Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Relaxation of Restrictions, Part V - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

18182848687329

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,497 ✭✭✭lee_baby_simms


    odyssey06 wrote: »
    No agenda as such.
    I'm using it as it was referenced in relation to the original pre-lockdown models for possible deaths.
    If you have a better number to base it on, I'm all ears, but as you say the real figure is something we will never know (thankfully).

    We don't have a number, we never will, but we have to at some point stand back and assess the current risk relative to the measures.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,584 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    We don't have a number, we never will, but we have to at some point stand back and assess the current risk relative to the measures.

    Fair enough, just in that balancing we should also bear in mind the capacity of our health service versus other countries, and the capabilities\resources of our state versus other countries in enforcing\monitoring restrictions short of a lockdown.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,497 ✭✭✭lee_baby_simms


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    First, want to thank you for your reply and the time you put into it. Genuinely appreciated....

    Excellent, excellent post. For a host of reasons.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,682 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    odyssey06 wrote: »
    30,000 deaths were what would have happened had we just treated this as a flu for which we had no vaccine and continued on as normal.
    And by we, I mean not just government restrictions, but the behaviour of companies, individuals etc.

    I would dispute that. The 30,000 figure was based on flawed modelling. The actions taken by the government at the start of this were based on these flawed numbers. I don't think that they had any choice though as these were the numbers that they thought they would be dealing with.

    As an aside, restrictions have been tightened in the north this evening. The tightened restrictions, pretty much, bring them into line with us.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES, And So I Watch You From Afar

    Gigs '25 - Spiritualized, Supergrass, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Queens of the Stone Age, Electric Picnic, Vantastival, And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,996 ✭✭✭Captain_Crash


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    .
    Post of the thread right there!


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,344 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    First, want to thank you for your reply and the time you put into it. Genuinely appreciated

    I would broadly agree with most of the points you make, but to answer your specific question - yes, the initial responses in March were entirely appropriate and correct given the circumstances and what we knew at that point.

    We needed to urgently get people's attention as to the seriousness of the situation and the risk (as we understood it at that point), and buy time for the HSE to ramp up to respond.

    The problems started when that latter activity took FAR longer than it should have (and as you say, still isn't where it needs to be today) and the relaxation of the measures was dragged out because of that and the serious mistakes made in the nursing homes (I do think there will be a Tribunal into all this when it's finally over).

    As a result the response didn't keep pace with the new information that emerged, the observed impact in Ireland, and the consequences to the rest of our social, (other) medical and economic well-being. This was compounded by the previous Government's decision to effectively turn all the key decisions over to NPHET. A body who are looking at solely from one very-conservative medicak perspective (as is their remit).

    So yes, the measures did help to save lives - but the question and point of contention remains as to whether they were necessary at the level they were imposed at after those first few weeks, and whether they continue to be appropriate and proportional now.

    Given what we know now about the impact of the virus, who is worst affected, and the outcome of cases, I and others here are arguing that NO - they are in fact disproportionate to the level of risk posed to the vast majority of those who are impacted by them and this is borne out by the numbers dead and outcomes of cases (and it's worth highlighting here again that yes, I have the greatest sympathy for those who've died, but deaths were unfortunately inevitable and in the context of a pandemic that suggested tens of thousands dead at the start, we're actually in a relatively good place).

    The outcome is that we are not only causing further social division, mental health concerns, and economic damage - we are in fact hampering our ability to target our not-infinite resources towards those who actually need help and support the most.

    The division within Government isn't helping this and the latest round of restrictions should in fact be entirely reversed until such time as a consensus and logic is established to them. Again, we're actually doing more harm than good - and it's also eroding the support and buy-in from the general public (something without which we really COULD have a problem).

    So, as I've said before... it comes down to perspective, balancing the medical needs of the (thankfully) few vs the needs of the healthy/minimal risk majority, and most importantly remaining calm and consistent in the messaging, approach and adjustments that are necessary.

    In my view, we're not getting this right at the moment, and it's not helped by the divisive stances taken on platforms such as this with "sides"/"camps"/"pro vs anti" etc etc. All that does is create a level of noise and frustration that closes minds to the actual message that really DOES need to be heard and reasonably debated.
    After all we are ALL on the same "side" here. No-one wants to get sick or die from CV-19, or see friends or loved ones get sick or die. No-one wants to lose their jobs or see others lose theirs etc.
    This is (as I referred to in a post earlier) the very real problem with a lot of social media currently and the damaging effect that it's having on our ability to discuss and debate, and society in general.

    So, with that last point in mind I do genuinely thank you for the above reply and hope this helps clarify my own stance.

    If you know what we are doing is wrong then you must know the correct course of action, otherwise how can you say that what we are doing is wrong. So, with that in mind, what aspects of the governments plan would you change and how?

    I look around us at Europe and elsewhere and I see every other country doing the same thing we are doing, maybe they take different measures at different times but the plan is the same. Balance the numbers of cases against an open-as-possible society and keep an eye on the numbers and try to predict any flare ups and respond accordingly with lockdowns or whatever.

    Saying that we should have less restrictions because the numbers are low makes zero sense to me. Should we wait until the ICUs are full before doing anything? Because if the virus is allowed to spread freely that is what will happen. There's no logic at all to that approach imo. This isn't a problem we can react to, its not a simple cause and effect scenario, we are trying to predict big spikes and deal with them before they happen, not waiting until afterwards because unlike the swedes we haven't got space in our hospitals.

    Another reason I am happy enough to follow the restrictions is because I understand what the people in NPHET have gone through in their careers to even be in a position to be considered for that job. When I get sick I go to the doctor because he's the expert, I don't try and cure myself. I listen to NPHET for the same reason.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,093 ✭✭✭i_surge


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »

    The outcome is that we are not only causing further social division, mental health concerns, and economic damage - we are in fact hampering our ability to target our not-infinite resources towards those who actually need help and support the most.

    .

    That is exactly it, we have non infinite resources and we are burning them up and wasting time.

    We can't play cat and mouse for very long. Time for the exterminators.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 572 ✭✭✭The Belly


    i_surge wrote: »
    That is exactly it, we have non infinite resources and we are burning them up and wasting time.

    We can't play cat and mouse for very long. Time for the exterminators.

    Well of you go an exterminate


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 730 ✭✭✭gral6


    If people from Kildare go somewhere else in Ireland, they have to restrict their movements for 14 days or do a test. There is no other way. People all over the country are scared of this plague source in Kildare. Can Nphet just seal off this county till vaccine is found?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    The Belly wrote: »
    Well of you go an exterminate

    What about these guys?

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/6/64/Daleks_Master_Plan.jpg


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 572 ✭✭✭The Belly



    The 1980s movie was the one i had in mind :)


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,719 ✭✭✭dundalkfc10


    More than 80 people, including the Agriculture Minister, senators and TDs attended a golf function in a hotel in breach of public health guidelines just a day after the Government announced new lockdown measures to stop the spread of Covid-19.

    The Oireachtas Golf Society event to celebrate its 50th anniversary was held at a function room at the Station House Hotel, Clifden, Co Galway last night, even though public health advice clearly states "no formal or informal events or parties should be organised in these premises".

    Irish Examiner Reporting Now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    More than 80 people, including the Agriculture Minister, senators and TDs attended a golf function in a hotel in breach of public health guidelines just a day after the Government announced new lockdown measures to stop the spread of Covid-19.

    The Oireachtas Golf Society event to celebrate its 50th anniversary was held at a function room at the Station House Hotel, Clifden, Co Galway last night, even though public health advice clearly states "no formal or informal events or parties should be organised in these premises".

    Irish Examiner Reporting Now
    Yikes....I wonder what was list of attendees.
    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40035389.html

    Surely this has got to be on the RTE news at 9?

    Some named below
    The hotel and society declined to confirm who had attended but the guest list included: Minister for Agriculture Dara Calleary and his wife Siobhan, Galway TD Noel Grealish, Senator Jerry Buttimer, Senator John Cummins, Senator Paul Daly, Senator Niall Blaney, former Fine Gael Senator Cáit Keane, Judge and former Attorney General Seamus Woulfe, the Moroccan Ambassador Lahcen Mahraoui, former Labour Party senator Lorraine Higgins, former Fine Gael Senator and TD for Sligo–Leitrim Gerry Reynolds, former Fine Gael senator Imelda Henry, Circuit Court judge and a former Workers' Party TD Pat McCartan, who serves as the vice-captain, and a number of others.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,289 ✭✭✭✭PTH2009


    More than 80 people, including the Agriculture Minister, senators and TDs attended a golf function in a hotel in breach of public health guidelines just a day after the Government announced new lockdown measures to stop the spread of Covid-19.

    The Oireachtas Golf Society event to celebrate its 50th anniversary was held at a function room at the Station House Hotel, Clifden, Co Galway last night, even though public health advice clearly states "no formal or informal events or parties should be organised in these premises".

    Irish Examiner Reporting Now

    Puppets there treating the general public and then blaming us when stuff goes wrong


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    PTH2009 wrote: »
    Puppets there treating the general public and then blaming us when stuff goes wrong
    Dara Calleary getting the excuses in as early as possible!

    https://twitter.com/irishexaminer/status/1296526313864470529?s=19


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 572 ✭✭✭The Belly


    PTH2009 wrote: »
    Puppets there treating the general public and then blaming us when stuff goes wrong

    Doesn't effect them. And we are paying for it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,472 ✭✭✭brooke 2


    If you want some comedy gold, watch Stephen Donnelly getting interviewed by Zara king.

    Starts saying that schools are a controlled environment and homes are not. Almost implying kids are safer at school.

    Then starts getting really flustered and talking about how trampolines are dangerous for kids... can’t believe what I watched...

    This man is our minister for health!

    Had heard about that interview before I saw it. Much worse than I imagined it would be. :eek: You could sense Zara King's shock at what she was hearing from her silent reaction!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,289 ✭✭✭✭PTH2009


    brooke 2 wrote: »
    Had heard about that interview before I saw it. Much worse than I imagined it would be. :eek: You could sense Zara King's shock at what she was hearing from her silent reaction!!

    Lord ths government is getting more and more like a sketch comedy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    How long before Dara Calleary releases the standard I apologise unreservedly statement I wonder?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 572 ✭✭✭The Belly


    gmisk wrote: »
    How long before Dara Calleary releases the standard I apologise unreservedly statement I wonder?

    Wait for the...

    We all need to tighten our belts or more recently we all partied. It will be some version of that come the budget.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,015 ✭✭✭Ludo


    gmisk wrote: »
    How long before Dara Calleary releases the standard I apologise unreservedly statement I wonder?

    Not long...

    https://twitter.com/MaryERegan/status/1296533755725832194


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,628 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    _Kaiser_ wrote: »
    - Are you personally in that most vulnerable group?
    - Are you genuinely fearful of catching the virus?
    - Are you happy to let the experts decide what's best for you?
    - Is is that you resent others who don't fit one of the above categories?

    where is this idea coming from though?
    I'm sure most people in those groups would feel a certain empathy towards other views, or at worst an indifference to them


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    Ludo wrote: »
    Ha ha but of course....standard playbook!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 917 ✭✭✭MickeyLeari


    gmisk wrote: »
    How long before Dara Calleary releases the standard I apologise unreservedly statement I wonder?

    What is he apologising for?

    This is worse than Soviet Russia.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    The golf outing is on prime time tonight!
    Fair play to RTE at least they aren't ignoring it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    What is he apologising for?

    This is worse than Soviet Russia.
    Yeah that's right we are shipping people off to the gulags.....


    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40035389.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 904 ✭✭✭xl500


    Outside of the clusters in meat plants etc it seems that most of the new infections are among younger age group

    this could indicate that following the easing of restrictions a few weeks ago people started to socialise and mix more and of course, Covid rates go up

    apparently there are lots of cases around the country of pubs being busy this is a huge risk

    What do we do, we restrict sports transport etc but extend the pub and restaurant opening hours

    And now a load of TDs Flouting the new Guidelines a real case of do as i say not as I do

    Fianna Fail welcome back


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 917 ✭✭✭MickeyLeari


    gmisk wrote: »
    Yeah that's right we are shipping people off to the gulags.....


    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40035389.html

    The rules are stupid and nonsensical


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,421 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    The rules are stupid and nonsensical
    If only someone in the cabinet could do something about them like say Dara Calleary.... he is literally helping to make the rules!


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 730 ✭✭✭gral6


    The rules are for the plebs so just keep your heads down. Never mind MM going to red list country with his consultants and not isolating after coming back. It is a banana country...


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement