Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

Beasty · 2020-04-10 21:56:57

Can everyone pay attention to the mod warnings set out below. In particular please remain civil to each other Thread I Thread II Thread III Thread IV Thread V Thread VI Thread VII Thread VIII Thread IX Thread X Thread XI Thread XII Thread XIII Thread XIV Mod warnings – I have condensed these given the size the OP has…

Comments

#6752 16-04-2020 08:16PM

bettyoleary

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Dr. Bre wrote: »

Remember when the homeless crisis was headline news

Well a lot of the homeless people have actually got apartments now in Dublin anyway. Peter McVerry was putting them into empty holiday rentals. They are delighted. At least one good thing.

0
#6753 16-04-2020 08:17PM

podgeandrodge

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If "growth in the community is close to zero", can we equate that to there being no significant risk going to the supermarket? Some have said there are big risks in doing so, but there have not been many cases of staff falling sick that we know of.

0
#6754 16-04-2020 08:17PM

Coyote

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Mic 1972 wrote: »

OK, I'm only comparing number of infected people here, I'm not looking at death rate.
Italy and Ireland are almost at the same level in terms of infected people per million, that's where the comparison stands
Regarding the death rate you are correct, we are doing much better in Ireland compared to Italy or other countries, like Spain. That's another analysis all together

Hi Mic 1972

the numbers reports are close, but death rate is harder to hide. look at SK or Singapore and you will see that places that test a lot see that 1.5% even 2-3% of deaths as a % of cases, when you test people affected with symptoms you get more cases but death rate, the death rate will be the same, people will die if they are tested or not or reported in cases.

the true number of people who got covid19 are the % of people who die. that % of people who die might be 1,2,3,4% but it should not be Italy 13% rate of death.

Regards

Coyote

@Refractions i'm sorry if it offends you, I try to treat everyone on boards with respect and reply giving there idea/response a fair and polite reply, it might be an old idea but i still follow it, the web might be a bit nicer if more people did it.

0
#6755 16-04-2020 08:19PM

woohoo!!!

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Dr. Bre wrote: »

Remember when the homeless crisis was headline news

No matter what way you construe it, your comment is just ugly

0
#6756 16-04-2020 08:19PM

Mwengwe

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Funsterdelux wrote: »

I wouldnt, you just dont know how your body's immune system will react. Im mid 30s and I wouldnt fancy it.

I feel kind of the same but I'm getting increasingly fatalistic about catching it as the people I live with don't give a **** and take no precautions.

0
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#6757 16-04-2020 08:20PM

New Home

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bettyoleary wrote: »

The hospitals would be over run if all the infected sick patients who needed advanced care from nursing homes were in hospital. And, they should be . They deserve a chance too. They are not all seriously ill with underlying conditions. They have a right at a chance the same as any of us.

Thank you. It gives me hope to see that someone gets this.

0
#6758 16-04-2020 08:20PM

podgeandrodge

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Question re restrictions - I have an elderly aunt i.e. well over 70, living about 6km away, whose broadband has gone down (and I suspect it is not an issue with her provider). Would it be acceptable to the Gardaí if I travelled to fix such a problem.

Before people say wtf etc, she is alone and without broadband the world would become a very small place.

Thanks.

Or, as coyote says,

Regards
podgeandrodge

0
#6759 16-04-2020 08:21PM

moonage

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Posts: 843

tobefrank321 wrote: »

I think we have two choices come May 5th. There is probably no point going for a holding middle ground until a vaccine comes along which realistically could be 12-18 months away at the earliest.

1. Enforce the lockdown even more - go for an Wuhan/Hong Kong/Taiwan attempt at eliminating it completely. This might mean two whole months of extreme measures, far more extreme than anything so far - also includes shutting the NI border, shutting down all civilian air traffic and particularly shutting down civilian traffic on ferries (we know from the Birr funeral what a joke the ferry issue is). Isolate away from their familes all positive cases, use mobile phone location to track cases, etc

2. Lift the lockdown and let it run its course - cocooning as best we can for the next year those in the vulnerable categories and identifying as best we can those most susceptible such as those in the obese or diabetes categories. Let everyone else return to work. Even encourage the spread with the renewal of sports events and the likes - aim for gradually increasing herd immunity in the longer term.

The holding pattern we are in right now is just not sustainable from an economic or social point of view. It has to be one of the options I mentioned, either go for more restrictions to try stamp it out fully and after that restrict and quarantine visitors to the country, or else allow it run its course.

It will be virtually impossible to stop the spread of the virus, so Option 1 won't work.

Option 2 seems the most logical and practical solution. Allow it to spread in as controlled a manner as possible by gradually lifting restictions, while shielding the most vulnerable. Herd immunity is our best hope—a vaccine is a long way off if it can be developed at all and even then it mightn't be particularly effective (like the flu vaccine).

0
#6760 16-04-2020 08:22PM

JP Liz V1

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castletownman wrote: »

Remember when Sinn Fein won all those seats in the General Election and people were saying the country was f*cked?

That was gas.

Really Dougal

0
#6761 16-04-2020 08:22PM

coastwatch

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podgeandrodge wrote: »

Question re restrictions - I have an elderly aunt i.e. well over 70, living about 6km away, whose broadband has gone down (and I suspect it is not an issue with her provider). Would it be acceptable to the Gardaí if I travelled to fix such a problem.

Before people say wtf etc, she is alone and without broadband the world would become a very small place.

Thanks.

Or, as coyote says,

Regards
podgeandrodge

Go for it. It's an essential service now.

0
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#6762 16-04-2020 08:23PM

Dr. Bre

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woohoo!!! wrote: »

No matter what way you construe it, your comment is just ugly

You missed my point unfortunately. I wasn’t being ugly

0
#6763 16-04-2020 08:24PM

Iamabeliever

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Ace2007 wrote: »

Are you being serious?

Mortality rates - deaths (tested positive)/Total population tested

Mortality rate - deaths/total number of infection across pop

0
#6764 16-04-2020 08:24PM

Wombatman

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DevilsHaircut wrote: »

Philip Nolan's/NPHET's modelling data from today's briefing.

https://www.gov.ie/en/news/7e0924-latest-updates-on-covid-19-coronavirus/#view-the-latest-modelling-data

No data here. Just some pretty poor charts with little or no background information.

0
#6765 16-04-2020 08:24PM

Mic 1972

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podgeandrodge wrote: »

Question re restrictions - I have an elderly aunt i.e. well over 70, living about 6km away, whose broadband has gone down (and I suspect it is not an issue with her provider). Would it be acceptable to the Gardaí if I travelled to fix such a problem.

Before people say wtf etc, she is alone and without broadband the world would become a very small place.

Thanks.

Or, as coyote says,

Regards
podgeandrodge

call the Garda, I did the same a few days ago for another issue and they said it was ok to travel

0
#6766 16-04-2020 08:26PM

UrbanFret

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How can this be conducive to flattening the curve?
https://www.newstalk.com/news/covid-19-workers-brought-ireland-pick-seasonal-fruits-1001269

0
#6767 16-04-2020 08:26PM

niallo27

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Funsterdelux wrote: »

I wouldnt, you just dont know how your body's immune system will react. Im mid 30s and I wouldnt fancy it.

That's the thing, personally I would fancy my chances with it.

0
#6768 16-04-2020 08:27PM

JP Liz V1

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Coyote wrote: »

Regards

Coyote

@Refractions i'm sorry if it offends you, I try to treat everyone on boards with respect and reply giving there idea/response a fair and polite reply, it might be an old idea but i still follow it, the web might be a bit nicer if more people did it.

Coyote stay as you are being polite and nice

Regards

Liz

I appreciate and welcome your posts and comments

0
#6769 16-04-2020 08:29PM

GM228

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Ireland Coronavirus Statistics - Day 48 – Thursday 16/04/2020
All data is cumulative

Day
|
Date
|
Cases
|
New Cases
|
Total Cases
|
Case Increase
|
Reporting Increase
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
Deaths daily increase
|
CFR
|
New Hosp
|
Total Hosp
|
Hosp %
|
Hosp daily increase
|
New ICU
|
Total ICU
|
ICU %
|
ICU daily increase
|
Recovered**
|
Recovery %
|
Population
| Active Cases***

1
|
29/02/2020
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

2
|
01/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

3
|
02/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

4
|
03/03/2020
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
100.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 2

5
|
04/03/2020
|
2
|
4
|
6
|
200.00%
|
300.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 6

6
|
05/03/2020
|
6
|
7
|
13
|
116.67%
|
75.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 13

7
|
06/03/2020
|
13
|
5
|
18
|
38.46%
|
-28.57%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 18

8
|
07/03/2020
|
18
|
1
|
19
|
5.56%
|
-80.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 19

9
|
08/03/2020
|
19
|
2
|
21
|
10.53%
|
100.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 21

10
|
09/03/2020
|
21
|
3
|
24
|
14.29%
|
50.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 24

11
|
10/03/2020
|
24
|
10
|
34
|
41.67%
|
233.33%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 34

12
|
11/03/2020
|
34
|
9
|
43
|
26.47%
|
-10.00%
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
2.33%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 42

13
|
12/03/2020
|
43
|
27
|
70
|
62.79%
|
200.00%
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
1.43%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 69

14
|
13/03/2020
|
70
|
20
|
90
|
28.57%
|
-25.93%
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
1.11%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.002%
| 89

15
|
14/03/2020
|
90
|
39
|
129
|
43.33%
|
95.00%
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
1.55%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.003%
| 127

16
|
15/03/2020
|
129
|
40
|
169
|
31.01%
|
2.56%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
1.18%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.003%
| 167

17
|
16/03/2020
|
169
|
54
|
223
|
31.95%
|
35.00%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
0.90%
|
84
|
84
|
37.67%
|
N/A
|
84
|
6
|
2.69%
|
N/A
|
5
|
2.24%
|
0.005%
| 216

18
|
17/03/2020
|
223
|
69
|
292
|
30.94%
|
27.78%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
0.68%
|
24
|
108
|
36.99%
|
29%
|
1
|
7
|
2.40%
|
17%
|
5
|
1.71%
|
0.006%
| 285

19
|
18/03/2020
|
292
|
74
|
366
|
25.34%
|
7.25%
|
0
|
2
|
0%
|
0.55%
|
32
|
140
|
38.25%
|
30%
|
5
|
12
|
3.28%
|
71%
|
5
|
1.37%
|
0.007%
| 359

20
|
19/03/2020
|
366
|
191
|
557
|
52.19%
|
158.11%
|
1
|
3
|
50%
|
0.54%
|
33
|
173
|
31.06%
|
24%
|
1
|
13
|
2.33%
|
8%
|
5
|
0.90%
|
0.011%
| 549

21
|
20/03/2020
|
557
|
126
|
683
|
22.62%
|
-34.03%
|
0
|
3
|
0%
|
0.44%
|
38
|
211
|
30.89%
|
22%
|
4
|
17
|
2.49%
|
31%
|
5
|
0.73%
|
0.014%
| 675

22
|
21/03/2020
|
683
|
102
|
785
|
14.93%
|
-19.05%
|
0
|
3
|
33%
|
0.38%
|
28
|
239
|
30.45%
|
13%
|
8
|
25
|
3.18%
|
47%
|
5
|
0.64%
|
0.016%
| 777

23
|
22/03/2020
|
785
|
121
|
906
|
15.41%
|
18.63%
|
1
|
4
|
33%
|
0.44%
|
38
|
277
|
30.57%
|
16%
|
11
|
36
|
3.97%
|
44%
|
5
|
0.55%
|
0.018%
| 897

24
|
23/03/2020
|
906
|
219
|
1125
|
24.17%
|
80.99%
|
2
|
6
|
50%
|
0.53%
|
28
|
305
|
27.11%
|
10%
|
3
|
39
|
3.47%
|
8%
|
5
|
0.44%
|
0.023%
| 1114

25
|
24/03/2020
|
1125
|
204
|
1329
|
18.13%
|
-6.85%
|
1
|
7
|
17%
|
0.53%
|
35
|
340
|
25.58%
|
11%
|
8
|
47
|
3.54%
|
21%
|
5
|
0.38%
|
0.027%
| 1317

26
|
25/03/2020
|
1329
|
235
|
1564
|
17.68%
|
15.20%
|
2
|
9
|
29%
|
0.58%
|
79
|
419
|
26.79%
|
23%
|
12
|
59
|
3.77%
|
26%
|
5
|
0.32%
|
0.032%
| 1550

27
|
26/03/2020
|
1564
|
255
|
1819
|
16.30%
|
8.51%
|
10
|
19
|
111%
|
1.04%
|
70
|
489
|
26.88%
|
17%
|
8
|
67
|
3.68%
|
14%
|
5
|
0.27%
|
0.037%
| 1795

28
|
27/03/2020
|
1819
|
302
|
2121
|
16.60%
|
18.43%
|
3
|
22
|
16%
|
1.04%
|
75
|
564
|
26.59%
|
15%
|
10
|
77
|
3.63%
|
15%
|
5
|
0.24%
|
0.043%
| 2094

29
|
28/03/2020
|
2121
|
294
|
2415
|
13.86%
|
-2.65%
|
14
|
36
|
64%
|
1.49%
|
81
|
645
|
26.71%
|
14%
|
7
|
84
|
3.48%
|
9%
|
5
|
0.21%
|
0.049%
| 2374

30
|
29/03/2020
|
2415
|
200
|
2615
|
8.28%
|
-31.97%
|
10
|
46
|
28%
|
1.76%
|
58
|
703
|
26.88%
|
9%
|
29
|
113
|
4.32%
|
35%
|
5
|
0.19%
|
0.053%
| 2564

31
|
30/03/2020
|
2615
|
295
|
2910
|
11.28%
|
47.50%
|
8
|
54
|
17%
|
1.86%
|
131
|
834
|
28.66%
|
19%
|
13
|
126
|
4.33%
|
12%
|
5
|
0.17%
|
0.059%
| 2851

32
|
31/03/2020
|
2910
|
325
|
3235
|
11.17%
|
10.17%
|
17
|
71
|
31%
|
2.19%
|
98
|
932
|
28.81%
|
12%
|
8
|
134
|
4.14%
|
6%
|
25
|
0.77%
|
0.066%
| 3139

33
|
01/04/2020
|
3235
|
212
|
3447
|
6.55%
|
-34.77%
|
14
|
85
|
20%
|
2.47%
|
107
|
1039
|
30.14%
|
11%
|
14
|
148
|
4.29%
|
10%
|
25
|
0.73%
|
0.070%
| 3337

34
|
02/04/2020
|
3447
|
402
|
3849
|
11.66%
|
89.62%
|
13
|
98
|
15%
|
2.55%
|
79
|
1118
|
29.05%
|
8%
|
10
|
158
|
4.10%
|
7%
|
25
|
0.65%
|
0.078%
| 3726

35
|
03/04/2020
|
3849
|
424
|
4273
|
11.02%
|
5.47%
|
22
|
120
|
22%
|
2.81%
|
85
|
1203
|
28.15%
|
8%
|
7
|
165
|
3.86%
|
4%
|
25
|
0.59%
|
0.087%
| 4128

36
|
04/04/2020
|
4273
|
331
|
4604
|
7.75%
|
-21.93%
|
17
|
137
|
14%
|
2.98%
|
62
|
1265
|
27.48%
|
5%
|
4
|
169
|
3.67%
|
2%
|
25
|
0.54%
|
0.094%
| 4442

37
|
05/04/2020
|
4604
|
390
|
4994
|
8.47%
|
17.82%
|
21
|
158
|
15%
|
3.16%
|
80
|
1345
|
26.93%
|
6%
|
25
|
194
|
3.88%
|
15%
|
25
|
0.50%
|
0.101%
| 4811

38
|
06/04/2020
|
4994
|
370
|
5364
|
7.41%
|
-5.13%
|
16
|
174
|
10%
|
3.24%
|
127
|
1472
|
27.44%
|
9%
|
30
|
224
|
4.18%
|
15%
|
25
|
0.47%
|
0.109%
| 5165

39
|
07/04/2020
|
5364
|
345
|
5709
|
6.43%
|
-6.76%
|
36
|
210
|
21%
|
3.68%
|
49
|
1521
|
26.64%
|
3%
|
6
|
230
|
4.03%
|
3%
|
25
|
0.44%
|
0.116%
| 5474

40
|
08/04/2020
|
5709
|
365
|
6074
|
6.39%
|
5.80%
|
25
|
235
|
12%
|
3.87%
|
110
|
1631
|
26.85%
|
7%
|
14
|
244
|
4.02%
|
6%
|
25
|
0.41%
|
0.123%
| 5814

41
|
09/04/2020
|
6074
|
500
|
6574
|
8.23%
|
36.99%
|
28
|
263
|
12%
|
4.00%
|
87
|
1718
|
26.13%
|
5%
|
9
|
253
|
3.85%
|
4%
|
25
|
0.38%
|
0.134%
| 6286

42*
|
10/04/2020
|
6574
|
1515
|
8089
|
23.05%
|
203.00%
|
24
|
287
|
9%
|
3.55%
|
59
|
1777
|
21.97%
|
3%
|
8
|
261
|
3.23%
|
3%
|
25
|
0.31%
|
0.164%
| 7777

43*
|
11/04/2020
|
8089
|
839
|
8928
|
10.37%
|
-44.62%
|
33
|
320
|
11%
|
3.58%
|
72
|
1849
|
20.71%
|
4%
|
7
|
268
|
3.00%
|
3%
|
25
|
0.28%
|
0.181%
| 8583

44*
|
12/04/2020
|
8928
|
727
|
9655
|
8.14%
|
-13.35%
|
14
|
334
|
4%
|
3.46%
|
54
|
1903
|
19.71%
|
3%
|
7
|
275
|
2.85%
|
3%
|
25
|
0.26%
|
0.196%
| 9296

45*
|
13/04/2020
|
9655
|
992
|
10647
|
10.27%
|
36.45%
|
31
|
365
|
9%
|
3.43%
|
65
|
1968
|
18.48%
|
3%
|
5
|
280
|
2.63%
|
2%
|
25
|
0.23%
|
0.216%
| 10257

46*
|
14/04/2020
|
10647
|
832
|
11479
|
7.81%
|
-16.13%
|
41
|
406
|
11%
|
3.54%
|
58
|
2026
|
17.65%
|
3%
|
4
|
284
|
2.47%
|
1%
|
25
|
0.22%
|
0.233%
| 11048

47*
|
15/04/2020
|
11479
|
1068
|
12547
|
9.30%
|
28.37%
|
38
|
444
|
9%
|
3.54%
|
0
|
2026
|
16.15%
|
0%
|
0
|
284
|
2.26%
|
0%
|
77
|
0.61%
|
0.255%
| 12026

48*
|
16/04/2020
|
12547
|
724
|
13271
|
5.77%
|
-32.21%
|
43
|
486
|
9%
|
3.67%
|
0
|
2026
|
15.27%
|
0%
|
0
|
284
|
2.14%
|
0%
|
77
|
0.58%
|
0.270%
| 12707

CFR = Case fatality rate
NR = Not reported

Source: Department of Health and the Health Protection Surveillance Centre.

* Daily increase numbers on these dates represent both new cases and older cases reported from Germany which results in skewed daily % increases and average case reporting % changes, numbers are broken down as:-
Day|Date|New Irish Cases|German Cases
42|10/04/20|480|1035
43|11/04/20|553|286
44|12/04/20|430|297
45|13/04/20| 527|465
46|14/04/20|548|284
47|15/04/20|657|411
48|16/04/20|629|95

** "Recovered" rates are not reported by the Department of Health in the above link, these figures are taken from the Worldmeters and Johns Hopkins websites which use data supplied by the DoT to the ECDC under the WHO Guidelines for reporting.

Recovered statistics are only be published as "recovered" following two successful tests of being clear of the virus under the WHO reporting guidelines, as a result it is likely the recovered data is skewed. Updated on 15/04/20 - The WHO reporting criteria has been changed recently to eliminate the 2 test requirement before reporting as recovered, now an outcome report is sent within one month of initial notification or when an outcome is known, the available health outcomes are either “recovered/healthy”, “not recovered", “death", “unknown" or “other", weather this helps create more accurate recovery numbers or skews them further is yet to be seen.

*** Due to the above issue with reporting of recovered cases the number of active cases is also likely skewed.

Case increase averages:-

Day
| Date | ▲Day 1 | ▲10 Days | ▲7 days | ▲3 Days | ■ Day 1 | ■ 10 Days | ■ 7 Days | ■ 3 days

1
| 29/02/2020 | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A

2
| 01/03/2020 | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A

3
| 02/03/2020 | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | 0.00% | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | 0.00%

4
| 03/03/2020 | 25.00% | N/A | N/A | 33.33% | 0.00% | N/A | N/A | 0.00%

5
| 04/03/2020 | 60.00% | N/A | N/A | 100.00% | 60.00% | N/A | N/A | 100.00%

6
| 05/03/2020 | 69.44% | N/A | N/A | 138.89% | 62.50% | N/A | N/A | 125.00%

7
| 06/03/2020 | 65.02% | N/A | 65.02% | 118.38% | 49.49% | N/A | 49.49% | 115.48%

8
| 07/03/2020 | 57.59% | N/A | 65.81% | 53.56% | 33.30% | N/A | 38.06% | -11.19%

9
| 08/03/2020 | 52.36% | N/A | 67.32% | 18.18% | 40.71% | N/A | 52.35% | -2.86%

10
| 09/03/2020 | 48.55% | 48.55% | 69.36% | 10.12% | 41.64% | 41.64% | 59.49% | 23.33%

11
| 10/03/2020 | 47.92% | 52.72% | 61.02% | 22.16% | 59.07% | 64.98% | 92.82% | 127.78%

12
| 11/03/2020 | 46.14% | 55.36% | 36.23% | 27.47% | 53.31% | 63.98% | 48.54% | 91.11%

13
| 12/03/2020 | 47.42% | 61.64% | 28.54% | 43.64% | 64.60% | 83.98% | 66.39% | 141.11%

14
| 13/03/2020 | 46.07% | 54.50% | 27.12% | 39.28% | 58.13% | 81.38% | 66.77% | 54.69%

15
| 14/03/2020 | 45.89% | 38.83% | 32.52% | 44.90% | 60.59% | 60.88% | 91.77% | 89.69%

16
| 15/03/2020 | 44.96% | 30.27% | 35.45% | 34.30% | 56.96% | 53.64% | 77.85% | 23.88%

17
| 16/03/2020 | 44.19% | 29.62% | 37.97% | 35.43% | 55.67% | 60.00% | 75.71% | 44.19%

18
| 17/03/2020 | 43.46% | 32.15% | 36.44% | 31.30% | 54.12% | 70.77% | 46.35% | 21.78%

19
| 18/03/2020 | 42.50% | 33.64% | 36.28% | 29.41% | 51.65% | 61.50% | 48.81% | 23.34%

20
| 19/03/2020 | 42.99% | 37.43% | 34.76% | 36.16% | 56.98% | 72.31% | 42.82% | 64.38%

21
| 20/03/2020 | 42.02% | 35.52% | 33.91% | 33.38% | 52.64% | 45.57% | 41.67% | 43.77%

22
| 21/03/2020 | 40.79% | 34.37% | 29.86% | 29.91% | 49.38% | 44.67% | 25.37% | 35.01%

23
| 22/03/2020 | 39.68% | 29.63% | 27.63% | 17.66% | 48.05% | 26.53% | 27.67% | -11.48%

24
| 23/03/2020 | 39.04% | 29.19% | 26.52% | 18.17% | 49.42% | 37.22% | 34.24% | 26.86%

25
| 24/03/2020 | 38.20% | 26.67% | 24.69% | 19.24% | 47.17% | 27.04% | 29.29% | 30.92%

26
| 25/03/2020 | 37.41% | 25.34% | 23.59% | 20.00% | 45.94% | 28.30% | 30.43% | 29.78%

27
| 26/03/2020 | 36.63% | 23.77% | 18.47% | 17.37% | 44.55% | 25.65% | 9.06% | 5.62%

28
| 27/03/2020 | 35.92% | 22.34% | 17.61% | 16.86% | 43.62% | 24.72% | 16.55% | 14.05%

29
| 28/03/2020 | 35.15% | 21.19% | 17.45% | 15.59% | 42.02% | 23.73% | 18.89% | 8.10%

30
| 29/03/2020 | 34.26% | 16.80% | 16.43% | 12.92% | 39.56% | 4.72% | 11.67% | -5.40%

31
| 30/03/2020 | 33.52% | 15.67% | 14.59% | 11.14% | 39.81% | 12.87% | 6.88% | 4.29%

32
| 31/03/2020 | 32.82% | 15.29% | 13.60% | 10.24% | 38.89% | 15.80% | 9.31% | 8.57%

33
| 01/04/2020 | 32.02% | 14.40% | 12.01% | 9.67% | 36.66% | 10.46% | 2.17% | 7.63%

34
| 02/04/2020 | 31.42% | 13.15% | 11.34% | 9.79% | 38.21% | 11.32% | 13.76% | 21.67%

35
| 03/04/2020 | 30.84% | 12.44% | 10.55% | 9.74% | 37.28% | 12.55% | 11.91% | 20.11%

36
| 04/04/2020 | 30.20% | 11.45% | 9.67% | 10.14% | 35.63% | 8.84% | 9.16% | 24.39%

37
| 05/04/2020 | 29.61% | 10.66% | 9.70% | 9.08% | 35.15% | 9.77% | 16.27% | 0.45%

38
| 06/04/2020 | 29.03% | 9.75% | 9.15% | 7.88% | 34.09% | 7.41% | 8.75% | -3.08%

39
| 07/04/2020 | 28.45% | 9.00% | 8.47% | 7.44% | 33.04% | 7.00% | 6.33% | 1.98%

40
| 08/04/2020 | 27.90% | 8.81% | 8.45% | 6.74% | 32.36% | 10.78% | 12.13% | -2.03%

41
| 09/04/2020 | 27.42% | 8.51% | 7.96% | 7.02% | 32.48% | 9.73% | 4.61% | 12.01%

42
| 10/04/2020 | 27.31% | 9.70% | 9.68% | 12.56% | 36.54% | 29.01% | 32.83% | 81.93%

43
| 11/04/2020 | 26.92% | 10.08% | 10.05% | 13.88% | 34.65% | 28.03% | 29.59% | 65.12%

44
| 12/04/2020 | 26.49% | 9.73% | 10.00% | 13.85% | 33.56% | 17.73% | 25.13% | 48.34%

45
| 13/04/2020 | 26.13% | 9.65% | 10.41% | 9.60% | 33.62% | 20.83% | 31.07% | -7.17%

46
| 14/04/2020 | 25.73% | 9.66% | 10.61% | 8.74% | 32.54% | 21.41% | 29.73% | 2.32%

47
| 15/04/2020 | 25.38% | 9.74% | 11.03% | 9.13% | 32.45% | 22.46% | 32.96% | 16.23%

48
| 16/04/2020 | 24.98% | 9.58% | 10.67% | 7.63% | 31.10% | 19.75% | 23.07% | -6.66%

▲ = Daily case increase averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1
■ = Daily case reporting change averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1

Northern Ireland Statistics:-

Day
|
Date
|
Cases
|
New Cases
|
Total Cases
|
Case Increase
|
Reporting Increase
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
% Increase
|
CFR
| Population %

1
|
29/02/2020
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

2
|
01/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

3
|
02/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

4
|
03/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

5
|
04/03/2020
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
200.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

6
|
05/03/2020
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

7
|
06/03/2020
|
3
|
1
|
4
|
33.33%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

8
|
07/03/2020
|
4
|
3
|
7
|
75.00%
|
200.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

9
|
08/03/2020
|
7
|
5
|
12
|
71.43%
|
66.67%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

10
|
09/03/2020
|
12
|
0
|
12
|
0.00%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

11
|
10/03/2020
|
12
|
4
|
16
|
33.33%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

12
|
11/03/2020
|
16
|
2
|
18
|
12.50%
|
-50.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

13
|
12/03/2020
|
18
|
2
|
20
|
11.11%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

14
|
13/03/2020
|
20
|
9
|
29
|
45.00%
|
350.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

15
|
14/03/2020
|
29
|
5
|
34
|
17.24%
|
-44.44%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

16
|
15/03/2020
|
34
|
11
|
45
|
32.35%
|
120.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

17
|
16/03/2020
|
45
|
7
|
52
|
15.56%
|
-36.36%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.003%

18
|
17/03/2020
|
52
|
10
|
62
|
19.23%
|
42.86%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.003%

19
|
18/03/2020
|
62
|
6
|
68
|
9.68%
|
-40.00%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.004%

20
|
19/03/2020
|
68
|
9
|
77
|
13.24%
|
50.00%
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
1.30%
| 0.004%

21
|
20/03/2020
|
77
|
9
|
86
|
11.69%
|
0.00%
|
0
|
1
|
100%
|
1.16%
| 0.005%

22
|
21/03/2020
|
86
|
22
|
108
|
25.58%
|
144.44%
|
0
|
1
|
100%
|
0.93%
| 0.006%

23
|
22/03/2020
|
108
|
20
|
128
|
18.52%
|
-9.09%
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
1.56%
| 0.007%

24
|
23/03/2020
|
128
|
20
|
148
|
15.63%
|
0.00%
|
1
|
3
|
50%
|
2.03%
| 0.008%

25
|
24/03/2020
|
148
|
24
|
172
|
16.22%
|
20.00%
|
2
|
5
|
67%
|
2.91%
| 0.009%

26
|
25/03/2020
|
172
|
37
|
209
|
21.51%
|
54.17%
|
2
|
7
|
40%
|
3.35%
| 0.011%

27
|
26/03/2020
|
209
|
32
|
241
|
15.31%
|
-13.51%
|
3
|
10
|
43%
|
4.15%
| 0.013%

28
|
27/03/2020
|
241
|
34
|
275
|
14.11%
|
6.25%
|
3
|
13
|
30%
|
4.73%
| 0.014%

29
|
28/03/2020
|
275
|
49
|
324
|
17.82%
|
44.12%
|
2
|
15
|
15%
|
4.63%
| 0.017%

30
|
29/03/2020
|
324
|
86
|
410
|
26.54%
|
75.51%
|
6
|
21
|
40%
|
5.12%
| 0.021%

31
|
30/03/2020
|
410
|
123
|
533
|
30.00%
|
43.02%
|
1
|
22
|
5%
|
4.13%
| 0.028%

32
|
31/03/2020
|
533
|
53
|
586
|
9.94%
|
-56.91%
|
6
|
28
|
27%
|
4.78%
| 0.031%

33
|
01/04/2020
|
586
|
103
|
689
|
17.58%
|
94.34%
|
2
|
30
|
7%
|
4.35%
| 0.036%

34
|
02/04/2020
|
689
|
85
|
774
|
12.34%
|
-17.48%
|
6
|
36
|
20%
|
4.65%
| 0.041%

35
|
03/04/2020
|
774
|
130
|
904
|
16.80%
|
52.94%
|
12
|
48
|
33%
|
5.31%
| 0.047%

36
|
04/04/2020
|
904
|
94
|
998
|
10.40%
|
-27.69%
|
8
|
56
|
17%
|
5.61%
| 0.052%

37
|
05/04/2020
|
998
|
91
|
1089
|
9.12%
|
-3.19%
|
7
|
63
|
13%
|
5.79%
| 0.057%

38
|
06/04/2020
|
1089
|
69
|
1158
|
6.34%
|
-24.18%
|
7
|
70
|
11%
|
6.04%
| 0.061%

39
|
07/04/2020
|
1158
|
97
|
1255
|
8.38%
|
40.58%
|
3
|
73
|
4%
|
5.82%
| 0.066%

40
|
08/04/2020
|
1255
|
84
|
1339
|
6.69%
|
-13.40%
|
5
|
78
|
7%
|
5.83%
| 0.070%

41
|
09/04/2020
|
1339
|
138
|
1477
|
10.31%
|
64.29%
|
4
|
82
|
5%
|
5.55%
| 0.077%

42
|
10/04/2020
|
1477
|
112
|
1589
|
7.58%
|
-18.84%
|
10
|
92
|
12%
|
5.79%
| 0.083%

43
|
11/04/2020
|
1589
|
128
|
1717
|
8.06%
|
14.29%
|
15
|
107
|
16%
|
6.23%
| 0.090%

44
|
12/04/2020
|
1717
|
89
|
1806
|
5.18%
|
-30.47%
|
11
|
118
|
10%
|
6.53%
| 0.095%

45
|
13/04/2020
|
1806
|
76
|
1882
|
4.21%
|
-14.61%
|
6
|
124
|
5%
|
6.59%
| 0.098%

46
|
14/04/2020
|
1882
|
85
|
1967
|
4.52%
|
11.84%
|
10
|
134
|
8%
|
6.81%
| 0.103%

47
|
15/04/2020
|
1967
|
121
|
2088
|
6.15%
|
42.35%
|
6
|
140
|
4%
|
6.70%
| 0.109%

48
|
16/04/2020
|
2088
|
113
|
2201
|
5.41%
|
-6.61%
|
18
|
158
|
13%
|
7.18%
| 0.115%

CFR = Case fatality rate

Source: The Public Health Agency for Northern Ireland.

Island of Ireland Statistics:-

Day
|
Date
|

Total cases on the Island of Ireland

| Island of Ireland Population %

1
|
29/02/2020
|
2
| 0.000%

2
|
01/03/2020
|
2
| 0.000%

3
|
02/03/2020
|
2
| 0.000%

4
|
03/03/2020
|
3
| 0.000%

5
|
04/03/2020
|
9
| 0.000%

6
|
05/03/2020
|
16
| 0.000%

7
|
06/03/2020
|
22
| 0.000%

8
|
07/03/2020
|
26
| 0.000%

9
|
08/03/2020
|
33
| 0.000%

10
|
09/03/2020
|
36
| 0.001%

11
|
10/03/2020
|
50
| 0.001%

12
|
11/03/2020
|
61
| 0.001%

13
|
12/03/2020
|
90
| 0.001%

14
|
13/03/2020
|
119
| 0.002%

15
|
14/03/2020
|
163
| 0.002%

16
|
15/03/2020
|
214
| 0.003%

17
|
16/03/2020
|
275
| 0.004%

18
|
17/03/2020
|
354
| 0.005%

19
|
18/03/2020
|
434
| 0.006%

20
|
19/03/2020
|
634
| 0.009%

21
|
20/03/2020
|
769
| 0.011%

22
|
21/03/2020
|
893
| 0.013%

23
|
22/03/2020
|
1034
| 0.015%

24
|
23/03/2020
|
1273
| 0.019%

25
|
24/03/2020
|
1501
| 0.022%

26
|
25/03/2020
|
1773
| 0.026%

27
|
26/03/2020
|
2060
| 0.030%

28
|
27/03/2020
|
2396
| 0.035%

29
|
28/03/2020
|
2739
| 0.040%

30
|
29/03/2020
|
3025
| 0.044%

31
|
30/03/2020
|
3443
| 0.050%

32
|
31/03/2020
|
3821
| 0.056%

33
|
01/04/2020
|
4136
| 0.061%

34
|
02/04/2020
|
4623
| 0.068%

35
|
03/04/2020
|
5177
| 0.076%

36
|
04/04/2020
|
5602
| 0.082%

37
|
05/04/2020
|
6083
| 0.089%

38
|
06/04/2020
|
6522
| 0.095%

39
|
07/04/2020
|
6964
| 0.102%

40
|
08/04/2020
|
7413
| 0.108%

41
|
09/04/2020
|
8051
| 0.118%

42
|
10/04/2020
|
9678
| 0.142%

43
|
11/04/2020
|
10645
| 0.156%

44
|
12/04/2020
|
11461
| 0.168%

45
|
13/04/2020
|
12529
| 0.183%

46
|
14/04/2020
|
13446
| 0.197%

47
|
15/04/2020
|
14635
| 0.214%

48
|
16/04/2020
|
15472
| 0.226%

World Statistics:-

New Cases since 00.01
|
Total Cases
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
Recoveries
|
Active Caes
|
Fatality rate
|
Recovery rate
| World Population %
85,123
|
2,171,554
|
6,239
|
144,858
|
546,272
|
1,480,424
|
6.67%
|
25.16%
| 0.028%

Source: Worldmeters, based on reported numbers @ 21.15.

Animals:-

Animal Type
|
Confirmed
| Suspected
Cat
|
0
| 1
Dog
|
2
| 0
Lion
|
0
| 3
Tiger
|
1
| 5
TOTALS
|
3
| 9
Source: World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE).

Days 1-20 – Saturday 29/02/20-Thursday 19/03/20 Stats
Day 21 - Friday 20/03/20 Stats
Day 22 - Saturday 21/03/20 Stats
Day 23 - Sunday 22/03/20 Stats
Day 24 - Monday 23/03/20 Stats
Day 25 - Tuesday 24/03/20 Stats
Day 26 - Wednesday 25/03/20 Stats
Day 27 - Thursday 26/03/20 Stats
Day 28 - Friday 27/03/20 Stats
Day 29 - Saturday 28/03/20 Stats
Day 30 - Sunday 29/03/20 Stats
Day 31 - Monday 30/03/20 Stats
Day 32 - Tuesday 31/03/20 Stats
Day 33 - Wednesday 01/04/20 Stats
Day 34 - Thursday 02/04/20 Stats
Day 35 - Friday 03/04/20 Stats
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0
#6770 16-04-2020 08:29PM

Mic 1972

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭

Join Date: October 2019

Posts: 3193

Coyote wrote: »

Hi Mic 1972

the numbers reports are close, but death rate is harder to hide. look at SK or Singapore and you will see that places that test a lot see that 1.5% even 2-3% of deaths as a % of cases, when you test people affected with symptoms you get more cases but death rate, the death rate will be the same, people will die if they are tested or not or reported in cases.

the true number of people who got covid19 are the % of people who die. that % of people who die might be 1,2,3,4% but it should not be Italy 13% rate of death.

Regards

Coyote

.

I was only comparing the number of infected people per million with Italy, the number of infected people is not related to deaths. Your reasoning makes sense to me but it's not related to the comparison i was making

0
#6771 16-04-2020 08:30PM

owlbethere

Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭

Join Date: January 2020

Posts: 2291

Some research on halting a cytokine storm:

https://neurosciencenews.com/coronavirus-cytokine-storm-proteins-16180/amp/

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#6772 16-04-2020 08:31PM

Funsterdelux

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭

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Posts: 3278

RIP Brian Dennehy, inventor of Coccooning

0
#6773 16-04-2020 08:33PM

Mwengwe

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 454 ✭✭

Join Date: November 2019

Posts: 454

Sober Crappy Chemis wrote: »

Psssttt ... China might not be telling the truth.

Regardless of what the true stats are from China, it's true that Wuhan has opened back up

0
#6774 16-04-2020 08:33PM

Kermit.de.frog

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,811 ✭✭✭✭

Join Date: April 2014

Posts: 25159

What Merkel told the German population today to prepare them for the long haul

If one person infects one other person, we can cope with that. If one person infects 1.1 people, our system collapses in October. If one person infects 1.2 people, it will collapse in July. And if one person infects 1.3 people, it will collapse in June.

0
#6775 16-04-2020 08:35PM

podgeandrodge

Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭

Join Date: July 2004

Posts: 5669

podgeandrodge wrote: »

If "growth in the community is close to zero", can we equate that to there being no significant risk going to the supermarket? Some have said there are big risks in doing so, but there have not been many cases of staff falling sick that we know of.

Or indeed lack of mask wearing.

How have we reached near zero community growth with the supposed (and I am not disagreeing or agreeing) risks of supermarket and lack of masks? Those 2 elements having been regularly discussed as being the main outstanding risks in the community right now.

0
#6776 16-04-2020 08:35PM

Jinglejangle69

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,367 ✭✭✭

Join Date: December 2019

Posts: 8247

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

What Merkel told the German population today to prepare for the long haul

German people are sensible, efficient and work together.

Irish people on the other hand....

0
#6777 16-04-2020 08:36PM

Jim_Hodge

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,651 ✭✭✭✭

Join Date: February 2020

Posts: 11493

Jinglejangle69 wrote: »

German people are sensible, efficient and work together.

Irish people on the other hand....

Luckily we're not all as you might imagine us,

0
#6778 16-04-2020 08:36PM

woohoo!!!

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 801 ✭✭✭

Join Date: January 2019

Posts: 797

Dr. Bre wrote: »

You missed my point unfortunately. I wasn’t being ugly

We're looking at a (hopefully) once in a century situation. Perhaps there isn't a sufficient word to adequately describe it. The homeless situation, the lack of supply and the rental affordability was correct to describe as a crisis.

It's not a competition nor are they comparable. And it is ugly to diminish one because of the other because I understood your point just fine.

0
#6779 16-04-2020 08:37PM

Coyote

Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,239 ✭✭✭

Join Date: February 1998

Posts: 1044

podgeandrodge wrote: »

Question re restrictions - I have an elderly aunt i.e. well over 70, living about 6km away, whose broadband has gone down (and I suspect it is not an issue with her provider). Would it be acceptable to the Gardaí if I travelled to fix such a problem.

Before people say wtf etc, she is alone and without broadband the world would become a very small place.

Thanks.

Or, as coyote says,

Regards
podgeandrodge

LoL i like it podgeandrodge

to be fair when i'm just posting a question or my update or the daily stats i don't include "Regards".
when i reply to a quote i feel more like i'm replying to a letter or email then I follow what i was taught as polite way to reply even when i disagree with someone(I still might be wrong about the idea) but feel it's less like a flame war and more a disagreement that people could resolve

regarding your questions i think people/police would understand and approve.
from your point i would use any make any mask you can or have as it would be hard to think if a few months if something happen you had not taken every chance to protect her. the risk is very very small but everyone who makes it less is doing there part.

side note i would love to think people started to be more polite on the internet due to me using "Regards" but i would also love to win the lotto. think i have more chance of winning the lotto

Regards

Coyote

0
#6780 16-04-2020 08:37PM

Jinglejangle69

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,367 ✭✭✭

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Posts: 8247

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

Luckily we're not all as you might imagine us,

Hopefully.

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#6781 16-04-2020 08:41PM

Kermit.de.frog

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,811 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 25159

Another 5.24 million Americans filed for unemployment last week

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DW36va2hydo

0

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