Capital, closed up too.

    Cullaun Capital is now closed to new business, says founder Stephen Bell by email.

    A spokesperson for the Department of Finance said he couldn’t rule out other commercial property lenders going out of business. 'It is not possible to be definitive but in any economic downturn it is likely some firms will face difficulty.' he says.

    The spokesperson says: 'If the impact of a downturn differentially impacts a specific sector or subsector, then any specialist lender operating in, or dependent, on the same sector or subsector is likely to experience difficulties'."

    Link to article here: https://dublininquirer.com/2020/09/23/in-foxrock-work-continues-on-apartments-after-the-developer-and-property-finance-company-close-down


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    I have been wondering recently why the commercial property section of the Irish Times doesn't have an 'advertorial' label above many of these type of "articles". Most of the "articles" or "opinion pieces" don't appear to be independent analysis.

    They are interesting and do give a good insight into the commercial property market, but does anyone know if they are paid for these "articles"?

    The Irish times OWNS Myhome.ie
    So of course they are going to hype the property market


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    Interesting article on developers and their backers.

    In Foxrock, Work Continues on Apartments after the Developer and Property Finance Company Close down

    "One Springfield Park is set to be a luxury development of 20 apartments but in April the developer Wardville Ltd, owned by Ben Devey, went into receivership.

    In recent weeks the funder for the project, Cullaun Capital, closed up too.

    Cullaun Capital is now closed to new business, says founder Stephen Bell by email.

    A spokesperson for the Department of Finance said he couldn’t rule out other commercial property lenders going out of business. 'It is not possible to be definitive but in any economic downturn it is likely some firms will face difficulty.' he says.

    The spokesperson says: 'If the impact of a downturn differentially impacts a specific sector or subsector, then any specialist lender operating in, or dependent, on the same sector or subsector is likely to experience difficulties'."

    Link to article here: https://dublininquirer.com/2020/09/23/in-foxrock-work-continues-on-apartments-after-the-developer-and-property-finance-company-close-down




    I predicted this months back.

    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=113497111&postcount=7605

    Loans have to be serviced so cash flow is vital. Property developers are screwed witbout sales coming in.

    Expect to see it happen on the lower priced property in the next couple of months,


    Next stage is the small property developers will start to go under. You know the type. His shills who work for him say he is sound, he is a good businessman,his property are well built etc

    Not surprised at all developers are starting to get into trouble. Without sales coming in the smaller developers will be screwed. The banks/vultures who they own money to will take them to the courts once they show any sign of inability to pay,


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I'm not sure that's completely true. But, don't worry, I won't get into the debate of what the majority of their employees are involved in in Ireland :)

    Google UK - 4,439 employees
    Google Switzerland - 2,500 employees
    Google France - 1,000 employees
    Google Germany - 1,400 employees..........

    And google Ireland........... The internet and tech giant first opened its EMEA Head Quarters in Dublin in 2003 with 100 employees. Just over 15 years later the EU HQ is now Google’s largest outside of the US, employing over 8,000 people from over 70 countries, speaking more than 75 languages. Google's relationship with Ireland continues to grow as a second €150 million data centre has just been green-lighted for development in Dublin.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    Augeo wrote: »
    And google Ireland........... The internet and tech giant first opened its EMEA Head Quarters in Dublin in 2003 with 100 employees. Just over 15 years later the EU HQ is now Google’s largest outside of the US, employing over 8,000 people from over 70 countries, speaking more than 75 languages. Google's relationship with Ireland continues to grow as a second €150 million data centre has just been green-lighted for development in Dublin.

    All true and it's being great for Ireland. But, as you say, they employ people from over 70 countries and they speak more than 75 languages. So, they're not here for our English. Maybe initially, but as mature companies, wouldn't they now be getting more interested in salary costs etc. If many of their employees are from other countries in the EU, it would make sense to re-locate there if the upcoming OECD tax reforms do remove our one competitive advantage.


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Not surprised at all developers are starting to get into trouble. Without sales coming in the smaller developers will be screwed. The banks/vultures who they own money to will take them to the courts once they show any sign of inability to pay,

    So the likes of "April the developer Wardville Ltd, owned by Ben Devey, went into receivership" will be taken to court by the bank they owe money to ............. there's a process for receivership and the old adage blood and stone comes to mind.


  • Administrators Posts: 53,507 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    All true and it's being great for Ireland. But, as you say, they employ people from over 70 countries and they speak more than 75 languages. So, they're not here for our English. Maybe initially, but as mature companies, wouldn't they now be getting more interested in salary costs etc. If many of their employees are from other countries in the EU, it would make sense to re-locate there if the upcoming OECD tax reforms do remove our one competitive advantage.

    No it wouldn't. In the rush to portray a picture of abject doom there is significant ignorance being displayed on this subject in this thread.

    There are many reasons why the MNCs are here, tax is just one.


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    All true and it's being great for Ireland. But, as you say, they employ people from over 70 countries and they speak more than 75 languages. So, they're not here for our English. Maybe initially, but as mature companies, wouldn't they now be getting more interested in salary costs etc. If many of their employees are from other countries in the EU, it would make sense to re-locate there if the upcoming OECD tax reforms do remove our one competitive advantage.

    US companies that require a European HQ would have a huge preference for the European HQ to be in an English speaking country ....... the lads running the show in the US don't speak 75 languages, they don't need to.

    Salaries/headcount in Ireland are quite competitive overall as there's the contractor/agency option. The tax reforms may or may not happen and they may or may not have an appreciable impact.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    awec wrote: »
    No it wouldn't. In the rush to portray a picture of abject doom there is significant ignorance being displayed on this subject in this thread.

    There are many reasons why the MNCs are here, tax is just one.

    The stable and pro-business political situation is another important factor. Many countries have moved to right-wing populism but (despite some loony twitter cranks suggesting otherwise) Ireland has rejected right wing populists, moreso moving slightly to the left politically. Socially of course we are quite liberal on a number of topics which suits the BS ("do no wrong" etc.) philosophies of the Big Tech MNCs.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    awec wrote: »
    No it wouldn't. In the rush to portray a picture of abject doom there is significant ignorance being displayed on this subject in this thread.

    There are many reasons why the MNCs are here, tax is just one.

    Tax is the only reason. Otherwise, they would have based themselves in the UK from day one.

    I'm not portraying abject doom. I would rather we be prepared for all eventualities. Although it doesn't impact me directly if they ever did leave, it will come back to haunt me through increased taxation, even worse healthcare, less policing etc. etc.

    We have had a few years to prepare for both the OECD tax reforms and Brexit and it doesn't appear that the powers that be have been taking it seriously enough. They were informed back in 2015/2016 to treat most of the corporation tax receipts as a windfall, but they acted like they were guaranteed forever and a day and just threw them down the regular blackholes.

    In relation to Brexit, they seem to just believe if it goes badly wrong, it's all the UK's fault. Their fault or not, we suffer and they should have been better prepared at this stage. In my opinion.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    Augeo wrote: »
    So the likes of "April the developer Wardville Ltd, owned by Ben Devey, went into receivership" will be taken to court by the bank they owe money to ............. there's a process for receivership and the old adage blood and stone comes to mind.

    What causes a company to go into receivership?

    Usually its when they are taken to court over a debt that they can't pay.

    So it probably already happened.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,016 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    There's many reasons but lets not kid ourselves without the tax they wouldn't be here.


  • Administrators Posts: 53,507 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Tax is the only reason. Otherwise, they would have based themselves in the UK from day one.

    I'm not portraying abject doom. I would rather we be prepared for all eventualities. Although it doesn't impact me directly if they ever did leave, it will come back to haunt me through increased taxation, even worse healthcare, less policing etc. etc.

    We have had a few years to prepare for both the OECD tax reforms and Brexit and it doesn't appear that the powers that be have been taking it seriously enough. They were informed back in 2015/2016 to treat most of the corporation tax receipts as a windfall, but they acted like they were guaranteed forever and a day and just threw them down the regular blackholes.

    In relation to Brexit, they seem to just believe if it goes badly wrong, it's all the UK's fault. Their fault or not, we suffer and they should have been better prepared at this stage. In my opinion.

    Tax is the reason they are here compared to the UK.

    Tax is not the only reason they are here compared to mainland Europe.

    You are portraying abject doom. We have had this waffle for years now. Some of them have been here like 30 years. At some point people will stop beating this drum.

    People are absolutely losing the run of themselves in hysteria here. We are only a few weeks out from Amazon announcing 1000 new jobs and a brand new building. Google building yet another datacentre.

    How much longer is it going to take people to realise that Ireland is actually a great place to do business, one of the best in the world, and while our corp tax arrangements are a part of that, they are not the only part of it.

    I am not sure in what manner you believe Ireland's preparation for Brexit has been insufficient. This is a very vague and vacuous statement to make.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    Tax is the only reason. Otherwise, they would have based themselves in the UK from day one.

    I'm not portraying abject doom. I would rather we be prepared for all eventualities. Although it doesn't impact me directly if they ever did leave, it will come back to haunt me through increased taxation, even worse healthcare, less policing etc. etc.

    We have had a few years to prepare for both the OECD tax reforms and Brexit and it doesn't appear that the powers that be have been taking it seriously enough. They were informed back in 2015/2016 to treat most of the corporation tax receipts as a windfall, but they acted like they were guaranteed forever and a day and just threw them down the regular blackholes.

    In relation to Brexit, they seem to just believe if it goes badly wrong, it's all the UK's fault. Their fault or not, we suffer and they should have been better prepared at this stage. In my opinion.

    It’s clear to me you make certain statements to illicit a reaction from people. Again, this isn’t the forum for it but it’s stupid to say they only reason MNCs are based in Ireland is for tax reasons.


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  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Not surprised at all developers are starting to get into trouble. Without sales coming in the smaller developers will be screwed. The banks/vultures who they own money to will take them to the courts once they show any sign of inability to pay,
    What causes a company to go into receivership?

    Usually its when they are taken to court over a debt that they can't pay.

    So it probably already happened.


    Yes but some of the lenders are as fncked as the developers "A spokesperson for the Department of Finance said he couldn’t rule out other commercial property lenders going out of business."


  • Registered Users Posts: 737 ✭✭✭Cantstandsya


    The stable and pro-business political situation is another important factor. Many countries have moved to right-wing populism but (despite some loony twitter cranks suggesting otherwise) Ireland has rejected right wing populists, moreso moving slightly to the left politically. Socially of course we are quite liberal on a number of topics which suits the BS ("do no wrong" etc.) philosophies of the Big Tech MNCs.


    Ireland has quite clearly moved substantially left.

    To date, that has manifested as fairly benign pc social movements and trivia that the big MNCs are only too happy to pretend to be on board with. However, we're not far off voting in left wing populists, which could seriously dent the perception of Ireland being business friendly.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,016 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    Ireland has quite clearly moved substantially left.

    To date, that has manifested as fairly benign pc social movements and trivia that the big MNCs are only too happy to pretend to be on board with. However, we're not far off voting in left wing populists, which could seriously dent the perception of Ireland being business friendly.

    This is something i dont get, if the civil war parties sorted the housing crisis Sinn Fein would be at 10% and no major concern, can they not see this?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    This is something i dont get, if the civil war parties sorted the housing crisis Sinn Fein would be at 10% and no major concern, can they not see this?

    More interested in golf outings and special advisor roles for friends and families
    Its a bit like on here
    No nothing to see here ,it will never happen ,its been this way for over a 100 years ,SF are only a hiccup.
    With Covid and its fallout ,Brexit and the housing crisis if FFG do not get their finger out on housing they in for a rude awakening in the next election


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    awec wrote: »
    Tax is the reason they are here compared to the UK.

    Tax is not the only reason they are here compared to mainland Europe.

    You are portraying abject doom. We have had this waffle for years now. Some of them have been here like 30 years. At some point people will stop beating this drum.

    People are absolutely losing the run of themselves in hysteria here. We are only a few weeks out from Amazon announcing 1000 new jobs and a brand new building. Google building yet another datacentre.

    How much longer is it going to take people to realise that Ireland is actually a great place to do business, one of the best in the world, and while our corp tax arrangements are a part of that, they are not the only part of it.

    I am not sure in what manner you believe Ireland's preparation for Brexit has been insufficient. This is a very vague and vacuous statement to make.

    I do respect your green jersey arguments. However, at the start of the last recession, we had the same green jersey brigade with we're all in this together nonsense too.

    What happened next. They told most of the construction workers who lost their jobs they weren't entitled to social welfare and to either starve or emigrate, they raided the private sector pensions etc. etc. But, I guess they did put €1.6 billion into the AIB pension fund at the time to ensure they were sorted.

    Green jersey is fantastic and I applaud it but when push comes to shove, we have a long and proven track record of pushing the private sector workers under the bus while they walk away with whatever's left.

    In relation to our preparations for Brexit, we should have acted like the reasonable middleman and tried to bring both sides to the middle ground. The french were already doing a very good job playing hardball so we didn't need to aggravate the UK by taking the EU side on every issue.


  • Administrators Posts: 53,507 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    This is something i dont get, if the civil war parties sorted the housing crisis Sinn Fein would be at 10% and no major concern, can they not see this?
    Maybe, just maybe, the problem is not as simple to solve as Sinn Fein like to portray?


  • Registered Users Posts: 737 ✭✭✭Cantstandsya


    This is something i dont get, if the civil war parties sorted the housing crisis Sinn Fein would be at 10% and no major concern, can they not see this?

    My half-baked guess is that the FF/FG are so riddled by cronyism and reliant on economic trickery that they are incapable of addressing the housing issue without imploding.

    Whether it's funnelling tax payers' money to support their mates or pumping up property prices to trick their voters into thinking they have made them wealthier, it's the only way they know how to operate.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    awec wrote: »
    Maybe, just maybe, the problem is not as simple to solve as Sinn Fein like to portray?

    AS I said in another thread
    Promises that MAY come to pass are more acceptable than promises that have NEVER come to pass
    This will be the thinking of the under 40s who are locked out of the property market due to high prices and extortionate rents
    If SF say we are going to tax REITS who charge 3k a month for a 2 bed apartment and leave lots of them empty and use that money and more to build affordable houses ,will the young people object
    If SF say
    WE already owe 200billion ,lets borrow another 50 billion and build 250,000 houses at 200k each on state and CPO land and sell them at cost do you think the young people will not object
    New houses cannot be built for 200k ,I hear you say

    https://www.myhome.ie/residential/ireland/new-homes/property-for-sale?maxprice=250000

    Not saying its practical or feasible but if you are 30 in a decent job and cannot afford a house what way will you vote
    Boomerang kids and their parents will jump at it


  • Registered Users Posts: 737 ✭✭✭Cantstandsya


    awec wrote: »
    Maybe, just maybe, the problem is not as simple to solve as Sinn Fein like to portray?

    Difficult to solve when your economic religion forbids taking action.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭PropQueries


    brisan wrote: »
    AS I said in another thread
    Promises that MAY come to pass are more acceptable than promises that have NEVER come to pass
    This will be the thinking of the under 40s who are locked out of the property market due to high prices and extortionate rents
    If SF say we are going to tax REITS who charge 3k a month for a 2 bed apartment and leave lots of them empty and use that money and more to build affordable houses ,will the young people object
    If SF say
    WE already owe 200billion ,lets borrow another 50 billion and build 250,000 houses at 200k each on state and CPO land and sell them at cost do you think the young people will not object
    New houses cannot be built for 200k ,I hear you say

    https://www.myhome.ie/residential/ireland/new-homes/property-for-sale?maxprice=250000

    Not saying its practical or feasible but if you are 30 in a decent job and cannot afford a house what way will you vote
    Boomerang kids and their parents will jump at it

    That's all true. The budget will be very interesting and we will finally see what the plans are for the next few years of this coalition. If they don't have any original and workable plans to solve the housing crisis, I can't see the younger generation staying silent.

    I guess the main problem is that once someone buys a home, they will vote in any party that won't solve the housing issue as they want to see their homes increasing in value. It would take a serious event to bring both the home owners and non-home owners together.

    But then again, SF did get a serious chunk of the vote last time and I doubt it was just the non-home owners voting for them.


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