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Covid 19 Part XXIII-33,444 in ROI(1,792 deaths) 9,541 in NI(577 deaths)(22/09)Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,010 ✭✭✭GooglePlus


    Gradius wrote: »
    There are many secrets the government doesn't want you to know.

    For instance, you are immune to the virus if you breathe backwards.

    I heard that anyone who has died from Covid had a pre-existing condition called lungs. Open your eyes sheeple.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,224 ✭✭✭Gradius


    Hows does that work?

    In through the mouth out through the nose?

    Easy. Take a deep breath and let it out. Well it's just like that but in reverse.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    Hows does that work?

    In through the mouth out through the nose?

    In through the arse out through the ears


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,224 ✭✭✭Gradius



    Seriously, people need to watch that film called "Contagion".

    Theres a character played by Jude law that is a social media personality, and he's a charlatan spreading disinformation and doubt in order to become wealthy, making things much worse for everyone else in the process.

    It's actually quite bizarre seeing fiction come to life.


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  • Site Banned Posts: 2,225 ✭✭✭TonyMaloney



    https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1308475255841841156?s=20

    beneath the tweet there's an icon that looks like an arrow pointing out of a box. click that and then "Copy link to tweet". Then just paste.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,917 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Gradius wrote: »
    Seriously, people need to watch that film called "Contagion".

    Theres a character played by Jude law that is a social media personality, and he's a charlatan spreading disinformation and doubt in order to become wealthy, making things much worse for everyone else in the process.

    It's actually quite bizarre seeing fiction come to life.
    Watched it back in March. Insane how alike to now it is.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 72 ✭✭Spleodar


    I think you're after making a b*lls of that calculation.
    34 * 2.482 = 84..

    My phone rang mid calculation so you'll just have to excuse it - edited.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,224 ✭✭✭Gradius


    Watched it back in March. Insane how alike to now it is.

    It's fairly accurate for a good reason, the cast and crew met with disease experts for consultation here in Europe.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 466 ✭✭DangerScouse


    Cases now headed to a very bad place in the UK. Going to be a very bleak few months there as things fall apart. I think we are roughly 15-20 days behind them in Dublin with the rest of the country another 10 days back. We still have a window to act but it is closing, fast.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,132 ✭✭✭manofwisdom


    Can someone tell me what number of cases per 100,00 population does it take for a county to go into Level 3 or down to Level 1?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,277 ✭✭✭✭normanoffside


    Can someone tell me what number of cases per 100,00 population does it take for a county to go into Level 3 or down to Level 1?

    It's a secret


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,957 ✭✭✭✭Jim_Hodge


    Can someone tell me what number of cases per 100,00 population does it take for a county to go into Level 3 or down to Level 1?

    It's based on more factors than a simple case count per 100k


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 72 ✭✭Spleodar


    I think you're after making a b*lls of that calculation.
    34 * 2.482 = 84..

    It's something I'm actually getting a bit concerned about. I'm making an absolute bollox of minor calculations and really simple errors way too frequently.
    I couldn't remember my phone number yesterday at all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,068 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Cases now headed to a very bad place in the UK. Going to be a very bleak few months there as things fall apart. I think we are roughly 15-20 days behind them in Dublin with the rest of the country another 10 days back. We still have a window to act but it is closing, fast.

    You have a lovely way of building the tension, I hope you are a novelist or similar for a living.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,917 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Cases now headed to a very bad place in the UK. Going to be a very bleak few months there as things fall apart. I think we are roughly 15-20 days behind them in Dublin with the rest of the country another 10 days back. We still have a window to act but it is closing, fast.
    Can you provide the modelling for your conclusions?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,382 ✭✭✭petes


    Can you provide the modelling for your conclusions?

    It's such a complex algorithm they couldn't possibly divulge!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,145 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    Cases now headed to a very bad place in the UK. Going to be a very bleak few months there as things fall apart. I think we are roughly 15-20 days behind them in Dublin with the rest of the country another 10 days back. We still have a window to act but it is closing, fast.

    Oh **** me, its like the 2 weeks behind Italy stuff from February. Have you anything remotely positive to say.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Renjit


    Cases now headed to a very bad place in the UK. Going to be a very bleak few months there as things fall apart. I think we are roughly 15-20 days behind them in Dublin with the rest of the country another 10 days back. We still have a window to act but it is closing, fast.

    Let the kids and adults have some fun. Show must go on :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 72 ✭✭Spleodar


    Can someone tell me what number of cases per 100,00 population does it take for a county to go into Level 3 or down to Level 1?

    They’re factoring in the R0 number, which gives you a sense of how fast it’s likely to spread, things like ICU capacity, hospital capacity etc etc etc

    There isn’t a simple calculation. It’s more of a risk assessment.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,224 ✭✭✭Gradius


    You have a lovely way of building the tension, I hope you are a novelist or similar for a living.

    He's right about the window of opportunity.

    If this thing is still on rinse/repeat with lockdowns come January, I think it's fair to say public confidence in guidelines will be severely eroded.

    Then you will have no path to victory, as now, AND an uncooperative population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,188 ✭✭✭GeorgeBailey


    Can someone tell me what number of cases per 100,00 population does it take for a county to go into Level 3 or down to Level 1?

    Level 1 is incredibly unlikely before winter is over. Most optimistic bet would be that if a vaccine starts being rolled out and is seen as being effective that they'd move us to level 1 then and then after some time passes give the all clear and be done with levels altogether.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 6,068 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Gradius wrote: »
    He's right about the window of opportunity.

    If this thing is still on rinse/repeat with lockdowns come January, I think it's fair to say public confidence in guidelines will be severely eroded.

    Then you will have no path to victory, as now, AND an uncooperative population.

    There won't be a lockdown, UK just announced a lockdown, the pubs have to close at 10 pm, there may be measures, shut the pubs, as for worrying about the people becoming uncooperative, that ship has sailed.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Fairly serious in the UK with the penalties and restrictions there and them being told it’ll likely last 6 months. Hopefully our 3 week one will sort it out. Also interesting to see him say that cocooning is a load of crap as it’ll get to old people anyway and overrun the system of measures not in place.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Happydays2020


    Fairly serious in the UK with the penalties and restrictions there and them being told it’ll likely last 6 months. Hopefully our 3 week one will sort it out. Also interesting to see him say that cocooning is a load of crap as it’ll get to old people anyway and overrun the system of measures not in place.


    As much domestic politics as anything else....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,767 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    Gradius wrote:
    It's actually quite bizarre seeing fiction come to life.

    Watched it back in March. Insane how alike to now it is.


    I watched it earlier in the year as well, while a lot of stuff had a lot of similarities. The main big difference was that the fatality rate of the disease in that film was something like 30% and not 0.05% or what ever the true rate is now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,917 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Very interesting thread. Some believe that since June, our testing methods have changed, and a higher amount of false positive tests are being returned.
    https://twitter.com/kilkelly/status/1307052803957960704?s=20


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,950 ✭✭✭polesheep


    Looks like it's back in the nursing homes. Issue this time is staff moving between facilities. No doubt they'll blame the people in Oliver Bond and call for a lockdown.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    polesheep wrote: »
    Looks like it's back in the nursing homes. Issue this time is staff moving between facilities. No doubt they'll blame the people in Oliver Bond and call for a lockdown.

    But that's literally how it gets into nursing homes.


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  • Posts: 21,290 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Level 1 is incredibly unlikely before winter is over. Most optimistic bet would be that if a vaccine starts being rolled out and is seen as being effective that they'd move us to level 1 then and then after some time passes give the all clear and be done with levels altogether.

    When we get nearing that stage I reckon there will be some political "fun" going on. When a critical number (practically all vulnerable vaccinated and remainder vaccine program just commenced) we will be at that level, and then there'll be some hiccup or blunder about availability of further vaccines, with what would then be seen as an unnecessary continuation with any restrictions.


This discussion has been closed.
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