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Covid 19 Part XXII-30,360 in ROI(1,781 deaths) 8,035 in NI (568 deaths)(10/09)Read OP

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Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    Dr. Bre wrote: »
    Stay outside will be the new slogan

    Not from October


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,546 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    This country needs a curfew after what I seen in Cork this weekend, morans everywhere, no distancing, none of these will take it seriously to get the jab, close down the shutters on these morans and fine them 1500 euro if they are out on the street after nine o'clock

    Why only 1500?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    seanb85 wrote: »
    Hospital numbers are only tiny until they are not. Madrid hospitals are presently 13% occupied by Covid patients.

    The Irish hospital system regularly operates over capacity. A figure similar to the current number in Madrid and our health system would be in crisis.

    Completely unrelated to the discussion I was having but thanks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,822 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    niallo27 wrote: »
    I think its important to know are these hospitalizations a 1 night stay or are they close to ICU level.

    Good to know perhaps more-so than important...

    If you ‘have’ covid or not you are a potential spreader... of a life ending virus, a virus that will make you seriously ill, a virus that may make you mildly ill, or an asymptomatic virus you never knew you had... beyond fûcked up. If 2 years ago a filmmaker came up with this script they’d be laughed out of Hollywood.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    This country needs a curfew after what I seen in Cork this weekend, morans everywhere, no distancing, none of these will take it seriously to get the jab, close down the shutters on these morans and fine them 1500 euro if they are out on the street after nine o'clock

    Was it at the airport? You said on another thread the Moran's are planning to fly ,maybe it was a leaving party.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    This country needs a curfew after what I seen in Cork this weekend, morans everywhere, no distancing, none of these will take it seriously to get the jab, close down the shutters on these morans and fine them 1500 euro if they are out on the street after nine o'clock

    The Moran clan have really been getting a write up on boards this evening, second post complaining about them in a different context.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    50 cases in hospital is tiny..... at what point does tiny become small and small becomes big? When we're talking single digits or low teens, yes a single extra admission seems large, we're now into 50 in hospital, not a tiny number.

    ICU, I'll admit is extremely steady.

    50 is tiny. We are in a pandemic that has gripped the planet and we have just 50 people currently in hospital. It will go up. In 3 months time you could be looking back at 50 as the good times.

    Don't forget we had over 900 in April.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,049 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    And those asymptomatic cases spread to some of their families and contacts.
    Cases were wider than first degree contact .
    Of course asymptomatic spread this discussion has been on a loop here for weeks with some posters despite what has been going on in the factories and clusters around the country.
    It is purely an anti mask agenda .

    That's scenario the study posted earlier examined.

    Conclusion: In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak.

    It's an anti loads of things agenda...:p


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,249 ✭✭✭joeguevara


    The Moran clan have really been getting a write up on boards this evening, second post complaining about them in a different context.

    It’s that roundabout getting into the Red Cow Moran Hotel. Drives people nuts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,420 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    50 is tiny. We are in a pandemic that has gripped the planet and we have just 50 people currently in hospital. It will go up. In 3 months time you could be looking back at 50 as the good times.

    Don't forget we had over 900 in April.

    I know, but remember we had 900 at peak and then it started to drop, we now have 50 and it's increasing, while we have people waiting on trolleys, outpatient appointments going on and a flu season to contend with.
    We can't afford to stop the health service like we did before.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,975 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    seanb85 wrote: »
    That presumes case numbers have been flat and will stay that way. Case numbers are trending upwards for 10 weeks now.

    I would be going on the slowly rising numbers in hospital .
    Contrary to some opinion here on the thread , ( which is ill informed , imo , and just minimising ) the cases in hospital ARE sick with Covid , except for one or two unlucky cases .


    Those not hospitalised are not as sick in general now as in March April as younger and thus have a milder illness ( let's not get into the possibility of complications) .

    Only a matter of time if this upward trend continues before more over 45 s get infected and they are more st risk of serious illness requiring hospitalisation.

    I don't disagree with you but don't know where you got that figure from , and really hope you are just guessing ! :0


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    I know, but remember we had 900 at peak and then it started to drop, we now have 50 and it's increasing, while we have people waiting on trolleys, outpatient appointments going on and a flu season to contend with.
    We can't afford to stop the health service like we did before.

    We are both making the same point here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,957 ✭✭✭political analyst


    Why did hospital staff put the late Sally Maaz in a Covid ward?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,822 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    I know, but remember we had 900 at peak and then it started to drop, we now have 50 and it's increasing, while we have people waiting on trolleys, outpatient appointments going on and a flu season to contend with.
    We can't afford to stop the health service like we did before.

    I’m waiting on a EMG study since late February or early March... ok, I’m not dying it’s an appraisal of a recovery rate but some chance with covid trends running upwards again and idiots being inconsiderate idiots.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    Wolf359f wrote: »
    The outbreak involves Beaumont hospital, of the 15 cases there, 3 patients and 2 staff members were positive. So at most so far, 5 of the 15 cases are related to the outbreak.
    Could be three out of 15 as staff members may not be admitted to the hospital.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 215 ✭✭Ce he sin


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    I would be going on the slowly rising numbers in hospital .
    Contrary to some opinion here on the thread , ( which is ill informed , imo , and just minimising ) the cases in hospital ARE sick with Covid , except for one or two unlucky cases .


    Those not hospitalised are not as sick in general now as in March April as younger and thus have a milder illness ( let's not get into the possibility of complications) .

    Only a matter of time if this upward trend continues before more over 45 s get infected and they are more st risk of serious illness requiring hospitalisation.

    I don't disagree with you but don't know where you got that figure from , and really hope you are just guessing ! :0
    Interesting, and not in a good way, to see how numbers in ICU in Italy, to take an example of a country where new cases are rising but not exploding, are doing:


    14/8/20 56

    20/8/20 68

    31/8/20 94
    3/9/20 120
    6/9/20 133


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,727 ✭✭✭DebDynamite


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    I would be going on the slowly rising numbers in hospital .
    Contrary to some opinion here on the thread , ( which is ill informed , imo , and just minimising ) the cases in hospital ARE sick with Covid , except for one or two unlucky cases .


    Those not hospitalised are not as sick in general now as in March April as younger and thus have a milder illness ( let's not get into the possibility of complications) .

    Only a matter of time if this upward trend continues before more over 45 s get infected and they are more st risk of serious illness requiring hospitalisation.

    I don't disagree with you but don't know where you got that figure from , and really hope you are just guessing ! :0

    Goldengirl, if a patient shows up to hospital for a scheduled procedure and tests positive on the routine test and then sent home as the procedure can’t go ahead, are they included on the hospital numbers even though they never even took up a bed in hospital?

    Also, if someone showed up to A&E because of a heart attack or drug overdose and again tested positive, and obviously were kept in because of the reason they attended A&E in the first place, are they also counted as cases?

    I don’t know the answer to this, so would be good to know from someone who works in a hospital. I don’t know what constitutes a hospital case.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Per HSE reports, in the last 7 days there were 13 confirmed cases (not admissions, confirmed hospital test results) in Beaumont alone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,420 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    majcos wrote: »
    Could be three out of 15 as staff members may not be admitted to the hospital.

    Of course, but I didn't want to assume that. I would assume the patients would have been kept in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,193 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    niallo27 wrote: »
    It was supposed to be 2 weeks, then 4 weeks, how long before we see icu numbers rise. They will rise of course but not on the scale we saw last march. It is a bit odd the icu numbers are stagnant after few thousands cases in the last few weeks.

    I think it's impossible to say when exactly you'll start to see an uptick in those numbers. But you eventually will if hospital admissions continue to increase.

    That in and of itself isn't an absolute disaster. It may be sustainable and manageable, but I wouldn't become too complacent about it either. It's a bit premature to be painting a picture of utter impending disaster, but I equally think it's foolhardy to take things for granted that simply may not have happened yet, especially, in my view, if the warning signs are already there.

    I don't think things will get as bad as March and April and they wouldn't want to. We had nearly 900 people in hospital with this at the peak. Action will be taken, if necessary, before things are allowed get that bad again. But while the situation is a lot better than that now, we shouldn't use that - the absolute depths of the worst of it - as our reference point of concern and wilfully ignore current trends because the overall picture isn't as bad as that.

    Hopefully hospital numbers won't continue on a trajectory of doubling every couple of weeks - it may not happen, I'm not without some hope - but if it does then the narrative is going to change again further down the road.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,546 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Ce he sin wrote: »
    Interesting, and not in a good way, to see how numbers in ICU in Italy, to take an example of a country where new cases are rising but not exploding, are doing:


    14/8/20 56

    20/8/20 68

    31/8/20 94
    3/9/20 120
    6/9/20 133

    They have more cases some days than we had for the last fortnight


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,420 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Per HSE reports, in the last 7 days there were 13 confirmed cases (not admissions, confirmed hospital test results) in Beaumont alone.

    7 days ago Beaumont had 5 Covid patients, they now have 16. Looks like some of those confirmed cases could have been admitted. I doubt it's all broken legs or sprains turning up in A&E.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    Do we know though, are the number of people in beds overnight SOLELY with Covid growing? How many of those hospital cases were hospitalised for other reasons (brought into A&E, etc), routinely tested for Covid and proved positive, but had to remain in a hospital bed for the primary reason they were admitted in the first place.

    Also how many of those cases showing up in the numbers are people who showed up at the hospital for a scheduled procedure, again tested positive, but were sent home because the procedure couldn’t take place.

    Are all hospital cases actually taking up a hospital bed, or could they also be people who have only tested positive after having a test done in the hospital, but then straight home again?
    People were being hospitalized in June and July for other reasons too and yet there were only about 10 confirmed cases at that stage so people being hospitalized for other reasons doesn’t explain the increase in numbers now.

    If tested positive during screening for an elective procedure, procedure would be cancelled and patient would not be admitted unless very symptomatic from Covid.

    If sent home straight after testing positive, it would be unlikely that patient would appear in both evening and morning figures. Turnaround time between counts is 8 hours so if a case is seen, diagnosed and sent home within that window, they may not be counted at all. A small fraction would cross the three times a daily count timeframes without being admitted but if compare same time each day and see an increase in numbers that is an increase in admitted patients likely to stay for a few days.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    Why did hospital staff put the late Sally Maaz in a Covid ward?
    I do not know the specific details but I have read in newspaper reports that she presented to hospital with respiratory symptoms so obviously was a suspected case.

    She tested negative initially on admission but at the time of her admission in April, the validity of testing was even more in question then than it is now. Early testing had a higher proportion of false negative results so if staff looking after her were still suspicious that she had Covid based on her symptoms and pointers in other blood tests, then that might explain why she was placed on a Covid ward.

    Being placed on a Covid ward does not necessarily mean she was placed in the same room as another patient who had Covid but I don’t know that for a fact.

    She was tested two more times so I would presume that meant there was still a suspicion that she had Covid all along.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,975 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Do we know though, are the number of people in beds overnight SOLELY with Covid growing? How many of those hospital cases were hospitalised for other reasons (brought into A&E, etc), routinely tested for Covid and proved positive, but had to remain in a hospital bed for the primary reason they were admitted in the first place.

    Also how many of those cases showing up in the numbers are people who showed up at the hospital for a scheduled procedure, again tested positive, but were sent home because the procedure couldn’t take place.

    Are all hospital cases actually taking up a hospital bed, or could they also be people who have only tested positive after having a test done in the hospital, but then straight home again?

    Patients are not admitted without a negative test for Covid .
    However some patients can be admitted through A&E with trauma for example and might test positive , but they are not the driving numbers of Covid patients .
    I can't give you exact figures because I can only go by my experience but I am pretty sure it is the policy throughout the country.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,975 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Drumpot wrote: »
    I’ve been taking VIT D since February because of Dr John. It’s cheap and harmless once taken in reasonable doses and easily available. Really does make you wonder why it’s taken this long for any sort Of research being done on it.

    SAGE and Age Action have been publicising this for months .
    I quoted some Irish research here on this thread a few months aback about Vit D and its use for supporting immunity.
    I will repost tomorrow when I find it .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,420 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    Patients are not admitted without a negative test for Covid .
    However some patients can be admitted through A&E with trauma for example and might test positive , but they are not the driving numbers of Covid patients .
    I can't give you exact figures be ause I can only go by my experience but I am pretty sure it is the policy throughout the country.

    I'd love to see the figures. There's people dismissing increasing hospital admissions as just people turning up to A&E and being tested positive, admitted, treated and discharged. We've had approximately 100 admissions in the past month, we've also had roughly a 1% positively rate with tests. It would lead me to believe, of those 100 admissions, only 1 would have been positive. Assuming it's just asymptomatic people going in for treatment/outpatient procedures.
    The other 99?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,975 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    This has been common knowledge more or less since the start of this. In a roundabout way.
    Very early on it was said that all ICU patients and covid deaths - without exception - had one thing in common. A strong vitamin D deficit.

    Call me what you want, I know some will, but it was then that I began to realise this is all blown out of proportion. A super duper deadly virus that we turn the whole world upside down over. Only its grand when you take some vitamin d (cod liver oil).

    Silly comment .
    It's not " grand " at all but Vit D helps in immune response .
    Maybe more of the elderly that some guys think were near to end of life might have survived if they had been on a good dose of Vit D .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,975 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    That's scenario the study posted earlier examined.

    Conclusion: In summary, all the 455 contacts were excluded from SARS-CoV-2 infection and we conclude that the infectivity of some asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 carriers might be weak.

    It's an anti loads of things agenda...:p

    One patient ..?
    Anti significant!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 596 ✭✭✭majcos


    Goldengirl wrote: »
    Patients are not admitted without a negative test for Covid .
    However some patients can be admitted through A&E with trauma for example and might test positive , but they are not the driving numbers of Covid patients .
    I can't give you exact figures be ause I can only go by my experience but I am pretty sure it is the policy throughout the country.
    Not every patient admitted to a hospital is tested for Covid.


This discussion has been closed.
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