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Covid19 Part XVI- 21,983 in ROI (1,339 deaths) 3,881 in NI (404 deaths)(05/05)Read OP

1223224226228229323

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    froog wrote: »
    I wonder have any of the mask brigade here actually worn one? If they did they would know they are not face fit tight, when you breath your droplets are still going all over the place and it offers little to no protection to you from others.

    Unless everyone wears full face fitted respirators which is not practical.

    I have worn them. Home made ones. Of course one is not hermetically sealed inside of them but no, the droplets are not "going everywhere" when wearing one. The pattern of expulsion of droplets is completely different. There are videos and pictures available to show the movement of droplet patterns. Now, my wearing one only helps me a little. But if others wear them too it helps me a lot. And vice versa. I also bought a couple of groovy neck gaiters. Might be easier to use.for people who would feel self conscious.


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Brave person who clicks on a link to yahoo in this day and age!
    wakka12 wrote: »

    I was hoping to see actual proof of these women he referred to, not just a photo of some beardy bloke. :mad:


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Blueshoe wrote: »

    Ugh.....yet another boardsie posting an article and then misrepresenting it. A journalist says that Germany faces the prospect of another lockdown. Well, we all do when lockdowns are released and deaths rise. That simply the obvious. There is no official comment in this click bait story saying that (to quote you) “ Germany are looking at another lockdown.”


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23 Smoothrider


    The NEPHET lads are obviously trying to do their best and more power to them, but there is undoubtedly a very significant level of 'massaging' going on in respect of delivering the messages.

    For example, I think that they would recommend wearing masks in a flash, just as they have in Germany and New York (where it is mandatory) but they need to have at least some supply for the public and they simply don't have it. So, the current message is that the science doesn't back it up, which is probably the most counter intuitive thing you will ever hear about a respiratory disease that is dispersed by aerosol droplets from the mouth and nose, and simply doesn't make sense.

    The other thing that seems striking is the fact that over half of the mortality is occurring in nursing homes. How can the lockdown have any effect whatsoever in protecting those residents?

    20-30% of people will not get this. Of the 70-80% of people who do get it, over 80% of them will have a mild illness (and a significant fraction of those may have no symptoms at all). If these facts are uncontroversial it 's hard to see how it can be logical (let alone proportional) to lock everyone down.

    Can someone, perhaps better informed, say if I'm missing something here in this admittedly simple analysis???

    I get the argument that the government need more time to prepare to a surge but that surge has not occurred and the can has only been kicked down the road. Meanwhile, people are running out money and the lockdown itself is causing significant mortality in the shape of deferred life saving treatments, suicide and people not attending hospitals with heart attacks and strokes etc.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,316 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    hmmm wrote: »
    Once the mask hysteria is finished, and the virus is still here, they'll move on to something else to blame. Perhaps thermometers everywhere.

    I'm glad the government is still taking medical advice, and is not just being driven by populism.
    The same government that still has no health checks on ports, the same government that has no quarantine protocol, the same government that dragged its heels over the lockdown and Paddy's Day in the first place, that took a few weeks to give Gardai any authority to impose it, the same government that had one of its top experts stating asymptomatic transmission was of no risk a month after the WHO stated it was and anyone with a working braincell and search engine knew it was, the same government that oversaw a shambles in testing and mediocre contact tracing? That government?
    froog wrote: »
    I wonder have any of the mask brigade here actually worn one? If they did they would know they are not face fit tight, when you breath your droplets are still going all over the place and it offers little to no protection to you from others.

    Unless everyone wears full face fitted respirators which is not practical.
    Quite a few inaccuracies in that post. You're understandably falling into the usual trap of thinking about self protection. Infection source control is the real factor. By wearing one, you reduce the number of potentially infectious droplets into the environment and how far they travel. There's a very good Japanese study into the difference between wearing and not wearing one, even a basic not air tight mask. Here it is, it won't embed the vid the usual way

    Here's a frame from the above that illustrates the difference.

    511272.jpeg

    Which person would you prefer to be standing in front of?

    Asymptomatic spread is the big problem. People are infectious before they become obviously ill to themselves and others. It's one reason why this virus spreads far more easily than say ebola. With the latter you become infectious after you are obviously sick, so people will tend to avoid you and self quarantine is more effective.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,117 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Russia reports 105 new deaths, highest for the country so far and nearly 6,000 new cases


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Ugh.....yet another boardsie posting an article and then misrepresenting it. A journalist says that Germany faces the prospect of another lockdown. Well, we all do when lockdowns are released and deaths rise. That simply the obvious. There is no official comment in this click bait story saying that (to quote you) “ Germany are looking at another lockdown.”

    Definitely correct to say that there was nothing in that ridiculous article to suggest Germany are looking at another lockdown. But there was a paragraph in it, pure click bait, saying they faced the prospect of having to.

    It's a bit click baity. The article opens up with "Germany faces the prospect of having to restore stricter lockdown measures as its number and rate of coronavirus infections grew again."

    But the article doesn't provide backup for the statement or provide any suggestion of that by their authorities. Not saying they won't, but the article doesn't back up it's opening statement.

    The Express 'newspaper' has a similar article, and references the SKY correspondent OPINION as the source!:

    "Germany may need to bring back lockdown as infection rate spikes by a THIRD:

    Angela Merkel may be forced to reconsider her plans to ease coronavirus lockdown measures across Germany after the reopening of some shops was followed by a spike in the infection rate. Germany last week allowed shops up to 800 sq m to open up and German Education Ministers on Tuesday agreed to gradually bring students back to school on a rotating basis. But Sky News Brussels correspondent Michelle Clifford suggested Chancellor Merkel will have to revise her plans to avoid a resurgence of the virus."


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭GM228


    Was off line the last few days due to broadband issues, so what did I miss?

    Ireland Coronavirus Statistics - Days 59 & 60 –Monday & Tuesday 27 & 28/04/2020
    All data is cumulative and based on the date of official reporting

    Day
    |
    Date
    |
    Cases
    |
    New Cases
    |
    Total Cases
    |
    Case Increase
    |
    Reporting Increase
    |
    Confirmed Deaths
    |
    New Probable Deaths
    |
    Total Deaths
    |
    Deaths daily increase
    |
    CFR
    |
    New Hosp
    |
    Total Hosp
    |
    Hosp %
    |
    Hosp daily increase
    |
    New ICU
    |
    Total ICU
    |
    ICU %
    |
    ICU daily increase
    |
    Recovered**
    |
    Recovery %
    |
    Population
    | Active Cases***
    1
    |
    29/02/2020
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 1
    2
    |
    01/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 1
    3
    |
    02/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 1
    4
    |
    03/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    1
    |
    2
    |
    100%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 2
    5
    |
    04/03/2020
    |
    2
    |
    4
    |
    6
    |
    200%
    |
    300%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 6
    6
    |
    05/03/2020
    |
    6
    |
    7
    |
    13
    |
    117%
    |
    75%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 13
    7
    |
    06/03/2020
    |
    13
    |
    5
    |
    18
    |
    38%
    |
    -29%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 18
    8
    |
    07/03/2020
    |
    18
    |
    1
    |
    19
    |
    6%
    |
    -80%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 19
    9
    |
    08/03/2020
    |
    19
    |
    2
    |
    21
    |
    11%
    |
    100%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 21
    10
    |
    09/03/2020
    |
    21
    |
    3
    |
    24
    |
    14%
    |
    50%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.000%
    | 24
    11
    |
    10/03/2020
    |
    24
    |
    10
    |
    34
    |
    42%
    |
    233%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.001%
    | 34
    12
    |
    11/03/2020
    |
    34
    |
    9
    |
    43
    |
    26%
    |
    -10%
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    2.3%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.001%
    | 42
    13
    |
    12/03/2020
    |
    43
    |
    27
    |
    70
    |
    63%
    |
    200%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    1.4%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.001%
    | 69
    14
    |
    13/03/2020
    |
    70
    |
    20
    |
    90
    |
    29%
    |
    -26%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    1.1%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.002%
    | 89
    15
    |
    14/03/2020
    |
    90
    |
    39
    |
    129
    |
    43%
    |
    95%
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    2
    |
    100%
    |
    1.6%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.003%
    | 127
    16
    |
    15/03/2020
    |
    129
    |
    40
    |
    169
    |
    31%
    |
    3%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    2
    |
    0%
    |
    1.2%
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    N/A
    |
    NR
    |
    NR
    |
    0.003%
    | 167
    17
    |
    16/03/2020
    |
    169
    |
    54
    |
    223
    |
    32%
    |
    35%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    2
    |
    0%
    |
    0.9%
    |
    84
    |
    84
    |
    38%
    |
    N/A
    |
    84
    |
    6
    |
    3%
    |
    N/A
    |
    5
    |
    2%
    |
    0.005%
    | 216
    18
    |
    17/03/2020
    |
    223
    |
    69
    |
    292
    |
    31%
    |
    28%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    2
    |
    0%
    |
    0.7%
    |
    24
    |
    108
    |
    37%
    |
    29%
    |
    1
    |
    7
    |
    2%
    |
    17%
    |
    5
    |
    2%
    |
    0.006%
    | 285
    19
    |
    18/03/2020
    |
    292
    |
    74
    |
    366
    |
    25%
    |
    7%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    2
    |
    0%
    |
    0.5%
    |
    32
    |
    140
    |
    38%
    |
    30%
    |
    5
    |
    12
    |
    3%
    |
    71%
    |
    5
    |
    1%
    |
    0.007%
    | 359
    20
    |
    19/03/2020
    |
    366
    |
    191
    |
    557
    |
    52%
    |
    158%
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    3
    |
    50%
    |
    0.5%
    |
    33
    |
    173
    |
    31%
    |
    24%
    |
    1
    |
    13
    |
    2%
    |
    8%
    |
    5
    |
    1%
    |
    0.011%
    | 549
    21
    |
    20/03/2020
    |
    557
    |
    126
    |
    683
    |
    23%
    |
    -34%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    3
    |
    0%
    |
    0.4%
    |
    38
    |
    211
    |
    31%
    |
    22%
    |
    4
    |
    17
    |
    2%
    |
    31%
    |
    5
    |
    1%
    |
    0.014%
    | 675
    22
    |
    21/03/2020
    |
    683
    |
    102
    |
    785
    |
    15%
    |
    -19%
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    3
    |
    33%
    |
    0.4%
    |
    28
    |
    239
    |
    30%
    |
    13%
    |
    8
    |
    25
    |
    3%
    |
    47%
    |
    5
    |
    1%
    |
    0.016%
    | 777
    23
    |
    22/03/2020
    |
    785
    |
    121
    |
    906
    |
    15%
    |
    19%
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    4
    |
    33%
    |
    0.4%
    |
    38
    |
    277
    |
    31%
    |
    16%
    |
    11
    |
    36
    |
    4%
    |
    44%
    |
    5
    |
    1%
    |
    0.018%
    | 897
    24
    |
    23/03/2020
    |
    906
    |
    219
    |
    1125
    |
    24%
    |
    81%
    |
    2
    |
    N/A
    |
    6
    |
    50%
    |
    0.5%
    |
    28
    |
    305
    |
    27%
    |
    10%
    |
    3
    |
    39
    |
    3%
    |
    8%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.023%
    | 1114
    25
    |
    24/03/2020
    |
    1125
    |
    204
    |
    1329
    |
    18%
    |
    -7%
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    7
    |
    17%
    |
    0.5%
    |
    35
    |
    340
    |
    26%
    |
    11%
    |
    8
    |
    47
    |
    4%
    |
    21%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.027%
    | 1317
    26
    |
    25/03/2020
    |
    1329
    |
    235
    |
    1564
    |
    18%
    |
    15%
    |
    2
    |
    N/A
    |
    9
    |
    29%
    |
    0.6%
    |
    79
    |
    419
    |
    27%
    |
    23%
    |
    12
    |
    59
    |
    4%
    |
    26%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.032%
    | 1550
    27
    |
    26/03/2020
    |
    1564
    |
    255
    |
    1819
    |
    16%
    |
    9%
    |
    10
    |
    N/A
    |
    19
    |
    111%
    |
    1%
    |
    70
    |
    489
    |
    27%
    |
    17%
    |
    8
    |
    67
    |
    4%
    |
    14%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.037%
    | 1795
    28
    |
    27/03/2020
    |
    1819
    |
    302
    |
    2121
    |
    17%
    |
    18%
    |
    3
    |
    N/A
    |
    22
    |
    16%
    |
    1%
    |
    75
    |
    564
    |
    27%
    |
    15%
    |
    10
    |
    77
    |
    4%
    |
    15%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.043%
    | 2094
    29
    |
    28/03/2020
    |
    2121
    |
    294
    |
    2415
    |
    14%
    |
    -3%
    |
    14
    |
    N/A
    |
    36
    |
    64%
    |
    1.5%
    |
    81
    |
    645
    |
    27%
    |
    14%
    |
    7
    |
    84
    |
    3%
    |
    9%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.049%
    | 2374
    30
    |
    29/03/2020
    |
    2415
    |
    200
    |
    2615
    |
    8%
    |
    -32%
    |
    10
    |
    N/A
    |
    46
    |
    28%
    |
    1.8%
    |
    58
    |
    703
    |
    27%
    |
    9%
    |
    29
    |
    113
    |
    4%
    |
    35%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.053%
    | 2564
    31
    |
    30/03/2020
    |
    2615
    |
    295
    |
    2910
    |
    11%
    |
    48%
    |
    8
    |
    N/A
    |
    54
    |
    17%
    |
    1.9%
    |
    131
    |
    834
    |
    29%
    |
    19%
    |
    13
    |
    126
    |
    4%
    |
    12%
    |
    5
    |
    0%
    |
    0.059%
    | 2851
    32
    |
    31/03/2020
    |
    2910
    |
    325
    |
    3235
    |
    11%
    |
    10%
    |
    17
    |
    N/A
    |
    71
    |
    31%
    |
    2.2%
    |
    98
    |
    932
    |
    29%
    |
    12%
    |
    8
    |
    134
    |
    4%
    |
    6%
    |
    25
    |
    1%
    |
    0.066%
    | 3139
    33
    |
    01/04/2020
    |
    3235
    |
    212
    |
    3447
    |
    7%
    |
    -35%
    |
    14
    |
    N/A
    |
    85
    |
    20%
    |
    2.5%
    |
    107
    |
    1039
    |
    30%
    |
    11%
    |
    14
    |
    148
    |
    4%
    |
    10%
    |
    25
    |
    1%
    |
    0.070%
    | 3337
    34
    |
    02/04/2020
    |
    3447
    |
    402
    |
    3849
    |
    12%
    |
    90%
    |
    13
    |
    N/A
    |
    98
    |
    15%
    |
    2.5%
    |
    79
    |
    1118
    |
    29%
    |
    8%
    |
    10
    |
    158
    |
    4%
    |
    7%
    |
    25
    |
    1%
    |
    0.078%
    | 3726
    35
    |
    03/04/2020
    |
    3849
    |
    424
    |
    4273
    |
    11%
    |
    5%
    |
    22
    |
    N/A
    |
    120
    |
    22%
    |
    2.8%
    |
    85
    |
    1203
    |
    28%
    |
    8%
    |
    7
    |
    165
    |
    4%
    |
    4%
    |
    25
    |
    1%
    |
    0.087%
    | 4128
    36
    |
    04/04/2020
    |
    4273
    |
    331
    |
    4604
    |
    8%
    |
    -22%
    |
    17
    |
    N/A
    |
    137
    |
    14%
    |
    3.0%
    |
    62
    |
    1265
    |
    27%
    |
    5%
    |
    4
    |
    169
    |
    4%
    |
    2%
    |
    25
    |
    1%
    |
    0.094%
    | 4442
    37
    |
    05/04/2020
    |
    4604
    |
    390
    |
    4994
    |
    8%
    |
    18%
    |
    21
    |
    N/A
    |
    158
    |
    15%
    |
    3.2%
    |
    80
    |
    1345
    |
    27%
    |
    6%
    |
    25
    |
    194
    |
    4%
    |
    15%
    |
    25
    |
    1%
    |
    0.101%
    | 4811
    38
    |
    06/04/2020
    |
    4994
    |
    370
    |
    5364
    |
    7%
    |
    -5%
    |
    16
    |
    N/A
    |
    174
    |
    10%
    |
    3.2%
    |
    127
    |
    1472
    |
    27%
    |
    9%
    |
    30
    |
    224
    |
    4%
    |
    15%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.109%
    | 5165
    39
    |
    07/04/2020
    |
    5364
    |
    345
    |
    5709
    |
    6%
    |
    -7%
    |
    36
    |
    N/A
    |
    210
    |
    21%
    |
    3.7%
    |
    49
    |
    1521
    |
    27%
    |
    3%
    |
    6
    |
    230
    |
    4%
    |
    3%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.116%
    | 5474
    40
    |
    08/04/2020
    |
    5709
    |
    365
    |
    6074
    |
    6%
    |
    6%
    |
    25
    |
    N/A
    |
    235
    |
    12%
    |
    3.9%
    |
    110
    |
    1631
    |
    27%
    |
    7%
    |
    14
    |
    244
    |
    4%
    |
    6%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.123%
    | 5814
    41
    |
    09/04/2020
    |
    6074
    |
    500
    |
    6574
    |
    8%
    |
    37%
    |
    28
    |
    N/A
    |
    263
    |
    12%
    |
    4.0%
    |
    87
    |
    1718
    |
    26%
    |
    5%
    |
    9
    |
    253
    |
    4%
    |
    4%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.134%
    | 6286
    42* ~
    |
    10/04/2020
    |
    6574
    |
    1515
    |
    8089
    |
    23%
    |
    203%
    |
    25
    |
    N/A
    |
    287
    |
    9%
    |
    4.0%
    |
    59
    |
    1777
    |
    22%
    |
    3%
    |
    8
    |
    261
    |
    3%
    |
    3%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.164%
    | 7777
    43*
    |
    11/04/2020
    |
    8089
    |
    839
    |
    8928
    |
    10%
    |
    -45%
    |
    33
    |
    N/A
    |
    320
    |
    11%
    |
    3.6%
    |
    72
    |
    1849
    |
    21%
    |
    4%
    |
    7
    |
    268
    |
    3%
    |
    3%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.181%
    | 8583
    44*
    |
    12/04/2020
    |
    8928
    |
    727
    |
    9655
    |
    8%
    |
    -13%
    |
    14
    |
    N/A
    |
    334
    |
    4%
    |
    3.5%
    |
    54
    |
    1903
    |
    20%
    |
    3%
    |
    7
    |
    275
    |
    3%
    |
    3%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.196%
    | 9296
    45*
    |
    13/04/2020
    |
    9655
    |
    992
    |
    10647
    |
    10%
    |
    36%
    |
    31
    |
    N/A
    |
    365
    |
    9%
    |
    3.4%
    |
    65
    |
    1968
    |
    18%
    |
    3%
    |
    5
    |
    280
    |
    3%
    |
    2%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.216%
    | 10257
    46*
    |
    14/04/2020
    |
    10647
    |
    832
    |
    11479
    |
    8%
    |
    -16%
    |
    41
    |
    N/A
    |
    406
    |
    11%
    |
    3.5%
    |
    58
    |
    2026
    |
    18%
    |
    3%
    |
    4
    |
    284
    |
    2%
    |
    1%
    |
    25
    |
    0%
    |
    0.233%
    | 11048
    47*
    |
    15/04/2020
    |
    11479
    |
    1068
    |
    12547
    |
    9%
    |
    28%
    |
    38
    |
    N/A
    |
    444
    |
    9%
    |
    3.5%
    |
    56
    |
    2082
    |
    17%
    |
    3%
    |
    10
    |
    294
    |
    2%
    |
    4%
    |
    77
    |
    1%
    |
    0.255%
    | 12026
    48 * ~
    |
    16/04/2020
    |
    12547
    |
    724
    |
    13271
    |
    6%
    |
    -32%
    |
    43
    |
    N/A
    |
    486
    |
    9%
    |
    3.7%
    |
    86
    |
    2168
    |
    16%
    |
    4%
    |
    2
    |
    296
    |
    2%
    |
    1%
    |
    77
    |
    1%
    |
    0.270%
    | 12708
    49*
    |
    17/04/2020
    |
    13271
    |
    709
    |
    13980
    |
    5%
    |
    -2%
    |
    44
    |
    N/A
    |
    530
    |
    9%
    |
    3.8%
    |
    55
    |
    2223
    |
    16%
    |
    3%
    |
    7
    |
    303
    |
    2%
    |
    2%
    |
    77
    |
    1%
    |
    0.284%
    | 13373
    50*
    |
    18/04/2020
    |
    13980
    |
    778
    |
    14758
    |
    6%
    |
    10%
    |
    41
    |
    N/A
    |
    571
    |
    8%
    |
    3.9%
    |
    49
    |
    2272
    |
    15%
    |
    2%
    |
    3
    |
    306
    |
    2%
    |
    1%
    |
    77
    |
    1%
    |
    0.300%
    | 14110
    51*
    |
    19/04/2020
    |
    14758
    |
    493
    |
    15251
    |
    3%
    |
    -37%
    |
    39
    |
    N/A
    |
    610
    |
    7%
    |
    4.0%
    |
    51
    |
    2323
    |
    15%
    |
    2%
    |
    9
    |
    315
    |
    2%
    |
    3%
    |
    77
    |
    1%
    |
    0.310%
    | 14564
    52
    |
    20/04/2020
    |
    15251
    |
    401
    |
    15652
    |
    3%
    |
    -19%
    |
    77
    |
    N/A
    |
    687
    |
    13%
    |
    4.4%
    |
    64
    |
    2387
    |
    15%
    |
    3%
    |
    7
    |
    322
    |
    2%
    |
    2%
    |
    77
    |
    0%
    |
    0.318%
    | 14888
    53 ~
    |
    21/04/2020
    |
    15652
    |
    388
    |
    16040
    |
    2%
    |
    -3%
    |
    44
    |
    N/A
    |
    730
    |
    6%
    |
    4.6%
    |
    37
    |
    2424
    |
    15%
    |
    2%
    |
    9
    |
    331
    |
    2%
    |
    3%
    |
    9233
    |
    58%
    |
    0.326%
    | 6077
    54 ~
    |
    22/04/2020
    |
    16040
    |
    631
    |
    16671
    |
    4%
    |
    63%
    |
    49
    |
    N/A
    |
    769
    |
    5%
    |
    4.6%
    |
    62
    |
    2486
    |
    15%
    |
    3%
    |
    7
    |
    338
    |
    2%
    |
    2%
    |
    9233
    |
    55%
    |
    0.339%
    | 6669
    55 ~
    |
    23/04/2020
    |
    16671
    |
    936
    |
    17607
    |
    6%
    |
    48%
    |
    28
    |
    N/A
    |
    794
    |
    3%
    |
    4.5%
    |
    50
    |
    2536
    |
    14%
    |
    2%
    |
    6
    |
    344
    |
    2%
    |
    2%
    |
    9233
    |
    52%
    |
    0.358%
    | 7580
    56 ~
    |
    24/04/2020
    |
    17607
    |
    577
    |
    18184
    |
    3%
    |
    -38%
    |
    37
    |
    185
    |
    1014
    |
    28%
    |
    5.6%
    |
    40
    |
    2576
    |
    14%
    |
    2%
    |
    5
    |
    349
    |
    2%
    |
    1%
    |
    9233
    |
    51%
    |
    0.369%
    | 7937
    57 ~
    |
    25/04/2020
    |
    18184
    |
    377
    |
    18561
    |
    2%
    |
    -35%
    |
    42
    |
    10
    |
    1063
    |
    5%
    |
    5.7%
    |
    49
    |
    2625
    |
    14%
    |
    2%
    |
    4
    |
    353
    |
    2%
    |
    1%
    |
    9233
    |
    50%
    |
    0.377%
    | 8265
    58 ~
    |
    26/04/2020
    |
    18561
    |
    701
    |
    19262
    |
    4%
    |
    86%
    |
    23
    |
    3
    |
    1087
    |
    2%
    |
    5.6%
    |
    11
    |
    2636
    |
    14%
    |
    0%
    |
    5
    |
    358
    |
    2%
    |
    1%
    |
    9233
    |
    48%
    |
    0.391%
    | 8942
    59 ~
    |
    27/04/2020
    |
    19262
    |
    386
    |
    19648
    |
    2%
    |
    -45%
    |
    17
    |
    1
    |
    1102
    |
    1%
    |
    5.6%
    |
    0
    |
    2636
    |
    13%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    358
    |
    2%
    |
    0%
    |
    9233
    |
    47%
    |
    0.399%
    | 9313
    60 ~
    |
    28/04/2020
    |
    19648
    |
    229
    |
    19877
    |
    1%
    |
    -41%
    |
    45
    |
    14
    |
    1159
    |
    5%
    |
    5.8%
    |
    0
    |
    2636
    |
    13%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    358
    |
    2%
    |
    0%
    |
    9233
    |
    46%
    |
    0.404%
    | 9485

    CFR = Case fatality rate
    NR = Not reported

    Source: Department of Health, the Health Protection Surveillance Centre and the HSE.

    NOTES: -
    * Daily increase numbers on these dates represent both new cases and older cases reported from Germany which results in skewed daily % increases and average case reporting % changes, numbers are broken down as:-
    Day|Date|New Irish Cases|German Cases
    42|10/04/20|480|1035
    43|11/04/20|553|286
    44|12/04/20|430|297
    45|13/04/20| 527|465
    46|14/04/20|548|284
    47|15/04/20|657|411
    48|16/04/20|629|95
    49|17/04/20|597|112
    50|18/04/20|630|148
    51|19/04/20|445|48


    ~ Denotification of deaths:-
    10/04/20 – 1
    16/04/20 – 1
    21/04/20 – 1
    22/04/20 – 10
    23/04/20 – 3
    24/04/20 – 2
    25/04/20 – 3
    26/04/20 – 2
    27/04/20 – 3
    28/04/20 – 2

    ** "Recovered" rates are not reported by the Department of Health in the above link, these figures are taken from the Worldmeters and Johns Hopkins websites which use data supplied by the DoT to the ECDC under the WHO Guidelines for reporting.

    Recovered statistics are only be published as "recovered" following two successful tests of being clear of the virus under the WHO reporting guidelines, as a result it is likely the recovered data is skewed. Updated on 15/04/20 - The WHO reporting criteria has been changed recently to eliminate the 2 test requirement before reporting as recovered, now an outcome report is sent within one month of initial notification or when an outcome is known, the available health outcomes are either “recovered/healthy”, “not recovered", “death", “unknown" or “other", weather this helps create more accurate recovery numbers or skews them further is yet to be seen.

    *** Due to the above issue with reporting of recovered cases the number of active cases is also likely skewed.

    **** From 24/04/20 probable deaths are included in the official death figures, this is to comply with the WHO definition of COVID-19 deaths issued on the 16th and adopted in Europe by the ECDC yesterday, this is in compliance with what is known as the International Statistical Classification of Diseases known as the ICD-10, as a result a new column has been added into the charts to separate confirmed and suspected COVID-19 deaths – see this post for an explanation on this change. As a result of this change in reporting the CFR is skewed as a corresponding number of cumulative case numbers is not currently part of the official records.

    Case increase averages:-

    Day
    | Date | ▲Day 1 | ▲10 Days | ▲7 days | ▲3 Days | ■ Day 1 | ■ 10 Days | ■ 7 Days | ■ 3 days
    1
    | 29/02/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | N/A | N/A | N/A
    2
    | 01/03/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | N/A | N/A | N/A
    3
    | 02/03/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | 0% | 0% | N/A | N/A | 0%
    4
    | 03/03/2020 | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | 33% | 0% | N/A | N/A | 0%
    5
    | 04/03/2020 | 60.0% | N/A | N/A | 100% | 60% | N/A | N/A | 100%
    6
    | 05/03/2020 | 69.4% | N/A | N/A | 139% | 63% | N/A | N/A | 125%
    7
    | 06/03/2020 | 65.0% | N/A | 65% | 118% | 49% | N/A | 49% | 115%
    8
    | 07/03/2020 | 57.6% | N/A | 66% | 54% | 33% | N/A | 38% | -11%
    9
    | 08/03/2020 | 52.4% | N/A | 67% | 18% | 41% | N/A | 52% | -3%
    10
    | 09/03/2020 | 49% | 49% | 69% | 10% | 42% | 42% | 59% | 23%
    11
    | 10/03/2020 | 48% | 53% | 61% | 22% | 59% | 65% | 93% | 128%
    12
    | 11/03/2020 | 46% | 55% | 36% | 27% | 53% | 64% | 49% | 91%
    13
    | 12/03/2020 | 47% | 62% | 29% | 44% | 65% | 84% | 66% | 141%
    14
    | 13/03/2020 | 46% | 54% | 27% | 39% | 58% | 81% | 67% | 55%
    15
    | 14/03/2020 | 46% | 39% | 33% | 45% | 61% | 61% | 92% | 90%
    16
    | 15/03/2020 | 45% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 57% | 54% | 78% | 24%
    17
    | 16/03/2020 | 44% | 30% | 38% | 35% | 56% | 60% | 76% | 44%
    18
    | 17/03/2020 | 43% | 32% | 36% | 31% | 54% | 71% | 46% | 22%
    19
    | 18/03/2020 | 43% | 34% | 36% | 29% | 52% | 61% | 49% | 23%
    20
    | 19/03/2020 | 43% | 37% | 35% | 36% | 57% | 72% | 43% | 64%
    21
    | 20/03/2020 | 42% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 53% | 46% | 42% | 44%
    22
    | 21/03/2020 | 41% | 34% | 30% | 30% | 49% | 45% | 25% | 35%
    23
    | 22/03/2020 | 40% | 30% | 28% | 18% | 48% | 27% | 28% | -11%
    24
    | 23/03/2020 | 39% | 29% | 27% | 18% | 49% | 37% | 34% | 27%
    25
    | 24/03/2020 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 19% | 47% | 27% | 29% | 31%
    26
    | 25/03/2020 | 37% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 46% | 28% | 30% | 30%
    27
    | 26/03/2020 | 37% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 6%
    28
    | 27/03/2020 | 36% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 44% | 25% | 17% | 14%
    29
    | 28/03/2020 | 35% | 21% | 17% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 19% | 8%
    30
    | 29/03/2020 | 34% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 40% | 5% | 12% | -5%
    31
    | 30/03/2020 | 34% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 40% | 13% | 7% | 4%
    32
    | 31/03/2020 | 33% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 39% | 16% | 9% | 9%
    33
    | 01/04/2020 | 32% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 8%
    34
    | 02/04/2020 | 31% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 38% | 11% | 14% | 22%
    35
    | 03/04/2020 | 31% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 37% | 13% | 12% | 20%
    36
    | 04/04/2020 | 30% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 36% | 9% | 9% | 24%
    37
    | 05/04/2020 | 30% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 35% | 10% | 16% | 0%
    38
    | 06/04/2020 | 29% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 34% | 7% | 9% | -3%
    39
    | 07/04/2020 | 28% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 7% | 6% | 2%
    40
    | 08/04/2020 | 28% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 32% | 11% | 12% | -2%
    41
    | 09/04/2020 | 27% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 32% | 10% | 5% | 12%
    42
    | 10/04/2020 | 27% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 37% | 29% | 33% | 82%
    43
    | 11/04/2020 | 27% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 35% | 28% | 30% | 65%
    44
    | 12/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 34% | 18% | 25% | 48%
    45
    | 13/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 34% | 21% | 31% | -7%
    46
    | 14/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 33% | 21% | 30% | 2%
    47
    | 15/04/2020 | 25% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 33% | 16%
    48
    | 16/04/2020 | 25% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 31% | 20% | 23% | -7%
    49
    | 17/04/2020 | 25% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 30% | 20% | -6% | -2%
    50
    | 18/04/2020 | 24% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 30% | 21% | 2% | -8%
    51
    | 19/04/2020 | 24% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 29% | 13% | -2% | -10%
    52
    | 20/04/2020 | 23% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 28% | -9% | -10% | -15%
    53
    | 21/04/2020 | 23% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 27% | -5% | -8% | -20%
    54
    | 22/04/2020 | 23% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 28% | 3% | -3% | 14%
    55
    | 23/04/2020 | 22% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 28% | 4% | 9% | 36%
    56
    | 24/04/2020 | 22% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 24%
    57
    | 25/04/2020 | 22% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 26% | -5% | -3% | -8%
    58
    | 26/04/2020 | 21% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 27% | 7% | 15% | 4%
    59
    | 27/04/2020 | 21% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 26% | 3% | 11% | 2%
    60
    | 28/04/2020 | 21% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 25% | -2% | 5% | 0%

    ▲ = Daily case increase averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1
    ■ = Daily case reporting change averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1


    Northern Ireland Statistics:-

    Day
    |
    Date
    |
    Cases
    |
    New Cases
    |
    Total Cases
    |
    Case Increase
    |
    Reporting Increase
    |
    New Deaths
    |
    Total Deaths
    |
    % Increase
    |
    CFR
    | Population %
    1
    |
    29/02/2020
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    2
    |
    01/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    3
    |
    02/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    4
    |
    03/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    5
    |
    04/03/2020
    |
    1
    |
    2
    |
    3
    |
    200%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    6
    |
    05/03/2020
    |
    3
    |
    0
    |
    3
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    7
    |
    06/03/2020
    |
    3
    |
    1
    |
    4
    |
    33%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    8
    |
    07/03/2020
    |
    4
    |
    3
    |
    7
    |
    75%
    |
    200%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.000%
    9
    |
    08/03/2020
    |
    7
    |
    5
    |
    12
    |
    71%
    |
    67%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.001%
    10
    |
    09/03/2020
    |
    12
    |
    0
    |
    12
    |
    0%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.001%
    11
    |
    10/03/2020
    |
    12
    |
    4
    |
    16
    |
    33%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.001%
    12
    |
    11/03/2020
    |
    16
    |
    2
    |
    18
    |
    13%
    |
    -50%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.001%
    13
    |
    12/03/2020
    |
    18
    |
    2
    |
    20
    |
    11%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.001%
    14
    |
    13/03/2020
    |
    20
    |
    9
    |
    29
    |
    45%
    |
    350%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.002%
    15
    |
    14/03/2020
    |
    29
    |
    5
    |
    34
    |
    17%
    |
    -44%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.002%
    16
    |
    15/03/2020
    |
    34
    |
    11
    |
    45
    |
    32%
    |
    120%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.002%
    17
    |
    16/03/2020
    |
    45
    |
    7
    |
    52
    |
    16%
    |
    -36%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.003%
    18
    |
    17/03/2020
    |
    52
    |
    10
    |
    62
    |
    19%
    |
    43%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.003%
    19
    |
    18/03/2020
    |
    62
    |
    6
    |
    68
    |
    10%
    |
    -40%
    |
    0
    |
    0
    |
    N/A
    |
    N/A
    | 0.004%
    20
    |
    19/03/2020
    |
    68
    |
    9
    |
    77
    |
    13%
    |
    50%
    |
    1
    |
    1
    |
    N/A
    |
    1.3%
    | 0.004%
    21
    |
    20/03/2020
    |
    77
    |
    9
    |
    86
    |
    12%
    |
    0%
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    100%
    |
    1.2%
    | 0.005%
    22
    |
    21/03/2020
    |
    86
    |
    22
    |
    108
    |
    26%
    |
    144%
    |
    0
    |
    1
    |
    100%
    |
    0.9%
    | 0.006%
    23
    |
    22/03/2020
    |
    108
    |
    20
    |
    128
    |
    19%
    |
    -9%
    |
    1
    |
    2
    |
    100%
    |
    1.6%
    | 0.007%
    24
    |
    23/03/2020
    |
    128
    |
    20
    |
    148
    |
    16%
    |
    0%
    |
    1
    |
    3
    |
    50%
    |
    2.0%
    | 0.008%
    25
    |
    24/03/2020
    |
    148
    |
    24
    |
    172
    |
    16%
    |
    20%
    |
    2
    |
    5
    |
    67%
    |
    2.9%
    | 0.009%
    26
    |
    25/03/2020
    |
    172
    |
    37
    |
    209
    |
    22%
    |
    54%
    |
    2
    |
    7
    |
    40%
    |
    3.3%
    | 0.011%
    27
    |
    26/03/2020
    |
    209
    |
    32
    |
    241
    |
    15%
    |
    -14%
    |
    3
    |
    10
    |
    43%
    |
    4.1%
    | 0.013%
    28
    |
    27/03/2020
    |
    241
    |
    34
    |
    275
    |
    14%
    |
    6%
    |
    3
    |
    13
    |
    30%
    |
    4.7%
    | 0.014%
    29
    |
    28/03/2020
    |
    275
    |
    49
    |
    324
    |
    18%
    |
    44%
    |
    2
    |
    15
    |
    15%
    |
    4.6%
    | 0.017%
    30
    |
    29/03/2020
    |
    324
    |
    86
    |
    410
    |
    27%
    |
    76%
    |
    6
    |
    21
    |
    40%
    |
    5.1%
    | 0.021%
    31
    |
    30/03/2020
    |
    410
    |
    123
    |
    533
    |
    30%
    |
    43%
    |
    1
    |
    22
    |
    5%
    |
    4.1%
    | 0.028%
    32
    |
    31/03/2020
    |
    533
    |
    53
    |
    586
    |
    10%
    |
    -57%
    |
    6
    |
    28
    |
    27%
    |
    4.8%
    | 0.031%
    33
    |
    01/04/2020
    |
    586
    |
    103
    |
    689
    |
    18%
    |
    94%
    |
    2
    |
    30
    |
    7%
    |
    4.4%
    | 0.036%
    34
    |
    02/04/2020
    |
    689
    |
    85
    |
    774
    |
    12%
    |
    -17%
    |
    6
    |
    36
    |
    20%
    |
    4.7%
    | 0.041%
    35
    |
    03/04/2020
    |
    774
    |
    130
    |
    904
    |
    17%
    |
    53%
    |
    12
    |
    48
    |
    33%
    |
    5.3%
    | 0.047%
    36
    |
    04/04/2020
    |
    904
    |
    94
    |
    998
    |
    10%
    |
    -28%
    |
    8
    |
    56
    |
    17%
    |
    5.6%
    | 0.052%
    37
    |
    05/04/2020
    |
    998
    |
    91
    |
    1089
    |
    9%
    |
    -3%
    |
    7
    |
    63
    |
    13%
    |
    5.8%
    | 0.057%
    38
    |
    06/04/2020
    |
    1089
    |
    69
    |
    1158
    |
    6%
    |
    -24%
    |
    7
    |
    70
    |
    11%
    |
    6.0%
    | 0.061%
    39
    |
    07/04/2020
    |
    1158
    |
    97
    |
    1255
    |
    8%
    |
    41%
    |
    3
    |
    73
    |
    4%
    |
    5.8%
    | 0.066%
    40
    |
    08/04/2020
    |
    1255
    |
    84
    |
    1339
    |
    7%
    |
    -13%
    |
    5
    |
    78
    |
    7%
    |
    5.8%
    | 0.070%
    41
    |
    09/04/2020
    |
    1339
    |
    138
    |
    1477
    |
    10%
    |
    64%
    |
    4
    |
    82
    |
    5%
    |
    5.6%
    | 0.077%
    42
    |
    10/04/2020
    |
    1477
    |
    112
    |
    1589
    |
    8%
    |
    -19%
    |
    10
    |
    92
    |
    12%
    |
    5.8%
    | 0.083%
    43
    |
    11/04/2020
    |
    1589
    |
    128
    |
    1717
    |
    8%
    |
    14%
    |
    15
    |
    107
    |
    16%
    |
    6.2%
    | 0.090%
    44
    |
    12/04/2020
    |
    1717
    |
    89
    |
    1806


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,543 ✭✭✭Dante7


    froog wrote: »
    I wonder have any of the mask brigade here actually worn one? If they did they would know they are not face fit tight, when you breath your droplets are still going all over the place and it offers little to no protection to you from others.

    Unless everyone wears full face fitted respirators which is not practical.

    You are talking through your hoop.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Government was told yesterday that the department of social protection and department of business are both out of budget in June, the whole budget for the year gone. Now I'm sure some people on here will say they can just borrow, yes they can borrow but they cant borrow indefinitely, we've already borrowed and its unsustainable going forward.
    Given the minister for finance was yesterday urging for more business to be allowed to reopen there is now quite clearly a point where dept of finance says economy must be allowed to reopen. Minster for finances press conference was pretty bleak I just get the feeling its alot more bleaker than he said at the time.

    It mirrors what the frence prime minister said yesterday, they were starting to relax restrictions to get back to some normality in order to save the economy from ruin.

    People dont seem to get that a tanking economy = less public health funding which impacts the health service ability to fight the virus


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd




  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭Snow Garden


    Government was told yesterday that the department of social protection and department of business are both out of budget in June, the whole budget for the year gone. Now I'm sure some people on here will say they can just borrow, yes they can borrow but they cant borrow indefinitely, we've already borrowed and its unsustainable going forward.
    Given the minister for finance was yesterday urging for more business to be allowed to reopen there is now quite clearly a point where dept of finance says economy must be allowed to reopen. Minster for finances press conference was pretty bleak I just get the feeling its alot more bleaker than he said at the time.

    It mirrors what the frence prime minister said yesterday, they were starting to relax restrictions to get back to some normality in order to save the economy from ruin.

    People dont seem to get that a tanking economy = less public health funding which impacts the health service ability to fight the virus

    Yep. I am hearing that it was Coveney that was arguing strongly in favour of opening up the economy. His point is that the health system will be impacted even more if we do not get the economy moving again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    It's shocking to see rain.

    It is, this must be one of the longest periods without rain in Dublin for a very very long time?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,463 ✭✭✭shinzon


    People dont seem to get that a tanking economy = less public health funding which impacts the health service ability to fight the virus

    Its the economy or lives its as simple as that when it comes down to it, pulling the trigger to soon and cases spike and over runs the health system and it doesn't matter what funding is available that happens and were in a far worse position.

    But loosening restrictions to see what happens only to go back into some form of lockdown when cases spike and they will would be far more damaging then what were doing now.

    Shin


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    wakka12 wrote: »

    Just jealousy that they will have better vit D levels!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭Snow Garden


    shinzon wrote: »
    Its the economy or lives its as simple as that when it comes down to it, pulling the trigger to soon and cases spike and over runs the health system and it doesn't matter what funding is available that happens and were in a far worse position.

    But loosening restrictions to see what happens only to go back into some form of lockdown when cases spike and they will would be far more damaging then what were doing now.

    Shin

    That's just simplistic waffle to be brutally honest. Easy to say but essentially adds nothing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,347 ✭✭✭Wombatman


    The standard way, divided yesterday by today

    Thanks.

    The Imperial College models have us at a much higher transmission rate. Nolan has us much lower.

    511279.png

    https://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19-short-term-forecasts/index.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    Ger Roe wrote: »
    Maybe if we seeded the clouds with liquid soap, it would break down the virus and wash it away?. Anyone got Donald Trump's number?

    Brilliant idea. Added benefit would be to trap greenhouse gases.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    That's just simplistic waffle to be brutally honest. Easy to say but essentially adds nothing.

    Agreed. We need something more targeted than shutting down the entire economy to protect categories such as those in nursing homes.
    We are almost in full lockdown now and still nursing homes are not given the resources they need as shown on last nights Prime Time.
    What is the point of locking everyone down if you can't even protect nursing homes during that lockdown. A more targetted approach is needed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    Government was told yesterday that the department of social protection and department of business are both out of budget in June, the whole budget for the year gone. Now I'm sure some people on here will say they can just borrow, yes they can borrow but they cant borrow indefinitely, we've already borrowed and its unsustainable going forward.

    Stop paying the €350 to those that were working for less.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,527 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    Wombatman wrote: »
    Thanks.

    The Imperial College models have us at a much higher transmission rate. Nolan has us much lower.

    511279.png

    https://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19-short-term-forecasts/index.html

    So we have a higher R0 than Sweden who are largely going down the herd immunity route. I'm guessing that's because of the traditional low level of occupancy in Swedish households.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,347 ✭✭✭Wombatman


    The standard way, divided yesterday by today

    So your R value can never go below 1?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    Downlinz wrote: »
    https://www.thejournal.ie/face-masks-ireland-5086682-Apr2020/

    It's telling that in finally acknowledging the importance of facemasks Holohan adds: "If we were to introduce such a measure, we would have to be very clear that we want to protect healthcare grade masks of all kinds for use in healthcare settings"

    It was obvious from the beginning that masks would be helpful for anyone to reduce the risk of inhaling infected droplets but he and the hse downplayed and even lied to prevent a rush on supplies from the public that would endanger healthcare workers. An understandable concern but deeply worrying that they would just outright lie to the public like that.
    I've generally been supportive of the HSE direction throughout this but they dropped the ball for their position on masks in a major way and their crawl down is happening slowly as well compared to the rest of the world where masks were integrated weeks ago.

    https://www2.hse.ie/conditions/coronavirus/protect-yourself.html
    example: "Wearing a mask is unlikely to be of any benefit if you are not sick."

    How many lives could have been saved if they protected healthcare grade masks in February and told the general public to wear cotton or homemade masks? It'll be a battle now to even get the Irish public to wear them since many still believe the lies that they don't do anything to prevent you from contracting covid.
    Glad to see the HSE have niw added sogns of a stroke or heart attack to that page. I dont remember seeing them early on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,774 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    Wombatman wrote: »
    So your R value can never go below 1?

    Should be dividing today by yesterday!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 306 ✭✭Just Saying


    Government was told yesterday that the department of social protection and department of business are both out of budget in June, the whole budget for the year gone. Now I'm sure some people on here will say they can just borrow, yes they can borrow but they cant borrow indefinitely, we've already borrowed and its unsustainable going forward.
    Given the minister for finance was yesterday urging for more business to be allowed to reopen there is now quite clearly a point where dept of finance says economy must be allowed to reopen. Minster for finances press conference was pretty bleak I just get the feeling its alot more bleaker than he said at the time.

    It mirrors what the frence prime minister said yesterday, they were starting to relax restrictions to get back to some normality in order to save the economy from ruin.

    People dont seem to get that a tanking economy = less public health funding which impacts the health service ability to fight the virus

    Its not actually true to say that a tanking economy means less public health funding.The ability to borrow at very low rates means fighting the virus will not suffer from lack of funds.

    However with vast amounts of money being pumped into economies the prospect of inflation is very real.With any sustained period of inflation comes the prospect of increased borrowing costs which obviously would have a massive impact on us because of our very large level of public debt going into this crisis.

    On a more general note I think it's fairly obvious what the strategy of NPHET is.The want to get the R0 well below 1 and then closely monitor the effect on the R0 of any easing.The need wriggle room in case the increase is more than anticipated.They will definitely err on the side of caution as the tools which got the R0 below 1 might not be as effective second time round.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,148 ✭✭✭amadangomor


    Need to have emergency chiropractic session and will have to drive quite a distance. Worth notifying my local Garda station before hand?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,525 ✭✭✭Curious_Case


    Agreed. We need something more targeted than shutting down the entire economy to protect categories such as those in nursing homes.
    We are almost in full lockdown now and still nursing homes are not given the resources they need as shown on last nights Prime Time.
    What is the point of locking everyone down if you can't even protect nursing homes during that lockdown. A more targetted approach is needed.

    Well said, I think people are beginning to realise that just because we can shut down for 2 months doesn't mean we can do 4.

    Either way, I suppose restrictions will continue until financial cracks begin to show and it becomes obvious that all services require funding (doctors, nurses, gardaí, military personnel, civil servants, etc. have to be paid).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Need to have emergency chiropractic session and will have to drive quite a distance. Worth notifying my local Garda station before hand?
    Sure and maybe have evidence to hand? Letter/email?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,774 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    The other thing that seems striking is the fact that over half of the mortality is occurring in nursing homes. How can the lockdown have any effect whatsoever in protecting those residents?

    Pretty much almost every nation has had a care home calamity, sadly.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Well said, I think people are beginning to realise that just because we can shut down for 2 months doesn't mean we can do 4.

    Either way, I suppose restrictions will continue until financial cracks begin to show and it becomes obvious that all services require funding (doctors, nurses, gardaí, military personnel, civil servants, etc. have to be paid).

    Financial cracks are showing, dept of social protection and dept of business are out of money in June, budgets gone. New budgets for the departments would require a government in place to approve.


This discussion has been closed.
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