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Coronavirus Part III - 9 cases across the Island - 503 errors abound!! *read OP*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    There have been cases of reinfection

    That’s the spirit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    Is there any chance...any chance at all that Italy is a fluke in Europe and nowhere else gets close to their numbers? Literally clutching at straws here...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Hand Sanitizer 50 ml for sale on Donedeal

    Price €55 ...

    Yes thats €55 for 50ml

    I do hope it's a pistake ...

    https://www.donedeal.ie/bathroom-for-sale/hand-sanitizer/24372700


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,111 ✭✭✭babybuilder


    stevek93 wrote: »
    a positive thought if 83% of mild symptoms is true then the majority of cases will get over it and hopefully develop immunity if so then once the vast majority of the population has immunity maybe this then might fizzle out? Correct me if I am wrong but I am seeing just doom a gloom lately and trying to hope for the best.
    What about the remaining 17%? Probably the most vulnerable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 591 ✭✭✭the butcher




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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,181 ✭✭✭CinemaGuy45


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Evidence of reinfection after testing clear - but immunity is still an unknown with figures ranging from 2 weeks to a few months and then you're fair game again

    Plus maybe two strains.

    Corna and Coranlite.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,113 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Waves at Slovenia


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,097 ✭✭✭stevek93


    There have been cases of reinfection

    Yes this has been reported from China also there has been a report of the virus mutating also. But if you catch it again like the flu it isn't something new to you so would you be more likely to milder symptoms second time around?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,460 ✭✭✭Ninthlife


    Loughc wrote: »
    A lad crashed a Van on a cycle path and hit a pedestrian. So yeah totally virus related.

    Cyclepath or pyschopath


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,111 ✭✭✭babybuilder


    stevek93 wrote: »
    a positive thought if 83% of mild symptoms is true then the majority of cases will get over it and hopefully develop immunity if so then once the vast majority of the population has immunity maybe this then might fizzle out? Correct me if I am wrong but I am seeing just doom a gloom lately and trying to hope for the best.
    What about the remaining 17%? Probably the most vulnerable. Octogenarians, people with preexisting conditions.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Situation is evolving rapidly and you should be thinking 2 steps ahead. I find myself in similar situation.

    You should have a plan and update regularly.
    • Has the situation changed?

    If yes you should adopt a stance that is proportional to the risk. We have a cognitive bias when it comes to low probability high impact events. Chances of your kids contracting is still low. However the 6 cases only is bollox Given the incubation period and bias towards people only seeking treatment if and when it gets bad like the last 4 people then that 6 is 6 last week.
    Exponential growth has been observed in every other major national outbreak We would be naive to think that it won't occur here by which time we'll have to adopt drastic measures.
    All official information refers to six confirmed cases. Nobody could possibly expect them to report on what they don't know about yet. There's nobody going around saying there's definitely only six cases in this jurisdiction.

    My point is there are 6 cases which have manifested now and given the longer incubation period of this disease, that 6 today translates to 6 last week at the very least. Given the growth rate of cases the number of cases in the community is much larger. Thant's how we knew it was bad in China initially. Statistically it was possible to predict with high certainty that actual case count was order of magnitudes larger due to the spread internationally. Based on epidemiology modelling of human migration / flight patterns etc.

    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf

    https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1225668790198759424?s=20


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,113 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Plus maybe two strains.

    Corna and Coranlite.

    I spat out my beer


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Couple of UK newspapers reporting that Chinese scientists are suggesting two strains may be circulating, one aggressive, one mild. Worrying if true.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,287 ✭✭✭givyjoe


    Why put back James Bond release? are all films scheduled to be released soon being pushed back 7 months ??

    No point releasing a film into empty cinemas.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    The first case in the Faroe Islands has been confirmed

    A man recently returned from Paris.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,578 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Couple of UK newspapers reporting that Chinese scientists are suggesting two strains may be circulating, one aggressive, one mild. Worrying if true.

    Iran is getting hit pretty hard tbf.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,121 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    Any further update on how temperature and humidity affects spread. I know Singapore and Thailand were thought to have lower cases due to weather.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,097 ✭✭✭stevek93


    What about the remaining 17%? Probably the most vulnerable. Octogenarians, people with preexisting conditions.

    These people we need to protect the most until we have a solution to this virus.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,713 ✭✭✭Gods Gift


    Couple of UK newspapers reporting that Chinese scientists are suggesting two strains may be circulating, one aggressive, one mild. Worrying if true.

    jekyll and hyde


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,055 ✭✭✭Fakediamond


    stevek93 wrote: »
    a positive thought if 83% of mild symptoms is true then the majority of cases will get over it and hopefully develop immunity if so then once the vast majority of the population has immunity maybe this then might fizzle out? Correct me if I am wrong but I am seeing just doom a gloom lately and trying to hope for the best.

    They’ll eventually develop a vaccine and that will help immensely


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 18,041 Mod ✭✭✭✭ixoy


    gozunda wrote: »
    Hand Sanitizer 100 ml for sale on Donedeal

    Price €55 ...

    Yes thats €55 for 100ml[/url]
    There's a bit of madness around hand sanitizer. People are acting like it's a massive preventive measure that'll ward off the disease when it's no more effective than washing your hands - sure, you can't always do that but if you're regularly in a position where you can't, then 100ml isn't going to last too long.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux


    The first case in the Faroe Islands has been confirmed

    A man recently returned from Paris.

    I was looking at that earlier, I think its included in the Danish figures now


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,707 ✭✭✭irishgeo


    My point is there are 6 cases which have manifested now and given the longer incubation period of this disease, that 6 today translates to 6 last week at the very least. Given the growth rate of cases the number of cases in the community is much larger. Thant's how we knew it was bad in China initially. Statistically it was possible to predict with high certainty that actual case count was order of magnitudes larger due to the spread internationally. Based on epidemiology modelling of human migration / flight patterns etc.

    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf

    https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1225668790198759424?s=20

    If we are underestimating cases the death rate is lower too.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,384 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    stevek93 wrote: »
    a positive thought if 83% of mild symptoms is true then the majority of cases will get over it and hopefully develop immunity if so then once the vast majority of the population has immunity maybe this then might fizzle out? Correct me if I am wrong but I am seeing just doom a gloom lately and trying to hope for the best.

    The majority of cases will get over it, correct.

    We do not still know how herd immunity will have an effect (there has been some speculation on reinfection).

    It doesn't imply fizzing out from the 20pc,because they could still be carriers.

    Two metrics here: R0 and the impact on health.

    Very different metrics, don't confuse them.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭tillyfilly



    Once this hits Africa it’s endemic in the human population


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 235 ✭✭Cuckoo7


    gozunda wrote: »
    Hand Sanitizer 50 ml for sale on Donedeal

    Price €55 ...

    Yes thats €55 for 50ml

    I do hope it's a pistake ...

    https://www.donedeal.ie/bathroom-for-sale/hand-sanitizer/24372700
    I do hope the seller chockes on it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,097 ✭✭✭stevek93


    They’ll eventually develop a vaccine and that will help immensely

    When are we going to see the results of Remdesivir?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,393 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Just thinking about what will happen in countries like India, Nigeria, Brazil etc. One the virus gets into the poorer areas of these countries, it will likely become rampant with high mortality rates.


This discussion has been closed.
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