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Covid19 Part XVIII-25,473 in ROI(1,736 deaths) 5,760 in NI (551 deaths)(30/06)Read OP

1151152154156157333

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Wouldn’t be pushing for schools to reopen anytime soon. Wonder how many cases they had when they reopened the schools.

    https://twitter.com/theeconomist/status/1272212728153866249?s=21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,644 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    wadacrack wrote: »
    Its just banter, not a big deal. Relax

    Cool as a cucumber chief.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,644 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Well we can probably agree on that :)

    Absolutely. The though of a tightening of lock down restrictions is sickening.
    That doesn’t mean we won’t see a substantial rise in the virus when we fully open up and tourists return.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,644 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Spain, it is depressing EU has pretty much things under control, Spain will open borders to other EU nations June 21(fair enough) ... and internationally on July 1.

    Crazy, we see things going crazy in South America and they will have flights coming in from there from July 1.

    After all this work and sacrifice they are just gonna **** it up by opening up...

    Yep nuts. But make no mistake, we will have infected tourists getting off planes also.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,644 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    They’re not second waves. Far from second waves.

    When does a second wave become a second wave?
    Is Beijing a second wave?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,865 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    tom1ie wrote: »
    When does a second wave become a second wave?
    Is Beijing a second wave?

    A second wave is a prolonged exponential increase after reporting little or no cases. The US never got to the bottom of the first peak.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,644 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    A second wave is a prolonged exponential increase after reporting little or no cases. The US never got to the bottom of the first peak.

    Ok so if cases keep on rising in Beijing (which I doubt they will due to the authorities being able to enforce a real lockdown) how long before we class it as a second wave. Is it defined or is it ones perception?


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 12,992 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Not sure if we'll see the classic wave structure with this. SD measures are interrupting that pattern. More of a whack-a-mole with regional ups and downs.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,811 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    A second wave is a prolonged exponential increase after reporting little or no cases. The US never got to the bottom of the first peak.

    Screen%20Shot%202020-06-14%20at%208.15.10%20AM.png?itok=Hm2yYz5i

    Not second wave, just inability to deal with the first.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,395 ✭✭✭ZX7R


    tom1ie wrote: »
    Ok so if cases keep on rising in Beijing (which I doubt they will due to the authorities being able to enforce a real lockdown) how long before we class it as a second wave. Is it defined or is it ones perception?

    According to the FDA in America the virus would have to retreat completely for a number of months even a year or more with zero infections reported.
    And then reappear or mutate to cause a second wave.
    Otherwise you are experiencing the first wave with Spike's of infections been reported.
    The world health organization have the same belief in there 6 phases of pandemic.
    Except for the who state a second wave is avoidable with social social measures in place.
    So for a second wave to happen that initial wave has to finish


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  • Posts: 6,583 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Spain, it is depressing EU has pretty much things under control, Spain will open borders to other EU nations June 21(fair enough) ... and internationally on July 1.

    Crazy, we see things going crazy in South America and they will have flights coming in from there from July 1.

    After all this work and sacrifice they are just gonna **** it up by opening up...

    Post this in the restrictions thread they'd love you.

    For all the claims about Kermit on here, and yeah I can get it, you have a couple of users who do similar but with a open up everything slant and a few posters doing fan style replies, while being slightly abusive and deflecting from evidence that doesn't suit their narrative.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,666 ✭✭✭✭briany


    There won't be a second 'lockdown'. Potentially variants on restrictions in some areas being repeated if there is an urgent necessity, but Governments across the world know that populations in general won't take another run at full lockdown. It was hard to contain them for the first one for too long. Majority will demand re-opening of society, and vulnerable/elderly will have to make certain life choices if society lives with the virus in advance of a vaccine (hopefully later this year/early next year). World economy needs to start turning again and, rightly or wrongly, the majority of people that either don't get, or survive, Covid will demand that life goes on. Just my view on what will happen, right or wrong.

    I wouldn't doubt there'd be a substantially higher threshold to calling a second total lockdown, but at some point, there's also catastrophic recession-inducing economic damage to be sustained, and a s**t time for many, if a lockdown is *not* enforced.

    For example, people sick with COVID probably can't come into work, so that's their economic input nullified for at least a couple of weeks or longer if there are complications. Secondly, in the grip of a second wave, patronage of pubs, shops and restaurants would fall precipitously as people try to go out as little as possible to avoid the virus. And this could last longer than an enforced lockdown as, due to people staying in, the virus would take much longer to reach the herd immunity point where everyone can start safely going out again.

    Then, you have the full hospitals, leaving people who can't get treated. This is a recipe for misery for a lot of people, and some real upheaval when their despair turns to anger.

    In a perfect world, regional lockdowns would be a better way forward, but we've seen how people take the p*ss with those by moving beyond the affected area.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭ShyMets


    Screen%20Shot%202020-06-14%20at%208.15.10%20AM.png?itok=Hm2yYz5i

    Not second wave, just inability to deal with the first.

    A very good illustration of what happens when lockdown is lifted too soon


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,353 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    A second wave is a prolonged exponential increase after reporting little or no cases. The US never got to the bottom of the first peak.

    Hot do you get to the bottom of a peak??


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,563 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    Can we stop attacking posters who go to the trouble of posting data here?
    Seriously, anyone who goes to the trouble of researching and posting their data here deserves to be heard, even if you don't like the message.

    And speaking of opinions... Darwinism at its finest:

    https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1271346587386687488


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,341 ✭✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    Wouldn’t be pushing for schools to reopen anytime soon. Wonder how many cases they had when they reopened the schools.

    I wouldn't call two and a half months 'any time soon'


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    Heated discussion on BBC Radio 5 at the moment in which a 22 year old who attended a rave with 1000 other people last night because "he "got bored of staying at home and wanted to go out and have some fun" is being absolutely castigated by the brother of a person who died of Covid 19. Heartbreaking to listen to but a hopefully a dose of reality for those who claim the virus is hyped up and no more dangerous than the flu.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,865 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Weekly cases in Ireland by county - W/E Sunday 7th -> W/E Sunday 14th

    Carlow - 171 (+3)
    Cavan - 860 (+2)
    Clare - 369 (+1)
    Cork - 1533 (+4)
    Donegal - 470 (-1)
    Dublin - 12210 (+71)
    Galway - 486 (+5)
    Kerry - 308 (No Change)
    Kildare - 1426 (+3)
    Kilkenny - 348 (+4)
    Laois - 264 (+2)
    Leitrim - 84 (No Change)
    Limerick - 584 (+2)
    Longford - 285 (No Change)
    Louth - 778 (+1)
    Mayo - 571 (+1)
    Meath - 805 (-1)
    Monaghan - 535 (+7)
    Offaly - 481 (+2)
    Roscommon - 342 (+5)
    Sligo - 128 (No Change)
    Tipperary - 541 (+1)
    Waterford - 154 (No Change)
    Westmeath - 670 (-1)
    Wexford - 216 (+2)
    Wicklow - 670 (No Change)

    Total: 113 cases

    Biggest Increase: Dublin +71 (63% of weekly cases)
    Biggest Increase outside of Dublin: Monaghan +7 (6% of weekly cases)
    No Change / Minus Cases: Donegal, Kerry, Leitrim, Longford, Meath, Sligo, Waterford, Westmeath, Wicklow


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    Weekly cases in Ireland by county - W/E Sunday 7th -> W/E Sunday 14th

    Carlow - 171 (+3)
    Cavan - 860 (+2)
    Clare - 369 (+1)
    Cork - 1533 (+4)
    Donegal - 470 (-1)
    Dublin - 12210 (+71)
    Galway - 486 (+5)
    Kerry - 308 (No Change)
    Kildare - 1426 (+3)
    Kilkenny - 348 (+4)
    Laois - 264 (+2)
    Leitrim - 84 (No Change)
    Limerick - 584 (+2)
    Longford - 285 (No Change)
    Louth - 778 (+1)
    Mayo - 571 (+1)
    Meath - 805 (-1)
    Monaghan - 535 (+7)
    Offaly - 481 (+2)
    Roscommon - 342 (+5)
    Sligo - 128 (No Change)
    Tipperary - 541 (+1)
    Waterford - 154 (No Change)
    Westmeath - 670 (-1)
    Wexford - 216 (+2)
    Wicklow - 670 (No Change)

    Total: 113 cases

    Biggest Increase: Dublin +71 (63% of weekly cases)
    Biggest Increase outside of Dublin: Monaghan +7 (6% of weekly cases)
    No Change / Minus Cases: Donegal, Kerry, Leitrim, Longford, Meath, Sligo, Waterford, Westmeath, Wicklow

    I wonder would it be valid to state that the rise in new cases in Dublin by contrast to the rest of the country is at least partly due to the protest march there 2 weeks ago?


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    I wonder would it be valid to state that the rise in new cases in Dublin by contrast to the rest of the country is at least partly due to the protest march there 2 weeks ago?

    I'd say it's more to do with Dublin having a quarter of the population and having more population density. Not to excuse the protesters, who are their own special type of dense.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    I wouldn't call two and a half months 'any time soon'

    You may not call it any time soon but on the timelines of global pandemics it is. They usually last a few years. It’s not our first rodeo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,783 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    UK have done a great job of hiding 42,000 bodies. Spain only had 27,000 and they were filling every inch of space they could find from churches to Halls.
    We've not seen mass bodies in media from UK. No pictures of 100's of coffins lined up, its all under the radar.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,328 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    I'd say it's more to do with Dublin having a quarter of the population and having more population density. Not to excuse the protesters, who are their own special type of dense.

    I think the majority of countys have proven if you had of stayed at home as requested the virus would be all but dead. Looking at Dublin from the outside it's got more than it's fair share of idiots who wouldn't take the good advice(protestors, partys, Penny's etc)How many of them are off on foreign holidays now?
    If Dublin doesn't get it's act together it should be isolated, I'd go as far as saying it should happen now, it doesn't have x31 population to excuse the numbers.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Polar101 wrote: »
    It wasn't WHO, but their national lab - they bought **** quality testing kits. This guy also think prayers can vanquish the "satanic virus", so that's the level of intelligence you are dealing with. So if you want to laugh at the WHO, please use don't use Tanzania as a funny example.

    It was Tanzanian national lab staffed by WHO. They got kicked out. As for praying he is not alone, quite a lot of countries used this narrative. What really is unsettling is why it is mostly western countries sufferring most of casulties and poor countries with pretty much nonexistent health system fare much better.
    Could it be our lifestyle? I do not think prayer is what helps but certainly, there is something strange going on when goat or papaya tests positive.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,673 ✭✭✭sonofenoch


    UK have done a great job of hiding 42,000 bodies. Spain only had 27,000 and they were filling every inch of space they could find from churches to Halls.
    We've not seen mass bodies in media from UK. No pictures of 100's of coffins lined up, its all under the radar.

    Was watching a late night BBC programme about a funeral home over there, .....they had to buy 3 refrigerated shipping containers to store bodies and more bodies literally stacked in another refrigerated area, was pretty grim


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,865 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    It doesn't really make sense for a quarter of the country to have way over half of our cases. Something went wrong in Dublin and even Leinster as a hole. Kildare has nearly 4 times more cases than Galway despite having a smaller population. Density could be argued but I think Cork proves that wrong with such a low case number per 100,000.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,583 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    It doesn't really make sense for a quarter of the country to have way over half of our cases. Something went wrong in Dublin and even Leinster as a hole. Kildare has nearly 4 times more cases than Galway despite having a smaller population. Density could be argued but I think Cork proves that wrong with such a low case number per 100,000.

    What are the demographics of said counties?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    I think the majority of countys have proven if you had of stayed at home as requested the virus would be all but dead. Looking at Dublin from the outside it's got more than it's fair share of idiots who wouldn't take the good advice(protestors, partys, Penny's etc)How many of them are off on foreign holidays now?
    If Dublin doesn't get it's act together it should be isolated, I'd go as far as saying it should happen now, it doesn't have x31 population to excuse the numbers.

    Sorry but for every person staying at home there is another person who has to keep on working so you can happily stay isolated.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    I think the majority of countys have proven if you had of stayed at home as requested the virus would be all but dead. Looking at Dublin from the outside it's got more than it's fair share of idiots who wouldn't take the good advice(protestors, partys, Penny's etc)How many of them are off on foreign holidays now?
    If Dublin doesn't get it's act together it should be isolated, I'd go as far as saying it should happen now, it doesn't have x31 population to excuse the numbers.

    So we should cut Dublin off but keep airport and ferry in operation? The density of cases is far greater in UK. Should we not start with foreign quarantine lock outs before we start an inter county war?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,553 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I think the majority of countys have proven if you had of stayed at home as requested the virus would be all but dead. Looking at Dublin from the outside it's got more than it's fair share of idiots who wouldn't take the good advice(protestors, partys, Penny's etc)How many of them are off on foreign holidays now?
    If Dublin doesn't get it's act together it should be isolated, I'd go as far as saying it should happen now, it doesn't have x31 population to excuse the numbers.

    What a stupid statement. You do relaise there was people protesting in other towns and cities across the country?? There were people queueing at pennys and other shops across the country, likewise parties aren't just a Dublin thing. Presume your going to call people across the country idiots so ? Bit of balance required here.

    Based on population density alone you'd expect Dublin to have more cases.


This discussion has been closed.
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